Vulnerability of Mangrove Resources to Climate Change: Coastal Resource Assessment Using LiDAR Data

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Vulnerability of Mangrove Resources to Climate Change: Coastal Resource Assessment Using LiDAR Data Villasita T. Policarpio and Dr. Dante M. Aquino ISU Phil-LiDAR 2 Project, Isabela State University

INTRODUCTION Study Area (Claveria, Cagayan) 3 rd class municipality 12 coastal Barangays With complete coastal resources (corals, seagrass, mangroves and aquaculture A tourist destination Tourist Haven of Northern Philippines (Taggat Lagoon, Lakaylakay, Baket-baket)

INTRODUCTION Study Area (Claveria, Cagayan) Existing MPA (Taggat Norte Marine Protected Area) 290000 295000 N W E 2060000 2060000 S Scale 1:50,000 500 0 500 1000 Meters MARINE PROTECTED AREA (MPA) MAP Location: Barangay: Taggat Norte Municipal: Claveria Province: Cagayan Region: 02 Legend: Road Network River /creek Shoreline 20m Buffer Zone 3.47 ha Docking Area 0.54 ha Marine Reserve 891.80 ha No-Take-Zone 21.63 ha Location Map This Site Manila #Y 290000 295000 Prepared by: GIS-ICRMP 14 June 2011

OBJECTIVES To assess the vulnerability of coastal resources to climate change To help communities, local governments and stakeholders in the identification and prioritization of appropriate adaptive responses to climate change. To recommend policies for adoption and promotion of coastal resource conservation

METHODOLOGY Complete the rating scores and calculate the values of VA indicators such exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity. Potential Impact-generate the vulnerability map on coastal resources in Claveria LiDAR data derivatives and products used for VA coastal resources, coastal resources maps. resources assessment, secondary data such as typology, landuse/landcover maps, and social data (from interview and FGD).

Data Gathering & Design Coastal Resources- extracted from LiDAR data Focus Group Discussion (FGD) and Key Informant Interviews 6 coastal barangays covered Secondary Data Other data used MPA maps Results of resource assessment Exposure map

Mangrove Classification General Workflow (Developed by UPD CoastMap) 1

1 Mangrove Classification 2 3 4 5 6

Mangrove Classification 2 3 4 5 6

Mangrove Classification

GIS Data Integration The VA for mangrove was done following the workflow. 1

GIS Data Integration 1

Working Framework (Sensitivity Matrix)

Working Framework (Adaptive Capacity Matrix) ADAPTIVE CAPACITY Very High (5) High (4) Medium (3) Low (2) Very Low (1) Local Ordinances There are laws and ordinances and properly enforced No written laws and ordinances but protection is strictly observed Laws and ordinances exist but not well enforced Laws and ordinances exist but not well enforced Laws and ordinances are absent Governance Community Support and Local Knowledge (on ordinances) Community widely accept and aid in the impelementation Community knows about the ordinances but leaves it to the officials to do Community does not know such ordinances exist MPA level 4 3 2 1 0 to no MPA MPA coverage (extent of focus) all habitats are represented in MPAs Only 2 habitats are represented in MPA Only 1 habitat is included No habitats are included No habitats are included Human Intervention Habitat Morphology Habitat restoration efforts More than 90% of the degraded habitats have been rehabilitated Awareness of Knows all coastal coastal resources resources very well Awareness of importance of each coastal resource Presence of refuge site (buffer zone) Between 70 to 90% of the degraded habitats Between 50 to 70% of the degraded habitats Knows all coastal Knows atleast 2 coastal resources but not very resources very well well Knows the importance Knows the importance of Knows the importance of all coastal resources atleast 2 coastal resource of all coastal resources but not very well very well Less than 50% of the degraded habitats Knows atleast 2 coastal resources but not very well Knows the importance of at least 2 coastal resources but not very well No rehabilitation efforts being done Not familiar does not know the importance of the coastal resources 80 to 100% of buffer 60 to 80% of buffer 40 to 60% of the buffer 20 to 40% of the buffer 0 to 20% of the buffer Presence of 2 adjacent habitats, 2 Adjacent Habitat good condition 2 adj habitat, atleast 1 good condition 1 adj habitat, good condition 1 adj habitat not good condition no adj habitat

