FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION FOUNDED IN 1945 BY MERVIN FIELD 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco, California 94108 415-392-5763 Tabulations From a Survey of California Likely Voters About Voter Preferences for President and U.S. Senate on the November General Election Ballot - prepared for the - Capitol Alert and the Sacramento Bee November 3, 2012
Introduction This volume presents the statistical data developed from a Field Poll survey of likely voters in California about voter preferences for President and U.S. Senate in the November 2012 general election ballot. The survey was conducted by The Field Poll among a representative sample of 1,566 likely voters statewide by telephone using live interviewers calling from Field Research Corporation s central location call center in San Diego. The survey was conducted by telephone using live interviewers in six languages and dialects English, Spanish, Cantonese, Mandarin, Korean, and Vietnamese from Field Research Corporation s central location call center in San Diego. Data collection was conducted over two consecutive interviewing periods. The first spanned the period October 17-24 and included 815 likely voters, while the second was completed October 25-30 and included 751 likely voters. Some questions were asked of voters interviewed in the first interviewing wave, while others were asked of voters interviewed only during the second wave. The voter samples from each interviewing wave were supplemented with additional interviews conducted among Asian-American voters to enable the survey compare how voters compared to the state s other major racial/ethnic voting populations. Funding for the multi-ethnic samples was provided by the New America Media, through a grant from the San Francisco Foundation.
Sampling The sample was developed from telephone listings of individual voters selected randomly from a listing of statewide voter registration rolls. Once a voter s name and telephone had been selected interviewers are attempted only with the specified voter. Interviews can be conducted on either the voter s landline or cell phone, depending on the source of the telephone listing from the voter file and the preference of the voter. In this survey 1,479 interviews were conducted on a landline phone and 433 were completed through a cell phone contact. Prior to the start of data collection, professionally-trained telephone interviewers were briefed with regard to the survey s proper calling and interviewing procedures by the Study Director. This session provided both interviewers and supervisors with an overview of the study and includes a question-by-question review of all items in the survey. Interviewers then completed survey interviews by telephone through the computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) system. CATI controls the telephone scripts read to individual respondents by displaying the appropriate questionnaire items and their valid response code alternatives in their proper sequence on computer screens at each interviewer's booth. The interviewer then reads each question aloud to the respondent from the screen and enters each respondent's pre-coded answer category through the keyboard directly to a computer disk. All answers are automatically stored in computer memory. In order to bring hard-to-reach respondents into the survey, up to six attempts (an initial call plus five callbacks) were made to each telephone number selected for inclusion into the sample. Callbacks were made at different times and on different days to increase the probability of finding voters available for the interview. Where possible, appointments are made at specified dates and times to maximize convenience and cooperation rates. Data Processing The data file resulting from CATI interviewing is itself virtually error-free. Even so, a final series of data checks were performed by means of a specially designed cleaning program that scrutinizes each respondent record for internally inconsistent information. Once the data were determined to be clean and error-free, the overall sample was weighted to align it to the proper statewide distribution of voters by race/ethnicity and to other demographic and regional characteristics of the state s voter population.
Guide to Reading the Tables The following is an explanation of the detailed statistical tabulations contained in this report: The question or questions upon which the data are based is shown at the top of each table Tables are percentaged vertically with the raw percentage base appearing at the top of each column. The data have been weighted. All percentages and frequencies reported in each table are therefore weighted tabulations. In instances where percentages are calculated on small bases (e.g., when the unweighted base is fewer than 100 respondents) the reader is urged to interpret the data with caution, since results are subject to larger levels of sampling error. Throughout the tables an asterisk is used to denote a value of less than 1/2 of 1%. A hyphen indicates zero value. On some tables the percentages may add to more than 100% due to multiple mentions. Bases of subgroups used in the tabulations may add to less than the total number of respondents due to some respondents not reporting that characteristic.
