Hydrology of Prairie Droughts

Similar documents
Characterising the Surface Hydrology of Prairie Droughts

Prairie Hydrology. If weather variability increases, this could degrade the viability of many aspects of ecosystems, human activities and economy

Drought, Climate Variability and Water Resources in Western Canada

The Impact of Wetland Drainage on the Hydrology of a Northern Prairie Watershed

Canadian Prairie Hydrology and Runoff Generation. John Pomeroy Centre for Hydrology, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon

Prairie Drought Hydrology Prediction using the Cold Regions Hydrological Model

Prairie Hydrological Model Study Progress Report, April 2008

Afternoon Lecture Outline. Northern Prairie Hydrology

Afternoon Lecture Outline. Northern Prairie Hydrology

Afternoon Lecture Outline

Ensuring Sufficient Water Supply for the Emerging Bioeconomy

The Changing Cold Regions Network: Atmospheric, Cryospheric, Ecological and Hydrological Change in the Saskatchewan and Mackenzie River Basins, Canada

Lecture 9A: Drainage Basins

M.L. Kavvas, Z. Q. Chen, M. Anderson, L. Liang, N. Ohara Hydrologic Research Laboratory, Civil and Environmental Engineering, UC Davis

Proposed Project. Integrated Water Resources Management Using Remote Sensing Data in Upper Indus Basin

GCI Survey---Lake Winnipeg Watershed

The Impact of Climate Change on a Humid, Equatorial Catchment in Uganda.

ICELANDIC RIVER / WASHOW BAY CREEK INTEGRATED WATERSHED MANAGEMENT PLAN STATE OF THE WATERSHED REPORT CONTRIBUTION SURFACE WATER HYDROLOGY REPORT

M.L. Kavvas, Z. Q. Chen, M. Anderson, L. Liang, N. Ohara Hydrologic Research Laboratory, Civil and Environmental Engineering, UC Davis

Prairie Hydrological Model Study Final Report

Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources of a Semi-arid Basin- Jordan

USDA-NRCS, Portland, Oregon

Climate Change & Urbanization Have Changed River Flows in Ontario

SNAMP water research. Topics covered

The Link between Soil Moisture and Drought as Examined in DRI

Application of a Basin Scale Hydrological Model for Characterizing flow and Drought Trend

Prediction of snowmelt derived streamflow in a wetland dominated prairie basin

Projection of the Impact of Climate Change on the Surface Energy and Water Balance in the Seyhan River Basin Turkey

PLEASE SCROLL DOWN FOR ARTICLE. Full terms and conditions of use:

FISHER RIVER INTEGRATED WATERSHED MANAGEMENT PLAN STATE OF THE WATERSHED REPORT CONTRIBUTION SURFACE WATER HYDROLOGY REPORT

Managing Forests for Snowpack Storage & Water Yield

A Review of Canadian Prairie Hydrology: Principles, Modelling and Response to Land Use and Drainage Change

Background to the Saskatchewan River Basin

Irrigation modeling in Prairie Ronde Township, Kalamazoo County. SW Michigan Water Resources Council meeting May 15, 2012

Climate change impacts on water resources in the Upper Po basin

Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change: A California case study

CHAPTER FIVE Runoff. Engineering Hydrology (ECIV 4323) Instructors: Dr. Yunes Mogheir Dr. Ramadan Al Khatib. Overland flow interflow

CENTRAL ASSINIBOINE INTEGRATED WATERSHED MANAGEMENT PLAN SURFACE WATER HYDROLOGY REPORT

Wolf Creek Research Basin water balance studies

Hydrological And Water Quality Modeling For Alternative Scenarios In A Semi-arid Catchment

LOWER INTERLAKE BASIN - HYDROLOGY

Inside of forest (for example) Research Flow

Assessing the impact of climate change on the hydroperiod of two Natura 2000 sites in Northern Greece

Isotope hydrology. Outline. C. Maule Dept of Agricultural & Bioresource Engineering. I. Hydrologic Cycle. I. Kinds of Isotopes

Drought impacts on Canadian prairie wetland snow hydrology

Outline. Regional Overview Mine Study Area. Transportation Corridor Study Area. Streamflow Low Flow Peak Flow Snow Small Pools.

