Massachusetts Rail Plan September 16, 2010
State Freight and Rail Plans State Rail Plan The plan describes state policy for freight and passenger rail transportation, including commuter rail Provides priorities and strategies to enhance rail service in Massachusetts that benefits the public Will serve as the basis for Federal and State rail investment in Massachusetts Requires public process Stakeholder consultation, Public Hearing State Freight Plan Multi-modal highway, rail, maritime, air Existing conditions, trends, potential actions Issues and opportunities in different modes
Agenda Existing Freight Rail Network And Forecasts Freight Rail Infrastructure Passenger Network, Constraints and Forecasts Rail Investment Scenarios and Recommendations Questions and Discussion
Existing Freight Rail Network And Forecasts
Massachusetts Freight Rail Network
Major Economic & Freight Trends Value of manufactured goods is increasing shift to highvalue, low-weight products. Freight volumes are projected to increase 70% by 2030. Freight loads and facilities are getting larger. Large-scale distribution activities are increasingly expanding beyond the Boston metropolitan area. The majority of freight will continue to be shipped by truck. 10
U.S. Highway Congestion Increasing High volume freight truck routes to increase 230% from 2002 to 2035 US needs $225 billion in transportation for state of good repair spending less than 40% of that
U.S. Rail Corridors and Congestion Rail volumes expected to increase 88% from 2002 to 2035 1.7 billion tons to 3.2 billion tons AAR estimates $148 Billion capacity investments needed to meet future demand
Massachusetts Freight Volumes Projected to Increase Freight Volumes projected to increase by 70% by 2030 Each mode to grow with trucks increasing mode share 4
Majority of Freight Shipped by Truck 2007 Modal Shares of Tonnage, Massachusetts and US re a h S 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 195.9 11.2 13.9 0.3 Tr uck Rail Air Water MA Share US Share Source: Global Insight TRANSEARCH 2008 Release, FAF 2007 Provisional Release. Tonnages for Massachusetts are presented above the bars, in Millions. Excludes through traffic. Percentages do not sum to one due to omission of other unclassified modal movements
Majority of Freight Shipped by Truck 2007 Modal Shares of Value, Massachusetts and US re a h S 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% $306,886 $21,416 $4,308 $118 Truck Rail Air Water MA Share US Share Source: FAF 2 2007 Provisional Commodity Origin-Destination Data Release. Values for Massachusetts are presented above the bars, in Millions. Excludes through traffic. Percentages do not sum to 100 due to omission of other unclassified modal movements
Modal Variations in Shipping Truck 239 million tons Rail 18 million tons Internal 32% Inbound 37% Through 38% Inbound 48% Through 18% Outbound 13% Outbound 14% Source: Global Insight TRANSEARCH 2008 Release
Expansion of Large-Scale Distribution Activity is Shifting Beyond Boston Metro Area
Freight Rail Infrastructure
Multi-Modal Freight Infrastructure is Aging
Freight Rail Infrastructure Constraints Defined 286k: 286,000 lbs rail car capacity becoming industry standard vs current 263,000 lbs Double-Stack: Vertical rail line clearance for two intermodal containers with a clearance of 20 8
Major Freight Issues & Constraints Multi-modal freight transportation infrastructure is aging and struggling to compete. Congestion Clearances Weight Restrictions Freight transportation activity often conflicts with other land uses. Most freight transportation issues and potential solutions are inherently linked to passenger transportation. 11
Current Freight Rail Projects Source: MassDOT Planning
Passenger Network, Constraints and Forecasts
Massachusetts Passenger Rail Network
Passenger Rail Operations in Massachusetts Service Route miles in MA Weekday # of trains Average Daily ridership Ownership MBTA North Side service 161.5 202 51,350 MBTA, Pan Am Railway MBTA South Side Service 212.2 298 92,620 MBTA, Mass DOT, Private, CSXT Amtrak NEC 36 42 32,236 MBTA Amtrak Inland route and Vermont service 200 16 2,182 MBTA, Mass DOT, CSXT, Amtrak, NECR Amtrak Downeaster 33 10 1,348 MBTA, Pan Am Railway
MA Passenger Rail Annual Ridership: 1997 2008 for MBTA and Amtrak A T B M 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Old Colony Attleboro to Providence, Weekday service Newburyport Worcester Fare increase Acela Attleboro to Providence, Weekend service Downeaster Greenbush Fare increase 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 k tra m A - 1 9 7 1 9 8 1 9 2 0 2 0 1 2 0 2 2 0 3 2 0 4 2 0 5 2 0 6 2 0 7 2 0 8 0 MBTA North Side MBTA South Side Amtrak
New England High Speed and Intercity Passenger Rail Vision Downeaster improvements Knowledge Corridor / Conn River Line Capitol Corridor to Nashua, Manchester and Concord, NH Northeast Corridor Inland Route Boston- Springfield
Northeast Corridor May 2010 Northeast Corridor Master Plan Increase of 50% in Acela trains between Boston and New York $51 Billion Investment State of Good Repair Northeast Corridor Commission Massachusetts Ownership