Subgroup Definitions Southern California: Northern California: Coastal Counties: Inland counties: Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, Imperial, Santa Barbara, Ventura, Kern, and San Luis Obispo counties all other 48 California counties San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, Santa Cruz, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Costa, Alameda, Marin, Napa, Solano, Sonoma, Santa Clara, Mendocino, Humboldt and Del Norte counties all other 38 California counties Los Angeles: San Diego/Orange: Other South: SF Bay Area: Central Valley: Other North: Los Angeles County San Diego County and Orange counties San Bernardino, Riverside, Imperial, Ventura, Santa Barbara, and San Luis Obispo San Francisco, Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Solano, Contra Costa, Alameda, Santa Clara, San Mateo Butte, Colusa, Fresno, Glenn, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Shasta, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehema, Tulare, Yolo, and Yuba Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, Del Norte, El Dorado, Humboldt, Inyo, Lake, Lassen, Mariposa, Mendocino, Monterey, Modoc, Mono, Nevada, Plumas, San Benito, Santa Cruz, Sierra, Siskiyou, Trinity, and Tuolumne
Estimates of Sampling Error In any survey based on a sampling, there is some sampling error introduced into the data by the process of sampling itself. When the sample has been drawn using random processes, it is possible to apply probability principles to determine the potential range of such error. While survey samples of human populations rarely, if ever, meet all of the criteria theoretically required for the application of these principles, it is customary to use them as an approximation of error that is introduced as a result of sampling. The table below shows the range of error that is associated with samples of various sizes, assuming the use of the 95% confidence level, which is customary for most public opinion surveys. For example, if 50% of the overall sample of 1,566 likely voters answered yes to a specific question, this statistic would have a sampling error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. This means that there is a 95% chance that had the overall population of likely voters statewide been interviewed using the same questionnaire and methods, the results of such a census would yield a result between 47.4% and 52.6%. The same procedure can be used to estimate the sample error ranges of any other statistic contained in this report. Approximate percentage distribution of replies to question Approximate sample size 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 100 +/- 6.0 +/- 9.2 +/- 10.0 +/- 9.2 +/- 6.0 200 +/- 4.3 +/- 6.5 +/- 7.1 +/- 6.5 +/- 4.3 300 +/- 3.5 +/- 5.3 +/- 5.8 +/- 5.3 +/- 3.5 425 +/- 3.0 +/- 4.5 +/- 4.9 +/- 4.5 +/- 3.0 800 +/- 2.0 +/- 3.1 +/- 3.5 +/- 3.1 +/- 2.0 1500 +/- 1.9 +/-2.4 +/- 2.6 +/- 2.4 +/- 1.9
Questions Asked (IF ALREADY VOTED:) In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? (IF OBAMA/BIDEN:) Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? (IF ROMNEY/RYAN:) Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? In the election for U.S. Senate did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein or the Republican Elizabeth Emken? (IF HAVEN'T VOTED YET:) If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? (IF OBAMA/BIDEN:) Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? (IF ROMNEY/RYAN:) Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken. If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote Feinstein or Emken? Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of... (NAMES READ IN RANDOM ORDER)? a. Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor b. Barack Obama, President c. Dianne Feinstein, U.S. Senator d. Elizabeth Emken, businesswoman e. Joe Biden, Vice President f. Paul Ryan, Wisconsin Congressman (Note: Feinstein and Emken included in survey's 1st wave, while Biden and Ryan asked in survey's 2nd wave.) (THE FOLLOWING QUESTION WAS ASKED DURING THE SURVEY'S FIRST INTERVIEWING WAVE ONLY) After the elections, do you think the two political parties in Washington will be more likely or less likely to work together on legislation, or will there be no change?
