The Green Deal Market Report Update - March 2013

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The Green Deal Market Report Update - March 2013 Published: 25/03/2013 / Number of Pages: 107 / Price: 845.00 495.

1 The Green Deal Market Report Update - March 2013 Published: 25/03/2013 / Number of Pages: 107 / Price: Introduction and Overview AMA Research are pleased to announce publication of:'the Green Deal Market Report Update - March 2013', which was first published in July The report was completed in March 2013 and provides current information about the Green Deal following the launch in January 2013.This report updates our review of the scheme, key players, providers, processes and core product areas for energy improvements. This update also includes our market size estimates for 2012 and forecasts to 2016, for the majority of product sectors covered under the scheme. Key content covered: Insulation - wall, roof, floor. Heating - boilers, heating controls, underfloor heating etc. Lighting - energy efficient systems, fittings and controls. Glazing - energy efficient glazing and external doors. Microgeneration - Biomass boilers, Solar PV and Solar thermal, Ground and Air Source heat pumps. The Green Deal Finance Company (TGDFC) launched their finance package at the end of January TGDFC offers funding to every accredited provider and will offer the same rate of finance to the widest possible range of consumers. Areas of particular interest include: Impact of Green Deal scheme on key product markets and future prospects. Overview of Green Deal - process, providers and key stages of the scheme. Overview of the finance package available e.g. interest rates, cashback scheme etc, including the different schemes available in Scotland, England and Wales. List of Green Deal providers (as at November 2012). Opportunities for manufacturers and installers created by the Green Deal and barriers to uptake of the Green Deal. Overview of key product sectors covered under the Green Deal including market sizes, market trends, product mix and

2 key suppliers. Key market influences including expenditure on home improvements, mix of housing stock, energy supplies and Government incentives and initiatives. Detailed market data and insight on the green deal march 2013 market by AMA Research, a leading UK provider of construction market intelligence. Key Companies included: Anglian, Armacell, Baxi Heating, Cellecta, Celotex, EcoLEDLighting, Ecotherm Insulation UK, Energy Conservation Solutions, Enfis, Hodgson & Hodgson, Holophane Europe, Ideal Stelrad Group, Jablite, Kingspan Insulation, Knauf Insulation, Latium, MARL International, Mayplas, Osram, Panel Systems, Philips PowellLED, Promat UK, Recticel, Rockwool, Safestyle, Saint Gobain Isover (SGI), Springvale EPS, Superglass Insulation, Thermal Economics, Uponor, URSA UK, Vaillant UK, Vita Cellular Foams, Warmup, Wavin UK, Worcester Bosch Group, Xtratherm, Zeta Group, Zumtobel. Overview of the Green Deal Definition of The Green Deal and background information. Key product sectors covered under the Green Deal - Insulation, Heating, Lighting, Glazing, Microgeneration. Green Deal process, finance options and key parties involved in the value chain. Details of each stage of the process, e.g. providers, assessors, installers and energy companies. Barriers and opportunities for manufacturers and suppliers. The Green Deal Finance Company (TGDFC) - list of members as at Nov Brief overview of building regulations and their impact on the key product areas covered in the Green Deal. Insulation Market Overview of insulation market trends, current market size & forecasts Product mix by type of insulation, loft insulation market, Insulated render market size. Solid Wall Insulation market size - new build/retro, external/internal, Cavity/Solid Wall installations by area. Key application areas under the Green Deal including wall, floor and roof insulation. Supply structure and company profiles of key suppliers of insulation products - shares etc. Heating and Lighting Products Overview of heating market and energy efficient lighting products including market size and forecasts Market size, trends and future prospects of boilers, heating controls, underfloor heating, domestic ventilation and air conditioning Market size, trends and future prospects of energy efficicent lighting products including lamps, luminaires and lighting controls Other issues covered include legislation, energy supplies and key suppliers of heating and lighting products. Door and Windows Market

