T e ag as c N ati o n al F ar m P r e l i m i n y R e s u l
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2 T e ag as c N ati o n al F ar m P r e l i m i n y R e s u l ar ts S u r v e y Em m ad i l l o n, B r i an M o r an, Jo h n L e n n o n & T r e v o r D o n n e l l an R u r al E c o n o m y De v e l o p m e n tp r o g r am m e, T e ag as c, A th e n r y, C o. G al w ay.
3 Outline 1. Family Farm Income Definition 2. Overview of Farm Income Results Farm Systems Analysis -Income Distribution -Regional Results 3. Spotlight on Dairy 4. Receipt of Direct Payments Investment & Borrowings 6. Farm Demographics 7. Farm Viability 8. Conclusion
4 Family Farm Income per farm 31,374 FFI Family Farm Income Definition Calculated by deducting all farm costs from total gross output. Family labour is not included as a cost so FFI is the return to family labour, management and investment. Family Farm Income K 20K 26,303 23,847 31,374 Population by FarmSystem Tillage 9% Sheep 15% Dairying 18% 35K 30K 25K 20K 24.2K 23.5K Breakdown of the NFS Farm Population FarmSystem Population CattleOther 32% CattleOther CattleRearing 27,286 19,691 Dairying 15,639 Sheep 12,758 Tillage 7,387 MixedLivestock 1,838 Total 84,599 CattleRearing 23% Family Farm Income ( ) K 30.1K 26.3K 25.4K 23.2K 25.0K 23.8K 19.9K 10K 15K 10K 18.8K 13.7K K
5 Family Farm Income Distribution % earn less than 10,000 Income Distribution All Farm Systems < 10K 10-30K K 30-50K 7% of farms earn in excess of 100,000 Major differences accross Farming Systems 13 % >100K 11 % 35 % 35 % 7 % Income Distribution Dairy Farms 2017 Income Distribution Cattle Rearing Farms 2017 >100K 30 % 10-30K 11 % < 10K 3 % 30-50K 17 % 30-50K 8 % 10-30K 37 % < 10K 53 % K 40 %
6 Family Farm Income per Farm by System Population by Farm System 2017 Year K 80K 60K 52,155 86,115 Sheep 12.8K Tillage7.4K CattleOther 27.3K 40K 20K 0K 30,840 37,158 16,853 15,708 12,516 16,651 16,897 12,680 Dairying Tillage CattleOther Sheep CattleRearing Dairying 15.6K CattleRearing 19.7K Family Farm Income per Annual W ork Unit by System Year Family Labour Units by Farm System % 60K 66,558 Dairying K 40,252 36,355 45,645 Sheep CattleRearing K 23,956 25,751 14,312 15,545 16,916 15,276 Tillage CattleOther K Dairying Tillage CattleOther Sheep CattleRearing 66.2%
7 Northern & W estern FarmSystem Population U.A.A FFI FFI per ha AllFarms CattleOther CattleRearing Dairying Sheep Tillage 29,789 9,800 9,643 2,229 7, ,164 12,436 9,881 62,860 14,640 24, , New NUTS Regions - Jan 2018 Geographical Classification for sub-division of EU countries Change from 2 to 3 Regions for Ireland: Eastern & Midland /Northern & W estern /Southern Eastern & Midland FarmSystem Population U.A.A FFI FFI per ha AllFarms 17, , CattleOther 6, , Southern FarmSystem Population U.A.A FFI FFI per ha AllFarms CattleOther 38,027 10, ,499 19, CattleRearing Dairying Sheep Tillage 2,650 1,932 2,346 2, , ,753 22,621 45, , CattleRearing 7, , FarmSystem Dairying 11, ,270 1,623 All Sheep 3, , Tillage 4, ,
8 Focus on Dairy
