SONGS concept abstract.docx
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1 From: Pincetl, Stephanie Sent: Monday, May 12, :50 PM To: Peevey, Michael R. Cc: Gold, Mark Subject: Concept proposal SONGS Attachments: SONGS concept abstract.docx Dear Mike Please find attached our concept proposal for your consideration. We are at your disposal for further clarifications or modifications as you might find necessary. Thank you for soliciting this work initiative. Warm regards sp Stephanie Pincetl Professor in Residence Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA W: C: Office Location: Life Sciences
2 UCLA Center for Sustainable Cities Concept Proposal Stephanie Pincetl, Mark Gold The closure of the San Onofre Nuclear Generating Station (SONGS), offers a unique and timely opportunity for a reconsideration of energy supply and use in Southern California. Developing a power system that is less carbon intensive, reliable and cost effective requires innovative infrastructure that is responsive to demand and adaptive to more distributed power sources. Infrastructure and technology alone, however, are not sufficient. Decision-makers must also develop market mechanisms that incentivize firms and individuals to make decisions in line with greenhouse gas reductions goals. Finally, this transition must maximize benefits to multiple stakeholders including ratepayers, utilities and State agencies. Taking a holistic perspective to examining and understanding current energy use and the potential for substantial transformation, the research will provide California a new path forward that is less carbon intensive, while maintaining a reliable power system for the needs of the 21 st century. The work will provide pathways for long term procurement approaches that will lead to decreases in greenhouse gas (GHG) and criteria air pollutant (CAP) emissions. The research products will provide benefits to multiple stakeholders. Utility Companies Deliverables will assist Southern California Edison and San Diego Gas and Electric in this transition by providing: tools and information to target program resources, evaluation of technologies and market mechanisms to expand renewable generation while maintaining reliability and economic competitiveness, a geo-database for energy planning and forecasting and education and outreach assistance. Ratepayers Deliverables will maximize ratepayer benefits by increasing the value of energy programs through improved design and implementation, maximizing the equity of rate structures through equity and vulnerability analysis, minimizing the health and environmental impacts of new infrastructure through comparative scenarios analysis and empowering ratepayer advocates through interactive data analysis tools. State Agencies Deliverables will help ensure the state s largest region cost effectively and equitably reduces greenhouse gas emissions, prepares for electrifying the transportation sector and maximizes renewable generation. In addition, researchers will use empirical evidence to show what policy interventions have been the most effective, why and where. This work will take place over 5 years and builds on a suite of studies that examine energy consumption in Los Angeles and provide tools for reducing greenhouse gas emissions and air pollutants. This suite of projects is funded by the California Energy Commission (CEC), the County of Los Angeles and the National Science Foundation.
3 This existing work overlays energy use onto socio-demographic data, building characteristics, climate zones, solar resources and other variables. The findings will provide a spatial explicit baseline for building energy consumption in Los Angeles from 2005 through early From this work, we will be advising multiple jurisdications within Los Angeles County about where to invest available energy efficiency funding most effectively while also taking into account equity considerations. We are disseminating the analysis by partnerships with Los Angeles County, The Energy Coalition and the Los Angeles Regional Collaborative for Climate Action and Sustainability (LARC). Supplemented by a Strategic Growth Council grant, the LARC, in conjunction with the California Center for Sustainable Communities, is also embarking on a county-wide education and participation campaign for local governments. The work proposed here will leverage the computational power created through these projects, to continue to track energy use across space and time, monitor and evaluate efficiency investments at the individual meter level and to develop interactive planning tools specifically for utility partners and decision-makers. Expanding this work into the rest of the SCE and SDG&E territories will result in the identification of alternative pathways to successfully respond to the SONGS closure and meet the long-term energy needs of the region while reducing GHG emissions and criteria pollutants. The strategies will involve short term and long term proposed changes and will be nested and tiered. They will include the electricity sector, as well as sectors that drive electricity use, and/or emit GHG emissions. These could include wastewater treatment plants, landfills, water pumping and use, energy and water use by manufacturing and industry and other sectors. Included will be comprehensive regional data collection and analysis to assess and quantify programs and initiatives directed toward energy efficiency, conservation and renewable program investments to determine what has worked, where and why, and to propose future approaches. The UCLA Research Program, in collaboration with our UC colleagues and stakeholders in Southern California will: Establish the patterns of energy Consumption, Generation and Distribution through Geo-location Tools and Analysis Researchers will create a searchable geo-database that connects energy consumption (meter level), power generation and distribution infrastructure, time-of-use profiles, industrial codes, socio-demographics and building type information. This tool will provide a dynamic and granular tool for evaluation and planning to reduce energy consumption and the associated GHGs.. Geographically Specific Program Evaluation and Design Using longitudinal, meter-level, geographically specific data, researchers will evaluate what energy programs have been successful where. Researchers will use these findings to improve future program design and implementation.