3 Windows and external door market size and trends for the residential market Market size by volume and value for residential windows, entrance doors and patios. Key suppliers of glazing and doors in the domestic sector. Microgeneration Market Overview of microgeneration - key issues, drivers, barriers to growth etc. Market size for air and ground source heat pumps, biomass boilers - market trends, product mix, forecasts to Market size of Solar thermal heating and Solar PV systems installations. Installations by country and region. Report Summary In 2011, the Government introduced the Energy Act which included the provision for a new 'Green Deal' and a new Energy Company Obligation (ECO) to replace the existing Carbon Emissions Reduction Target (CERT) and the Community Energy Saving Programme (CESP), both of which will expire in The 'soft launch' of the Green Deal took place in November 2012 and officially came into force on 28th January The scheme was launched several months later than planned due to a delay in setting up the IT systems required to manage the process. The Green Deal Finance Company (TGDFC) launched their finance package at the end of January TGDFC will offer funding to every accredited provider and will offer the same rate of finance to the widest possible range of consumers. As is well-known, The Green Deal enables private companies/organisations to offer energy-efficiency improvements to householders and businesses at no upfront cost. The key areas for energy improvements are insulation, heating, glazing, lighting and microgeneration measures. The list of Green Deal qualifying improvements include 45 measures of which 15 are more specifically targeted at the non-domestic sector. The high average age of dwelling stock has major implications for energy-efficiency in the UK, with very poor standards of insulation and heating efficiency in many older properties. For example, around 7 to 8 million properties with solid walls are not insulated. The installation of energy efficiency measures under the Green Deal is largely dependent on educating homeowners, creating awareness and gaining their confidence, particularly in the early months. As the report highlights, these product sectors are major markets. Building insulation is worth well over 1 billion with cavity and loft insulation significant sectors.. The glazing industry is now a mature sector but still worth over 2 billion and continuing to benefit from improving performance standards for glass. Improvements in boiler efficiency and wider installation of radiator thermostats are also helping to drive market growth and should be major beneficiaries of the Green Deal. Essentially, the Green Deal will be funded by private capital and implemented by private sector participants. The key parties involved are the Green Deal Providers, Assessors, and Installers, and the energy companies collecting the payments. Initial estimates from DECC are that approximately 150,000 solid wall insulation schemes will be taken up through the Green Deal, along with the installation of around 830,000 cavity wall insulation measures, and 365,000 loft insulation measures. List of Report Contents Contents Listing 1. INTRODUCTION BACKGROUND 6

4 1.2 SOURCES OF INFORMATION 6 2. SUMMARY 8 3. ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT KEY INDICATORS GDP INTEREST RATES AND INFLATION HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION AND SAVINGS RATIO CONCLUSIONS OVERVIEW OF THE GREEN DEAL DEFINITION OF THE GREEN DEAL KEY PRODUCT SECTORS BACKGROUND INFORMATION The Green Deal Consultation Document KEY PARTIES CURRENT SITUATION - JANUARY THE GREEN DEAL PROCESS Providers Assessors/Advisors Installers Payment Collection KEY MARKET INFLUENCES NEW NATIONAL HOUSEBUILDING RMI SELF BUILD MIX OF HOUSEBUILDING STARTS AND COMPLETIONS HOUSING STOCK - CURRENT AND FORECASTS UP TO

5 5.6 THE BUILDING REGULATIONS ENERGY SUPPLIES IN THE UK Renewable Sources of Energy GOVERNMENT INCENTIVES AND INITIATIVES The Microgeneration Certification Scheme (MCS) Solar PV Carbon Emissions Reduction Target Home Energy Saving Programme INSULATION MARKET MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS OVERVIEW OF INSULATION PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS Roof Insulation Floor Insulation Wall Insulation SUPPLY STRUCTURE HEATING BOILERS Definition Market Size Fuel Used Product Mix Biomass Boilers Suppliers HEATING CONTROLS Market Size 69

6 7.2.2 Home Ownership Legislative Changes Product Mix Suppliers UNDER FLOOR HEATING Definition Market Size Product Mix UFH Controls Suppliers DOMESTIC VENTILATION AND AIR CONDITIONING ENERGY EFFICIENT LIGHTING MARKET DEFINITIONS MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS DOMESTIC SECTOR PRODUCT TRENDS FUTURE PROSPECTS DOOR AND WINDOWS MARKET GLAZING MARKET SIZE AND TRENDS OVERALL MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL ENTRANCE DOORS REPLACEMENT MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL ENTRANCE DOORS SUPPLY MICROGENERATION MARKET HEAT PUMPS Market / Product Definition Types of Heat Pump 93

7 Market Size Product Mix Barriers to Growth Suppliers SOLAR THERMAL & PV Solar PV Solar Thermal Solar PV Market Size Supply and Distribution Structure 106 Tables & Charts TABLE 1 KEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS 2008 TO 2016 (% ) 10 TABLE 2 LIST OF GREEN DEAL QUALIFYING IMPROVEMENTS JANUARY TABLE 3 EXAMPLE TERM LOAN INTEREST RATES FOR GREEN DEAL PLANS 23 CHART 4 GREEN DEAL SUMMARY VALUE CHAIN - 6 KEY STEPS 25 TABLE 5 HOUSE BUILDING COMPLETIONS GREAT BRITAIN ('000 DWELLINGS) 31 CHART 6 DOMESTIC CONSTRUCTION OUTPUT GROWTH (NEW BUILD AND RMI) AND FORECASTS 2006 TO BY VALUE ( MILLION AT CURRENT PRICES) 32 CHART 7 UK SELF-BUILD MARKET - COMPLETIONS BY VOLUME CHART 8 HOUSEBUILDING COMPLETIONS IN ENGLAND - % MIX BY TYPE OF DWELLING CHART 9 MIX OF STOCK OF DWELLINGS BY AGE ENGLAND 36 TABLE 10 UK HOUSING STOCK PROFILE - COMPARISONS BY AGE PROFILE 2009 AND VOLUME OF DWELLINGS (MILLIONS) 37 CHART 11 HOUSING STOCK NOT CONNECTED TO THE GAS GRID -GT. BRITAIN, CHART 12 FUEL INPUT FOR ELECTRICITY GENERATION BY MILLION TONNES OF OIL EQUIVALENT (TOE) CHART 13 POSSIBLE FUTURE ENERGY GENERATION MIX BY FUEL TYPE 2020 (GAS, NUCLEAR, RENEWABLES, COAL, OTHERS) 41