Table 13 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------------- North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- ----------- ----------- San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other 17-24 25-30 Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted 1566 953 613 1179 387 415 327 186 205 345 88 704 509 353 815 751 1566 654 903 387 Weighted 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 OBAMA-BIDEN 849 472 378 633 217 244 120 86 133 213 54 606 67 176 436 413 849 417 426 184 53.5 50.6 57.6 56.9 45.7 62.5 42.5 38.1 50.4 64.3 57.2 86.6 12.4 51.3 52.7 54.4 53.5 53.9 53.1 53.4 ROMNEY-RYAN 611 383 228 382 229 120 133 118 116 86 38 48 446 118 314 297 611 284 323 146 38.5 41.1 34.9 34.3 48.3 30.8 47.0 52.6 43.9 26.1 40.2 6.8 82.1 34.1 38.0 39.1 38.5 36.8 40.4 42.3 OTHER 32 22 10 29 3 5 8 9 1 8 1 8 9 15 18 14 32 14 17 7 (VOLUNTEERED 2.0 2.4 1.5 2.6 0.6 1.3 3.0 3.8 0.4 2.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 4.4 2.2 1.8 2.0 1.9 2.2 2.1 ) UNDECIDED/ 94 55 39 69 25 22 21 12 14 23 2 38 21 35 59 36 94 58 35 7 DON'T KNOW 6.0 5.9 6.0 6.2 5.4 5.5 7.5 5.5 5.4 7.1 1.8 5.4 3.9 10.2 7.1 4.7 6.0 7.5 4.3 2.2 Rows 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 Respondents 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344
Page 24 Table 14 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------- H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted 1566 746 820 208 191 431 422 446 847 267 75 311 93 78 100 40 316 436 443 350 Weighted 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 OBAMA-BIDEN 849 359 490 95 137 250 269 179 516 196 83 43 12 3 5 22 133 194 246 271 53.5 48.1 58.4 59.8 60.8 51.8 55.5 46.0 47.3 65.8 89.4 57.8 62.8 41.4 46.5 62.1 54.1 44.8 50.2 66.5 ROMNEY-RYAN 611 316 296 45 68 190 188 185 508 66 4 18 4 1 3 10 80 211 203 115 38.5 42.2 35.2 28.2 30.3 39.4 38.8 47.5 46.5 22.0 4.8 25.0 20.9 20.0 27.0 27.5 32.5 48.6 41.5 28.2 OTHER 32 21 11 5 8 10 7 5 25 3 1 1 * * - 1 2 10 12 7 (VOLUNTEERED 2.0 2.9 1.3 3.1 3.3 2.0 1.5 1.3 2.3 0.9 0.8 2.0 0.8 0.6-3.5 0.7 2.3 2.5 1.6 ) UNDECIDED/ 94 51 43 14 13 33 21 20 43 34 5 11 3 3 3 2 31 19 29 15 DON'T KNOW 6.0 6.8 5.2 8.9 5.6 6.8 4.2 5.2 3.9 11.3 5.0 15.2 15.4 37.9 26.6 6.9 12.7 4.4 5.8 3.6 Rows 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 Respondents 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408
Page 25 Table 15 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than ----------------- ----------------- Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted 1566 260 230 206 334 275 41 904 465 439 390 174 216 250 294 201 110 1216 1233 333 Weighted 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 OBAMA-BIDEN 849 103 110 102 214 197 16 488 284 204 213 100 113 145 215 160 67 621 799 51 53.5 61.9 55.9 47.3 53.4 55.5 34.1 48.4 53.1 43.1 64.0 73.2 57.6 61.5 61.8 64.6 54.8 51.2 53.0 64.1 ROMNEY-RYAN 611 50 67 96 158 134 27 446 219 227 83 23 61 74 110 73 46 491 593 18 38.5 30.0 33.9 44.6 39.5 37.8 57.4 44.3 41.0 48.1 25.1 16.7 30.9 31.5 31.6 29.5 38.0 40.5 39.3 22.6 OTHER 32 5 5 6 6 5 1 16 6 10 13 3 10 3 2 2 * 28 31 1 (VOLUNTEERED 2.0 2.8 2.5 2.7 1.6 1.4 2.2 1.6 1.1 2.1 3.8 1.9 5.2 1.4 0.7 0.9 0.2 2.3 2.0 1.7 ) UNDECIDED/ 94 9 15 12 22 19 3 57 25 32 23 11 12 13 20 13 9 72 85 9 DON'T KNOW 6.0 5.3 7.7 5.4 5.5 5.3 6.3 5.7 4.7 6.7 7.0 8.2 6.3 5.6 5.9 5.1 7.0 5.9 5.7 11.6 Rows 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 Respondents 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79
Page 26 Table 16 Q3a. If the presidential election were being held today would you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Q3b. In the election for president, did you vote for the Democratic ticket of Barack Obama and Joe Biden (BYE-DEN) or the Republican ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted 1566 274 189 556 180 281 633 361 250 274 385 1170 876 509 181 769 520 277 963 506 Weighted 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 OBAMA-BIDEN 849 27 39 317 138 297 275 209 125 222 233 613 849 - - 615 117 118 583 226 53.5 8.8 20.6 57.4 82.2 94.8 39.4 53.6 68.9 78.1 53.2 53.5 100.0 - - 79.9 19.6 53.6 52.2 56.0 ROMNEY-RYAN 611 267 137 172 17 7 383 147 36 33 168 442-611 - 108 443 60 455 136 38.5 88.2 71.2 31.1 10.0 2.1 54.8 37.9 19.9 11.8 38.5 38.6-100.0-14.0 74.1 27.3 40.7 33.8 OTHER 32 4 5 11 3 6 12 1 6 13 8 24 - - 32 11 12 9 14 17 (VOLUNTEERED 2.0 1.2 2.9 1.9 1.7 1.8 1.7 0.2 3.2 4.5 1.7 2.1 - - 25.2 1.5 1.9 4.1 1.2 4.1 ) UNDECIDED/ 94 5 10 53 10 4 29 32 14 16 29 65 - - 94 35 26 33 66 25 DON'T KNOW 6.0 1.8 5.4 9.5 6.1 1.3 4.1 8.3 8.0 5.7 6.6 5.7 - - 74.8 4.6 4.4 15.0 5.9 6.1 Rows 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 Respondents 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404
