Study on REVIEW OF THE INDIAN COPPER RECYCLING INDUSTRY Conducted for INTERNATIONAL COPPER STUDY GROUP Presentation by Dr. D. De Sarkar CEO INDIAN COPPER DEVELOPMENT CENTRE
OBJECTIVE
To review the status of Cu & Cu alloy recycling in India (2005-06 to 2007-08) through Primary Research to enable ICSG to improve Consistency, coverage & accuracy of scrap statistics Current knowledge on demand / supply, and international trade barriers / incentives as also effect of tariffs / subsidies / noncommercial regulations on international trade / scrap usage Future research plan based on survey findings
SCOPE OF THE STUDY
FOCUS AREAS!STATISTICAL DATA Overview of Indian copper industry Types & quality of scrap used Scrap supply source Technology followed for scrap recycling Profile of the scrap recycling industry Scrap usage data (past 3 years) Trade in scrap local and imported Approximate market price Contd
...Contd FOCUS AREAS! REGULATIONS Fiscal policy change during past 3 years Scrap specific trade policy if any Environmental / Pollution regulations! FUTURE TREND Scrap market for 2008-09 and 2009-10 Effects of Regulation Technology Changed pattern of quality demand New/expanded market for copper Substitution
METHODOLOGY ADOPTED
!PRELIMINARY DESK RESEARCH Scanning of secondary information available!primary SURVEY Identification of target sectors Data base preparation for communication Sector specific questionnaire design Circulation of questionnaire Follow up through e-mail / telephone / visit Analysis of collected data / information Cross-checking of data (need based) with respondents and experts Draft Report preparation & submission
TYPICAL PAST DATA (rounded off to nearest 000 tonnes) Year Refined Copper Production Total Copper Usage Net Copper Scrap Usage 2000-01 265,060 484,000 206,000 2001-02 305,519 495,000 173,000 2002-03 351,731 490,000 240,000 2003-04 395,862 520,000 224,000 2004-05 415,009 550,000 253,000 Source : Preliminary Desk Research
PRIMARY SURVEY FINDINGS based on Contacts : 201 Feedback Received : 116
TYPICAL QUESTIONNAIRE 1. Name of Organisation : INDIAN COPPER DEVELOPMENT CENTRE STUDY ON COPPER & COPPER ALLOY RECYCLING /EP 4. Production details, future projection & % of product export Type of Products Actual Production (in tonnes) 05-06 06-07 07-08 Expected Annual Production Growth Rate during next 5 years (2008-09 to 2012-13) (in %) % of Export of Product tonnage (if any) 2. Products Manufactured ( material & product form, viz., solid round, solid sections, hollow round, hollow sections ) Material Product Form Copper (e.g., ETP, DHP, etc.) Copper Alloys (e.g., Brass, P-Bronze, etc.) 5. Raw material used Type Ingot Copper cathode Process scrap Customer return scrap Bought out local scrap Bought out imported scrap (indicating grade like birch, berry, honey, etc. ) % of Total Raw Material Used 3. Installed capacity and expansion plan if any Present Production Capacity (tpy) Expansion of Capacity (tpy) by year (if any plan exists) 6. What is the average % yield (raw material to finished product) Type of Products Average Yield % 7. Average quantity of copper bearing solid scrap and waste generated as % of total input material used Type of Scrap / Waste Generated Quantity (%) Billet cropping End cuts Process rejects Inspection reject Slag, dross (Cu %) Flue & floor dust (Cu %) Oxide scale Spent pickling liquor 11. Do you purchase sorted scrap or sort at your end 12. When you sale copper bearing scrap or waste Approx. Sale to Domestic Quantity Sold Buyer (%) (tonne) Type of Scrap / Waste Sold Export % Approx. Selling Price or Pricing Mechanism 8. How do you handle / process the scrap / waste generated? - Recycle (i.e., melt directly) - Sale to traders Local (%) Export (%) 9. Do you segregate, sort, clean scrap before recycling or selling if yes, how? 10. When you purchase scrap from market Specification / % of Grade, viz. birch, Local berry, honey, etc. Scrap Type of Scrap Purchased % of Imported Scrap (either direct import or imported through traders) Approx. Purchased Price/tonne or Pricing Mechansim followed 13. Do you face any problem in scrap purchase, processing and selling (technical, legal or anything else)? Please give your suggestions on how to overcome the problems 14. Any other relevant information you like to furnish
NUMBER OF RESPONSES RECEIVED FOR SURVEY (SECTORWISE BREAK-UP) 6 12 4 End of Life Scrap Generators 4 Equipment / Component Manufacturers Ship-breakers Regulators/ Govt. Depts. 12 7 Traders Associations / Experts DATA / INFORMATION POOL Refined Copper Producers 4 Wire & Conductor Manufacturers Semis Manufacturers Forging, Secondary Wire bar, Castings, Billets & Ingot Manufacturers Other Manufacturers viz. PM Products, Handicrafts, Chemicals, etc. 9 10 33 15