9 Dairying System Results National Average Dairy Farm Income per Farm 86,115 FFI FFI ( ) per Cow 1,136 Dairying Income Farm Investment ( ) 2017 per Farm Output & Margin cent per litre of milk K 80K 86,115 25,118 YE_AR Milk Price Total Costs Net Margin K 60K 50K 62,141 52,155 Gross New Investment K Soil Types 30K Soil Group (3) 20K Soil Group (2) 10K 0K Farm Characteristics Year Age of Holder Dairy Cows Family Labour Units Total Area Area Owned U.A.A FFI per ha Soil Group (1) ,545
10 Dairying System Results National Dairy Stocking Rate YE_AR Cows per ha - Avg Cows per ha - Btm Cows per ha - Mid Cow per ha - Top Financial performance per hectare 2017 by Region Gross_Output_ha Direct_Costs_ha Gross_Margin_ha Overhead_Costs_ha FFI per ha 4,000 3,975 3,448 3,773 3,000 2,659 2,500 2,099 2,000 1,650 1,316 1,349 1,228 1,274 1, ,000 1,623 0 Eastern & Midland Northern & W estern Southern Selected Dairy Techncial performance Indicators YE_AR Grazing days Concentrate Kg per Cow Milk sales per ha (lt) Milk Yield per Cow (lt) Herd SCC Milk solids per cow (kg)
11 Dairying System Results Regional Comparision Farm Characteristics by Region 2017 NUTS_II_Code Dairy Cows Family Labour Units Eastern & Midland Southern Northern & W estern Total Area Area Owned U.A.A FFI , , ,860 Dairying Income per ha by Region NUTS_II_Code Eastern & Midland Northern & W estern Southern 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, ,650 1,623 1,278 1,228 1,072 1, Change in cow number NUTS_II_Code CSO CSO % change Eastern & Midland 161,060 National 1,070,755 Northern & W estern 130,711 Southern 778,984 Dairy Population by Region 2017 Eastern& Midland 12.35% Northern& W estern 14.25% 229, % 1,432, % 163, % 1,039, % Southern73.39%
12 D airying System Results N UTSIIRegion Dairy Stocking Rate NUTS_II_Code Southern Northern & W estern Eastern & Midland Cows per ha - Avg Output & Margin cent per litre of milk Milk Price Total Costs Net Margin Finanical performance per hectare Gross_Output_ha Direct_Costs_ha Gross_Margin_ha Overhead_Costs_ha FFI per ha 4,000 3,975 3,448 3,773 3,000 2,659 2,500 2,099 2,000 1,650 1,316 1,349 1,228 1,274 1, ,000 1,623 0 Selected Dairy Techncial performance Indicators NUTS_II_Code Eastern & Midland Northern & W estern Southern NUTS_II_Code Grazing days Concentrate Kg per Cow Milk sales per ha (lt) Milk Yield per Cow (lt) Herd SCC Milk solids per cow (kg) Southern Northern & W estern Eastern & Midland
13 Dairy Expansion Post Q uota Removal % Change in Milk Supply Lower Deliveries Upby10-20% Upby20-30% >50% Upby<10% Upby30-50%
14 FFI by expansion category K 100K 50K Dairying Expansion Cow Numbers by expansion category 2017 >50% Up by 30-50% Up by 20-30% Up by 10-20% Up by <10% Lower Deliveries % Change in FFI % 95.00% K >50% Up by 30-50% Up by 20-30% Up by 10-20% Up by <10% Lower Deliveries 50% 32.00% 27.00% 27.00% 8.00% 0% -4.00% >50% Up by 30-50% Up by 10-20% Up by 20-30% Up by <10% Lower Deliveries
15 % Change in FFI and % change in debt Funding Dairying Expansion Change in FFI % change in Debt >50% Up by 30-50% Up by 10-20% Average Debt per cow ( ) by expansion category 2017 Up by 20-30% >50% 1337 Up by <10% Lower Deliveries Up by 30-50% 984 0% 50% 100% Up by 20-30% 869 Debt to Income Ratio by expansion category 2017 Up by <10% Lower Deliveries Up by 10-20% , >50% Up by 30-50% Up by 20-30% Up by <10% Lower Deliveries Up by 10-20%
16 Focus on Cattle Farms
