W H Y S H I P S L? Issues On How Stream Health Is Gauged
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1 W H Y S H I P S L? Issues On How Stream Health Is Gauged Grace Chiu, Peter Guttorp NSERC Postdoctoral Fellow, Statistics, U of Washington Chair and Professor, Statistics, U of Washington June 30, 2004 WNAR 2004, Page 1
2 Outline: 1. photos of impacted Puget Sound Lowland streams WNAR 2004, Page 2
3 Outline: 1. photos of impacted Puget Sound Lowland streams 2. biomonitoring and the IBI WNAR 2004, Page 2
4 Outline: 1. photos of impacted Puget Sound Lowland streams 2. biomonitoring and the IBI 3. statistician s take: perhaps something more universally intuitive and practical? WNAR 2004, Page 2
5 Outline: 1. photos of impacted Puget Sound Lowland streams 2. biomonitoring and the IBI 3. statistician s take: perhaps something more universally intuitive and practical? Revamping the IBI definition SHIPSL WNAR 2004, Page 2
6 Outline: 1. photos of impacted Puget Sound Lowland streams 2. biomonitoring and the IBI 3. statistician s take: perhaps something more universally intuitive and practical? Revamping the IBI definition SHIPSL 4. bootstrap analyses and insight WNAR 2004, Page 2
7 Outline: 1. photos of impacted Puget Sound Lowland streams 2. biomonitoring and the IBI 3. statistician s take: perhaps something more universally intuitive and practical? Revamping the IBI definition SHIPSL 4. bootstrap analyses and insight 5. unresolved issues WNAR 2004, Page 2
8 Two Puget Sound Lowland Streams WNAR 2004, Page 3
9 Two Puget Sound Lowland Streams WNAR 2004, Page 3
10 Two Puget Sound Lowland Streams WNAR 2004, Page 3
11 Which Stream Is Healthier?? WNAR 2004, Page 4
12 Which Stream Is Healthier?? Check bugs... WNAR 2004, Page 4
13 Which Stream Is Healthier?? Check bugs... WNAR 2004, Page 4
14 Which Stream Is Healthier?? Check bugs... Rock Creek Juanita Creek WNAR 2004, Page 4
15 Which Stream Is Healthier?? Check bugs... Rock Creek Juanita Creek benthic invertebrate diversity and abundance = function of stream health (biotic integrity) WNAR 2004, Page 4
16 Which Stream Is Healthier?? Check bugs... Rock Creek Juanita Creek benthic invertebrate diversity and abundance = function of stream health (biotic integrity) Benthic Index of Biotic Integrity (B-IBI) WNAR 2004, Page 4
17 Biomonitoring WNAR 2004, Page 5
18 Biomonitoring track impact of human activities on ecological systems WNAR 2004, Page 5
19 Biomonitoring track impact of human activities on ecological systems B-IBI used as a report card measure WNAR 2004, Page 5
20 Biomonitoring track impact of human activities on ecological systems B-IBI used as a report card measure compare report cards over time and/or over space WNAR 2004, Page 5
21 History of IBI Karr (1981): idea of multimetric index fish as indicators of stream health Midwestern U.S. freshwater systems Karr et al. (1986): fully developed original (Fish-) IBI Kerans & Karr (1994): Benthic-IBI 13 metrics for Tennessee Valley rivers Karr (1998): B-IBI for PSL streams (10 metrics) Others: US EPA, Env. Canada, France, Mexico, etc. localized versions of IBI sometimes non-water dwellers as indicators WNAR 2004, Page 6
22 Main Idea of the -IBI ( = B or FISH) WNAR 2004, Page 7
23 Main Idea of the -IBI ( = B or FISH) identify attributes / metrics which best reflect diversity / abundance WNAR 2004, Page 7
24 Main Idea of the -IBI ( = B or FISH) identify attributes / metrics which best reflect diversity / abundance e.g. total taxa, % 3 most dominant taxa, etc. WNAR 2004, Page 7
25 Main Idea of the -IBI ( = B or FISH) identify attributes / metrics which best reflect diversity / abundance e.g. total taxa, % 3 most dominant taxa, etc. metrics should be sensitive to impact of urbanization on environment WNAR 2004, Page 7
26 Main Idea of the -IBI ( = B or FISH) identify attributes / metrics which best reflect diversity / abundance e.g. total taxa, % 3 most dominant taxa, etc. metrics should be sensitive to impact of urbanization on environment combine identified metrics -IBI WNAR 2004, Page 7
27 Main Idea of the -IBI ( = B or FISH) identify attributes / metrics which best reflect diversity / abundance e.g. total taxa, % 3 most dominant taxa, etc. metrics should be sensitive to impact of urbanization on environment combine identified metrics -IBI Rating scheme for 10-metric PSL B-IBI: VERY POOR POOR FAIR GOOD EXCELLENT WNAR 2004, Page 7
