Biofuels technology: A look forward Growth and Development Policy Conference : New Data, New Approaches, and New Evidence 01 December 2016

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Biofuels technology: A look forward Growth and Development Policy Conference : New Data, New Approaches, and New Evidence 01 December 2016 Dr. William Stafford, Green Economy Solutions, Natural Resources and Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research www.csir.co.za

Transport is significant user of energy (petroleum fuels) and GHG emissions Top: Energy demand by end use Bottom: GHG emissions Biofuels part of energy system

Biomass feedstock for biofuels Biomass feedstocks for Biofuels: Land area a limiting/critical issue Optimal biomass yields: GJ/ha Wastes are limited in supply! Various processing routes and biofuel products

Biofuels technology commercialisation : a look forward Biofuels are energy carriers to provide energy services

Biofuels technology : Conventional Description Feedstock Conventional First generation biofuels such as bioethanol, biodiesel and biogas are produced sugary/starchy biomass. Can replace or blend with fossil fuels. Currently commercially established. Food crops, food waste and sewage Energy carrier Bioethanol, Biodiesel, Biogas

Biofuels technology: Advanced Description Feedstock Energy carrier Advanced Second generation biofuels are produced from ligno-cellulosic biomass.third generation biofuels are from algae. Various stages of commercialization ranging from R&D to early commercial. Forestry and Agriculture residues and wastes; Non-food crops (grasses, shrubs and trees). Algae Bioethanol, Biodiesel, Biogas Synfuels (methanol, DME) and Bio-SNG Algal fuels

Biofuels technology Alternative biofuels Description Feedstock Energy carrier Alternative Non-carbon fuels such as hydrogen (combustion or fuel cell ) and battery storage for electric vehicles. Require renewable energy resources to achieve carbon-emission reductions benefits. At demo- and early commercial stage mainly as a result of energy storage constraints. Hydrogen from synthesis gas and anaerobic digestion. Electricity charge from solar, wind or other renewables ideally or municipal electricity alternatively Hydrogen (IC and fuel cell) Battery storage for electric vehicles

Barriers of future biofuels technology: Cost Life cycle costing >Well to wheel Biofuels cost varies Biomass feedstock large cost component Economies of scale IEA 2013 $60- $120 Cannot compete with petrol/diesel unless subsidised/green premium

Barriers of future biofuels technology: GHG emissions Carbon reduction compared to fossil fuels: Life cycle Assessment (well to wheel) Sugar cane ethanol, Rapeseed canola, Biogas Cellulosic ethanol, BTL, Bio-SNG may offer greater carbon reductions

Biofuels benefits: Reduction in Carbon emissions and pollution Jungbluth et al 2009 Swiss LCA Both GHG and pollutions savings depend on technology pathway Best options avoid costs from wastes disposal and pollution, and LUC

Barriers of future biofuels technology: Ecological and social impacts Competition with food.. Land, water and agriculture/forestry inputs Biodiversity and Ecosystem impacts

Biofuels sustainability? Assessing the benefits of biofuels o Assess performance on the basis of a Green economy (Low carbon, resource efficient and socially inclusive) o Sustainability assessment and certification (RSPO, Bonsucro, RSB, ISCC etc)

Biogas for mobility and a Low-carbon development zone Conventional biofuels commercially established- Replace petrol, diesel and natural gas with little additional infrastructure and vehicle modification. Blended (5%) with existing fuels to facilitate gradual uptake and adoption (20-30% max). Advanced biofuels are at various stages of commercialisation- Access a wider range of biomass resources (ligno-cellulose via biochemical and thermochemical conversion). Algal biofuels. Alternative fuels- hydrogen and battery storage for electricity storage are at demo and early commercial stage- may be game changer. Range and requirement for energy input from renewables The environmental benefits of biofuels, such as the reduction in carbon emissions and other pollutants requires LCA Other issues will also determine market uptake of biofuels. Costcompetitiveness with current fossil fuels and avoiding competition for land and biomass to produce food, feed, fibre and fine chemicals in the developing bio-economy. Biorefinery developments offer an improved integration of these product streams.

Contact: wstafford@csir.co.za Thanks! www.biosssam.org Dr. William Stafford, Green Economy Solutions, Natural Resources and Environment Unit, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research www.csir.co.za