Page 27 Table 17 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------------- North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- ----------- ----------- San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other 17-24 25-30 Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted 876 516 360 695 181 261 158 80 103 219 55 598 81 197 434 442 876 356 515 227 Weighted 849 472 378 633 217 244 120 86 133 213 54 606 67 176 436 413 849 417 426 184 FOR OBAMA 669 374 296 500 169 197 101 65 105 162 40 490 46 132 349 320 669 320 341 146 78.8 79.2 78.3 79.0 78.1 80.4 83.8 76.2 79.0 76.1 73.8 81.0 69.1 74.9 80.1 77.4 78.8 76.9 80.2 79.1 AGAINST 115 69 46 81 34 29 13 16 18 26 13 69 20 26 67 48 115 58 57 18 ROMNEY 13.6 14.6 12.2 12.8 15.6 12.0 11.0 18.6 13.4 12.2 24.2 11.4 30.2 14.7 15.3 11.7 13.6 13.9 13.4 10.0 DON'T KNOW 65 29 36 52 14 19 6 4 10 25 1 46 * 18 20 45 65 38 27 20 7.7 6.2 9.5 8.2 6.3 7.6 5.2 5.2 7.6 11.7 2.0 7.7 0.7 10.4 4.6 10.9 7.7 9.1 6.4 10.9 Rows 849 472 378 633 217 244 120 86 133 213 54 606 67 176 436 413 849 417 426 184 Respondents 849 472 378 633 217 244 120 86 133 213 54 606 67 176 436 413 849 417 426 184
Page 28 Table 18 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Gender Age Ethnicity Education ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------- H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted 876 388 488 135 121 232 235 225 425 179 63 181 60 44 49 28 168 230 233 230 Weighted 849 359 490 95 137 250 269 179 516 196 83 43 12 3 5 22 133 194 246 271 FOR OBAMA 669 293 376 70 102 214 208 144 402 156 66 35 10 3 5 17 103 148 198 217 78.8 81.5 76.8 73.9 74.2 85.6 77.3 80.8 77.8 79.7 78.9 81.7 80.4 92.4 97.9 77.0 77.6 76.0 80.3 80.0 AGAINST 115 47 68 21 25 18 41 15 74 33 4 4 2 * - 2 22 28 26 38 ROMNEY 13.6 13.1 13.9 21.6 17.9 7.1 15.4 8.3 14.3 16.8 4.7 10.1 13.3 7.6-11.2 16.7 14.4 10.8 14.1 DON'T KNOW 65 20 46 4 11 18 20 20 41 7 14 3 1 - * 3 8 19 22 16 7.7 5.5 9.3 4.5 7.9 7.3 7.2 11.0 7.9 3.5 16.4 8.2 6.3-2.1 11.8 5.7 9.6 8.9 5.9 Rows 849 359 490 95 137 250 269 179 516 196 83 43 12 3 5 22 133 194 246 271 Respondents 849 359 490 95 137 250 269 179 516 196 83 43 12 3 5 22 133 194 246 271
Page 29 Table 19 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than ----------------- ----------------- Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted 876 168 141 107 173 156 18 447 245 202 264 131 133 153 186 133 60 659 666 210 Weighted 849 103 110 102 214 197 16 488 284 204 213 100 113 145 215 160 67 621 799 51 FOR OBAMA 669 80 84 84 170 156 13 393 221 172 167 81 86 106 162 121 51 495 632 37 78.8 77.9 76.2 82.6 79.8 79.2 78.9 80.6 77.8 84.5 78.3 80.7 76.1 72.9 75.6 75.9 76.6 79.8 79.2 72.4 AGAINST 115 20 17 10 27 24 3 63 37 26 32 15 17 20 32 26 8 83 103 12 ROMNEY 13.6 19.4 15.1 9.7 12.8 12.4 21.1 12.8 13.1 12.5 15.2 15.0 15.4 13.9 14.8 16.0 11.4 13.3 12.9 23.9 DON'T KNOW 65 3 10 8 16 17-32 26 6 14 4 10 19 21 13 8 43 63 2 7.7 2.7 8.7 7.7 7.4 8.4-6.6 9.1 3.0 6.5 4.3 8.5 13.3 9.6 8.1 11.9 6.9 7.9 3.7 Rows 849 103 110 102 214 197 16 488 284 204 213 100 113 145 215 160 67 621 799 51 Respondents 849 103 110 102 214 197 16 488 284 204 213 100 113 145 215 160 67 621 799 51
Page 30 Table 20 Q4a. Is your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Q4b. Was your preference more a vote for Obama or more a vote against Romney? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Obama-Biden Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted 876 33 54 326 149 265 266 206 169 210 215 652 876 - - 610 120 146 507 311 Weighted 849 27 39 317 138 297 275 209 125 222 233 613 849 - - 615 117 118 583 226 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 FOR OBAMA 669 22 26 243 106 249 207 161 104 181 180 486 669 - - 492 86 91 460 183 78.8 82.5 67.0 76.6 77.1 83.8 75.2 77.0 83.6 81.7 77.4 79.3 78.8 - - 80.0 73.5 77.5 78.9 81.1 AGAINST 115 5 12 52 14 30 42 33 16 21 38 76 115 - - 84 21 11 74 29 ROMNEY 13.6 17.5 30.0 16.2 10.0 10.0 15.1 16.0 12.9 9.4 16.4 12.4 13.6 - - 13.6 17.8 8.9 12.7 12.8 DON'T KNOW 65-1 23 18 19 27 15 4 20 14 51 65 - - 39 10 16 49 14 7.7-3.0 7.2 12.9 6.3 9.7 7.0 3.5 8.8 6.2 8.3 7.7 - - 6.4 8.6 13.6 8.4 6.0 Rows 849 27 39 317 138 297 275 209 125 222 233 613 849 - - 615 117 118 583 226 Respondents 849 27 39 317 138 297 275 209 125 222 233 613 849 - - 615 117 118 583 226
Page 31 Table 21 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------------- North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- ----------- ----------- San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other 17-24 25-30 Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted 509 324 185 332 177 101 128 87 89 77 27 53 368 88 277 232 509 225 281 127 Weighted 611 383 228 382 229 120 133 118 116 86 38 48 446 118 314 297 611 284 323 146 FOR ROMNEY 328 205 123 198 130 67 62 72 58 45 24 21 261 47 168 160 328 148 179 77 53.7 53.4 54.1 52.0 56.5 55.5 46.8 60.7 50.6 52.2 63.2 43.8 58.4 39.6 53.4 53.9 53.7 52.0 55.3 53.1 AGAINST 239 157 82 159 80 49 61 41 44 33 10 24 154 61 126 113 239 115 122 57 OBAMA 39.0 41.0 35.9 41.6 34.9 41.0 46.2 34.9 38.0 37.7 26.5 50.6 34.4 52.0 40.1 38.0 39.0 40.3 37.7 39.5 DON'T KNOW 44 21 23 25 20 4 9 5 13 9 4 3 32 10 20 24 44 22 23 11 7.3 5.6 10.1 6.5 8.6 3.5 7.0 4.4 11.4 10.0 10.2 5.5 7.2 8.4 6.5 8.1 7.3 7.7 7.0 7.4 Rows 611 383 228 382 229 120 133 118 116 86 38 48 446 118 314 297 611 284 323 146 Respondents 611 383 228 382 229 120 133 118 116 86 38 48 446 118 314 297 611 284 323 146