28 Details: CHOOSING METRICS WNAR 2004, Page 8
29 Details: CHOOSING METRICS numerous issues on how to choose metrics WNAR 2004, Page 8
30 Details: CHOOSING METRICS numerous issues on how to choose metrics we shall not deal with them yet WNAR 2004, Page 8
31 Details: SCORING METRICS WNAR 2004, Page 9
32 Details: SCORING METRICS a statistical concept in disguise! WNAR 2004, Page 9
33 Details: SCORING METRICS a statistical concept in disguise! i.e. standardizing metric values measured on different scales across different streams WNAR 2004, Page 9
34 Metric Scoring Roadmap select reference sites (least impacted) for EACH metric: YES ranking associated with stream size? NO rank sites from worst to best health wrt metric adjust ranking for relationship trisect ranking ==> reference trisection metric of sampled site scored against reference trisection site s metric score is 1, 3, or 5 WNAR 2004, Page 10
35 Metric Scoring Roadmap select reference sites (least impacted) for EACH metric: YES ranking associated with stream size? NO rank sites from worst to best health wrt metric adjust ranking for relationship trisect ranking ==> reference trisection metric of sampled site scored against reference trisection site s metric score is 1, 3, or 5 WNAR 2004, Page 11
36 e.g. Metric = Total # Taxa WNAR 2004, Page 12
37 e.g. Metric = Total # Taxa (Reference Sites. From Karr et al ) WNAR 2004, Page 12
38 e.g. Metric = Total # Taxa graph includes repeated observations (Reference Sites. From Karr et al ) WNAR 2004, Page 12
39 e.g. Metric = Total # Taxa graph includes repeated observations trisection often by eye (Reference Sites. From Karr et al ) WNAR 2004, Page 12
40 e.g. Metric = Total # Taxa graph includes repeated observations trisection often by eye score sampled site s metric (AVERAGED OVER REPLICATES) against graph (Reference Sites. From Karr et al ) WNAR 2004, Page 12
41 e.g. Metric = Total # Taxa graph includes repeated observations trisection often by eye score sampled site s metric (AVERAGED OVER REPLICATES) against graph (Reference Sites. From Karr et al ) site s IBI = sum of its metric scores WNAR 2004, Page 12
42 Details: SCORING METRICS subjective / regionalized definition of reference sites arbitrary discrete scale, cutpoints very subjective continuous scale such as [0, 10] also involves cutpoint definitions requires recalibration # in presence of spatial or temporal changes # comparison across regions virtually impossible WNAR 2004, Page 13
43 Details: SCORING METRICS subjective / regionalized definition of reference sites arbitrary discrete scale, cutpoints very subjective continuous scale such as [0, 10] also involves cutpoint definitions requires recalibration # in presence of spatial or temporal changes # comparison across regions virtually impossible Scoring schemes for all versions of IBI have same basic structure. WNAR 2004, Page 13
44 Details: SCORING METRICS subjective / regionalized definition of reference sites arbitrary discrete scale, cutpoints very subjective continuous scale such as [0, 10] also involves cutpoint definitions requires recalibration # in presence of spatial or temporal changes # comparison across regions virtually impossible Scoring schemes for all versions of IBI have same basic structure. Q: Really use IBI to monitor stream health over time?? WNAR 2004, Page 13
45 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland WNAR 2004, Page 14
46 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland a need for universal protocol for defining and gauging health (currently non-existent) WNAR 2004, Page 14
47 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland a need for universal protocol for defining and gauging health (currently non-existent) SHIPSL is our attempt towards universality WNAR 2004, Page 14
48 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland a need for universal protocol for defining and gauging health (currently non-existent) SHIPSL is our attempt towards universality it is non-subjective yields stronger scientific conclusions and more policy-neutral WNAR 2004, Page 14
49 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland a need for universal protocol for defining and gauging health (currently non-existent) SHIPSL is our attempt towards universality it is non-subjective yields stronger scientific conclusions and more policy-neutral scale is more intuitive WNAR 2004, Page 14
