OHIO STATEWIDE FREIGHT STUDY PROGRESS UPDATE Ohio Conference on Freight: September 12, 2012
Progress and Timeline Dec 2011 Aug 2012 Sept 2012 Dec 2012 Stakeholder Involvement Interviews Supply Chain Survey Freight Analysis FAF Data Economic Trends Assets/Needs Analysis Freight Policies and Strategies Strategy development and analysis 2
FAF Ohio Freight Tonnage Forecast Freight Flows by Mode, by Weight 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 Thousand Tons 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 67% increase 2007 2040 400,000 200,000 0 Air Rail Truck Water 3
FAF Ohio Freight Value Forecast $4,000,000 $3,500,000 Freight Flow by Mode, by Value $3,380,396 $3,000,000 US$ Millions $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $1,677,810 101% increase 2007 2040 $1,000,000 $500,000 $0 $223,346 $263,209 $165,207 $5,472 $63,757 $5,170 Air Rail Truck Water 4
5 Imports to Ohio by $Value
6 Exports from Ohio by $Value
TRUCKING
Truck Traffic on Ohio State System 1975-2010 30,000,000 25,000,000 Vehicle Miles Traveled 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000-1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Truck Traffic 8
9 Sample Commodity Breakdowns: Manufacturing
10 Sample Commodity Breakdowns: Agriculture
11 Sample Commodity Breakdowns: Chemicals
RAIL FREIGHT Issues and Strategies 12
13 Ohio Rail Freight Traffic Density
Ohio Rail Intermodal Facilities 2 0 65 100 100 Containers per Year CSX Cleveland 100,000 NS Toledo (Airline) 65,000 50 NS Cleveland 100,000 CSX Marysville 15,000 NS Columbus 200,000 130 CSX Columbus 130,000 200 CSX Marion 50,000 40 35 110 CSX Cincinnati 40,000 NS Cincinnati (Gest St) 110,000 NS Cincinnati (Sharonville) 35,000 CSX North Baltimore 20,000 14
15 OHIO PORTS
16 Lake Erie Ports
Ohio Lakeport Comparative Analysis Toledo Cleveland Ashtabula Acres Available for Outside Storage 400 300 200 100 0 305 65 8 800000 675,000 Sq Ft of Covered Storage 600000 400000 200000 353,300 400,500 0 Crane Capacity Two 64-ton mobile harbor cranes; two gantry cranes, 110- ton and 72-ton capacity Three 60-ton crawler cranes; one150-ton stationary crane One 70-ton crawler crane; two 45-ton gantry cranes 17
18 AIR FREIGHT
Air Cargo Issues Ohio was once a hub for air freight; now the state has the most unused capacity in North America Extremely challenging business environment Litany of reasons for decline in Ohio air cargo Dominance of FedEx and UPS Use of regional jets decreased belly cargo capacity Shift to 2 nd and 3 rd day delivery by trucks Industry consolidation Competition: Minneapolis, Detroit and Chicago attract shipments from a 500 mile radius Result: vacant facilities in Toledo, Wilmington, and Dayton total nearly 3,000,000 square feet 19
20 FREIGHT STRATEGY DEVELOPMENT
Parking Truck Policy Strategy Brainstorming Sponsor P3 for truck parking facilities Oversize/overweight routes Identify a system of routes for Superloads, inclusive of lake and river ports Funding Identify MAP-21 compliant freight routes (eligible for 95% funding share) Metropolitan-level freight routes Fuel Cost Support of natural gas fuel distribution network for commercial vehicles 21
Congestion and Mobility Trucking Strategies continued Investigate and model the impact of a mode shift Real time system performance information = ITS Evaluate mobility impact of 70mph rural interstate speed limits High productivity truck lanes 22
Mode shift: Rail Freight Strategies Good data on truck freight to gauge the commodity/distance that could be divertible to rail; Expanding domestic intermodal via NS and CSX investments Estimate benefits to highway system, and other public benefits Reporting on rail freight deficiencies ( state of the system? ) to illustrate investment needs Evaluate new or expanding markets Shale oil and gas Agriculture export 23
Ohio River Strategies Evaluate potential mode shifts principally from rail Bulk cargo greater than 500 miles Container on barge as an opportunity How much is realistic? And what impact would such a service have? Designation of some terminals as part of a Superload network Last mile connections to terminals Marine Highway designations (M-70, M-90) what impact? 24
New cargo evaluation Short sea shipping Lake Erie Port Strategies Maher Medford International Terminal real or imaginary Shale oil and gas Inbound materials to Ohio fracking sand, pipe, equipment Outbound petroleum distribution networks Containers vessel feeder service Empty container consolidation to promote Mode shift analysis Freight moving by truck or rail that fits water profile 25
Air Cargo Strategies In spite of the vacant facilities, it will be difficult/ impossible to attract a new air cargo carrier they don t exist Very strategic and niche market development are most appropriate, tailored to each airport. For example, Rickenbacker strategy based on real estate development associated with air cargo-dependent manufacturing Toledo conversion to trucking terminal, and develop manufacturing and related air charter operations Wilmington Airpark niche agricultural products for export 26
Air Cargo Strategies Strategies continued Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky (CVG) strongest cargo operation in the Ohio freight study DHL modernization of facilities, with contingencies for expansion FedEx has increased operations in the area Southern Air could become new tenant Regional discussions of an airpark, though it does not have to be on airport property Given the strength of CVG operation, reliable access will be an important consideration in formulating not only development decisions, but also decisions to relocate in a park whose purpose will be to house activities focused on air logistics 27
Look-ahead: MAP-21 Freight Planning Provisions State Freight Plans Identify significant freight system trends, needs, and issues with respect to the State; Policies, strategies, and performance measures that will guide freight-related transportation investment decisions; Describe how the plan will improve the ability of the State to meet the national freight goals established under section 167 of title 23, United States Code; Consideration of innovative technologies and operational strategies, including ITS, that improve the safety and efficiency of freight movement; Improvements that may be required to reduce or impede the deterioration on heavy vehicle routes; and Inventory of facilities with freight mobility issues, such as truck bottlenecks, within the State, and a description of the strategies the State is employing to address those freight mobility issues. 28
29 Developing High Priority Ohio Truck Routes (Ohio Internal truck trips, or having an Ohio O/D)
30 Links with 1,000 or More Ohio Trucks
31 Links with 2,000 or More Ohio Trucks
32 Links with 3,000 or More Ohio Trucks
33 Links with 4,000 or More Ohio Trucks
34 Links with 5,000 or More Ohio Trucks
35 Links with 6,000 or More Ohio Trucks
36 Links with 7,000 or More Ohio Trucks
37 Links with 8,000 or More Ohio Trucks
38 Links with 9,000 or More Ohio Trucks