Water in the Columbia, Effects of Climate Change and Glacial Recession

Hydrologic Modeling with the Distributed-Hydrology- Soils- Vegetation Model (DHSVM)

The Impacts of Climate Change on Portland s Water Supply

Integration of Land Surface Simulation, Remote Sensing and Field Studies in the Prairies

soil losses in a small rainfed catchment with Mediterranean

Projection of the Impact of Climate Change on the Surface Energy and Water Balance in the Seyhan River Basin Turkey

CLIMATE CHANGE ASSESSMENT OVER THE ASSINIBOINE DELTA AQUIFER

Barrie Bonsal, Elaine Wheaton, Virginia Wittrock, Evan Siemens, Nick Nicolichuk DRI Workshop, Winnipeg, May 11 th, 2010

Assessment of impacts of climate change on runoff: River Nzoia catchment, Kenya. Githui F. W, Bauwens W. and Mutua F.

Illinois in Drought. June 19, 2012, Updated June 21, 2012

Lecture 15: Flood Mitigation and Forecast Modeling

Effects of Land Use On Climate and Water Resources: Application of a Land Surface Model for Land Use Management

Effect of climate change on low-flow conditions in Ruscom River watershed, Ontario

Marmot Creek, Peyto Glacier, Fortress Mountain Snow Laboratory in the Canadian Rockies Hydrological Observatory

Using SWAT to understand the eco-hydrological response to droughts of a dry Mediterranean agro-forested catchment, southern Portugal

Coupling Transport and Transformation Model with Land Surface Scheme SABAE- HW: Application to the Canadian Prairies

Portland Water System & PUMA. Lorna Stickel & David Evonuk Resource Protection & Engineering Work Groups

2017 Water Availability and Drought Conditions Report

How could we possibly change the Hydrologic Cycle on an Island as big as Vancouver Island?

Management of the Niemen River basin with account of adaptation to climate change

Hydrologic cycle, runoff process

From the cornbeltto the north woods; understanding the response of Minnesota. Chris Lenhart Research Assistant Professor BBE Department

1 THE USGS MODULAR MODELING SYSTEM MODEL OF THE UPPER COSUMNES RIVER

LSPC Watershed Modeling

Estimating Groundwater Recharge under Upland and Depression Using a Simple Soil Water Balance Model

Santa Ana River Watershed Hydrology Projections

Overview of the Surface Hydrology of Hawai i Watersheds. Ali Fares Associate Professor of Hydrology NREM-CTAHR

CIVE 641 Advanced Surface Water Hydrology. Term Project Report. Continuous Simulation of DPHM-RS for Blue River Basin

Interannual Q c CV. Interannual CMI CV

Impact of snow melt on the hydrologic and water resources systems, Lebanon

The Land & Infrastructure Resiliency Assessment (LIRA) Project Economic Flood Hazard Assessment

MINING in a CHANGING CLIMATE Vulnerability, Impacts & Adaptation

Sobhalatha Kunjikutty

Effects of shelterbelts on snow distribution and sublimation

Working with the Water Balance

nhc MILLENNIUM EMS SOLUTIONS LTD. HYDROLOGY ASSESSMENT FOR GRIZZLY OIL SANDS ALGAR LAKE SAGD PROJECT FINAL REPORT JANUARY, 2010

Chapter 1 Introduction

Current and future projections of glacier contribution to streamflow in the upper Athabasca River Basin

Climate Change Water Implications for Michigan Communities, Landsystems and Agriculture

AIACC Regional Study AS07: Southeast Asia Regional Vulnerability to Changing Water Resource and Extreme Hydrological Events due to Climate Change

Zhe Zhang 1, Yanping Li 1, Michael Barlage 2, Fei Chen 2. University of Saskatchewan 2. National Center for Atmospheric Research

California s water cycle: climate, snowpack & forest management

Hydrological modelling research at NCAR. Martyn Clark (NCAR/RAL)

Climate Change and Fish in the Pacific Northwest: Case Study of the Snoqualmie River Basin

Analyzing water resources in a monsoon-driven environment an example from the Indian Western Ghats


The Changing Gila River: Past, Present and Future

Comparison of Statistical and Dynamic Downscaling methods for Hydrologic Applications in West Central Florida

Assessing Real Time - Drainage Water Management

CHAPTER ONE : INTRODUCTION

Nam Sebangfay. Name: Sebangfay Serial No.: Lao 5 Location: Khammouane Province N 17 o E 105 o Basin Area: km 2

Piloting Utility Modeling Applications: The San Francisco Public Utilities Commission

Hydrologic Modeling of the English River Watershed

5.5 Improving Water Use Efficiency of Irrigated Crops in the North China Plain Measurements and Modelling

Transcription:

C:\ Program Files\ CRHM\ QdroD QdfoD Qdro Qdfo SunMax global CalcHr Qsi calcsun hru_t hru_rh hru_ea hru_u hru_p hru_rain hru_snow hru_sunact hru_tmax hru_tmin hru_tmean hru_eamean hru_umean hru_rhmean hru_newsnow t rh ea u p ppt Qsi Qso Qn Qln SunAct form_data obs net_rain net_snow intcp_evap intcp net cum_net netall Rn Qg Qs net_rn hru_evap transp_on evap pb Hydrology of Prairie Droughts John Pomeroy, Kevin Shook, Robert Armstrong, Xing Fang Centre for Hydrology University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon, Sask www.usask.ca/hydrology

Non-Contributing Areas to Streamflow a Prairie Characteristic

Prairie Runoff Generation Snow Redistribution to Channels Spring melt and runoff Dry non-contributing areas to runoff Water Storage in Wetlands

Prairie Hydrology don t blink Smith Creek, Saskatchewan Drainage area ~ 450 km2 20 Average 1975-2006 15 Streamflow m 3 per second 25 1995 High Year 10 2000 Low Year 5 No baseflow from groundwater 0 27-Dec 27-Nov 28-Oct 28-Sep 29-Aug 30-Jul 30-Jun 31-May 01-May 01-Apr 02-Mar 31-Jan 01-Jan Hydrological drought can be viewed as the absence of prairie runoff

How to Characterise Hydrological Drought for the Prairies? River flows well gauged, but subject to abstraction, storage and do not reflect Prairie hydrological conditions. Streamflow network is more representative but is sparse, and subject to changes in land cover, drainage, abstraction, storage. Possibility to model prairie runoff generation and related hydrological processes to create a hydrological drought surface for the Prairies using atmospheric driving data and standardised representation of prairie snow redistribution, melt, runoff generation, infiltration and evaporation.

Modelling Objectives To Demonstrate the: differences between drought and non-drought hydrological cycling at the surface, evolution of hydrological drought over time and space Calculated Variables as ratios to non-drought conditions (~Hydrological Drought Indices~) Snow Accumulation peak SWE, duration Spring Freshet total, duration Actual ET/PET growing season Soil Moisture spring, summer, fall

Cold Regions Hydrological Model (CRHM) Drought Hydrology Simulation Model the effects of local drought meteorology on the hydrology of representative, first-order prairie basins Create virtual basin models, which can be applied to gridded datasets Allows comparison of basin response to drought conditions and to normal variability Requires high resolution driving data over entire Prairies for normal (1961-1990), non-drought (1962-1987) and drought periods (1999-2004) Snowfall, rainfall Incoming shortwave radiation, cloudiness or sunshine hours Temperature Humidity Wind speed

CRHM Prairie Hydrological Model Configuration Flow Chart in Cold Regions Hydrological Modelling Platform (CRHM)

CRHM Tests Creighton Tributary of Bad Lake -well drained semi-arid St. Denis National Wildlife Area -internally drained subhumid

Case Study at St. Denis, Sask (2007) Granger-Gray Evaporation module Validation site Eddy Cov E = 2.2 mm Granger-Gray E 2.6 mm Udir mm Aug 5, 2007

CRHM Hydrological Response Unit (HRU) Configurations Well Drained Fallow Stubble Grass Coulee Stream Creighton Tributary, Bad Lake Poorly Drained Cultivated Wooded Wetland Pond Wetland 109, St Denis

CRHM Hydrological Indices Snowcover duration Peak SWE Spring discharge (freshet) amount Streamflow duration AET/PET Soil moisture

NARR Variables All data required by CRHM are available from NARR Quality of data varies Incoming shortwave radiation is computed from modelled clouds, NOT from surface measurements

Edmonton 1979-2000

Winnipeg 1979-2000

Why not use all NARR data? Winnipeg daily Tmin & Tmax, 1979-2000

NARR precipitation Calgary 1999-2003 Unusable

CRHM Simulations Winnipeg and Calgary to date HRUs grass, cropped Evaluation of changes to drought hydrology

Calgary SWE on GRASS 1961-89

Winnipeg 2002 Drought SWE

Winnipeg Maximum SWE

Winnipeg Spring Freshet

CRHM Gridded First Order Hydrology Runs to be completed for all Prairies this winter, then mapped Will provide first physically based, comprehensive estimation of runoff generation from first order basins in Prairies Useful information for DEWS (soil moisture, SWE, peak flow, duration of flow, wetland level, actual evaporation) Actual evapotranspiration maps using remote sensing, splined observations, reanalysis Provides a hydrological modelling tool for general prairie application Advises application of VIC and MESH to Prairie environment