50 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland a need for universal protocol for defining and gauging health (currently non-existent) SHIPSL is our attempt towards universality it is non-subjective yields stronger scientific conclusions and more policy-neutral scale is more intuitive drastically reduces time (a.k.a. $) required to choose reference sites, (re)calibrate metric scoring mechanism, etc. can be easily localized to other regions WNAR 2004, Page 14
51 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland a need for universal protocol for defining and gauging health (currently non-existent) SHIPSL is our attempt towards universality it is non-subjective yields stronger scientific conclusions and more policy-neutral scale is more intuitive drastically reduces time (a.k.a. $) required to choose reference sites, (re)calibrate metric scoring mechanism, etc. can be easily localized to other regions measures biotic integrity more precisely WNAR 2004, Page 14
52 Stream Health Index for the Puget Sound Lowland a need for universal protocol for defining and gauging health (currently non-existent) SHIPSL is our attempt towards universality it is non-subjective yields stronger scientific conclusions and more policy-neutral scale is more intuitive drastically reduces time (a.k.a. $) required to choose reference sites, (re)calibrate metric scoring mechanism, etc. can be easily localized to other regions measures biotic integrity more precisely SHIPSL achieves all of the above WITHOUT adding any technical requirement to conventional biomonitoring!! WNAR 2004, Page 14
53 SHIPSL employs a statistically sound metric scoring mechanism not affected by spatial / temporal changes WNAR 2004, Page 15
54 SHIPSL employs a statistically sound metric scoring mechanism not affected by spatial / temporal changes SIMPLE STANDARDIZATION! WNAR 2004, Page 15
55 SHIPSL employs a statistically sound metric scoring mechanism not affected by spatial / temporal changes SIMPLE STANDARDIZATION! score = metric value@ metric adjusted for stream size (regression), if necessary WNAR 2004, Page 15
56 SHIPSL employs a statistically sound metric scoring mechanism not affected by spatial / temporal changes SIMPLE STANDARDIZATION! score = metric value@ metric adjusted for stream size (regression), if necessary SHIPSL = sum of all scores WNAR 2004, Page 15
57 SHIPSL employs a statistically sound metric scoring mechanism not affected by spatial / temporal changes SIMPLE STANDARDIZATION! score = metric value@ metric adjusted for stream size (regression), if necessary SHIPSL = sum of all scores continuous scale centered at 0 reference sites unnecessary (as long as least- and most-impacted sites are present in the study) non-subjective and requires no recalibration WNAR 2004, Page 15
58 SHIPSL Q: How to monitor single site over time without reference sites?? WNAR 2004, Page 16
59 SHIPSL Q: How to monitor single site over time without reference sites?? A1: use sites from previous studies as reference WNAR 2004, Page 16
60 SHIPSL Q: How to monitor single site over time without reference sites?? A1: use sites from previous studies as reference A2: if available, use historical data observed when the best sites were still pristine WNAR 2004, Page 16
61 SHIPSL Q: How to monitor single site over time without reference sites?? A1: use sites from previous studies as reference A2: if available, use historical data observed when the best sites were still pristine A3: define gold standard values for each metric mean and metric SD in the scoring formula WNAR 2004, Page 16
62 SHIPSL Q: How to monitor single site over time without reference sites?? A1: use sites from previous studies as reference A2: if available, use historical data observed when the best sites were still pristine A3: define gold standard values for each metric mean and metric SD in the scoring formula one step closer towards cross-spatio-temporal comparisons WNAR 2004, Page 16
63 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 & 1998 data, taken from Morley (2000) study region: Puget Sound Lowland (PSL) 16 watersheds (> 16 sites), 3 replicates per site scoring criteria calibrated for WNAR 2004, Page 17