17 Average Cattle Rearing Farm Income per Farm Cattle Rearing System Results N ational 12,680 Cattle Rearing Income FFI 15K Direct Payments /Subs 14,381 12,660 12,516 12,680 13,148 Main Drivers Outputup5% Direct paym ents-unchanged 10K 5K 14,400 O verall Costsup 7% -feed expenditure up 16% -fertilser expenditure down 2% Investm ent down 19% 0K Direct payments breakdown BPS DAS GLAS/AEOS Sheep W elfare BDGP Dairy Schemes Protein Payment Forestry KT scheme Organics Scheme Other CattleRearing 9.0K 1.8K 1.7K 1.2K
18 Cattle Rearing - Regional Focus 2017 Cattle Rearing System Results Regional NUTS_II_Code U.A.A FFI FFI per ha Eastern & Midland National Northern & W estern Southern ,136 12,680 9,881 14, Cattle Rearing Income 2017 NUTS_II_Code Eastern & Midland National Northern & W estern Southern 20K 15K 10K 5K 18,136 14,394 12,680 9,881 No of Cattle Rearing farms by region 2017 NUTS_II_Code Eastern & Midland Northern & W estern Southern 3K 0K Farm Characteristics 2017 NUTS_II_Code Age of Holder Direct Payments /Subs Direct_Payments_Subs_ha 8K Southern Eastern & Midland ,411 16, K National 56 14, Northern & W estern 49 14,
19 Cattle Other System Results N ational Average Cattle Other Farm Income per Farm 16,651 Cattle Other Income FFI Direct Payments /Subs 20K 16,319 16,853 16,651 15,851 16,209 16,044 15K 10K 5K Main Drivers O utput unchanged Direct paym ents-unchanged -BPS down, GLAS isup O verall Costsunchanged -concentrate expenditure up 13% -fertiliser expenditure down 8% Investm ent down 12% 0K Direct payments breakdown BPS DAS GLAS/AEOS BDGP Sheep W elfare Dairy Schemes Protein Payment Forestry KT scheme Organics Scheme Other CattleOther 11.2K 1.7K 1.7K 0.5K
20 Cattle Other- Regional Focus Cattle Other System Results Regional NUTS_II_Code U.A.A FFI FFI per ha Eastern & Midland National Northern & W estern Southern ,571 16,651 12,436 19, Cattle Other Income 2017 NUTS_II_Code Eastern & Midland National Northern & W estern Southern 20K 16,571 19,789 15K 10K 16,651 12,436 Cattle Other Population by region 2017 NUTS_II_Code Eastern & Midland Northern & W estern Southern 5K 0K 10K 7K Farm Characteristics NUTS_II_Code Age of Holder Direct Payments /Subs Direct_Payments_Subs_ha Eastern & Midland 62 16, National Northern & W estern ,044 13, K Southern 60 17,
21 Focus on Sheep
22 Sheep System Results N ational Average Sheep Farm Income per Farm 16,897 Sheep system Income FFI Direct Payments /Subs 20K 17,609 17,946 16,137 15,708 15K 10K 5K 16,897 19,112 Main Drivers O utput unchanged Direct paym ents-up 6% -Newsheepwelfarescheme& GLAS O verall Costsdown 4% -concentrate expenditure down 7% -fertiliser expenditure down 12% Investmentup37% 0K Direct payments breakdown BPS DAS GLAS/AEOS Sheep W elfare BDGP Dairy Schemes Protein Payment Forestry KT scheme Organics Scheme Other Sheep 11.9K 2.4K 2.4K 0.9K 0.6K 0.5K
23 Focus on Tillage
24 Tillage System Results N ational Average Tillage Farm Income per Farm 37,158 Tillage Income FFI 40K 30K 20K 10K Direct Payments /Subs 34,303 30,840 37,158 26,331 24,385 23,994 Main Drivers Land Area isdown per farm -lower conacre area Im proved Prices& yields Direct paym ents-down O verall Costsdown 15% -fertiliser expenditure down -crop protection expenditure down Investm ent down significantly 0K Direct payments breakdown BPS DAS GLAS/AEOS Sheep W elfare BDGP Dairy Schemes Protein Payment Forestry KT scheme Organics Scheme Other Tillage 20.3K 2.0K
