Tuesday, December 9, 2014 ACES Conference

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Tuesday, December 9, 2014 ACES Conference USING ECOSYSTEM SERVICES TO DEMONSTRATE THE ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY OF ARCTIC OIL AND GAS EXPLORATION: A PROJECT LIFE CYCLE EXAMPLE Arctic Ecosystem Services: Policy and Adaptive Decision Making Presented by David Moore, ENVIRON International Corporation Co-Authors: Joseph Nicolette, Nils Arne Johnsen, Gretchen Greene

Introduction Sustainability NEBA Siting: Planning and Permitting Operation Decommissioning Summary

Key Tenets of Understanding Sustainability Sustainable development is an obligation incorporated into alternative decision-making Need to develop a complete understanding of the consequences of actions (consider action implementation effects, GHG s, etc.), and uncertainties Balance the risk, benefits and tradeoffs of decisions Demonstration needs to be transparent, scientifically defensible, and reasonable Incorporate internationally recognized concepts and approaches

NEBA Approach Net Environmental Benefits Analysis (NEBA) Environmental benefits Environmental costs Understand the flow of value over time Incorporates ecosystem service values Uses quantified values, incorporates non-monetary metrics History of Use Oil Spill Response and Planning (i.e., Exxon Valdez) to present uses (nationally and internationally) Expanded to alternative analyses for actions that affect the environment

Net Ecological Service Loss Relative Risk (Increasing) NEBA Results: Cost and Risk Profile Changes for each Response Evaluated 40 30 20 Cost No Action Surface Sweep Surface Clearance Clearance 2 Feet Clearance 4 Feet 10 ALTERNATIVE Baseline Alt 1 Alt 2 Alt 3 Alt 4-5,000-10,000-15,000-20,000 Is There a Break- Point? Where: Proposed action is projected to cause more harm than the risk driving the action proposed actions do not provide a sustainable solution. or High cost for marginal change in risk - 10-20 - 30-40 Net Human Use Value Loss

Planning and Permitting

Siting: Planning and Permitting Opportunities Understanding and defining baseline conditions is critical Basis for understanding the costs and benefits of actions Opportunity to regionalize/prioritize values through stakeholder engagement

Planning and Permitting - Government Lease Evaluation OECM Model (Offshore Environmental Cost Model) Evaluates benefits and costs Five year leasing program for nation Lead Agency Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM) Several types of ecosystem services evaluated

Planning and Permitting - Government Lease Evaluation OECM Model Environmental Categories Air Quality Monetary Value of Human Health Agricultural Productivity and Structural Damage Caused by Emissions Ecological Restoration Costs for Habitats and Biota Injured by Oil Spills Habitat Equivalency Analysis Evaluates new risks but not Footprint of platforms, rigs, pipelines, nor Passive use values for sensitive species

Planning and Permitting - Government Lease Evaluation OECM Model Social Cost Categories Recreation Loss of recreational value from fishing and beach visitation during oil spills Property Values loss of value from Visual disturbances from platforms, and Damage from oil spills Subsistence Harvest Replacement Cost for marine species killed in non-catastrophic oil spills

Planning and Permitting - Government Lease Evaluation OECM Model Social Cost Categories (continued) Commercial Fisheries Cost of extra effort imposed by platforms and pipeline buffer zones Because most fisheries managed through catch limits, no impacts to harvest

Planning and Permitting - Government Lease Evaluation OECM Model Example Results

Planning and Permitting - Government Lease Evaluation OECM Model Example Results Includes only monetary metrics

Alternative Approach NEBA incorporates non-monetary ecosystem service metrics Used to help in comparing how each management alternative affects ecosystem service values (environmental, economic and social): NEBA - A Comparative Analysis Management Actions Ecological Service Value Human Use Economic Value Social Value Human Risk Profile Ecological Risk Profile Cost Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 and so on Note: A NEBA incorporating ecosystem service valuation is also referred to as a net ecosystem service analysis (NESA)

Operation

Operational Considerations Monitoring Permitted discharges and emissions Footprint biological monitoring Spill Response and Planning Previous presentation Ongoing Stakeholder Engagement

Oil Spill Response and Planning Arctic Oil Spill Response JIP: ENVIRON Leading the Development of a NEBA Tool for response decisionmaking and environmental impact assessments related to Arctic spills. Good Use of NEBA BP, Chevron, Conoco-Phillips, Eni, ExxonMobil, North Caspian Operating Company, Shell, Statoil, and Total NEBA in Emergency Prevention Preparedness and Response Workshop Focus on Dispersants Arctic Council member states are Canada, Denmark (including Greenland and the Faroe Islands), Finland, Iceland, Norway, Russian Federation, Sweden and the United States of America. The assessment of National Contingency Plans will develop a clear plan and delivery mechanism for the provision of environmental advice, preparation and maintenance of Net Environmental Benefit Analysis 17

Decommissioning

NEBA Application Considerations Sea Bed Deposits Management Pipelines and Associated Structures Platform Structure and Facilities Cutting Methods Manage Potential Contaminant Issues (Ecological Risk Assessment): Where s breakpoint and what options can be developed Manage Cost Benefit of Removal, Rehabilitation and Restoration Manage Cost Benefit of Removal, Rigs-to- Reefs, Alternatives Manage Cost Benefit of Cutting and Engineering methods Evaluate combined ecological, human use, and economics values to provide information for an informed decision

Example Alternatives - Platform and Jacket Tow to Reef Site (one or multiple pieces) Convert to Artificial Reef Topple In- Place Jacket Remove & Reinstall Reef In-Place Upright Offshore O&G Platform Onshore Recycle Deck Onshore Recycle

Decommissioning Process Offshore Structures and Facilities Topside vs. jacket substructure Topsides must be cleaned and decontaminated before removal for re-use, recycling and/or disposal Cleanliness must be audited by third party to ensure compliance with DEMP Using BPEO approach, substructures can be Re-used Removed Left in place Good Use of NEBA BPEO approach is needed to address removal involving cutting and explosives

Decommissioning Process Offshore Seabed Deposits Management (e.g., drill cuttings and muds) Management options Leave in situ Cap in situ Remove & re-inject Remove and dispose onshore Requires data on physical, chemical and biological aspects and impacts Assessed via BPEO Good Use of NEBA In situ options require appropriate monitoring program Preferred option and monitoring plan must be submitted for approval

Decommissioning Process Offshore Pipelines and Associated Structures Pipelines and subsea equipment including manifolds, wyes and tees Leave in situ Remove & re-use Remove and dispose Decision via BPEO, designated authority to approve If in situ, verification of decontamination is required Structures protruding above seabed pose hazards to fishing, navigation and other users and must be removed and disposed onshore Structures must be cleaned for safe handling Good Use of NEBA

Ecological Service Loss Ecological Service Loss Relative Risk, HH, GHG s (Increasing) NEBA Results: Conceptual Example 100 75 50 25 Alternative Cost ALTERNATIVE 0-125 -250-375 -500 Partial Removal Full Removal and Cuttings Pile Full Removal Alt. Cuttings Mgmt 0 Human Use Service Value

Summary Opportunities for NEBA to better inform O&G development decision-making in the Artic. NEBA process fundamental to Oil and Gas Development in the Arctic Used by Most Arctic Nations (Spill Response) U.S. includes many ES in OECM, but excludes other services that are not easily monetizeable NEBA offers opportunities to better engage stakeholders, gather needed data and adaptively manage the O&G development lifecycle