Scoring Criteria per barangay SENSITIVITY CRITERIA Pata east Culao Taggat Norte Centro 6 Centro 5 D' Leano Score Habitat Characteristics Age of the mangrove stand 4 5 5 5 5 5 How much of the natural 5 5 forest are left? 5 5 5 5 What kinds of species are 2 5 present? 5 5 5 5 Average for habitat characteristics 14.33 Governance ADAPTIVE CAPACITY Local Ordinances 5 5 5 5 5 5 Community Support and Local Knowledge (on 1 1 ordinances) 5 5 5 5 MPA level 0 0 5 0 0 0 MPA coverage (extent of 1 1 focus) 5 1 1 1 Average for Governance 11.17 Human Intervention Habitat restoration efforts 2 1 1 1 1 1 Awareness of coastal 4 5 resources 5 4 4 4 Awareness of importance of each coastal resource 4 4 5 4 4 4 Average for Human Intervention 9.67 Presence of refuge site 5 1 (buffer zone) 1 1 1 1 Presence of Adjacent 4 3 Habitat 3 3 1 1 Average for Habitat Morphology 6.5 Habitat Morphology

GIS Data Integration Intrinsic Characteristics (Derived GIS criteria) MANGROVES Very Low (5) Low (4) Medium (3) High Very High Proximity to Coastal Dev >2000 1501 to 2000 1001 to 1500 501 to 1000 <500 Proximity to Aquaculture >3000 2251 to 3000 1501 to 2250 751 to 1500 <750 The Exposure Score and the CIVAT LMH Rating Exposure Type Increased Ocean Temperature Extreme Heating Events Extreme Rainfall Disturbed Water Budget Sea-level Rise Score I 3 5 2 3 4 17 M LMH Rate Sensitivity & Adaptive Capacity Score CRITERIA SENSITIVITY Habitat Characteristic 14.33 H ADAPTIVE CAPACITY Governance 11.17 M Human Intervention 9.67 M Habitat Morphology 6.5 M

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION Vulnerability Assessment The procedure of vulnerability assessment

Qualitative Scoring = Potential Impact Cross-table for Potential Impact (Exposure x Sensitivity) = Vulnerability Cross-table for Vulnerability (Potential Impact x Adaptive Capacity)

Scoring Matrix The vulnerability of each resource was determined by the result of the 3 aspects (Intrinsic Characteristics and Governance, Anthropogenic Activities, and Habitat Characteristics). The result defined using the cross tabulation method The color red is High (H) with a score of 5, yellow is Medium (M) with scores of 3-4 and the color green is Low with scores of 1-2. Cross-table for Final Vulnerability

Vulnerability Assessment Ratings Exposure Sensitivity Adaptive Potential Impact Vulnerability Final VA Capacity AD HC IC GOV HI HM IC AA HC IC AA HC M H M M M M M H M M H H M H H M M M M H H M H H The over-all VA score of mangroves to climate change hazard in Claveria is categorized as High. High in sensitivity of intrinsic and habitat characteristic to the exposure is high. High adaptive capacity to potential impact in the habitat characteristic No potential impact on the anthropogenic activities Medium to High vulnerability to the potential impact, Final vulnerability is HIGH

VULNERABILITY MAP

CONCLUSION and RECOMMENDATIONS The vulnerability of mangrove is very high because of its sensitivity to coastal development, the presence of aquaculture in adjacent areas and the potential impact on habitat characteristic. The presence of different mangrove species in Claveria is an indication that the area had a diverse ecosystem. It is recommended that the remaining mangroves areas should be protected and conserved. The LGU must strengthen its programs on mangrove rehabilitation and conservation in the municipality. The Rhizophora mucronata species or Bakawang babae is suitable in Claveria. Kandelia candela species supposedly found only in Baler and Casiguran, Aurora was discovered during the field validation in Claveria. The species should be propagated for planting in the municipality s coastal areas.

Thank you very much!!!