64 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 & 1998 data, taken from Morley (2000) study region: Puget Sound Lowland (PSL) 16 watersheds (> 16 sites), 3 replicates per site scoring criteria calibrated for metric ) total taxa [0,14) [14,28) ) % dominance >75 (55,75] [0,55].. 10) % predators [0,4.5) [4.5,9) 9 WNAR 2004, Page 17
65 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 & 1998 data, taken from Morley (2000) study region: Puget Sound Lowland (PSL) 16 watersheds (> 16 sites), 3 replicates per site scoring criteria calibrated for metric ) total taxa [0,14) [14,28) ) % dominance >75 (55,75] [0,55].. 10) % predators [0,4.5) [4.5,9) most recent calibration due to change in taxonomic identification rules WNAR 2004, Page 17
66 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 & 1998 data, taken from Morley (2000) study region: Puget Sound Lowland (PSL) 16 watersheds (> 16 sites), 3 replicates per site scoring criteria calibrated for metric ) total taxa [0,14) [14,28) ) % dominance >75 (55,75] [0,55].. 10) % predators [0,4.5) [4.5,9) most recent calibration due to change in taxonomic identification rules WNAR 2004, Page 17
67 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study metric value = average over replicates except # long-lived taxa and # intolerant taxa for B-IBI: metric value = pooled over replicates (i.e. value for supersample) measure of human influence: % urbanized area WNAR 2004, Page 18
68 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 B IBI Frequency WNAR 2004, Page 19
69 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 B IBI corr = Frequency SHIPSL B IBI 1997 SHIPSL Frequency WNAR 2004, Page 20
70 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 B IBI corr = Frequency SHIPSL B IBI 1997 SHIPSL SHIPSL retains general dist n shape Frequency highly correlated with B-IBI continuous scale no tied sites WNAR 2004, Page 20
71 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1998 B IBI corr = Frequency SHIPSL B IBI 1998 SHIPSL Frequency WNAR 2004, Page 21
72 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1998 B IBI corr = Frequency SHIPSL B IBI 1998 SHIPSL Frequency O gap SHIPSL gives clearer distinction of healthy sites?? WNAR 2004, Page 21
73 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study : BIBI % urban WNAR 2004, Page 22
74 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) % urban WNAR 2004, Page 23
75 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) : BIBI % urban % urban WNAR 2004, Page 24
76 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) 1998 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) % urban % urban WNAR 2004, Page 25
77 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) 1998 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) % urban % urban SHIPSL indicates smaller disparity among mid-ranked sites WNAR 2004, Page 25
78 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) 1998 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) % urban % urban SHIPSL indicates smaller disparity among mid-ranked sites SHIPSL missed REAL disparity? WNAR 2004, Page 25
79 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) 1998 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) % urban % urban SHIPSL indicates smaller disparity among mid-ranked sites SHIPSL missed REAL disparity? or... WNAR 2004, Page 25
80 SHIPSL vs B-IBI: Case Study 1997 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) 1998 : BIBI / o: SHIPSL (rescaled) % urban % urban SHIPSL indicates smaller disparity among mid-ranked sites SHIPSL missed REAL disparity? or... B-IBI too variable?? WNAR 2004, Page 25
81 A Bootstrap Study WNAR 2004, Page 26
82 A Bootstrap Study GOAL: Compare accuracy and precision between B-IBI and SHIPSL (ordinary and gold standard) WNAR 2004, Page 26
83 A Bootstrap Study GOAL: Compare accuracy and precision between B-IBI and SHIPSL (ordinary and gold standard) METHOD: resample organisms from (observed) field samples (a la Fore et al. (1994)) WNAR 2004, Page 26
84 A Bootstrap Study GOAL: Compare accuracy and precision between B-IBI and SHIPSL (ordinary and gold standard) METHOD: resample organisms from (observed) field samples (a la Fore et al. (1994)) obtain 10,000 bootstrap samples WNAR 2004, Page 26
85 A Bootstrap Study GOAL: Compare accuracy and precision between B-IBI and SHIPSL (ordinary and gold standard) METHOD: resample organisms from (observed) field samples (a la Fore et al. (1994)) obtain 10,000 bootstrap samples DATA: Morley s 1997 data WNAR 2004, Page 26
