Supply Chain Decisions

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Aggregate Planning Supply Chain Decisions Strategic Level Long Term Corporate objectives Capacity/Facilities Markets to operate Location Resources Tactical Medium Term Aggregate planning Resource allocation Capacity allocation Distribution Inventory management Operational Near Term Shop floor scheduling Delivery scheduling Truck routing 1

AGGREGATE PLANNING Deciding on the level of capacity (e.g., physical capacity or labor) of a firm and on how to readjust that capacity to respond to changing demand conditions. A way of translating demand forecasts into a blueprint for staffing/capacity and production levels for the firm over a predetermined planning period. Aggregation Product families - Have similar markets and manufacturing processes - Share in common relevant units of measurement: units, barrels, tons, dollars, standard hours Labor - Aggregation depends on flexibility of work force - May be considered a single aggregate group if work force is flexible or entire work force produces every product family Time - Updated monthly or quarterly - Planning periods are usually months or quarters, not days 2

Input for an aggregate plan Operations Current machine capacities Plans for future capacities Work-force capacities Current staffing level Marketing Customer needs Demand forecasts Competition behavior Materials Supplier capabilities Storage capacity Materials availability Aggregate plan Finance Cost data Financial condition of firm Engineering New products Product design changes Machine standards Human resources Labor-market conditions Training capacity Typical Objectives Minimize costs, maximize profits Respond quickly to the changes in demand or market conditions Maximize customer service Minimize inventory investment Minimize changes in production rates Minimize changes in workforce levels Maximize utilization of plant/equipment Conflicts? 3

Reactive and Proactive Alternatives Reactive Alternatives Proactive Alternatives - Work force adjustment - Complementary products - Overtime and undertime - Creative pricing - Inventory - Subcontractors - Backlogs, backorders, and stockouts Application Distribution Center Work-force requirements are shown as the number of part-time employees required for each accounting period. Each employee works a maximum of 20 hours per week on regular time, but can work less. Employees are paid only for time worked (no undertime is paid). Requirement 5 6 8 15 17 20 15 15 10 16 14 14 12 167 Ten part-time clerks are currently employed. Overtime cannot exceed 25 percent of the regular-time capacity in any period. That is, the maximum a part-time can work is 25 hours per week. Backorders are not permitted on a planned basis. 4

Aggregate Planning for Service Level strategy Determine a stable workforce level that minimizes undertime by using the maximum amount of overtime in the peak period. If undertime is not paid for, which is often true with part-time workers, calculate the equivalent staff size for each period. It is the number of part-time workers, working the maximum allowable time, that would be needed to meet demand without any undertime. Use this size to calculate regular-time costs. Level Strategy at Distribution Center Requirement* 5 6 8 15 17 20 15 15 10 16 14 14 12 167 How many (part-time) employees should we employ to meet the requirements? Remember: A part time employee works 20 hours/week, and can work up to at 25 hours maximum/week. 1.25w = 20 employees (period 6) w = 20 1.25 = 16 employees 5

Level Strategy at Distribution Center Requirement* 5 6 8 15 17 20 15 15 10 16 14 14 12 167 Staff level 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 208 Hires Layoffs Level Strategy at Distribution Center Requirement* 5 6 8 15 17 20 15 15 10 16 14 14 12 167 Staff level 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 208 Hires 6 6 Layoffs 0 Overtime 6

Level Strategy at Distribution Center Requirement* 5 6 8 15 17 20 15 15 10 16 14 14 12 167 Staff level 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 208 Hires 6 6 Layoffs 0 Overtime 1 4 5 Level Strategy at Distribution Center 20 16 Employees 12 8 4 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Period 7

Aggregate Planning for Service Chase strategy Adjust workforce levels as needed to achieve requirements without using overtime, undertime, or subcontractors. The staff row is identical to the requirements row, and there is no overtime in any period. Chase Strategy at Distribution Center Requirement* 5 6 8 15 17 20 15 15 10 16 14 14 12 167 Staff level 5 6 8 15 17 20 15 15 10 16 14 14 12 167 Hires 1 2 7 2 3 6 21 Layoffs 5 5 5 2 2 19 Overtime 0 8

Chase Strategy at Distribution Center 20 16 Employees 12 8 4 Requirements satisfied 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Period Cost Data Regular-time wage rate $500 per accounting period at 20 hours per week Overtime wages Hires Layoffs 150 percent of the regular-time rate $600 per person $100 per person 9

Total Cost of Plan Cost - Level Strategy Regular time 162 worker periods @ $500 = $81,000 Overtime 5 worker periods @ $750 = 3,750 Hire 6 workers @ $600 = 3,600 Layoff 0 workers @ $100 = 0 Total $88,350 Cost - Chase Strategy Regular time 167 worker periods @ $500 = $83,500 Overtime 0 worker periods @ $750 = 0 Hire 21 workers @ $600 = 12,600 Layoff 19 workers @ $100 = 1,900 Total $98,000 10