25 Direct payments breakdown by Pillar 2017 Pillar II - Breakdown by Farm System 2017 Pillar I Pillar II 8K DAS GLAS/AEOS BDGP Sheep W elfare Dairy Schemes Forestry KT scheme Organics Scheme Other 3.4K 3.4K 7K 0.5K 20.6K 7.2K 11.9K 16.1K 5.4K 9.0K 4.8K 11.2K 6K 5K 4K 0.9K 0.6K 0.3K 1.2K 0.3K 0.4K 2.4K 0.5K Tillage Sheep Dairying CattleRearing CattleOther Direct Payment per hectare 2017 FarmSystem Direct Payments per Ha Tillage 392 Sheep 365 Dairying 347 CattleRearing 413 CattleOther 435 AllFarms 390 3K 2K 1K 0K 0.2K 0.3K 0.3K 0.3K 1.7K 0.2K 1.7K 0.6K 2.0K 2.4K 1.6K 1.8K 1.7K 0.4K Tillage Sheep Dairying CattleRearing CattleOther
26 Farm Investment & Farm Related Debt
27 Gross New Investment by Year - Average by FarmSystem Farm System AllFarms CattleOther CattleRearing Dairying Sheep Tillage 30K 806 million invested by farmers in K 17% increase on % ofo verall Investment was by Dairy Farmers 25.1K 20K 19.3K 16.4K 15K 13.8K 14.6K 10K 9.3K 8.5K 9.6K 8.3K 5K 5.7K 4.5K 4.6K 5.3K 6.1K 4.1K 4.7K 4.9K 5.6K 0K
28 Investment Type All Farms Land Improvement Investment 8% Power Machinery Investment 35% Buildings Investment 33% Other Machinery Investment 23% Investment Type by region 2017 ( ) 40K Power Machinery Investment Other Machinery Investment Buildings Investment Land Improvement Inv 30K 20K 10K 0K 2017 Eastern & Midland 2017 Northern & W estern 2017 Southern
29 Avg Debt, Farms with Debt and FFI of farms with Debt by FarmSystem Avg Debt Farms with Debt FFI of farms with Debt 100K 64% of farms have no farm related debt Overall debt level is down slightly - 4% 80K 60% of dairy farms have debt 60K 40K 20K 0K Tillage Sheep Dairying CattleRearing CattleOther AllFarms
30 Farm Demographics Average age of operator is 56 Average Household size 2.8 persons per Household Largest Household size Dairy farms (3.3) Smallest CattleOther (2.5) 34% of farms have a Household member aged less than 24 51% of Dairy farms have a Household member less than 24 51% of Households have employment off-farm (holder &/or spouse) 27% of Households in receipt of pension Off-farm job - holder and Off-farm job - holder/spouse by Year 60 Off-farm job - holder Off-farm job - holder/spouse
31 Viability of Irish Farming 2017 Vulnerable Sustainable Viable A farm business is viable if the farm income can remunerate family labour at the minimum agricultural wage and provide a 5% return on the capital invested in non-land assets. Sustainable If the farm business is not viable the household is still considered sustainable if the farmer or spouse has an off-farm income. Viable Vulnerable A farm household is considered to be economically vulnerable if the farm business is not viable and if neither the farmer nor spouse work off the farm. Farm Viability by Farm System 2017 Sustainable Viable Vulnerable Farm Viability by Region 2017 Sustainable Viable Vulnerable CattleRearing CattleOther Sheep Tillage Dairying FarmSystem Northern & W estern Eastern & Midland Southern
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