4 Grid Transformation Grid infrastructure is an important part of shifting energy supply to alternative sources of energy, particularly distributed generation and intermittent energy sources. Researchers will develop detailed analysis of grid capacity and profile to identify potential for non fossil fuel power. Grid Technology and Reliability Analysis of current grid and its capacity Leverage parcel level information (building use category, age of construction, size of building, etc.), electrical infrastructure data (feeder paths, equipment, etc.), US Census data, and wholesale energy market data (locational marginal prices and capacity prices) to further modeling geographically granular infrastructure investments (distributed generation and building retrofit measures). Develop composite indicators, capturing electricity demand levels, solar radiation levels, building rooftop area, physical infrastructure capacity needed for increased distributed generation, and wholesale electricity prices to develop ideal locations for installing grid connected photovoltaics, and building energy conservation measures. Evaluate and recommend grid modernization potential for new generation and distribution technologies such as: o Energy efficiency o Solar, wind energy o Demand response o Micro-grid and other decentralized grid approaches o Energy storage o Grid supplement with electric vehicles o Integrated load shedding from demand response with non fossil back up generation Examine and understand how IOU and MOU grid interface impact emissions. Behavior and Economics Understanding consumer behavior and expectations are fundamental to change acceptance. We will survey research on energy behavior and programs to determine most effective approaches as well as equity impact of different approaches. Smart meter consumer behavior Demand response behavior. In 2009, CAISO released a study that assesses numerous critical barriers to demand response ( Energy efficiency program evaluation Conservation program evaluation Socio-demographic energy use Messaging effectiveness Regulatory Structure and Programs Researchers will develop a comprehensive analysis of existing regulatory programs and rates to determine how they affect customer behavior, expectations and consumption.
5 This will serve as a basis for identifying program and regulatory reform to encourage alternative generation and greater success for EE and conservation. Energy pricing and subsidies o By customer class CARE program, effectiveness and alternatives Effectiveness of load shedding and location of activity Barriers to implementation of DG o Property ownership o Land use o Local regulations Urban Form, Design and Building Technologies Understanding the relationship between urban form and energy use as well as the effect of building materials on the urban heat island (causing the need for more cooling load) can provide insights into potential new development guidelines that can reduce electricity demand. Estimating the impact of ZNE buildings and other technologies will also be important in estimating electricity demand into the future in the SONGS region. Building age, shell, size and performance Urban form and energy use (e.g. suburban single family vs common wall or denser buildings) Smart buildings Strategies to cool the urban environment that can lead to load reduction Pollution and Health Greenhouse emissions do not directly affect public health, but CAP emissions that are generated by the burning of fossil fuels to, and increased GHG induced heat incidents will contribute to ozone formation. Researchers will estimate the potential health impacts of business as usual (BAU) patterns and contrast them with the different potential pathways for substituting fossil generated electricity with non fossil energy. Air Pollution and Public Health Air quality impacts of new gas fired generation Public health impacts and distribution of those impacts Climate Change Resilience Based on current research at the CCSC we will build additional capacity to integrate downscaled climate prediction models to forecast future load hot spots and grid vulnerability, including to transmission lines into the region from fires and other shocks. Water Energy Nexus Moving water in California is highly energy intensive. Reducing water use will reduce the use of electricity. Based on our current work in Los Angeles examining patterns of water use researchers will develop further analysis of water use in the SONGS service area to develop water use reduction recommendations. We will also examine electricity use in the water and wastewater treatment sector to develop process optimization strategies for energy use reductions and/or opportunities to use methane generated by sewage treatment for cogeneration or other beneficial re-use (renewable gas).