Page 32 Table 22 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Gender Age Ethnicity Education ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------- H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted 509 253 256 43 49 152 152 164 362 52 4 62 16 12 26 8 90 161 159 96 Weighted 611 316 296 45 68 190 188 185 508 66 4 18 4 1 3 10 80 211 203 115 FOR ROMNEY 328 177 151 33 40 100 88 104 276 33 3 8 3 * 3 2 44 119 113 52 53.7 56.0 51.1 72.8 59.0 52.4 46.5 56.3 54.4 50.4 58.6 42.6 70.6 24.4 84.5 20.4 55.0 56.3 55.4 45.5 AGAINST 239 122 116 9 21 83 88 65 198 28 2 5 1 1 * 3 30 86 68 53 OBAMA 39.0 38.8 39.4 20.5 31.3 43.4 46.7 35.5 38.9 42.4 41.4 28.7 27.6 75.6 1.4 31.1 37.9 41.0 33.4 45.6 DON'T KNOW 44 16 28 3 7 8 13 15 34 5-5 * - * 5 6 6 23 10 7.3 5.2 9.5 6.7 9.7 4.2 6.8 8.2 6.7 7.2-28.7 1.8-14.1 48.6 7.2 2.7 11.2 8.8 Rows 611 316 296 45 68 190 188 185 508 66 4 18 4 1 3 10 80 211 203 115 Respondents 611 316 296 45 68 190 188 185 508 66 4 18 4 1 3 10 80 211 203 115
Page 33 Table 23 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than ----------------- ----------------- Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted 509 53 58 80 126 99 19 356 181 175 77 26 51 69 86 54 40 410 439 70 Weighted 611 50 67 96 158 134 27 446 219 227 83 23 61 74 110 73 46 491 593 18 FOR ROMNEY 328 32 35 48 76 74 12 242 116 126 43 9 34 40 58 40 26 268 320 8 53.7 63.6 52.7 49.6 48.1 54.9 43.1 54.2 53.0 55.4 51.5 40.5 55.6 53.9 52.9 54.4 55.8 54.6 53.9 46.0 AGAINST 239 13 26 42 73 46 14 164 76 88 39 13 26 31 46 28 20 189 230 8 OBAMA 39.0 26.0 39.5 43.4 46.0 34.3 51.4 36.7 34.6 38.8 47.3 57.3 43.6 42.4 41.9 38.3 43.4 38.4 38.8 47.0 DON'T KNOW 44 5 5 7 9 14 2 41 27 13 1 * 1 3 6 5 * 34 43 1 7.3 10.3 7.8 6.9 5.8 10.8 5.5 9.1 12.5 5.9 1.2 2.2 0.9 3.7 5.2 7.3 0.9 6.9 7.3 7.0 Rows 611 50 67 96 158 134 27 446 219 227 83 23 61 74 110 73 46 491 593 18 Respondents 611 50 67 96 158 134 27 446 219 227 83 23 61 74 110 73 46 491 593 18
Page 34 Table 24 Q5a. Is your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Q5b. Was your preference more a vote for Romney or more a vote against Obama? Base : (Will vote/have voted) for Romney-Ryan Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted 509 223 109 148 11 5 311 111 41 31 127 380-509 - 93 348 68 365 120 Weighted 611 267 137 172 17 7 383 147 36 33 168 442-611 - 108 443 60 455 136 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0-100.0-100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 FOR ROMNEY 328 155 71 92 6 2 215 65 21 18 100 227-328 - 59 233 37 243 74 53.7 58.2 51.7 53.6 34.2 28.6 56.2 44.1 59.5 53.7 59.7 51.3-53.7-54.5 52.5 61.0 53.4 54.5 AGAINST 239 94 56 71 6 5 140 72 10 15 55 184-239 - 42 177 20 181 50 OBAMA 39.0 35.1 40.7 41.4 35.0 71.4 36.6 48.8 28.1 46.3 32.7 41.5-39.0-38.5 40.0 32.9 39.8 36.3 DON'T KNOW 44 18 10 9 5-28 10 4-13 32-44 - 8 33 4 31 13 7.3 6.7 7.6 5.0 30.8-7.2 7.1 12.4-7.6 7.2-7.3-7.0 7.5 6.2 6.8 9.2 Rows 611 267 137 172 17 7 383 147 36 33 168 442-611 - 108 443 60 455 136 Respondents 611 267 137 172 17 7 383 147 36 33 168 442-611 - 108 443 60 455 136
Page 35 Table 25 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------------- North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- ----------- ----------- San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other 17-24 25-30 Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted 1566 953 613 1179 387 415 327 186 205 345 88 704 509 353 815 751 1566 654 903 387 Weighted 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 FEINSTEIN 873 476 397 656 217 238 128 93 133 228 52 592 105 176 462 411 873 406 457 201 55.0 51.1 60.6 59.0 45.6 60.9 45.4 41.5 50.5 68.8 55.6 84.7 19.3 51.1 55.9 54.0 55.0 52.5 57.0 58.4 EMKEN 508 320 187 302 206 93 118 94 108 63 31 41 382 85 260 247 508 245 260 125 32.0 34.4 28.6 27.1 43.4 23.8 41.7 41.9 41.1 19.1 33.2 5.8 70.2 24.8 31.5 32.5 32.0 31.7 32.4 36.3 UNDECIDED/ 206 136 71 154 52 60 36 37 22 40 11 67 57 83 104 102 206 122 84 18 DON'T KNOW 13.0 14.6 10.8 13.9 11.0 15.3 12.9 16.6 8.4 12.1 11.2 9.5 10.5 24.1 12.6 13.5 13.0 15.8 10.5 5.3 Rows 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 Respondents 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344
