Development Update: The FAA s Aviation Environmental Design Tool (AEDT)

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Development Update: The FAA s Aviation Environmental Design Tool (AEDT) Christopher J. Roof US DOT Volpe Center Environmental Measurement and Modeling Division September 20, 2008

AEDT Development Team This work is funded by the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Office of Environment and Energy (AEE), under the FAA/Volpe General Working Agreement. The AEDT effort is co-managed by Ralph Iovinelli and Chris Roof. 9/20/2008 2

Outline What is AEDT? (recap) What does AEDT mean for my airport? Users of AEDT Capability Demonstrations Development Timeline Current State of AEDT and Legacy Tools Assessment Next Steps 9/20/2008 3

What is AEDT? Single, Integrated Aviation Environmental Tool Scale - Global National Regional Local - Noise / Emissions / Fuel Burn Interdependencies / Tradeoffs Future Technologies (EDS) Integrated Economic Analysis (APMT) 9/20/2008 EDS Environmental Design Space = Future Technology APMT Aircraft environmental Portfolio Management Tool = Economics 4

AEDT as part of FAA/AEE Tools Suite Policy and Scenarios APMT PARTIAL EQUILIBRIUM BLOCK DEMAND (Consumers) EDS Technology Impact Forecasting Operations Fares New Aircraft Vehicle Noise Design Tools Design Tools Interface SUPPLY (Carriers) Vehicle Emissions Design Tools Schedule & Fleet New aircraft performance & environmental characteristics AEDT Single Airport Regional Global Studies Collected Costs Integrated Noise, Emissions, and Fuel Burn Analyses APMT BENEFITS VALUATION BLOCK Emissions Emissions Noise Noise Emissions Fuel Burn Monetized Benefits CLIMATE IMPACTS AIR QUALITY IMPACTS NOISE IMPACTS APMT COSTS & BENEFITS Vehicle Cost AEDT = Aviation Environmental Design Tool Assessment APMT = Aviation environmental Portfolio Management Tool 9/20/2008 5 EDS = Environmental Design Space

What AEDT means for Airports AEDT will replace the following Models: Integrated Noise Model - INM Emissions and Dispersion Modeling System - EDMS Noise Integrated Routing System - NIRS 9/20/2008 6

What AEDT means for Airports (cont) Streamlined / improved - Data input processes - Analysis capabilities Tool that meets all needs - Regulatory - User expectations - Public expectations More consistent noise & emissions analyses Cost savings re defining model scenarios Easier / more effective communication with stakeholders 9/20/2008 7

Uses of FAA/AEE Tools Suite inputs Policy scenarios Certification stringency Market-based measures Land-use controls Sound insulation Simulation model output Market scenarios Demand Fuel prices Fleet Environmental scenarios CO 2 growth Noise abatement procedures Technology and operational advances CNS/ATM, NGATS Radar data Long term technology forecasts New Tools Suite Cost-effectiveness $/kg NOx reduced $/# people removed from 65dB DNL $/kg PM reduced $/kg CO 2 reduced Benefit-cost Health and welfare impacts Change in societal welfare ($) Distributional analyses Who benefits, who pays Consumers Airports Airlines Manufacturers People impacted by noise and pollution Special groups Geographical regions Single Airport Regional National Global 9/20/2008 8 outputs

AEDT Users EDMS and INM > 1000 users worldwide Environmental analyses, e.g., EIS, Part 150s, etc. AEDT Design Review Group (DRG) SAGE and MAGENTA FAA and development team primary users Support ICAO/CAEP and JPDO analyses NIRS Regional airspace redesigns INM Integrated Noise Model EDMS Emissions and Dispersion Modeling System 9/20/2008 MAGENTA - Model for Assessing Global Exposure from Noise of Transport Airplanes SAGE System for assessing Aviation s Global Emissions9

AEDT Users (cont.) NASA Advanced Vehicle Concepts and Implications for NextGen Research Areas (NRA) Very Light Jets (VLJ), Tiltrotors, Cruise Efficient Short Take-Off and Landing aircraft (CESTOL), Supersonic Transport (SST), Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAS) AEDT used for advanced aircraft and operations modeling N+1 Conventional Steep Decent N+2 Hybrid Wing/Body Normal Glide slope Spiral Decent Runway 9/20/2008 NIRS Noise Integrated Routing System 10

INM and EDMS Releases September 2008 releases 1. INM Version 7.0a A. 1 st Very Light Jet: Cessna Mustang 510 B. Minor bug fixes 2. EDMS Version 5.1 A. Hazardous Air Pollutants (HAPs) emissions B. Minor bug fixes Annual releases as required until AEDT 2.0 in 2011 1. Significant bug fixes 2. updates 3. Significant computational advancements http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/aep/models/ 9/20/2008 11

Development Timeline DRG #2 NIRS 7.0 7.0a AEDT beta Testing 2007 2008 EDMS 5.1 INM 7.0a 2009 2010 2011 2012 EDMS* INM* NIRS* EDMS* INM* NIRS* AEDT 2.0 * Releases as needed DRG meetings 1-2 times per year, as needed AEDT Newsletters as needed 9/20/2008 12

Current State Legacy Models INM 7.0a NIRS 7.0b.1 Contour Module Terrain Module Airports Study Data Noise s Noise Module Fleet Aircraft Performance Module Regional s Regional Modules EDMS 5.1 Emissions Emissions Modules 9/20/2008 13