MBTA Commuter Rail Equipment Replacement New Locomotives New Bi-level Cars Service Expansion South Coast Rail Worcester Service Constraints State of Good Repair Funding PTC Mandate
Current Passenger Rail Projects Source: MassDOT Planning
Rail Investment Scenarios and Recommendations
Planned Improvements 12
Freight & Passenger Investment Scenarios Facilitating anticipated growth in goods movement Balancing and diversifying the multi-modal freight system Reducing congestion and environmental impacts Enhancing economic development opportunities
Types of Projects Considered Weight on Rail Double-Stack Intermodal/Transload and Port Facilities Truck Access to Ports and Intermodal ( last mile ) Passenger Capacity and Market Expansion Passenger Travel Time Reduction Types of Benefits Measured Economic Benefits Shipper Cost Savings; Truck Congestion Benefits; Freight Logistics Benefits; Near and Long Term Jobs Transportation Auto Congestion Benefits; Reduced Accidents; Reduced Highway Maintenance Environmental Reduced Greenhouse Gases; Reduced Emissions
Northern Tier Investment Scenario Objective: Improve the East-West rail connections from New York through Ayer to Maine 286k upgrade on connections to Maine, Worcester and Springfield Full double-stack capability on Patriot Corridor Supporting investments to intermodal facilities in Ayer
Northern Tier Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $348 $93 $255 Economic Benefits: Cost Savings: $319 million Near-Term 150 jobs Long-Term 100 jobs Transportation : $27 million Environmental Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2: 3,494 ton reduction Emissions reduction $2 million Benefit-Cost Ratio: 3.7
Central and Western MA Freight Scenario Objective: Improve connections on north-south rail corridors and improve truck access to intermodal and aviation facilities 286k improvements on north-south rail corridors Second generation double-stack on north-south corridors
Central and Western MA Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $212 $69 $143 Economic Benefits: Cost Savings $158 million Near-Term 105 jobs Long-Term 75 jobs Transportation: $53 million Environmental: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2: 2,187 ton reduction Emissions reduction $817,000 Benefit-Cost Ratio: 3.1
Southeastern MA Multi-Modal Scenario Objective: Improve marine, rail, roadway, and freight distribution system in Southeastern Massachusetts Improved seaport facilities in New Bedford and Fall River South Coast Rail 286k improvements to Fall River and New Bedford Improved truck access to ports Port dredging of New Bedford to allow larger ships and short-sea-shipping
Southeastern MA Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $135 $131 $4 Economic Benefits: Cost Savings $110 million Near-Term 340 jobs Long-Term 50 jobs Transportation: $25 million Environmental: Greenhouse Gas Emissions CO2: 1,298 ton reduction Emissions reduction $780,000 Benefit-Cost Ratio: 1.0
Passenger Rail Investment Scenarios Objective: Improve Amtrak inter-city and MBTA commuter rail services, ridership, performance and related benefits Northeast Corridor, Downeaster and Knowledge Corridor enhancements Increased service, new rail equipment, and parking capacity for MBTA
Amtrak Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $2,823 $1,319 $1,504 Ridership Benefits: Travel Time Savings: $1,909 million Highway Related Benefits: $838 million Environmental Benefits: Emissions reduction $75 million Benefit-Cost Ratio: 2.1
MBTA Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $832 $696 $136 Ridership Benefits: Travel Time Savings: $122 million Highway Related Benefits: $703 million Environmental Benefits: Emissions reduction $7 million Benefit-Cost Ratio: 1.2
Combined Passenger Cost-Benefit Analysis Summary $3,655 $2,015 $1,640 Ridership Benefits: Travel Time Savings: $2,031 million Highway Related Benefits: $1,541 million Environmental Benefits: Emissions reduction $82 million Benefit-Cost Ratio: 1.8
Rail Projects with Strongest Return on Investment (ROI)
Assessment of Modal Shift to Rail Construction of all investment rail projects would increase future mode share from 6.1% to 7.1% by 2035 Represents a 14% increase in overall rail volumes Equalling 26,280 carloads & 175,620 intermodal loads Diverting 296,800 trucks off the road Improvements to the CSX and Pan Am Southern lines may further increase rail mode share 14
Rail Policy Issues Land Use Development Identifying, preserving and facilitating freight-intensive uses in Massachusetts Funding and Financing Freight must be considered in prioritization of projects Public benefits justify partnering with private companies Industrial Rail Access Program (IRAP) Regulatory Environment Truck routes, regional multimodal planning, etc. 15
Plan Timelines State Rail Plan September 9 th Draft Rail Plan Released September 16 th Public Hearing on Draft Plan in Worcester September 24 th Comments on Draft Plan Due October Draft Plan Submitted to the Federal Railroad Administration 16
Commonwealth of Massachusetts Massachusetts Department of Transportation Thank you Questions and Discussion www.massfreightandrailplan.com