Page 36 Table 26 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------- H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted 1566 746 820 208 191 431 422 446 847 267 75 311 93 78 100 40 316 436 443 350 Weighted 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 FEINSTEIN 873 396 477 85 122 270 276 204 569 176 75 39 10 2 5 22 132 193 261 281 55.0 53.0 56.8 53.5 54.1 56.0 56.9 52.6 52.1 59.1 81.0 52.6 51.5 30.5 43.6 60.5 53.8 44.6 53.2 69.0 EMKEN 508 258 250 37 60 152 157 150 415 61 6 12 3 2 1 6 64 163 180 99 32.0 34.5 29.8 23.5 26.8 31.5 32.3 38.7 38.0 20.6 6.8 15.6 14.5 26.5 11.1 15.5 26.1 37.5 36.7 24.2 UNDECIDED/ 206 94 113 37 43 61 53 34 108 60 11 23 6 3 5 9 50 78 50 28 DON'T KNOW 13.0 12.5 13.4 23.1 19.1 12.5 10.8 8.6 9.9 20.3 12.2 31.8 34.1 43.0 45.3 24.0 20.2 17.9 10.1 6.8 Rows 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 Respondents 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408
Page 37 Table 27 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than ----------------- ----------------- Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted 1566 260 230 206 334 275 41 904 465 439 390 174 216 250 294 201 110 1216 1233 333 Weighted 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 FEINSTEIN 873 96 115 104 220 212 26 522 282 240 197 84 113 150 197 153 57 663 833 40 55.0 57.7 58.6 48.0 55.1 59.8 55.0 51.9 52.9 50.8 59.2 61.4 57.7 63.8 56.6 61.9 46.7 54.7 55.3 50.4 EMKEN 508 41 54 75 130 125 18 360 186 174 83 26 57 63 103 61 50 402 489 18 32.0 24.3 27.5 34.9 32.5 35.1 38.9 35.8 34.8 36.9 24.9 19.0 29.0 26.7 29.6 24.6 40.7 33.2 32.5 22.7 UNDECIDED/ 206 30 27 37 49 18 3 124 66 58 53 27 26 22 48 33 15 146 185 21 DON'T KNOW 13.0 18.0 13.9 17.1 12.3 5.1 6.0 12.4 12.4 12.4 15.8 19.6 13.2 9.4 13.8 13.5 12.6 12.1 12.3 26.8 Rows 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 Respondents 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79
Page 38 Table 28 Q6a. There is also an election for U.S. Senate. Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) is running against Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN). If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote â Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or Emken (EM-KIN)? Q6b. In the election for U.S. Senate, did you vote for the Democrat Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE) or the Republican Elizabeth Emken (EM-KIN)? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted 1566 274 189 556 180 281 633 361 250 274 385 1170 876 509 181 769 520 277 963 506 Weighted 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 FEINSTEIN 873 36 44 348 132 291 293 219 129 212 243 626 754 80 40 606 156 111 614 225 55.0 12.0 23.0 63.0 79.1 92.8 42.0 56.4 71.3 74.7 55.6 54.7 88.7 13.0 31.5 78.8 26.1 50.3 54.9 55.7 EMKEN 508 223 107 144 11 8 311 114 32 40 136 371 20 456 32 87 379 42 396 101 32.0 73.8 55.7 26.1 6.7 2.6 44.7 29.4 17.4 14.1 31.0 32.4 2.3 74.6 25.3 11.3 63.3 19.2 35.4 25.0 UNDECIDED/ 206 43 41 60 24 14 93 55 21 32 59 147 76 75 55 76 63 67 108 78 DON'T KNOW 13.0 14.1 21.3 10.9 14.2 4.6 13.4 14.2 11.3 11.2 13.4 12.9 9.0 12.3 43.2 9.9 10.6 30.5 9.7 19.3 Rows 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 Respondents 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404
Page 58 Table 48 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------------- North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- ----------- ----------- San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other 17-24 25-30 Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted 1566 953 613 1179 387 415 327 186 205 345 88 704 509 353 815 751 1566 654 903 387 Weighted 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 FAVORABLE 622 382 240 392 230 123 141 107 123 89 39 73 438 112 313 309 622 284 335 145 39.2 41.0 36.6 35.3 48.4 31.5 49.8 47.6 46.7 26.9 41.7 10.4 80.5 32.5 37.8 40.7 39.2 36.7 41.8 42.0 UNFAVORABLE 788 453 335 594 194 228 114 90 112 194 49 538 66 183 417 371 788 409 369 157 49.7 48.6 51.1 53.4 40.8 58.4 40.5 40.1 42.5 58.5 52.7 77.0 12.2 53.3 50.4 48.8 49.7 52.9 46.1 45.5 NO OPINION 177 96 81 126 51 40 27 28 28 48 5 88 40 49 97 80 177 80 97 43 11.2 10.4 12.3 11.3 10.7 10.1 9.7 12.3 10.8 14.6 5.7 12.6 7.3 14.2 11.7 10.5 11.2 10.4 12.1 12.6 Rows 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 Respondents 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344
Page 59 Table 49 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------- H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted 1566 746 820 208 191 431 422 446 847 267 75 311 93 78 100 40 316 436 443 350 Weighted 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 FAVORABLE 622 322 300 48 62 203 197 179 510 77 5 15 4 2 4 4 82 205 213 120 39.2 43.1 35.8 29.9 27.4 42.0 40.6 46.2 46.6 25.9 5.3 19.9 23.2 28.4 34.5 11.8 33.2 47.2 43.5 29.4 UNFAVORABLE 788 338 450 95 135 237 241 154 493 180 71 31 9 3 3 16 119 179 239 246 49.7 45.2 53.6 59.5 60.1 48.9 49.6 39.7 45.1 60.4 76.5 42.4 48.1 40.7 28.8 44.1 48.6 41.2 48.8 60.3 NO OPINION 177 88 89 17 28 44 47 55 90 41 17 28 5 2 4 16 45 50 37 42 11.2 11.7 10.6 10.5 12.5 9.0 9.7 14.1 8.2 13.7 18.2 37.7 28.7 31.0 36.7 44.1 18.1 11.6 7.6 10.4 Rows 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 Respondents 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408
