The Future of Transportation Land, Sea, and Air By the Enterprise and Land-Bridge Company
Components of a Global Cargo Transportation System http://telcollc.com/ 2
Over the Next 20 Years, while Truck Freight Is Expected to Double, International Containers Are Expected to Quadruple Freight movement will be one of the major challenges for the years ahead. American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials 2006 http://telcollc.com/ 3
New Ultra Large Carriers The new megaships will be 1500 feet long Unloading the new 18,000 container ships will need 45-100 car double stack trains. A d do t fo get that it ill also eed -100 car trains to reload the ship. Supplemented with Trucks. Will need 20 parallel tracks alongside the ship Now can you imagine the infrastructure needed? 4
Consumer Satisfaction
World Container Forecast to 2024 in TEUs (186% Increase in Next 20 Years)
Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering Won a US$2 Billion Order from A P Moeller-Maersk to Build 30 Vessels of 18,000 TEU Capacity Each. Daewoo received a total order worth $6 billion, Korean firm's biggest ever single order Source: Cargonews Asia e-cargo news Asia February 18, 2011 Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 10
A.P. Moller-Mae sk s 30 18,000 TEU Container Vessels Largest in the World Source: Cargonews Asia e-cargo news Asia February 18, 2011 Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 11
Today s Mai Co tai e hippi g Routes John Vicerman 2011 Source: Containerization International and MDS Transmodal 12
Mega Transshipment Ports: I O de of A ual Nu be of TEU s Shanghai and Shenzhen - China Hong Kong - China Singapore - South East Asia Los Angeles/Long Beach North America Newark, NJ - North America (50 feet) Panamá City - Panama Hamburg- Germany- Rotterdam Holland under expansion Jebel Ali- Dubai Robe t s Ba ks upe Po t - BC Canada Prince Rupert - BC Canada Mundra, India - under construction Except for Newark NJ all these ports can handle ships with 65 foot/ 20 meter draft or better 13
Cost of Moving a TEU Remember it is estimated over the next 20 years the olu e of TEU s ill agai uad uple. In January 2009 it cost $350 to transport a 20 foot container from Asia to Europe or the West coast of America. By early 2010 the price has risen to $1,500 For a container ship to negotiate the Panama Canal now cost up to $360,000 Note: Average life of a container is 18 years 14
Vessel Cargo Handling from? up to 1965 Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 15
More than 98% of Everything We Consume, Wear, Eat, Drive, and Construct Is Brought to Us via Ships through the North American Port System. Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 16
Quality of Life is Directly Related to Our Participation in Global Trade & Transportation Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 17
Vessel Size Expansion - Terminal Impacts Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 Increased Terminal Throughput Boom Outreach Super Post Panamax 18,000 to 22,000 TEU Height Above Deck New Panamax (2014/15) 12,600 TEU Storage Area Impacts Current Panamax 4,800 TEU Depths 48 to 54 ft Source: Georgia Ports Authority and Vickerman & Associates 18
Hapag-Lloyds 21,000 TEU Ultra Large Twin Engine Container Ship - 2011 23 Containers Wide Source: Alphaliner Newsletter Volume 2011 Issue 4 Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 19
Panama Maritime Authority Becomes A Major Trans-shipment Center Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 20
Emerging Major Inland Port Logistics Centers Throughput Capacities in Millions of TEUs Southern AZ Proposed Slide Created by John Vicerman 2011 21
Air Freight Air cargo is presently a 55 billion a year business with nearly 2000 cargo planes in the air. (Lufthansa and Air France being the biggest players) the fleet of planes World Wide is estimated to double within 10 years. There are about 20,000 commercial Passenger airliners flying today 22
The Wo ld s La gest T a spo t Pla e The Russian Antonov 225 Specs CREW: six: pilot, co-pilot, four cabin crew PASSENGERS: 70 ESTIMATED COST: $300 million [2005$] THIS AIRPLANE WAS AT THE NIAGARA FALLS AIRPORT RECENTLY (TWICE) TO LOAD COMPRESSORS TO FLY DIRECTLY TO SAUDI ARABIA The following pictures are of the Russian behemoth when it came into Medford, OR, to pick up two Sikorsky fire fighting helicopters to take overseas -- $1,000,000 to transport them. It is amazing something this huge can stay in the air. The Wright brothers would never have dreamed it.
Wingspan 290.00 ft (88.40 m)
Wing Area 9,742 ft² (905.00 m²)
Length 275.58 ft (84.00 m)
Cargo Bay
Empty 628,315 lb (285,000 kg)
Height 59.67 ft (18.20 m)
Fuel Capacity 661,375 lb (300,000 kg)
Max Payload internal: 440,925 lb (200,000 kg)
Max Payload external: 551,150 lb (250,000 kg)
32 wheels!
How to Relieve Border Congestion Replace Trucks with Trains which does not need to stop at the Border
History of Truck Transportation Trucks arrived on the scene in 1900 replacing horse drawn wagons. A truck could pick up any commodity and deliver it to the consumer whereas a train had to stay on the track. 36
Trains By 1996, U.S railroads were again prospering. Traffic set a record at 1.35 trillion ton- miles. Intercity ton-miles improved 40%, up 2% from 1993. Capital spending exceeded $6 billion. The US railroads were deregulated in 1980. A train carrying all the containers from a 12000 TEU ship would be 71 km or 44 miles long. 37
Trucking Companies Flourished for Three Decades after the Freeway System Was Completed By 1996, U.S railroads were again prospering Traffic set a record at 1.35 trillion ton- miles. Intercity ton-miles improved 40%, up 2% from 1993 Capital spending exceeded $6 billion The US railroads were deregulated in 1980 A train carrying all the containers from a 12000 TEU ship would be 71 km or 44 miles long
Typical Double Stack Train
Typical Border Congestion http://telcollc.com/
Suggested Border Decongestion
The Mexico Super Port Would Depend On Multiple Tracks To Move the Goods
Super Trans -Shipment Sea Ports 43
Transportation Cost Comparison Cost of transporting one Container in relation to fuel. Ships 12% Trains 18% Trucks 25% 44
North South Corridors number 1 NASCO from Huston to Chicago and number 2 the Canamex corridor shown here from Mexico City all the way to Fairbanks http://telcollc.com/ 45
Natural Disasters St. Andreas Fault The last time It shifted was in 1905 and devastated San Francisco. http://telcollc.com/ 46
Questions and Answers Curt Pedersen has over 50 years experience in world wide transportation Land Sea and Air, member SAE since 1958 Tucson resident since 1999 and has studied Border congestions at the AZ Mexico border points since 2005