6 Conveyance Treatment Distribution End-use Disposal (wastewater treatment plants) Tools and Outreach In conjunction with on-going CCSC and LARC work, the project will develop additional resources for the communities impacted by the SONGS closure that can be adapted and used throughout the region and the state. Tools for Planners and Policy-Makers This project will include the following resources for planners and policy makers: An integrated roadmap for grid transformation in Southern California including policy recommendations, program design, model codes and ordinances, technology evaluations, etc. Access to a dynamic geo-database for energy planning and program targeting Program evaluations that include, dollars, Kwh and GHG emissions saved over time by specific energy investments by geography, building type, demographics Regionally specific efficiency program design recommendations to maximize the effectiveness of future programs Geographically specific climate vulnerability assessments and recommendations to build climate resilience. Municipal greenhouse gas inventories Cost-benefit analysis of a policy options and scenarios Community Outreach and Education Transforming the grid will necessitate changes in how individuals consume electricity. This project will include an extensive analysis of messaging about energy use and how to best inform the public. Assessing educational materials that exist and their effectiveness will be part of this work. Final Work Product The final work product will provide analysis of BAU versus feasible alternatives starting with loading order priorities and working to add more holistic approaches that include the numbers of sectors that use electricity. The specific focus of the research will be on reducing GHG and CAP taking into strong consideration equity impacts. We will develop with nested and tiered specific alternatives that will provide sufficient reliable energy generation that can substitute for additional fossil fuel generation. Our research efforts will result in a plan that will move the service area as close to carbon neutrality as feasible, and combat increased air pollution as well. This work product will be provided to the CPUC, CEC, SCE, SDG&E as well as to cities and counties in the respective utility service areas. It should provide a template for the rest of the state, and beyond. Timeline Year 1- Collect organize, clear data and create geo-database tool, build stakeholder groups, build research teams, design methods
7 Year 2-3 Conduct Research Year 4-5 Finalize research, complete design and development of analytical tools and templates, conduct trainings, complete regional outreach and dissemination of all project deliverables. Budget Total five year budget -- $25 million: Geo-location Tools and Analysis -- $5M Grid Transformation -- $7M Behavior and Economics -- $3M Land Use Policy and Urban Design -- $2M Pollution and Health -- $5M Tools and Outreach -- $3M
8 From: Sent: To: Subject: Pincetl, Stephanie Sunday, January 04, :15 PM peevey Best Wishes Dear Mike All the very best for 2015! We look forward to working with you, brainstorming and pushing the envelope. Your leadership and support has been invaluable to our work, but also in changing the dialogue in the state. Your legacy will be remembered and I am also sure you are not done. Very best regards stephanie Stephanie Pincetl Professor in Residence Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu W: C Office Location: Life Sciences
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10 From: Pincetl, Stephanie Sent: Thursday, October 02, :09 PM To: Peevey, Michael R. Cc: Craig Perkins; Gold, Mark; Elizabeth, Zoe Subject: Fwd: CPUC Identifies Changes Needed To Proposed San Onofre Settlement Before Further Consideration Can Be Given: CPUC Press Release Dear Mike It would help us enormously if the language for the SONGS agreement was slightly modified. Here is our proposal below, with the original language in the next paragraph. We are concerned that without more specific language about campuses w/in the territories of the utilities, it will be difficult for us to participate. thanks very much Stephanie Pincetl Professor in Residence Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA W: C: Office Location: Life Sciences 5362 (a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on one or more campuses within the SCE and SDG&E service territories, engaged in energy technology development) to create a Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in California. 1
11 1.32. The Agreement is hereby amended by adding Section 4.16 to the Agreement in the appropriate numerical location, to read as follows: Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Research: Subject to the Commission s approval of the Agreement, (a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on one or more campuses, engaged in energy technology development) to create a Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in California. (b) The RD&D program will operate for up to five years following the Commission s approval of the Tier 2 Advice Letter described in section 4.16(e). (c) SCE will pledge and donate $4 million annually for five years, and SDG&E will pledge and donate $1 million annually for five years, so that the total amounts donated will be $5 million annually for five years. All such donations will be from shareholder funds. (d) Within 60 days of the Effective Date, the Utilities commit to host a meeting with UC representatives and other interested parties with the goal of crafting a Program Implementation Plan (PIP). The Commission s Energy Division shall provide support in coordinating the meeting. (e) Within 30 days thereafter, the Utilities shall jointly file, and serve, a PIP via a Tier 2 Advice Letter that describes the process for implementation, a proposed schedule and budget, and expected results, applications, and demonstrations. (f) The Utilities will file, and serve, an annual report to the Energy Division to 2
