ISSUES OF GAS SUPPLY SECURING

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Transcription:

Economic Commission for Europe - Committee on Sustainable Energy - Securing Affordable and Sustainable Energy DEPUTY HEAD OF STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT SERGEY PANKRATOV 17.11.2011

Gazprom remains the largest natural gas supplier in the European market Source: Gazprom Annual Report 2010

Gazprom the worldwide leader in terms of natural gas reserves and production 18% of world s gas reserves 70% of Russian gas reserves 1.08 gas reserves replacement ratio 15% of world s gas production 78% of Russian gas production 6,806 operating gas-producing wells in Russia Gazprom Group s Reserves as of December 31, 2010 Natural gas, tcm Oil and condensate, billion tons Categories A+B+C1 in accordance with the Russian standards of classification 33.1 3.0 Category Proved and Probable in accordance with PRMS 22.5 1.9 Source: Gazprom Annual Report 2010

Prospective Sources of Gazprom s Gas Production, bcm Shtokman Yamal 800 300 300 600 200 200 bcm 100 100 400 0 2010 2020 2030 0 2010 2020 2030 200 New fields in Nadym-Pur-Taz Eastern Siberia and Far East 0 2010 2020 2030 Eastern Siberia and Far East Shtokman Project Yamal Megaproject New fields in Nadym-Pur-Taz Currently existing projects 300 200 100 300 200 100 Source: Gazprom 0 2010 2020 2030 0 2010 2020 2030

Nord Stream celebrated The Arrival of Gas on November 8, 2011 Source: BBC website, Spiegel online website, Nord Stream website

Nord Stream Offshore Pipeline Design Capacity bcma 55 Pipeline Diameter mm 1220 x 2 lines Route Length km 1224 Working Pressure MPa 22 Source: Gazprom, Nord Stream website

South Stream Full capacity (at the entry point) bcm/y 63 Offshore section Length km 923 Number of lines 4 Depth m >2000 Onshore section Length (depending on the route) km 1600-2540 Number of lines 1 PROJECT STATUS May 2011 South Stream presentation in Brussels September 2011 Wintershall Holding (Germany) and EDF (France) joined South Stream as new shareholders. Shareholding structure of South Stream project's offshore section is as follows: Gazprom - 50%, Eni - 20%, Wintershall Holding and EDF - 15% each. October 2011 South Stream Consolidated Feasibility Study has been finalized including feasibility study on the offshore section and feasibility studies on the respective gas pipelines in host countries of Southern and Central Europe Source: Gazprom

The role of Russia in securing European gas supply EUROPEAN GAS MARKET UNCERTAINTY FACTORS GLOBAL SLOWDOWN IN ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT HUGE RESOURCE BASE ENERGY DEMAND FORECASTS RANGE AND OPPORTUNITIES TO SECURE ENERGY DEMAND WITH DOMESTIC PRODUCTION ENERGY MARKET REGULATION SECURING RELIABLE SUPPLY EXTENSIVE AND ELABORATE GAS TRANSMISSION SYSTEM LONG-TERM CONTRACTS INVESTMENTS POTENTIAL ENERGY MARKET PRICES DIVERSIFIED ACTIVITY AND PRODUCT MARKETS

Issues of European gas market regulation Investments in European gas transmission infrastructure Return of investment limitation Transmission assets value decrease? WHO IS READY TO INVEST IN GAS TRANSMISSION SYSTEM UNDER THESE CONDITIONS? Securing reliable, sustainable and flexible gas supply Daily, weekly, monthly, seasonable swings in gas supply Fragmentation of European gas transmission system Quantity of different transmission system segments operators? WHO IS READY TO TAKE RESPONSIBILITY FOR OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL RISKS?

Influence of Gas market situation on European gas supply securing UNCERTAINTY FACTORS EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY SECURING THE ROLE OF RUSSIA IN SECURING GAS SUPPLY EUROZONE CRISIS INCENTIVES FOR RENEWABLE DEVELOPMENT REGULATIONS RESOUCES HIGH PRICE VOLATILITY OF ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITATION OF RETURN ON INVESTMENT FOR GAS PIPELINE PROJECTS DOMESTIC GAS PRODUCTION DECLINING INVESTMENT POTENTIAL DECREASE LACK OF SECURITY OF SUPPLY GAS MARKET SECURITY OF SUPPLY GAS TRANSMISSION SYSTEM LONG-TERM CONTRACTS

THANK YOU DEPUTY HEAD OF STRATEGIC DEVELOPMENT DEPARTMENT ISSUES OF SERGEY GAS SUPPLY PANKRATOV SECURING