Macquarie Australia Conference. 1 May 2013

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Transcription:

Macquarie Australia Conference 1 May 2013 1 1

Disclaimer & important notice This presentation contains forward looking statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the oil and gas industry. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, geotechnical factors, drilling and production results, gas commercialisation, development progress, operating results, engineering estimates, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial markets conditions in various countries, approvals and cost estimates. All references to dollars, cents or $ in this document are to Australian currency, unless otherwise stated. All references to project completion percentages are on a value of work done basis, unless otherwise stated. The reserves and contingent resources information in this presentation has been compiled by Greg Horton, a full-time employee of the company. Greg Horton is qualified in accordance with ASX Listing Rule 5.11 and has consented to the form and context in which this information appears. Santos prepares its reserves and contingent resources estimates in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2007 Petroleum Resources Management System (PRMS) prepared by the Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE). 2 Cover image: GLNG LNG tanks under construction

A compelling investment opportunity Production growth 6% annual compound production growth to 2020 Earnings growth Major projects on track Material exploration catalysts in 2013 Australian shale Capital management Rising Australian domestic gas prices 3.4mtpa long-term oil-linked LNG export contracts PNG LNG over 80% complete, first LNG in 2014 GLNG over 50% complete, first LNG in 2015 Browse Basin drilling in 2013 to follow-up Crown-1 gas-condensate discovery Australia s first commercial shale production Strong infrastructure position With PNG LNG start-up in 2014, commence considering capital management initiatives later this year 3

Delivering 80-90 mmboe of production by 2020 mmboe 90 80 70 60 50 40 6% CAGR production growth 2011-2020 Sanctioned Likely sanction Upside potential Aust: Cooper shale, Cooper tight gas, Zola, Winchester, Amadeus, McArthur LNG: PNG LNG T3, Browse, Caldita Barossa Asia: Vietnam, Indonesia CSG Likely sanction Aust: Gunnedah LNG: Bonaparte LNG Sanctioned Aust: Fletcher Finucane, Cooper infill, Kipper LNG: PNG LNG, GLNG Asia: Dua, Peluang 4 30 20 10 Producing Producing Aust: Cooper Basin, Carnarvon Basin, Queensland CSG, offshore Victoria, Mereenie LNG: Darwin LNG Asia: Chim Sáo, Indonesia, Sangu, SE Gobe - 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Fletcher Finucane first oil ahead of schedule Project is over 90% complete; pre-commissioning to commence in May Santos 44% and operator Three-well subsea tieback to Mutineer- Exeter FPSO All development wells drilled and completed Installation work well advanced Forecast average gross production rate of 15,000bbl/day in the first 12 months Well clean-up, Fletcher Finucane 5

Santos LNG growth pipeline Upside potential Likely sanction Sanctioned Producing PNG LNG expansion Browse Basin Caldita Barossa Bonaparte LNG Santos 40% equity Floating LNG project in the Bonaparte Basin PNG LNG Santos 13.5% equity First LNG on track for 2014 GLNG Santos 30% equity and operator First LNG on track for 2015 Darwin LNG Darwin Santos LNG 11.5% equity Produced over 300 cargoes of LNG to Asian buyers since 2006 6

Santos LNG projects are fully contracted with major Asian buyers at oil-linked prices DLNG Contracted to 2023 PNG LNG Contracted to 2034 GLNG Contracted to 2035 3.4 mtpa Santos share of long-term, oil-linked contracts in place 7

GLNG on track for first LNG in 2015 Project is over 50% complete Santos 30% and operator Recent milestones include: First four LNG plant modules shipped from the module yard in Batangas Train 1 refrigeration compressors, cold boxes and CO 2 absorber installed Tunnelling commenced under the Narrows Crossing 49 wells drilled in the GLNG acreage in the first quarter Arcadia appraisal well encounters 70 metres net coal LNG plant capacity of 7.8 mtpa Gross capital cost estimate US$18.5 billion from FID to end 2015 Train 1 cold boxes arriving at the MOF, March 2013 Nodal hub compressor installation, Fairview 8

CSG drilling: driving down well costs Roma drilling campaign achieved up to 40% reduction in drilling costs Current rig fleet of eight drilling rigs and four completion rigs Over 80% of wells drilled in 2012 were deviated wells Delivering lower well costs: 40% reduction in drilling cost for Roma deviated wells >30% reduction in drilling cost for Fairview deviated wells $million Roma deviated overbalanced well drilling cost 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 - Expect to drill more than 200 wells in 2013 9 RM13-09-5 RM13-09-2 RM02-20-2 RM12-10-4 RM08-07-1 RM08-07-2 RM08-07-3 RM12-06-1 RM12-10-1 RM12-10-2 RM12-10-3 RM08-02-1 RM08-02-2 RM08-11-4 RM12-06-2 RM12-06-3 RM12-06-4 RM02-24-1 RM08-01-1 RM08-08-1 RM08-08-2 RM08-11-2 RM08-11-3 RM02-24-2 RM02-24-3 RM02-24-4 RM07-17-1 RM07-17-2 RM08-01-2 RM08-15-1 RM08-17-1 RM08-06-1 RM08-15-2 RM08-15-3 RM08-15-4 RM08-17-2 RM08-17-3 RM08-17-4 RM12-14-2 RM12-14-3 RM12-14-4 RM07-19-1 RM07-19-2 RM07-21-1 RM08-06-2 RM12-11-3 RM12-11-4 RM12-14-1 RM12-11-1 RM12-11-2 $million 3.0 2.4 1.8 Fairview deviated underbalanced well drilling cost 1.2 0.6 - Fairview 535 Fairview 524 FV12-23-2 FV12-23-3 FV12-23-4 FV12-23-5 FV11-36-3 FV11-36-2 FV16-02-3 FV11-13-2 FV11-13-4 FV16-02-2 FV12-10-3 FV12-10-4 FV11-13-3 FV12-10-2 FV06-42-1 FV06-42-2 FV11-35-2 FV16-04-2 FV11-02-1 FV11-02-2 FV12-24-2 FV12-05-2 FV12-24-1 FV11-40-2 FV12-11-1 FV12-14-1 FV12-14-2 FV12-25-2 FV12-25-3 FV12-15-1 FV12-15-2 Actual controllable cost Linear (actual controllable cost)