Page 60 Table 50 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than ----------------- ----------------- Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted 1566 260 230 206 334 275 41 904 465 439 390 174 216 250 294 201 110 1216 1233 333 Weighted 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 FAVORABLE 622 48 74 98 151 144 30 451 218 233 86 27 59 78 105 68 46 510 601 21 39.2 29.0 37.5 45.5 37.7 40.7 63.7 44.8 40.8 49.3 25.8 19.9 30.0 33.2 30.2 27.4 37.4 42.1 39.9 26.7 UNFAVORABLE 788 96 98 93 207 184 17 443 258 185 221 101 119 120 205 152 60 569 744 44 49.7 57.9 49.7 42.9 51.7 51.9 36.2 44.0 48.3 39.2 66.4 74.3 60.8 51.1 58.9 61.3 49.0 47.0 49.4 55.5 NO OPINION 177 22 25 25 42 27 * 113 58 55 26 8 18 37 38 28 17 132 163 14 11.2 13.1 12.8 11.6 10.5 7.5 * 11.2 10.9 11.5 7.8 5.8 9.2 15.7 10.9 11.3 13.6 10.9 10.8 17.8 Rows 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 Respondents 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79
Page 61 Table 51 Q12a. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney, former Massachusetts Governor? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted 1566 274 189 556 180 281 633 361 250 274 385 1170 876 509 181 769 520 277 963 506 Weighted 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 FAVORABLE 622 256 126 190 23 12 374 155 43 39 179 443 43 551 28 131 427 63 467 136 39.2 84.7 65.6 34.5 13.6 3.7 53.6 39.9 23.5 13.7 40.9 38.7 5.1 90.1 22.0 17.1 71.5 28.7 41.8 33.7 UNFAVORABLE 788 25 48 290 118 277 258 182 113 214 210 574 711 25 52 543 131 114 535 216 49.7 8.3 24.9 52.5 70.6 88.5 37.0 46.9 62.5 75.5 48.0 50.1 83.7 4.2 40.8 70.5 21.9 52.0 47.8 53.6 NO OPINION 177 21 18 72 26 25 65 51 25 31 48 128 95 35 47 95 39 42 116 51 11.2 7.0 9.5 13.1 15.8 7.8 9.4 13.2 13.9 10.8 11.1 11.2 11.2 5.7 37.2 12.4 6.6 19.3 10.4 12.7 Rows 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 Respondents 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404
Page 62 Table 52 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------------- North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- ----------- ----------- San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other 17-24 25-30 Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted 1566 953 613 1179 387 415 327 186 205 345 88 704 509 353 815 751 1566 654 903 387 Weighted 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 FAVORABLE 907 506 401 679 228 254 142 87 138 231 54 619 94 194 471 436 907 442 458 192 57.2 54.3 61.3 61.1 48.0 65.1 50.3 38.9 52.4 69.8 57.3 88.5 17.3 56.4 56.9 57.4 57.2 57.2 57.2 55.7 UNFAVORABLE 574 365 209 356 218 113 127 116 108 73 38 47 417 111 305 269 574 271 297 134 36.2 39.2 31.9 32.0 46.0 28.9 44.9 51.6 40.8 21.9 40.8 6.7 76.6 32.2 36.9 35.4 36.2 35.1 37.1 39.0 NO OPINION 106 61 45 77 29 24 14 21 18 27 2 34 33 39 51 54 106 60 46 18 6.7 6.5 6.8 6.9 6.0 6.1 4.8 9.5 6.8 8.2 1.9 4.8 6.0 11.4 6.2 7.2 6.7 7.7 5.7 5.3 Rows 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344 Respondents 1587 932 655 1112 475 391 282 225 264 331 94 699 543 344 827 760 1587 773 801 344
Page 63 Table 53 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Gender Age Ethnicity Education ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------- H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted 1566 746 820 208 191 431 422 446 847 267 75 311 93 78 100 40 316 436 443 350 Weighted 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 FAVORABLE 907 400 507 99 135 277 288 194 561 204 85 45 12 4 6 22 141 195 277 288 57.2 53.6 60.3 62.3 59.9 57.2 59.3 49.8 51.3 68.6 91.3 61.1 65.0 55.4 53.4 62.7 57.5 45.0 56.4 70.7 UNFAVORABLE 574 296 278 44 66 174 175 173 479 58 6 14 4 2 2 6 75 203 186 107 36.2 39.6 33.1 27.3 29.2 36.0 36.0 44.6 43.9 19.6 6.4 19.2 22.8 22.7 18.7 16.7 30.7 46.8 38.0 26.4 NO OPINION 106 51 55 17 25 32 23 22 52 35 2 15 2 2 3 7 29 36 27 12 6.7 6.8 6.5 10.3 11.0 6.7 4.7 5.6 4.8 11.9 2.3 19.7 12.2 21.9 27.9 20.6 11.8 8.2 5.6 3.0 Rows 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408 Respondents 1587 747 840 160 226 483 486 388 1093 298 93 74 19 7 12 36 246 434 490 408
Page 64 Table 54 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Likely to Vote and Regular or New/ Union Occasional Household Income Marital Status Status Voter ----------------------------------- ----------------------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- Single/ New/ Never Married/ Oc- Less More Married Live Together Sprtd Yes, Yes Reg- cas- Than $20 $40- $60- $100K Than ----------------- ----------------- Dvrcd Yes, Pub- Pri- No, ular ional Total -20K -40K -60K -100K -250K $250K Total Women Men Total Women Men Widwd Any lic vate None Voter Voter Unweighted 1566 260 230 206 334 275 41 904 465 439 390 174 216 250 294 201 110 1216 1233 333 Weighted 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 FAVORABLE 907 107 118 106 231 210 25 527 296 231 224 101 123 152 220 166 64 671 857 50 57.2 64.0 59.9 49.3 57.8 59.1 51.9 52.3 55.4 48.8 67.5 74.5 62.6 64.6 63.1 66.8 52.9 55.4 56.8 63.1 UNFAVORABLE 574 45 61 97 158 125 21 412 205 207 86 24 63 72 103 70 43 469 552 22 36.2 27.1 31.2 44.8 39.5 35.2 44.1 40.9 38.3 43.8 26.0 17.3 32.0 30.6 29.6 28.3 35.2 38.7 36.6 27.8 NO OPINION 106 15 17 13 11 20 2 69 34 35 22 11 11 11 25 12 15 71 99 7 6.7 8.9 8.8 5.9 2.7 5.7 4.0 6.8 6.3 7.4 6.6 8.3 5.4 4.9 7.3 4.9 11.9 5.9 6.5 9.1 Rows 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79 Respondents 1587 167 197 216 400 355 47 1007 534 472 332 136 196 236 348 248 122 1211 1508 79
