Biscayne National Park

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National Park Service U.S. Department of the Interior AN IMPROVED BISCAYNE BAY HYDRODYNAMIC MODEL FOR EVALUATION OF RESTORATION EFFORTS AND GROUNDWATER FLOW ON SALINITY Erik Stabenau & Amy Renshaw National Park Service Homestead, FL Tuesday, April 20 th @ 4:45 pm, session 14 Contact: Erik_Stabenau@nps.gov or 305-224-4209

Overview Physical setting and hydrodynamic modeling updates Evaluation of BBSM v.4 Uses and next steps

The Model Model developed by John Wang and others at the University of Miami Used in various forms since late 70 s. General name = CAFE3D Current implementation is single layer Fortran Model has been used in Biscayne Bay to: determine residence times for various locations in the bay evaluate the effect of restoration alternatives with respect to salinity investigate connectivity between basins

Biscayne Bay Simulation Model v.3 Predicting salinity regime under alternate discharge scenarios BBSM model with: Advection and diffusion Rain and evaporation Wind stress Bottom friction Tidal mixing Surface water inflows Control on boundary conditions 11 years (1996 2006) at 20 minute resolution Model processing time = 37 hours

Biscayne Bay Simulation Model v.3 BBSM v3 strengths: Salinity mid-bay Seasonal aspects of salinity Currents are available BBSM v3 weakness: Low variability in salinity nearshore Unrealistic representation of groundwater

Biscayne Bay Simulation Model (BBSM) v.4 Maintained grid from v.3 Updated friction to improve retention of water in shallow areas Added surfacewater component for coastal basins Added groundwater component based on modeled and measured estimates Improved input parameters Daily rain-evaporation Daily salinity on boundary Calculated tides on each creek Updated structure discharge

Water management and groundwater connections Tidal and seasonal influences on groundwater motion Monitoring Well L-31E Coastal basin Groundwater to bay Water levels in canals are variable Wells west of coastal zone reveal extent of saltwater intrusion Saltwater front Low density freshwater floats on top of denser saltwater component Precipitation on basin between L-31E and coast flows to bay

Biscayne Bay Simulation Model (BBSM) v.4 Maintained grid from v.3 Updated friction to improve retention of water in shallow areas Added surfacewater component for coastal basins Added groundwater component based on modeled and measured estimates Improved input parameters Daily rain-evaporation Daily salinity on boundary Calculated tides on each creek Updated structure discharge

Biscayne Bay Simulation Model (BBSM) v.4 Maintained grid from v.3 Updated friction to improve retention of water in shallow areas Added surfacewater component for coastal basins Added groundwater component based on modeled and measured flow rates Improved input parameters Daily rain-evaporation Daily salinity on boundary Calculated tides on each creek Updated structure discharge

Biscayne Bay Simulation Model (BBSM) v.4 Maintained grid from v.3 Updated friction to improve retention of water in shallow areas Added surfacewater component for coastal basins Added groundwater component based on modeled and measured flow rates Improved input parameters Daily rain-evaporation Daily salinity on boundary Calculated tides on each creek Updated structure discharge

Overview Physical setting and hydrodynamic modeling updates Evaluation of BBSM v.4 Uses and next steps

Biscayne Bay Simulation Model (BBSM) v.4 Salinity monitoring starts in 2004 BBSM v3: 1996 2006 BBSM v4: 1996 2011 Northern Coastal Station Central Coastal Station Improved input parameters Daily rain-evaporation Daily salinity on boundary Calculated tides on each creek Updated structure discharge Southern Coastal Station

Comparison with available salinity data Salinity (ppt) Salinity (ppt) Salinity (ppt) 50 A 40 30 20 10 0 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Central Jan-2008 Coastal Station Jan-2009 50 B 40 30 20 10 0 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 50 40 C 30 20 10 Northern Coastal Station Southern Coastal Station 0 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Improved mean and variability Maintained seasonality Salinity monitoring starts in 2004 BBSM v3: 1996 2006 BBSM v4: 1996 2011

Comparison with available salinity data Dotted BBSM v3 Grey BBSM v4 Black - Observed Improved mean and variability Maintained seasonality Salinity (ppt) 50 40 30 20 10 A Salinity (ppt) 0 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 50 B 40 30 20 10 Salinity (ppt) 0 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 50 C 40 30 20 10 0 Jan-2005 Jan-2006 Jan-2007 Jan-2008 Jan-2009 Salinity monitoring starts in 2004 BBSM v3: 1996 2006 BBSM v4: 1996 2011

Comparison with available salinity data Salinity (ppt) Salinity (ppt) Salinity (ppt) 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 40 30 20 10 A Central Coastal Station B 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 40 30 20 10 Northern Coastal Station Southern Coastal Station 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent below (%) C More natural salinity distribution Room for improvement in highest flow (lowest salinity) period Salinity monitoring starts in 2004 BBSM v3: 1996 2006 BBSM v4: 1996 2011

Overview Physical setting and hydrodynamic modeling updates Evaluation of BBSM v.4 Uses and next steps

Ongoing uses of BBSM v.4 L31E freshwater withdrawals FPL emergency operation to reduce salinity and temperature in IWF Freshwater being moved from coastal canal (L31E) to IWF Operations can be simulated and adjustments suggested to minimize impact Restoration efforts Model and evaluate operations for phase 1 features Biscayne Bay coastal wetland phase 2 project Dry Season flow request (2011) Trial operations authorized and performed BBSM v4 to be used to evaluate results

BBSM v.4 Available on GitHub Open source Language: Fortran https://github.com/stabenau-nps/bbsm.git

Product of the South Florida Natural Resources Center Contact: Erik_Stabenau@nps.gov or 305-224-4209 Data available at: EVER_data_request@nps.gov BBSM v4 code available at: https://github.com/stabenau-nps/bbsm.git