86 A Bootstrap Study OBSERVED TAXON TAXON REP 1 REP 2 REP 3 SITE ID ATTRIBUTES COUNT COUNT COUNT TOTAL TOTAL WNAR 2004, Page 27
87 A Bootstrap Study OBSERVED TAXON TAXON REP 1 REP 2 REP 3 SITE ID ATTRIBUTES COUNT COUNT COUNT TOTAL TOTAL WNAR 2004, Page 27
88 A Bootstrap Study OBSERVED TAXON TAXON REP 1 REP 2 REP 3 SITE ID ATTRIBUTES COUNT COUNT COUNT TOTAL TOTAL TAXON ID BOOTSTRAP REP 2 COUNT TOTAL 2321 WNAR 2004, Page 27
89 A Bootstrap Study OBSERVED TAXON TAXON REP 1 REP 2 REP 3 SITE ID ATTRIBUTES COUNT COUNT COUNT TOTAL TOTAL Limitations: TAXON ID BOOTSTRAP REP 2 COUNT TOTAL 2321 WNAR 2004, Page 27
90 A Bootstrap Study OBSERVED TAXON TAXON REP 1 REP 2 REP 3 SITE ID ATTRIBUTES COUNT COUNT COUNT TOTAL TOTAL Limitations: TAXON ID BOOTSTRAP REP 2 COUNT observed 0 s 1 0 <===== like a structural 0 always produce 2 17 bootstrap 0 s TOTAL 2321 WNAR 2004, Page 27
91 A Bootstrap Study: PROBLEMS WITH 0 / LOW COUNTS count-valued metrics have severe negative biases WNAR 2004, Page 28
92 A Bootstrap Study: PROBLEMS WITH 0 / LOW COUNTS count-valued metrics have severe negative biases Bias( sample mean ) hugely negative for B-IBI and GS-SHIPSL (no such bias for ordinary SHIPSL by definition) WNAR 2004, Page 28
93 A Bootstrap Study: PROBLEMS WITH 0 / LOW COUNTS count-valued metrics have severe negative biases Bias( sample mean ) hugely negative for B-IBI and GS-SHIPSL (no such bias for ordinary SHIPSL by definition) bootstrap variability of metric artificially small WNAR 2004, Page 28
94 A Bootstrap Study: PROBLEMS WITH 0 / LOW COUNTS count-valued metrics have severe negative biases Bias( sample mean ) hugely negative for B-IBI and GS-SHIPSL (no such bias for ordinary SHIPSL by definition) bootstrap variability of metric artificially small true SD( B-IBI ) and SD( GS-SHIPSL ) greatly underestimated WNAR 2004, Page 28
95 A Bootstrap Study: PROBLEMS WITH 0 / LOW COUNTS count-valued metrics have severe negative biases Bias( sample mean ) hugely negative for B-IBI and GS-SHIPSL (no such bias for ordinary SHIPSL by definition) bootstrap variability of metric artificially small true SD( B-IBI ) and SD( GS-SHIPSL ) greatly underestimated possible remedies: WNAR 2004, Page 28
96 A Bootstrap Study: PROBLEMS WITH 0 / LOW COUNTS count-valued metrics have severe negative biases Bias( sample mean ) hugely negative for B-IBI and GS-SHIPSL (no such bias for ordinary SHIPSL by definition) bootstrap variability of metric artificially small true SD( B-IBI ) and SD( GS-SHIPSL ) greatly underestimated possible remedies: bias correction for all 7 count-valued metrics WNAR 2004, Page 28
97 A Bootstrap Study: PROBLEMS WITH 0 / LOW COUNTS count-valued metrics have severe negative biases Bias( sample mean ) hugely negative for B-IBI and GS-SHIPSL (no such bias for ordinary SHIPSL by definition) bootstrap variability of metric artificially small true SD( B-IBI ) and SD( GS-SHIPSL ) greatly underestimated possible remedies: bias correction for all 7 count-valued metrics percentage richness for all 7 except total # taxa: % clinger richness = # clinger taxa total # taxa WNAR 2004, Page 28
98 A Bootstrap Study: METRIC BIAS CORRECTION i.e. for each set of 18 bootstrapped metric values: coerce mean to be observed mean then stretch SD by factor of observed sample SD mean of 10,000 bootstrap SD s WNAR 2004, Page 29
99 A Bootstrap Study: METRIC BIAS CORRECTION Sample Mean Sample SD GS SHIPSL (solid=before, dashed=after) SHIPSL (black) GS SHIPSL (gold) B IBI B IBI WNAR 2004, Page 30
100 A Bootstrap Study: METRIC BIAS CORRECTION Intrinsic variability: bootstrap SD adjusted for bias and scale difference WNAR 2004, Page 31
101 A Bootstrap Study: METRIC BIAS CORRECTION Intrinsic variability: bootstrap SD adjusted for bias and scale difference GS SHIPSL SHIPSL B IBI rescaled bootstrap SD WNAR 2004, Page 31
102 A Bootstrap Study: PERCENTAGE RICHNESS used in GS-/SHIPSL only (no knowledge of how to calibrate % richness for IBI!) WNAR 2004, Page 32
103 A Bootstrap Study: PERCENTAGE RICHNESS used in GS-/SHIPSL only (no knowledge of how to calibrate % richness for IBI!) improves correlation between metric and urbanization (highly desirable) WNAR 2004, Page 32
104 A Bootstrap Study: PERCENTAGE RICHNESS used in GS-/SHIPSL only (no knowledge of how to calibrate % richness for IBI!) improves correlation between metric and urbanization (highly desirable) severe negative biases remain (highly undesirable) WNAR 2004, Page 32
