Connecting Land Use & Transportation 2010 APA Upper Midwest Planning Conference Mankato, Minnesota Presented by: Gina Mitchell, AICP Bryan Nemeth, PE, PTOE Bolton & Menk, Inc. 1
Outline Developing a land use & transportation vision Planning & forecasting Types & tools Findings Pulling it all together what does it mean? 2
Developing p g a Vision Where does your community see itself when it is fully developed? Land use versus transportation What comes first, the chicken or the egg? 3
Developing a Vision Community plans often includemultiple goals that compete with each other Charming, historic, pedestrian friendly downtown Homes near natural amenities Economic development (jobs & retail) along major highway Can your land use vision accomplish your goals? 4
Planning & Forecasting Basic components of transportation forecasts Land Use Households Population Employment (retail & non retail) Transportation Regional i l& local lsystem (public roads, transit routes) Route characteristics (functional class, speed, capacity) Origin destination ii d i i information, i trip rates Travel Behavior Inventory 5
Planning & Forecasting Types of Tools & When to Use Them Large Scale Region/State APO/MPO County/Local Transportation Plans Corridor Analysis Travel Demand Forecasting Small Scale Development Building Traffic Impact Studies Intersection Analysis ITE Trip Generation Macroscopic Highway Capacity Manual Analysis Microscopic Simulation Mesoscopic Traffic Operations 6
Planning & Forecasting Travel Demand Forecasting Travel Demand Models The use of tools that integrate land use, socioeconomic characteristics & travel patterns to provide traffic forecasts Basic inputs Census Bureau Short Form: Households, Population; Long Form: Income, Vehicle Ownership, Mode Choice, Origin Destination Data; LEHD: Employment Origin Destination Data Travel Behavior Inventory, Mode Choice, Trip Length, Number of Trips, Vhil Vehicle Ownership Roadway Characteristics Lanes, Functional Classification, Speed, Capacity 7
Planning & Forecasting Travel Demand Forecasting Methodology Shortest Travel Time Trip Generation Distribution Mode Choice Assignment Determine Alternate Path or Mode Congestion & Travel Time Increase What are the findings/info it provides? Traffic forecasts based on preferred routes Areas of Congestion 8
Planning & Forecasting ITE Trip Generation Determination of trips to & from a site based on development characteristics Basic inputs Development type & size (units, square feet, students, etc.) Methodology Trip rates based on historical data What are the findings/info it provides? Enter/exit trips based on the appropriate trip rates Trips applied to transportation network 9
Planning & Forecasting Traffic Operations Highway Capacity Manual lanalysis (macrosimulation) Peak hour assessment of the capacity of a transportation system Microsimulation Assessment of a transportation system through the replication of each traffic element. Basic inputs Traffic volumes, vehicle composition, driver behavior, lanes, speed limits, signal timings, traffic control What are the findings/info it provides? Operational analysis of existing system The effects of changes in traffic elements or the transportation system 10
Planning & Forecasting Which forecasting tool do I use? Depends on Size of proposed development Regional significance Number of impacted intersections Insert hammer, screwdriver, wrench 11
Traffic Planning & Forecasting Forecasting Operations Generally Sometimes Minimally Travel Macro Micro ITE Trip Demand (HCM & (Corsim Generation Models Synchro) & Vissim) Relative Cost Agency Involvement Local Development XX XX Regionally Significant Development XXX XXX Intersection X XX Interchange XXXX XXXX Local Corridor XX X Regional Corridor XXXX XXXX City Transportation Plan (<5,000 pop.) City Transportation Plan (5,000 to 10,000 pop.) Large City/Regional Transportation Plan (>10,000 pop.) XXX XXXX XXXXX XXX XXXX XXXXX Bolto on & Men nk, Inc. 12
Pulling it all Together Developing plans Think holistically don t complete one element at a time Don t let one element get too far ahead of the others Technical analysis findings need to be fed back into the planning process Identify who should pay for improvements? Update capital improvements plan (CIP) Growth pays py for itself 13
14 Pulling it all Together
Pulling it all Together Evaluating land uses Use/Intensity reduce trip generators along highways & distribute some within residential areas Other community s goals provide alternative routes & develop plan to fund 15
16 Pulling it all Together
17 Pulling it all Together
Pulling it all Together Evaluating land uses & development proposals Is it the right use? Is the right intensity? How does it fit with the rest of the community s goals? If improvements are necessary, who is going to pay & when? 18
Existing & Planned Residential Growth Existing Commercial Planned Commercial 19
Questions Connecting Land Use & Transportation 2010 APA Upper Midwest Planning Conference Mankato, Minnesota Gina Mitchell, AICP ginami@bolton menk.com Bryan Nemeth, PE, PTOE bryanne@bolton menk.com Bolton & Menk, Inc. (952) 890 0509 20