Mexico : An Emerging Opportunity. Cam Boulton, P. Eng McDaniel International Ltd. CGEF Conference World of Opportunity 2014
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1 Mexico : An Emerging Opportunity Cam Boulton, P. Eng McDaniel International Ltd. CGEF Conference World of Opportunity 2014
2 Overview of Oil & Gas in Mexico 1869 First oil discovered 1938 Expropriation PEMEX 1970 s Discovered supergiant Cantarell Field 2013 New Energy Reform 1920 s Mexico 2 nd largest oil producer 1958 PEMEX exclusive operator 2008 Energy reforms attempted
3 Oil and Gas Basins of Mexico
4 2P Reserves
5 Oil and Gas Discoveries
6 Current Situation
7 Current Situation Crude Oil Breakdown Natural Gas Breakdown
8 Mexico Reform Production levels and reserves down less independent Capital expenditures up significantly Technically challenging opportunities and need for innovative ideas Other Latin American countries have experienced positive results with private investment: Colombia 33% drop from peak production prior to reform in % increase in production after reform Brazil 135% increase in production after reform in 1997
9 Opportunities: A Piece of the Pie 2P RESERVES (MMBOE) Entitlement Regime Service Contracts Lower risk Operated by PEMEX Free to contract by PEMEX 20,590, 83% 4,210, 17% 4 Contract Types Service contracts Production sharing Profit sharing Licenses Migrated Contracts Higher risk Pemex initiates migration CNH/SENER established terms Pemex Farmouts 14 blocks 2P Reserves 1,557 MMBOE Projected annual investments of $4.1 billion USD for the next 4 years PROSPECTIVE RESOURCES (MMBOE) 22,126, 21% 83,236, 79% Round one and subsequent rounds of bidding Round One consists of 109 blocks of prospective resources 14,606MMBOE 60 blocks of 2P reserves 3,782MMBOE Projected annual investments of $8.525 billion USD for the next 4 years
10 Round 1 Structure
11 Where are the Opportunities?
12 Deepwater Gulf of Mexico Deepwater Perdido and Deepwater Gas Perdido Area Prospective Resources Deepwater Gas Prospective Resources Hydrocarbon Type 1,591 MMboe 3,222 MMboe Heavy oil, light oil, gas Reservoir Lithology Carbonates, sands Recovery Challenges Ultra deep in Perdido area Potential deepwater EOR recovery Capital intensive Development Possibility PEMEX farmouts in Trion, Maximino, Exploratus, Kunah and Kiklis fields. Exploration blocks
13 Southeastern Southeastern basin Reserves Prospective Resources Hydrocarbon Type Reservoir Lithology 1,111 MMboe 724 MMboe Heavy oil Fractured carbonates Recovery Challenges Heavy oil, extra heavy oils Unconventional production techniques Development Possibility PEMEX heavy oil and mining farmouts Ogarrio, Cardenas, Mora, Sinan, Bolontiku, Ek, Utsil- Tekel Ayatsil fields Exploration and development blocks
14 Chicontepec & Unconventional Chicontepec and Unconventional Reserves Prospective Resources Hydrocarbon Type Reservoir Lithology 2,671 MMboe 8,927 MMboe Heavy oil, light oil and gas Sands Recovery Challenges Unconventional fields Geologically complex Low por/perm Highly heterogenous Hydraulic fracturing Development Possibility Exploration and development blocks
15 Unconventional Unconventional Cuenco de Sabinas Prospective Resources Hydrocarbon Type Reservoir Lithology 142 MMboe Gas Shale Recovery Challenges Unconventional shale gas Hydraulic fracturing Development Possibility Exploration blocks
16 Summary of Opportunities Gulf of Mexico Deepwater Perdido and Deepwater Gas Southeastern basin Chicontepec and Unconventional Unconventional Cuenco de Sabinas Reserves 1,111 MMboe 2,671 MMboe Prospective Resources 4,813 MMboe 724 MMboe 8,927 MMboe 142 MMboe Hydrocarbon Type Heavy oil, light oil, gas Heavy oil Heavy oil, light oil and gas Gas Reservoir Lithology Carbonates, sands Fractured carbonates Sands Shale Recovery Challenges Ultra deep in Perdido area Potential deepwater EOR recovery Capital intensive Heavy oil, extra heavy oils Unconventional production techniques Unconventional fields Geologically complex Low por/perm Highly heterogenous Hydraulic fracturing Unconventional shale gas Hydraulic fracturing Development Possibility PEMEX farmouts in Trion, Maximino, Exploratus, Kunah and Kiklis fields. Exploration blocks PEMEX heavy oil and mining farmouts Ogarrio, Cardenas, Mora, Sinan, Bolontiku, Ek, Utsil-Tekel Ayatsil fields Exploration and development blocks Exploration blocks Exploration and development blocks
17 License Contracts Structure Income tax 30% (as Income of January tax 2014) Compensation to State A percentage Compensation payment to the state based on project s basic gross income (on top of royalties) License Contract Signing Bonus Predetermined, moderate Signing cash Bonus payment, indicative of contractor commitment Exploration Fee Royalties A monthly payment during the exploration phase $1,150 Exploration pesos per km2 during first 60 months (approx. Fee US$87) $2,750 pesos per km2 from month 61 (approx. US$207)
18 License Contracts Structure - Royalties Non Associated Natural Gas Gas Price < $5/mcf : 0.0% $5/mcf < Gas Signing Price < Bonus US$5.5/Mcf : [(Price - 5) x 60.5]/Price Gas Price > $5/mcf : Gas Price/100 Condensate Royalties Condensate Price < $60/bbl : 5.0% Condensate Price Compensation > $60/bbl : [(0.125 x Price) - 2.5]% License Contract Associated Natural Gas Agreed Gas Price/100 Exploration Fee *ie 10% for condensate price of $100/bbl Oil Royalties Oil Price < $48/bbl : 7.5% Oil Price > $48/bbl : [(0.125 x Price) + 1.5]% Royalties *ie 14% for oil price of $100/bbl
19 Profit/Production Sharing Contracts Income tax Profit/Production Sharing Cost recovery Profit/Production + certain % Compensation of profits Sharing based on an established threshold (either paid in kind or cash) Profit/ Production Sharing Contracts Signing Bonus Royalties Exploration Fee
20 Summary Mexico has become less independent Foreign investment opportunities Exploration/development opportunities span all hydrocarbon and reservoir types Significant opportunities available for companies that have expertise in heavy oil, deepwater or shale gas exploitation
21 Cautionary Statements The opinions expressed within this presentation are those of the authors/presenters. No representation or warrant, express or implied, is made by McDaniel as to the certainty or completeness of the information contained in this presentation, and nothing contained in this presentation is, or shall be relied upon, as a promise or representation by McDaniel This presentation may not be reproduced, in whole or in part. The disclosure of any of the data contained herein or supplied in connection herewith or the use thereof for any other purpose, except with the written consent of McDaniel, is strictly prohibited
22 Thank You
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