Current State AEDT s Redesigned database structure to support all legacy tools (i.e., INM, EDMS, NIRS, MAGENTA & SAGE) Data harmonized across legacy tools Harmonization with available international sources AEDT Airports AEDT Fleet AEDT Movements AEDT Non-Aircraft 9/20/2008 14

Current State AEDT Modules Redesigned computational modules, e.g., emissions, aircraft performance Noise and emissions analyses utilize harmonized, integrated, common modules Aircraft Aircraft Emissions Fleet and Aircraft Acoustics Emissions Dispersion Operations Performance 9/20/2008 15

Using AEDT Z Time Graphical User Interface or Advanced Input Files Airports Aircraft Data Fleet Aircraft Movements Data Aircraft Non-aircraft Data Sources Y Study-Specific X Fly Aircraft Aircraft Performance + Fuel Burn Calculate Noise SEL, Time Audible, Lmax, Time Above Calculate Emissions All Pollutants + GHGs Weather Calculations Terrain Calculations Repeat for all Flights Calculate Pollutant Concentrations Total Noise & Emissions Results GIS Capability Calculate Additional Noise Metrics Outputs 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 CO HC NOx PM SOx Emissions Noise & Pollutants Noise Contours 9/20/2008 Inventories Grids Change Analyses 16

AEDT Capability Demonstrations ICAO/CAEP 1. Global NOx Stringency 2. Environmental Trends Assessment 3. Local Air Quality Assessment Continuous Descent Approach (CDA) Reduced Vertical Separation Minimum (RVSM) Military Airspace Openings Analysis Atlantic Interoperability Initiative to Reduce Emissions (AIRE) Non-CDA CDA 9/20/2008 17

AEDT Assessment GOAL: Environmental analyses are informed with the associated uncertainty from the tools, inputs and assumptions used in the analysis process Four-part Approach: 0.31 0.44 0.55 0.66 0.81 0.96 0.94 0.96 0.97 Parametric sensitivity and uncertainty analyses Comparisons to Gold Standard data Expert reviews (DRG, ICAO CAEP, IRG, SAE A-21, ) Capability Demonstrations and Sample Problems Y (feet) 20000 0.24 15000 10000 5000-50000.05-10000 0.04-15000 -20000 0.17 0.10 0.06 0 0.04 0.03 0.34 0.57 0.79 0.87 0.95 0.99 0.22 0.34 0.71 0.95 1.00 1.00 0.11 0.13 0.19 0.73 1.05 1.04 0.07 0.09 0.19 0.13 0.58 1.00 0.06 0.09 0.10 0.19 0.16 0.49 0.05 0.06 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.24 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.08 0.16 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.07 0.12 0.92 0.97 0.95 0.88 0.73 0.40 0.26 0.19-20000 -15000-10000 -5000 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 X (feet) N 0.99 0.92 0.85 0.73 0.64 0.51 0.33 0.24 1.1 1.1 1 0.95 0.9 0.85 0.8 0.75 0.7 0.65 0.6 0.55 0.5 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 9/20/2008 18

AEDT Assessment Parametric sensitivity and uncertainty analyses Module Level Assessment - core modules, done individually 1. Assessment Questions (AQs) 2. Documentation of Assumptions and Limitations (DAL) 3. Assessment Plan 4. Assessment Report Monte Carlo simulations System Level Assessment Global Sensitivity Analyses Distribution Sensitivity Analyses Surrogate Models 9/20/2008 19

Next Steps Analysis 1. JPDO analysis support 2. Migrating JPDO Systems Modeling and Analysis Division s Analyses to AEDT 3. Continue Module- and System-level Assessment 4. ICAO/CAEP model evaluation and acceptance process, sample problems and analyses Development 1. Continue database harmonization process 2. Continue migration of modules to.net environment 3. Web-based query tool migrating to full application (limited availability) 4. Integrated graphical user interface (GUI); developed and coordinated with design review group (publicly available) 9/20/2008 20

Questions / Discussion FAA Environmental Tools web site: http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/aep/models/ Christopher J. Roof U.S. Department of Transportation John A. Volpe National Transportation Systems Center Environmental Measurement and Modeling Division, RTV-4F 55 Broadway Cambridge, MA 02142 (617) 494-6344 Christopher.Roof@dot.gov http://www.volpe.dot.gov/acoustics/ http://www.volpe.dot.gov/air/ 9/20/2008 21

Acronyms AEDT Aviation Environmental Design Tool APMT Aviation environmental Portfolio Management Tool CAEP Committee for Aviation Environmental Protection BADA Base of Aircraft Data CDA Continuous Descent Arrival CESTOL - Cruise Efficient Short Take-Off and Landing aircraft DRG Design Review Group EDMS Emissions and Dispersion Modeling System EDS Environmental Design Space EIS Environmental Impact Statement EPA Environmental Protection Agency FAA Federal Aviation Administration GHG Greenhouse gas GUI Graphical User Interface ICAO International Civil Aviation Administration ICD Interface Control Document INM Integrated Noise Model JPDO NextGen Joint Planning and Development Office MAGENTA Model for Assessing Global Exposure from Noise of Transport Airplanes NASA National Aeronautics and Space Administration.NET Microsoft framework NIRS Noise Integrated Routing System NOx Nitrogen Oxides SAE, A-21 Society of Automotive Engineers, Aircraft Noise and Emissions Modeling Committee SAGE System for assessing Aviation s Global Emissions SST - Supersonic Transport UAS - Unmanned Aerial Vehicles VLJ - Very Light Jets 9/20/2008 22