Industrial Opportunities for Hydrogen and Hydrogen technologies in the Fuel Market Stavanger May 13, 2009 Ulf Hafseld, Head of Business Development Hydrogen, StatoilHydro
2 Agenda Technology adaptation Vehicles Infrastructure Can we make it commercial? Conclusions
Technology adaptation customer needs and behaviour
4 Is it possible to drive cars and buses on hydrogen? If so, we could have a zero emission fuel complimentary to batteries Demonstration projects in Europe, US and Japan has shown that the answer to above question is a clear yes
5 The technology adoption lifecycle Buys some kind of change agent Expect a radical discontinuity from the old ways to the new Prepared to champion the cause Prepared to bear with bugs and glitches
6 Can we fulfil the majority's needs? Want evolution not revolution Looking to minimize discontinuity from the old ways Want technology to enhance not overthrow established ways Want the product to work properly
The Revised technology adoption lifecycle 7
Vehicle development
Mazda RX8 Dual Fuel 9
10 Bus Daimler Fuel Cell Technology Roadmap Daimler is dedicated to commercialize Fuel Cell Vehicles Passenger Cars Lead Application Sprinter Generation 1 Technology Demonstration 2004 Generation 1 Technology Demonstration F-Cell Generation 1 Technology Demonstration Generation 2 Customer Acceptance 2009 Generation 2 Customer Acceptance B-Class F-Cell Generation 2 Customer Acceptance Future Generations 2012 Generation 3 Cost Reduction I Future Generations 2015 Generation 4 Market Introduction Cost Reduction II 2020 Generation 5 Mass Production
Infrastructure development
12 StatoilHydro delivers hydrogen solutions for Europe ECTOS/HyFLEET:CUTE Hydrogen station Reykjavik CUTE/HyFLEET:CUTE Hydrogen station Hamburg Reykjavik CEP Berlin Hydrogen production Messedam Utsira Wind-Hydrogen plant Hamburg HyNor Grenland Hydrogen station, Oslo and Drammen car stations, Risavika Berlin
13 The HyNor nodes Bergen Plans for station in phase II (2010) H 2 from refinery byproduct Romerike Plans for station in phase II (2010) H 2 from electrolysis Stavanger 2006: trucked-in 2. station (3Q09) H 2 from biogas reforming (3Q09) Oslo Car station (2Q09) Bus station (4Q09) H 2 from electrolysis Kristiansand Trucked in hydrogen (09) By-product or electrolysis Grenland 2007: Pipeline supply H 2 from byproduct Drammen Trucked-in hydrogen (2Q09) H 2 reformed from local landfill
14 HyNor Grenland A World class hydrogen station Several technology innovations Directly linked to large scale hydrogen production, scalable solution Possibility for supply and back-up for other HyNor stations Focus on testing out latest technological solutions and building a good user-interface
Bringing hydrogen into the petrol station 15
Can we make it commercial?
17 Daimler start small series production of fuel cell vehicles in summer 2009 January 28, 2009 Daimler s CEO, Dieter Zetsche announced The start of small series production of FC cars from mid 2009 Daimler is looking to reach annual production numbers of 100.000 vehicles in four to five years Cost comparable, to Bluetec hybrid cars, that only recently seemed far fetched Auto Motor und Sport 28-01-2009
Case study Germany Refuelling station roll-out 2020 18 Hydrogen Refuelling Stations Type A B C D Corridors Nearest station < 50 km < 150 km Nearest station < 10 km < 50 km < 150 km Year: 2020 Cars: 600,000 HRS: 1000 Customers/HRS: 600
19 Hydrogen infrastructure challenges The ramp-up phase is characterised by A need for a network of stations to satisfy customers Limited number of hydrogen cars Low capacity utilisation of hydrogen stations The ramp-up phase can be eased by governmental subsidies 1000 900 800 700 600 Hydrogen Refuelling Stations Type C (1000 kg/day) Type B (300 kg/day) Type A (22 kg/day) 500 400 300 200 100 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Average Hydrogen Refuelling Stations Utilisation 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
20 Ex: cost of a electrolyser production plant on-site 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Today R&D Engineering Proj. mgt. Components Target
Production cost of hydrogen will draw nearer electricity costs as plants get larger 21 Production costs water electrolysis - typical 0,35 0,3 Energy cost, /kwh 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 Electricity Hydrogen 0,05 0 25 250 1000 5000 10000 Production capacity, kg hydrogen /day Cost of electricity is typically 70 % of the cost of producing hydrogen by water electrolysis
Conclusions
23 Conclusions Hydrogen is checked out as a possible fuel for vehicles Hydrogen has the potential to fulfil the majority s needs Challenges remain on the road to commercialisation A co-ordinated and sustained effort is needed to bring hydrogen in as a commercial fuel option Authorities Car industry Energy industry
Thank you for your attention!