Data Analysis in Supervision of Customs Administration: Enforcement Assessing System. Fang Bin Department of Statistics China Customs
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1 Data Analysis in Supervision of Customs Administration: Enforcement Assessing System Fang Bin Department of Statistics China Customs
2 Agenda About China Customs & Customs Statistics Background of EAS System Introduction to EAS System Conclusion and Future Plan
3 China Customs Overview A State organ directly subordinated to the State Council 3-Level Hierarchy Structure Customs General Administration 41 Regional Customs Over 300 Branches About 40,000 officers
4
5 Four Basic Tasks of China Customs Supervision and Control Duty Collection Anti-Smuggling Customs Statistics Compilation
6 China Customs Figures Comprehensive Reliable Internationally Comparable
7 China trading status YEAR EXPORT RANK USD in billion
8 Department of Statistics Compile Customs Statistics Official external merchandise trade statistics Statistical Analysis Decision Support Service Statistical Supervision External: Trade activity/importers/exporters Internal: Customs management (Enforcement Assessing)
9 Agenda About China Customs & Customs Statistics Background of EAS System Introduction to EAS System Conclusion and Future Plan
10 Background of EAS System Establish modern customs system Risk management Anti-smuggling Necessity for anti-corruption
11 Before EAS System Separated data sources Hidden information undiscovered Empirical judgment
12 Possibility of EAS Customs Data Record: Procedure of External Trade Procedure and Result of Customs Management
13 Why We Choose SAS? Leading Technology Abundant modules Source code portability Long time good cooperation with SAS China
14 SAS Tools We Use Features of the System: Diverse Data Sources Client/Server Approach SAS Tools SAS/ACCESS SAS/CONNECT SAS/AF SAS/STAT software SAS/INSIGHT And more...
15 Agenda About China Customs & Customs Statistics Background of EAS System Introduction to EAS System Conclusion and Future Plan
16 Object and General Method Object: To measure customs management status General Method: Find indicator Find reasonable scope Calculating bias Bias judgment Evaluation and Alert
17 System Architecture Duty Collection EAS Price Processing Trade Customs Logistics
18 DATA Flow Chart Result & Alert Subject DATA Pre-process Raw DATA Trade Data Duty Data Other Data
19 Examples Duty Collection Duty Stability using Correlation method Customs Grouping using Clustering method Price Rationality Scope using Distribution method
20 Example I : Duty Stability By incorporating data from bank, paid duty, with data in the Customs, liable duty, we can analyze duty stability visually.
21 Example II: Customs Grouping Different Customs has different import commodity structure. Upper: import commodity centralize in lower duty rate section. Lower: import commodity centralize in higher duty rate section.
22 Example II: Customs Grouping Customs districts are clustered according to similarity of import commodity structure.
23 Example II: Customs Grouping This group consists of 7 regional Customs. One (or two) with lowest duty stability will be alerted.
24 Example III: Price Distribution Price of a certain commodity will subject to normal distribution. Extremely high or low price will be alerted.
25 Example III: Price Distribution
26 Example III: Price Distribution In case of multi-peak distribution. With SAS/Insight, it s easy to find that under further limitation,say a certain origin country, price still subject to normal distribution.
27 EAS at present A scoring system, consists of 12 main indicators, is used to give comprehensive assessment to 41 regional customs. Quarterly alerts are publicized on the intranet.
28 Agenda About China Customs & Customs Statistics Background of EAS System Introduction to EAS System Conclusion and Future Plan
29 Conclusion and Future Plan After two years of usage... Hidden administrative risks have been detected Duty retrieved in year 2002: $20million Distribute to 37 Regional Customs New system in progress...
30 Appraise from Top Leaders Largest application based on SAS in China governmental organizations Symbolize 5 th phase (ultimate phase) of China Customs modernization progress
31 END Many thanks to SAS China Thank you all for your attention Contact: Questions?
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