105 A Bootstrap Study: PERCENTAGE RICHNESS used in GS-/SHIPSL only (no knowledge of how to calibrate % richness for IBI!) improves correlation between metric and urbanization (highly desirable) severe negative biases remain (highly undesirable) Low-abundance metrics are culpable!! WNAR 2004, Page 32
106 A Bootstrap Study: LOW-ABUNDANCE METRICS Plot metric bias vs. health (observed SHIPSL value): WNAR 2004, Page 33
107 A Bootstrap Study: LOW-ABUNDANCE METRICS Plot metric bias vs. health (observed SHIPSL value): 2 0 a b #Tx 2 0 ab %LLTx %IntolTx %ClingTx ab a b WNAR 2004, Page 33
108 A Bootstrap Study: HIGH-ABUNDANCE METRICS Plot metric bias vs. health (observed SHIPSL value): %EphTx %PleTx 0 5 b a b a a b %TriTx %Pred a b %Tol %Dom a b a b WNAR 2004, Page 34
109 A Bootstrap Study: LOW-ABUNDANCE METRICS irreproducibility of rare taxa (at least in bootstrap environment) WNAR 2004, Page 35
110 A Bootstrap Study: LOW-ABUNDANCE METRICS irreproducibility of rare taxa (at least in bootstrap environment) severe negative bias in #- or %-richness metrics also in GS-/SHIPSL WNAR 2004, Page 35
111 A Bootstrap Study: LOW-ABUNDANCE METRICS irreproducibility of rare taxa (at least in bootstrap environment) severe negative bias in #- or %-richness metrics also in GS-/SHIPSL negative correlation between health and metric bias also between health and GS-/SHIPSL WNAR 2004, Page 35
112 A Bootstrap Study: LOW-ABUNDANCE METRICS irreproducibility of rare taxa (at least in bootstrap environment) severe negative bias in #- or %-richness metrics also in GS-/SHIPSL negative correlation between health and metric bias also between health and GS-/SHIPSL removal of the 4 low-abundance metrics removes both bias-related problems WNAR 2004, Page 35
113 Insights recall: GS-/SHIPSL is intrinsically less variable than B-IBI WNAR 2004, Page 36
114 Insights recall: GS-/SHIPSL is intrinsically less variable than B-IBI GS-/SHIPSL is more powerful in detecting real difference in health WNAR 2004, Page 36
115 Insights recall: GS-/SHIPSL is intrinsically less variable than B-IBI GS-/SHIPSL is more powerful in detecting real difference in health both %-richness and gold standards are good ideas provided that: WNAR 2004, Page 36
116 Insights recall: GS-/SHIPSL is intrinsically less variable than B-IBI GS-/SHIPSL is more powerful in detecting real difference in health both %-richness and gold standards are good ideas provided that: metric bias correction is realistic (how to verify?) WNAR 2004, Page 36
117 Insights recall: GS-/SHIPSL is intrinsically less variable than B-IBI GS-/SHIPSL is more powerful in detecting real difference in health both %-richness and gold standards are good ideas provided that: metric bias correction is realistic (how to verify?) OR: low-abundance metrics do not affect reproducibility of true biological conditions (unlikely the case!) WNAR 2004, Page 36
118 Unresolved Issues still way far from universality WNAR 2004, Page 37
119 Unresolved Issues still way far from universality Who to decide on gold standards? Which metrics are universal? How to control for regional policy differences? field sampling protocols, laboratory technologies, taxonomic identification schemes, etc. WNAR 2004, Page 37
120 Unresolved Issues still way far from universality Who to decide on gold standards? Which metrics are universal? How to control for regional policy differences? field sampling protocols, laboratory technologies, taxonomic identification schemes, etc. irreproducibility of rare taxa is a practical sampling issue (not just in the artificial bootstrap environment) WNAR 2004, Page 37
121 Unresolved Issues still way far from universality Who to decide on gold standards? Which metrics are universal? How to control for regional policy differences? field sampling protocols, laboratory technologies, taxonomic identification schemes, etc. irreproducibility of rare taxa is a practical sampling issue (not just in the artificial bootstrap environment) conventional (count-) taxa richness metrics are statistically intractable any alternatives? WNAR 2004, Page 37
122 Farewell This presentation is downloadable from Based on two manuscripts: available upon request THANK YOU! WNAR 2004, Page 38
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