IEA Secretariat Report 44 th Photovoltaic Power Systems Implementing agreement ExCo meeting, 19-20 November, Kyoto, Japan
REWP/RIAB Issues (1) IIESI, RIAB and IEA Workshop on Renewables and Energy Systems Integration(8-9 September 2014) Energy Systems Integration Efforts to date Variability and flexibility, setting the scene The role of data and modelling in energy systems integration Heating and Cooling in buildings as an integrated resource with electricity Integration Transport and Electricity *IIESI; International Institute of Energy Systems Integration OECD/IEA 2010 REWP meeting (10-11 September 2014) Election: Andreas Bratland, Norway and Reinhilde Bouckaert, Belgium as New Vice Chairs IRENA: Policy analysis and Statistics work. Updates on renewables in US, Germany and Poland Implementing Agreements: Approval of requests for extension: Bioenergy, Hydrogen and Hydropower Feedback from CERT/WPs Meeting: 1. Agreed to ask IAs to prepare IAs key messages, 2. Will discuss this approach with all IAs in Next REWP.
REWP/RIAB Issues (2) Next REWP (67 th ) meeting (25-26 March 2015) Location: IEA, Paris, France RIAB meeting (Afternoon, 23 March) REWP Workshop (24 March) REWP (68 th ) meeting (October 2015) Location: South Africa Back to back South Africa International Renewable Energy Conference 2015 OECD/IEA 2010
RED Work Programme
Insights Paper Heating Without Global Warming World final solar thermal energy use for heat in buildings, 2000-11 Recent developments and current status of renewable energy use for heat in buildings and industry Support policies and their role in driving future growth Role of renewable heat in different end-use sectors in the medium and long term Launched April 28, available under: www.iea.org/publications/ OECD/IEA 2010
Medium-Term Renewable Market Report 2014 The 3 rd annual edition of the MTRMR was launched via webinar on August 28 Almost 100 participants, including key media organisations (Bloomberg, DPA, Guardian, Wall Street Journal) Extensive news coverage Many thanks to the colleagues from IEA SHC for their input and review comments! The book is available on the IEA bookshop: www.iea.org/w/bookshop/480-medium-term_renewable_energy_market_report_2014 Executive summary available under: www.iea.org/textbase/npsum/mtrenew2014sum.pdf Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2014
Strong momentum for renewable electricity, but increasing policy risks to slow growth TWh 7 500 7 000 6 500 6 000 5 500 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 Global renewable electricity production, historical and projected Historical data and estimates Forecast 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Hydropower Bioenergy Natural gas 2013 Onshore wind Offshore wind Solar PV Nuclear 2013 Geothermal STE/CSP Ocean % total generation (right axis) 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Renewable electricity projected to scale up by 45% from 2013 to 2020 Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2014
EJ EJ Solar thermal heat basking in the sun 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 Buildings 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 Solar thermal remains fastest growing source of renewable heat over the medium term (+12.4%/year 2013-20) China remains most important market and sees 1 EJ increase (+15%/year) to 2020 Buildings sector accounts for 99% of growth, but new incentives to drive growth in industry in particular in OECD Europe (+8%/year) TWh th 0.0 0 0.00 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 0 OECD Americas OECD Asia Oceania OECD Europe China India Brazil Africa Non-OECD Americas (excl. Brazil) Non-OECD Asia (excl. India) Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia Middle East 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 Industry 12 10 8 6 4 2 TWh th Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2014
Shifting policy grounds slow growth in biofuels production 2013 saw 9 billion litre (130 kb/d) increase in biofuel production biofuels accounted for 3.6% of world road transport fuel demand Global production set to grow by 2.6% /year to 139 bn L (2.3 mb/d) in 2020 Growing political uncertainty in the EU and US might undermine the mediumterm growth prospects, while emerging markets ramp up support policies Medium-Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2014
Technology Roadmap Updates Updated solar roadmaps (Solar Thermal Electricity & Solar Photovoltaic Energy) launched September 29 OECD/IEA 2010
2014 Publications 2 Books The Power of Transformation MTRMR 2014 (28 Aug) 2 Roadmap Updates Solar PV (29 Sep) Concentrated Solar Power (29 Sep) Insight Papers Heating Without Global Warming Contributions to CEM tracking clean energy progress report, WEO 2014, ETP 2014, EU Energy Policy In-Depth Review OECD/IEA 2010
Other publications
Energy Technology Perspectives 2014 Harnessing Electricity s Potential Launched: 12 May 2014 www.iea.org/etp Explores the possibility of pushing the limits in six key areas: - Solar Power: Possibly the Dominant Source by 2050 - Natural Gas in Low-Carbon Electricity Systems - Electrifying Transport: How Can E-mobility Replace Oil? - Electricity Storage: Costs, Value and Competitiveness - Attracting Finance for Low-Carbon Generation - Power Generation in India 2015: with focus on role of technology innovation to meet climate goals 2016: urban energy systems Tracking Clean Energy Progress 2015: section on renewable heat OECD/IEA 2010
Technology Roadmap Energy storage Electricity storage capacity for daily electricity storage by region in 2011 and 2050 for ETP 2014 scenarios Focus on role of storage in power system Also discusses interaction between heat and electricity OECD/IEA 2010
Overview of WEO-2014 RELEASED ON 12 NOVEMBER 2014 Full update of energy projections under three scenarios By country, fuel & sector, through 2040, with a stopover in 2020 and 2030 Renewable energy chapter Objective and comprehensive analysis of topical issues Nuclear in-depth analysis Regional focus: Africa Fossil-fuel subsidy reform in key producer countries Special report in the WEO series The Outlook for Energy Investment 3 June (London) Africa Energy Outlook (focus on Sub-Saharan Africa) 13 October (London) OECD/IEA 2013
Questions? yasuhiro.sakuma@iea.org