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7 6. >6 s6l<% 6)# 16 M:.) R= <,%.. / %?- 1 1+%.,-. Q,.!"# $%?* = '(.,- L4 B, / {*m..- N S 4 ( 3 (f1 (mm/km ) ',/3!<.!< C (,O %.7) (mm/km ) ',/3!<.!< C (,O %.7). ',," o %L= %,/3 <.) R= 1< :(4)H( 6, G6 6. k6" K 6/.. %,/3 46F (5)?6- /.* (4)?- k *#.* 1< < ',," (5)?- /.*..,-!. B A /. y7, /64 G6.,646* m. M ƒ/ G.. d+%?# $% /. B*@ 14 {;!< 6 C F. 6.6 :.d /.. /4 8.!< D< Rj 6S.,6< 6 >6.,6/ 1m. / y7 > %?[7...,<.. d+%?# /4 6. *K%. + :,- 1L= /. y7 >, 14 >L4.. %,/3 < 1 L 6< 16 L6 :6?6[7. 6..,6<. 16+%?6# : P 1.,.* 9 1 )#!< C.,.* 9 1 )# %,/3 B,6 >6L4. 6 %,/ / o < (7) (6)/?-. 16 '6@jP,6E. 5 >6L4 16 '6@jP,6E. 75 B,6 /..,- 1u. (138 % 135 /B).,- [ S m=e

8 B+,")( A +,")(f1 (mm/km ) ',/3!<.!< C. (mm/km ) ',/3!<.!< C (,O %.7) (,O %.7) k" K /. y7. ',," o %L= %,/3 < 1< :(5)H( H. 6/ O ;F 16/. i"a W4,F <, /?- 14.A*/ zt.,- 1L- L # L W4,F <,- 1L- )# *4,6-16u. 6/B,6 %L=.,< d% % 189.*- / B. %@jp S? (>L4) %,/3 (>L4) %L= (mm/km ) !< D< /4)!<. ip. 1/ o %L= %,/3 < :(6)H( 138 % 135/B (DMDM H.

9 35 3 %,/3 (>L4) %L= (>L4) 5. (mm/km ) D< /4)!< C. ip. 1/ o %L= %,/3 < :(7)H( 138 % 135/B (8 1/ >j. S O KL% H !6"# 6$% '(.,*@.,- 4 3 /K. 14.A*/ /64 6 H.6,6 6/$ 16 *@ H8 /B, D< ^.: /+S %B, #.. 1;F J MN.,/ /B, O pq,- D< 6# >6 1< ;F 1)A..- D< /4. 1!<.P 1 D< ^.: /$!< % 46F,, G. 1 7X '.E 1;F. 1L-...,- ZS 'E[S ;..4 >I*/ 1;F '[K3 > ]= - /!C. "@ &; -4 [1] Tisseuil, C., Vrac, M., Lek, S., Wade, A.J. (1). "Statistical downscaling of river flows" J. Hydrology, 385(1-4), []Xu, C.Y. (1999). "From GCM to river flow: a review of downscaling methods and hydrologic modeling approaches" Progress in Physical Geography, 3(), -49. [3] Landman, W.A., Mason, S.J., Tyson, P.D., Tennant, W.J. (1). "Statistical downscaling of GCM simulations to steramflow" J. Hydrology, 5(1-4), [4] Menzel, L., Burger, G. (). "Climate change scenarios and runoff response in the Mulde catchment (Southern Elbe, Germany)" J. Hydrology, 67(1-), [5] Chiew, F.H.S., Teng, J., Vaze, J., Kirono, D.G.C. (9). "Influence of global climate model selection on runoff impact assessment" J. Hydrology, 379(1-), [6] Chen, H., Xu, C.Y.,Guo, S.L. (1). "Comparison and evaluation of multiple GCMs, statistical downscaling and hydrological models in the study of climate change impacts on runoff" J. Hydrology, (1), [7] Teng, J., Chiew, F.H.S.,Timbal, B., Wang, Y., Vaze, J., Wang, B. (1). "Assessment of an analogue downscaling method for modelling climate change impacts of runoff" J. Hydrology, (1), [8] Fu, G., Charles, S.P., Chiew, F.H.S., Teng, J., Zheng, H., Frost, A.J., Liu, W., Kirshner, S. (13). "Modelling runoff with statistically downscaled daily site, gridded and catchment rainfall series" J. Hydrology, 49(13),

10 [9] Cannon, A.J., Whitfield, P.H. (). "Downscaling recent streamflow conditions in British Columbia, Canada using ensemble neural network models" J. Hydrology, 59(1-4), [1] Ghosh, S., Mujumdar, P.P. (8). "Statistical downscaling of GCM simulations to streamflow using relevance vector machine" Advances in Water Resources, 31(1), [11] Tavakol-Davani, H., Nasseri, M., Zahraie, B. (1). "Improved statistical downscaling of daily precipitation using SDSM platform and data-mining methods" Int. J. Climatology, doi: 1.1/joc.3611 [1] Wilby, R.L.,Dawson, C.W.,Barrow, E.M. (). "SDSM adecisionsupporttoolfortheassessmentofregionalclimatechange impacts" EnvironmentalModelling&Software, 17, [13] Nasseri, M., Zahraie, B., Ansari, A., Solomatine D.P. (13). "Uncertainty assessment of monthly water balance models based on Incremental Modified Fuzzy Extension Principle method" J. Hydroinformatics, 15(4), [14] Guo, Sh., Chen, H., Zhang, H., Xiong, L., Liu, P., Pang, B., Wang, G., Wang, Y.(5), A Semi- Distributed Monthly Water Balance Model and its Application in a Climate ChangeImpact Study in the Middle and Lower Yellow River Basin, Water International, 3(), 5-6.

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