TYPE OF SCRAP USED,SOURCE, QUALITY TYPE OF SCRAP : Process scrap (not traded) New scrap (from both semis manufactures & OEM) Old scrap SOURCES : Indigenous Import Ship breaking QUALITY : Traded mostly as per ISRI specification & local market terminology. BIS specification exists. Source : SURVEY Findings
BREAK-UP OF TECHNOLOGY WISE SCRAP USAGE Direct Melt > 92% Secondary Refining < 5% Others < 3% Source : SURVEY Findings
INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN SCRAP (rounded off to nearest 00 tonnes) IMPORT 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Gross Copper Alloy 91400 72700 73400 Copper Content in Copper Alloy * 59400 47300 47700 Copper 58900 31200 25600 Net Copper Content 118300 78500 73300 EXPORT Gross Copper Alloy 1800 3800 550 Copper Content in Copper Alloy * 1200 2500 350 Copper 1600 400 350 Net Copper Content 2800 2900 700 * @ 65% copper in copper alloy Source : DGCIS, Ministry of Commerce and Industry, GOI
INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN SCRAP IMPORT (TONNES) 120000 100000 80000 60000 40000 20000 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 GROSS Cu ALLOY COPPER CONTENT in Cu ALLOY COPPER NET Cu CONTENT
INTERNATIONAL TRADE IN SCRAP EXPORT (TONNES) 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 GROSS Cu ALLOY COPPER CONTENT in Cu ALLOY COPPER NET Cu CONTENT
NET COPPER SCRAP / WASTE AVAILABILITY IN INDIA (rounded off to nearest 00 tonnes) Year 2005-06 Net Import (Import Export) 114,600 Indigenous 86,100 Ship Breaking 4,000 Total 204,700 2006-07 68,700 183,800 3,500 256,000 2007-08 71,200 131,000 3,800 206,000 Source : SURVEY Findings
TREND IN SECTORWISE NET COPPER SCRAP USAGE 140000 120000 100000 80000 TONNES 60000 40000 20000 0 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 SEMIS,INGOTS,CASTINGS SECONDARY WIREBAR METAL ARTWARE PM,CHEM.,UTENSIL, ETC. SECONDARY REFINING BLDG HARDWARE,ELEC. & MISC.COMP. SANITARYWARE Source : SURVEY Analysis
AVERAGE DOMESTIC PRICE * (Rs./Kg) Material 2005-06 Year 2006-07 2007-08 Cathode 283.70 387.21 420.03 Copper ** Heavy Scrap 212.43 347.57 348.60 Brass ** Utensil Scrap 145.99 228.86 247.54 * Includes Excise Duty only ** Source : Bombay Metal Exchange Declared Price
SCRAP SPECIFIC REGULATIONS - EFFECT!Environment (Protection) Act, 1986 -Hazardous Wastes (Management & Handling) Rules include copper & brass scrap under Hazardous Waste!Environment Regulations -Have imposed many restrictions on ship breaking!effect - Restriction in scrap trading, buying & disposing - Reduced ship breaking activity Source : Ministry of Environment & Forests, GoI
IMPORTANT COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS FOR 2005-06 & 2007-08 Decline in Import Copper scrap : 57% Copper alloy scrap : 20% Net copper content : 38% Decline in Export Copper scrap : 77% Copper alloy scrap : 70% Net copper content : 74% Net Copper Scrap Usage No significant growth Growth in Refined Copper Production : 34 % Usage : 22 % Source : SURVEY Findings
FUTURE TRENDS : 2008-09 & 2009-10 Total copper demand growth : 9-12% p.a. Net copper scrap demand : 200,000-225,000 tpa Variables Effect CPCB regulations, if remains : Higher product quality (e.g. conductor, ACR tube) : Substitution (e.g. sugar mill tube, art metalware) : Expanded / new market (e.g. building & sanitary : hardware; alloy semis; fire sprinkler system; plumbing & gas pipeline tubes & fittings) Price difference & ease of availability : Demand in non-electrical sector :! COPPER SCRAP IMPORT! COPPER ALLOY SCRAP IMPORT
CONCLUSION!Copper scrap demand growth % will be lower compared to refined copper reasons include increased quality awareness / need by certain end use sectors substitution in traditional scrap usage areas by alternate metals increased domestic availability of refined copper!trading will be restricted unless changes take place in regulations like Hazardous Waste (M & H) rules!domestic scrap generation / usage will increase due to higher volume of fabrication / usage of copper!increase in scrap usage possible, if more secondary refined copper is produced
RECOMMENDATIONS for FUTURE RESEARCH
Possibility of establishing indigenous scrap trading data bank may be explored Research needs to be done on regular basis Each year the focus can be given on one or two particular areas; and periodically extensive research may be launched Objective vis-a-vis benefits to the respondents need to be made clear