Upstream construction 10 Fairview Hub 4

Gas transmission pipeline 420 kilometre pipeline on track for Q2 2014 completion 420 kilometre 42 pipeline All pipeline manufactured and landed in Queensland Mainland section: 210 kilometres of the right-of-way has been cleared and graded 165 kilometres of pipeline strung 10,600 joints welded Marine crossing: Tunnelling commenced April 2013 Mainland pipeline Tunnelling machine in launch shaft 11

Curtis Island 12 28 March 2013

Downstream construction LNG tanks Loading modules for shipping, Batangas 13 LNG train 1 LNG jetty

PNG LNG on track for first LNG in 2014 Project is over 80% complete Santos 13.5%, ExxonMobil 33.2% and operator Recent milestones include: Komo nearing completion ahead of first cargo flights in May 2013 Major foundations at Hides Gas Conditioning Plant are complete with piping and cable installation progressing Drilling of three wells at Hides is ongoing with two drilling rigs Offshore pipeline is complete, onshore pipeline construction progressing LNG tanks, load-out jetty and flare system nearing completion and preparing for commissioning gas LNG plant capacity of 6.9 mtpa Gross capital cost estimate US$19 billion 14

Hides gas conditioning plant 15 March 2013

LNG plant construction well advanced LNG plant site LNG tanks 16 LNG trains 1 & 2 LNG jetty

PNG LNG potential expansion Existing infrastructure can support potential future expansion Potential areas for expansion are being assessed - Hides development drilling underway Plans are being developed to drill Hides Deep in 2014 (Santos 24% equity) - Optimal access to project infrastructure 17

Browse: Crown success unlocks material play Significant gas discovery at Crown, Bassett West drilling ahead 18 Crown gas discovery (Santos 30% and operator) - 61 metres of net pay in Jurassic-aged Montara, Plover and Malita sandstones - Pressure data implies single hydrocarbon-bearing gas condensate column in good quality reservoir - Multiple condensate-bearing samples recovered to surface - Contingent recoverable resource estimate range 0.5 to 5 tcf Bassett West exploration well (Santos 30%) - Drilling ahead towards total depth of 5,275 metres Browse Joint Venture fields Browse Basin Poseidon Brecknock Calliance Torosa WA-274-P WA-410-P WA-274-P WA-281-P Argus Crown WA-411-P Western Australia Santos acreage Oil field Ichthys to Darwin pipeline under construction Dufresne WA-408-P WA-281-P Gas field Prospect Bassett West Prelude LNG Project WA-274-P Ichthys LNG Project Burnside

Cooper Basin unconventional Exploration continues on the basin centred gas play and the REM shale play Basin centred gas play - Gaschnitz-1 successfully cased and suspended; gas bearing throughout the entire 1,000 metre Permian section - Van Der Waals-1 vertical well spudded in early April REM shale play - Moomba-191 continues to produce at 2.3 mmscf/day - Moomba-192, vertical well of a dual vertical/horizontal shale well pilot, spudded in early April 19

A compelling investment opportunity Production growth 6% annual compound production growth to 2020 Earnings growth Major projects on track Material exploration catalysts in 2013 Australian shale Capital management Rising Australian domestic gas prices 3.4mtpa long-term oil-linked LNG export contracts PNG LNG over 80% complete, first LNG in 2014 GLNG over 50% complete, first LNG in 2015 Browse Basin drilling in 2013 to follow-up Crown-1 gas-condensate discovery Australia s first commercial shale production Strong infrastructure position With PNG LNG start-up in 2014, commence considering capital management initiatives later this year 20

Macquarie Australia Conference 1 May 2013 21 21

2013 exploration schedule Well name Basin / area Target Santos Interest % Timing Bassett West-1 Browse Gas 30 Drilling Winchester-1 Carnarvon Gas 75 Drilling Dufresne-1 Browse Gas 30 Q2 Q3 Cooper unconventional Cooper Gas 66.6 Q1 Q3 Cooper NFE Cooper Gas Various Q3 Q4 NSW CSG Gunnedah CSG Various Q4 Indonesia CSG South Sumatra CSG 60 Q2 Q4 Hoi Khoai-1 Nam Con Son Oil 65 Q3 Mereenie unconventional cores Amadeus Gas 100 Q3 Queensland CSG Denison CSG 50 Q3- Q4 Gross success case high side outcome >100 mmboe The exploration portfolio is continuously being optimised, therefore the above program may vary as a result of farmout, rig availability, drilling outcomes and maturation of new prospects 22

Contact information Head office Adelaide Ground Floor, Santos Centre 60 Flinders Street Adelaide, South Australia 5000 GPO Box 2455 Adelaide, South Australia 5001 Telephone: +61 8 8116 5000 Facsimile: +61 8 8116 5050 Useful email contacts Share register enquiries: web.queries@computershare.com.au Investor enquiries: investor.relations@santos.com Andrew Nairn Group Executive Investor Relations Level 10, Santos Centre Direct: + 61 8 8116 5314 Email: andrew.nairn@santos.com Nicole Walker Investor Relations Manager Level 10, Santos Centre Direct: + 61 8 8116 5302 Email: nicole.walker@santos.com Website: www.santos.com 23