Creating the Value Chain for Biobased Aromatics

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Creating the Value Chain for Biobased Aromatics By the Biorizon Program Gihan Hewage, Lux Research Practice Lead, Bio-based Materials and Chemicals July 25, 2017

Today s agenda 1 2 Lux Research Overview Lux Bio-based Materials and Chemicals Overview 3 Bio-based Aromatics Landscape 4 Challenges to Commercialization 2

Drive Growth Through Tech Innovation Analysis you trust. Opinions you rely on. Make better decisions, faster.

Driving growth starts with understanding Technology innovation is crucial but requires a strategic approach Take action today Prepare for tomorrow Own the future 4

Making decisions about tech innovation is complicated An informed decision requires an understanding of: Market landscape In-depth analysis of technology Opportunity assessment STRATEGIC DECISIONS Risk identification Value chain and competitive analysis Unbiased, outside perspectives That s where we come in. 5

The Lux difference TECHNICAL EXPERTISE PRIMARY RESEARCH ADVANCED ANALYTICS We tell it like it is. It might not be what you want to hear but it ll always be what you need to know. 6

Lux by the numbers 300+ CLIENTS on 5 CONTINENTS multinational corporations investors governments 100+ EMPLOYEES in 5 OFFICES Boston New York Amsterdam Singapore Tokyo >75% of the largest chemical companies >75% of the largest oil & gas companies >65% of the largest CPG companies >50% of the largest IT companies >50% of the largest diversified industrial companies 7

Average start-up 10% SUCCESS Start-ups rated Positive by Lux 50% SUCCESS 8 Partner with Lux to make more informed decisions

9 Lux BBMC Overview

Bio-based Materials and Chemicals COVERAGE INCLUDES Innovations in technologies spanning the entire bio-based value chain, from renewable feedstocks to end materials and products, including tools to improve conversion technologies and materials with novel properties. FEATURED TOPICS & TECHNOLOGIES C1 feedstocks bio-oils lignocellulosic feedstocks sugar/starch algae biomass pretreatment biomimicry fermentation synthetic biology digital tools spider silk nanocellulose bio-based polymers drop-in chemicals natural ingredients 10

Bio-based Materials and Chemicals SAMPLE COMPANIES COVERED 11

Bio-based Aromatics Landscape 12

Bio-based aromatics fall under two categories DROP-IN REPLACEMENTS Chemically equivalent to petroleum-based aromatics Examples: Benzene, Toluene, Xylenes, Aniline, Terephthalic acid Key Developers: Origin Materials, Anellotech, BioBTX, Covestro NOVEL AROMATICS Chemically distinct from established petroleumbased aromatics Examples: HMF, CMF, FDCA/FDME, lignin-based aromatics Key Developers: Avantium, DuPont, Corbion, Origin Materials 13

Major downstream corporations represent the biggest driver for the commercialization of bio-based aromatics STARTUP BRAND OWNERS PEFerence Consotrium NaturALL Bottle 14

Challenges to commercialization 15

Chemically speaking, drop-in bio-based aromatics are the exact same as their petroleum-based counterparts Drop-ins can be directly incorporated into existing product streams, providing a seemingly low barrier to commercialization 16

17 However, drop-in aromatics MUST compete on cost and largely fail to do so today

Novel aromatics lack established downstream pathways Even if end-products have been identified, conversions to other molecules and materials, as well as processing to final form factors have to be developed and scaled 18

KEY EXCEPTION: AVANTIUM Technology Joint Venture Industry Partners 19

20 The value chain for bio-based aromatics pales in comparison to that of petroleum-based incumbents

Gihan Hewage Practice Lead, Bio-based Materials and Chemicals gihan.hewage@luxresearchinc.com +1 (857) 305 5287