8 CHART 14 ELECTRICITY GENERATION FROM RENEWABLE SOURCES (%) (WIND, BIOFUELS, HYDRO, PHOTOVOLTAICS ETC) 42 CHART 15 NUMBER OF MEASURES DELIVERED UNDER CERT BY TECHNOLOGY 45 TABLE 16 UK BUILDING INSULATION MARKET 2005 TO 2015 BY VALUE ( MILLION MSP) 47 CHART 17 MIX OF INSULATION BY MATERIAL % BY VALUE 49 TABLE 18 VOLUME OF LOFT INSULATION INSTALLATIONS UNDER CERT 2008/11 - (MILLION M2) 53 TABLE 19 FORECASTS FOR INSULATED RENDER SYSTEMS BY AREA INSTALLED (MILLION SQ M) TABLE 20 UK DOMESTIC SOLID WALL INSULATION MARKET MIX ('000S OF INSTALLATIONS) TABLE 21 VOLUME OF WALL INSULATION INSTALLATIONS BY AREA UNDER CERT 2008/11 - (MILLION M2) 56 CHART 22 UK RETROFIT MARKET BY APPLICATION BY AREA INSTALLED TABLE 23 UK MARKET SHARES BY VALUE TABLE 24 UK DOMESTIC BOILER MARKET BY VALUE ( M MSP) CHART 25 BOILER SALES MIX BY TYPE OF FUEL (GAS-FIRED, OIL-FIRED, ELECTRIC, ETC.) - BY VOLUME CHART 26 UK DOMESTIC BOILER VOLUME SALES % SHARE BY TYPE TABLE 27 SALES OF BIOMASS BOILER INSTALLATIONS (BY VOLUME AND VALUE), ALL SECTORS 66 CHART 28 BIOMASS BOILER AND PELLET STOVE INSTALLATIONS UK TABLE 29 UK DOMESTIC BOILER SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARE TABLE 30 UK DOMESTIC HEATING CONTROLS MARKET ( M MSP) CHART 31 HOME OWNERSHIP OF DIFFERENT TYPES OF DOMESTIC HEATING CONTROLS - % BY VOLUME CHART 32 HEATING CONTROLS PRODUCT MIX - THERMOSTATS, PROGRAMMERS, TRVS, MOTORISED VALVES, COMPENSATORS - BY VALUE TABLE 33 UK UNDERFLOOR HEATING MARKET ( M MSP) CHART 34 UK UNDERFLOOR HEATING MARKET % PRODUCT MIX BY VALUE TABLE 35 UK UNDERFLOOR HEATING SUPPLIERS % MARKET SHARE TABLE 36 UK MARKET FOR ENERGY EFFICIENT LIGHTING (LAMPS & LUMINAIRES/CONTROLS) 2007 TO BY VALUE ( M AT MSP) 82 TABLE 37 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL WINDOWS BY VOLUME AND VALUE AT TRADE PRICES TABLE 38 UK MARKET FOR RESIDENTIAL ENTRANCE DOORS BY VOLUME & VALUE AT TRADE PRICES

9 CHART 39 ESTIMATED SALES OF GROUND SOURCE AND AIR SOURCE HEAT PUMPS BY VOLUME CHART 40 HEAT PUMP MARKET - PRODUCT MIX BY VOLUME CHART 41 MARKET FORECASTS OF INSTALLATIONS OF GSHP'S AND ASHP'S BY VOLUME 100 CHART 42 SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC INSTALLATIONS INTO RESIDENTIAL HOUSING, - ESTIMATED SHARE BY COUNTRY CHART 43 SOLAR PHOTOVOLTAIC INSTALLATIONS INTO RESIDENTIAL HOUSING, ESTIMATED SHARE BY ENGLISH REGION 105 The 'The Green Deal Market Report Update - March 2013' costs 495+VAT (if applicable) for a PDF version. Other formats are available - click here for a information about available report formats. All AMA reports are sold with a single user licence as standard. For more information about AMA licences click here. About AMA Research Established in 1989, AMA Research is widely recognised as the leading specialist provider of market research to the UK building and construction industries. AMA s research and analysis goes beyond the more commonly available range of statistical and company information to provide expert, informed commentary and in-depth market analysis, making the reports a valuable and relevant resource for understanding the UK s construction and associated markets. We offer the following: Consultancy and bespoke research projects Published research reports high quality, detailed research reviews covering a wide range of environmental, building and construction products. Our extensive experience and in-house research database enables us to offer specialised and flexible bespoke research services, as well as giving excellent value for money. Our experienced in-house team of researchers are experts in their fields and adept in conducting original and relevant research for reports or bespoke projects, and key decision makers across the building and construction industries, both in the UK and abroad, frequently use our high-quality reports as their primary source of market data. To find out more about AMA Research, visit: or call us on

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