12 R m m apprise the Commission of the program s progress towards beta testing of developed technologies, methodologies, and/or design changes. Nidia Bautista Legislative Consultant Office of Senator Kevin de Leόn 22 nd Senate District (916) (916) FAX -- Craig Perkins President & Executive Director Generating Capital for Communities Through Energy Tel: x.20 Cell: cperkins@energycoalition.org 3
13 From: Pincetl, Stephanie Sent: Thursday, October 02, :13 PM To: Peevey, Michael R. Cc: Florio, Michel Peter; Gold, Mark; Craig Perkins; Elizabeth, Zoe Subject: Re: CPUC Identifies Changes Needed To Proposed San Onofre Settlement Before Further Consideration Can Be Given: CPUC Press Release Greatly appreciated. thanks a lot stephanie On Oct 2, 2014, at 3:11 PM, Peevey, Michael R. <michael.peevey@cpuc.ca.gov> wrote: Thanks. I have already, in consultation with Commissioner Florio, modified the language to make it more precise, etc. I think you will find it satisfactory for our joint purposes---reducing GHG in SCal. From: Pincetl, Stephanie [mailto:spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu] Sent: Thursday, October 02, :09 PM To: Peevey, Michael R. Cc: Craig Perkins; Gold, Mark; Elizabeth, Zoe Subject: Fwd: CPUC Identifies Changes Needed To Proposed San Onofre Settlement Before Further Consideration Can Be Given: CPUC Press Release Dear Mike It would help us enormously if the language for the SONGS agreement was slightly modified. Here is our proposal below, with the original language in the next paragraph. We are concerned that without more specific language about campuses w/in the territories of the utilities, it will be difficult for us to participate. thanks very much Stephanie Pincetl Professor in Residence Director, California Center for Sustainable Communities Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, UCLA spincetl@ioes.ucla.edu W: C: Office Location: Life Sciences 5362 (a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on 1
14 one or more campuses within the SCE and SDG&E service territories, engaged in energy technology development) to create a Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in California The Agreement is hereby amended by adding Section 4.16 to the Agreement in the appropriate numerical location, to read as follows: Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Research: Subject to the Commission s approval of the Agreement, (a) As part of their philanthropic programs, each of SCE and SDG&E agree to work with the University of California Energy Institute (or other existing UC entity, on one or more campuses, engaged in energy technology development) to create a Research, Development, and Demonstration (RD&D) program, whose goal would be to deploy new technologies, methodologies, and/or design modifications to reduce GHG emissions, particularly at current and future generating plants in California. (b) The RD&D program will operate for up to five years following the Commission s approval of the Tier 2 Advice Letter described in section 4.16(e). (c) SCE will pledge and donate $4 million annually for five years, and SDG&E will pledge and donate $1 million annually for five years, so that the total amounts donated will be $5 million annually for five years. All such donations will be 2
15 from shareholder funds. (d) Within 60 days of the Effective Date, the Utilities commit to host a meeting with UC representatives and other interested parties with the goal of crafting a Program Implementation Plan (PIP). The Commission s Energy Division shall provide support in coordinating the meeting. (e) Within 30 days thereafter, the Utilities shall jointly file, and serve, a PIP via a Tier 2 Advice Letter that describes the process for implementation, a proposed schedule and budget, and expected results, applications, and demonstrations. (f) The Utilities will file, and serve, an annual report to the Energy Division to apprise the Commission of the program s progress towards beta testing of developed technologies, methodologies, and/or design changes. Nidia Bautista Legislative Consultant Office of Senator Kevin de Leόn 22 nd Senate District (916) (916) FAX -- Craig Perkins President & Executive Director <image001.jpg> Generating Capital for Communities Through Energy Tel: x.20 Cell cperkins@energycoalition.org 3
16 From: Pincetl, Stephanie Sent: Tuesday, July 29, :01 PM To: Gold, Mark; Craig Perkins; Peevey, Michael R. Subject: Roadmap to reposer CA with wind, water and sunlight Attachments: RoadmapRepoweringCAwithRenewables.pdf 1
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