Page 65 Table 55 Q12b. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama, President? Base : Likely Voter Parent of child Presidential Political ideology Religion under 18 Vote Prop 30 Vote Tenure ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Prot/ Unde- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng Other No cided serv- serv- the lib- lib- Chris Cath- Pref- Romn- / Unde- Total ative ative Road eral eral -tian olic Other ence Yes No Obama ey other Yes No cided Own Rent Unweighted 1566 274 189 556 180 281 633 361 250 274 385 1170 876 509 181 769 520 277 963 506 Weighted 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 FAVORABLE 907 33 52 347 143 299 290 225 137 235 250 653 815 32 60 643 135 129 620 247 57.2 10.8 26.8 62.9 85.5 95.3 41.6 57.8 75.6 82.9 57.2 57.0 96.0 5.3 47.3 83.6 22.6 58.5 55.5 61.3 UNFAVORABLE 574 256 130 157 11 9 363 126 36 38 152 422 3 544 27 96 423 55 437 123 36.2 84.7 67.6 28.3 6.3 2.9 52.0 32.3 19.7 13.3 34.8 36.8 0.4 89.0 21.3 12.5 70.8 24.9 39.1 30.5 NO OPINION 106 14 11 49 14 6 44 38 9 11 35 71 31 35 40 30 39 37 61 33 6.7 4.5 5.6 8.8 8.2 1.8 6.3 9.9 4.7 3.8 8.0 6.2 3.7 5.7 31.4 3.9 6.5 16.6 5.4 8.2 Rows 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404 Respondents 1587 302 192 553 167 314 697 389 181 284 437 1145 849 611 126 769 598 220 1118 404
Page 66 Table 56 Q12c. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE), U.S. Senator? Base : Likely Voter (FORM A) Region Area Party Regis. Time period Vote Type (LV) ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------- ----------------- North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- ----------- ----------- San tral S.F. Non- Total Prec- Mail Al- South North In- Diego/ Othr Val- Bay Other Part/ Oct Oct Likly inct Voter ready Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South ey Area North Dem Rep Other 17-24 25-30 Votrs Voter Total Voted Unweighted 815 486 329 608 207 216 162 97 110 180 50 371 279 165 815-815 343 465 168 Weighted 827 486 341 587 240 209 148 117 133 173 47 364 284 179 827-827 399 416 145 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0-100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 FAVORABLE 451 241 210 345 106 125 73 42 67 119 26 274 82 95 451-451 193 251 99 54.6 49.7 61.5 58.7 44.4 59.7 49.4 35.6 50.0 68.7 56.3 75.2 28.9 53.4 54.6-54.6 48.4 60.2 67.9 UNFAVORABLE 251 158 93 143 108 44 49 56 57 32 13 30 171 50 251-251 130 119 35 30.4 32.6 27.2 24.3 45.2 21.0 33.3 47.9 42.9 18.4 27.6 8.4 60.1 27.9 30.4-30.4 32.5 28.6 23.9 NO OPINION 125 86 39 100 25 40 26 19 10 22 8 60 31 33 125-125 76 46 12 15.1 17.7 11.3 17.0 10.4 19.3 17.3 16.5 7.2 13.0 16.1 16.4 11.1 18.7 15.1-15.1 19.1 11.2 8.2 Rows 827 486 341 587 240 209 148 117 133 173 47 364 284 179 827-827 399 416 145 Respondents 827 486 341 587 240 209 148 117 133 173 47 364 284 179 827-827 399 416 145
Page 67 Table 57 Q12c. Generally speaking, do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dianne Feinstein (FINE-STINE), U.S. Senator? Base : Likely Voter (FORM A) Gender Age Ethnicity Education ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------------------------- ----------------------- H.S. Some White Grad- Col- Post non- Viet- uate lege/ Col- Grad- Fe- 65 or Hisp- La- Asian Chin- Kor- nam- Other or Trade lege uate Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older anic tino Black total ese ean ese Asian less Schol Grad Work Unweighted 815 390 425 109 89 225 224 237 463 139 42 136 41 34 41 20 166 218 226 194 Weighted 827 382 445 86 113 248 253 205 567 161 48 35 9 3 5 18 148 220 232 222 FAVORABLE 451 196 255 38 60 128 147 115 298 88 38 19 4 2 2 12 73 109 115 152 54.6 51.3 57.3 44.1 52.8 51.8 58.1 55.8 52.5 54.9 79.1 53.9 38.1 58.7 44.9 63.4 49.3 49.4 49.5 68.5 UNFAVORABLE 251 134 117 32 31 81 79 61 205 31 2 6 2 * * 4 34 77 86 53 30.4 35.1 26.3 37.4 27.1 32.8 31.2 29.6 36.2 19.5 3.9 17.8 20.2 3.7 3.9 22.7 23.3 35.1 37.0 23.9 NO OPINION 125 52 73 16 23 38 27 30 64 41 8 10 4 1 2 3 41 34 31 17 15.1 13.6 16.3 18.5 20.1 15.3 10.7 14.6 11.3 25.5 17.0 28.3 41.7 37.5 51.2 13.9 27.5 15.5 13.4 7.6 Rows 827 382 445 86 113 248 253 205 567 161 48 35 9 3 5 18 148 220 232 222 Respondents 827 382 445 86 113 248 253 205 567 161 48 35 9 3 5 18 148 220 232 222