Con Edison. Evolution of Con Edison efforts in Energy Efficiency and Demand Management:

Transcription

1 Evolution of Con Edison efforts in Energy Efficiency and Demand Management: Innovative programs and technologies, and their impacts on customers, contractors and the markets Con Edison

2 Con Edison - Overview 70,000 people/sq. mile 2000 MW/sq. mile 3.4 million electric accts 1.1 million gas accts 1,760 steam accts Serve ~10 million people >15,000 people/sq. mile Over 650,000,000 sq. ft. of office space 500,000 businesses 900,000 residential buildings 7 million window ACs 2

3 Con Edison provides electricity to New York City and Westchester Service Area: 604 square miles Serving 3.4 million customers, 10 million people 2.5 million customers are in networks System is 87% underground and 13% overhead NYC: 235 MW/sq mi; Territory 20MW/sq mi 133,000 miles of T&D cable (over 96,000 miles are underground) 13,322 MW peak demand (5pm) 57,000 million kwh consumption 3

4 NYS Electric System Current State Gen NYISO Con Edison 4

5 NYS Electric System Future REV State Large Scale G&T market based Distribution Utility owned, operated DER Market Gen NYISO Con Edison Customer sided DERs market based 5

6 Distributed Energy Resources Drivers and Programs Planning & Operations Demand-side Resource Drivers Economic Policy Demand Management Program(s) Targeted for network overloads Medium-term infrastructure deferral Con Edison programs since 2004 Network Overloads Peak-shaving Deferral of Infrastructure Build Energy Supply Benefits Evolving (REV) GHG Emissions Demand Response Program(s) For contingency and peak-shaving Longer-term infrastructure deferral Con Edison programs since 2002 Operational Contingency Energy Efficiency Programs To reduce GHG emissions Con Edison programs since

7 Company Financial Motivations Earnings Adjustment Mechanisms EAMs GWh MW DER Utilization Customer Load Factor Energy Intensity Programmatic EAMs: Incentives based on Company achievement More direct Company influence Outcome-Based EAMs: Incentives based on territory-wide outcomes Less direct Company influence 7

8 EE&DM: What We Do Today EE - $100 M/yr electric & gas + $99M/3 years Demand Response - $43 million incentives paid in 2016 Targeted Programs - $200 million BQDM, other NWA Peak Management - $72 million budget/3 years 8

9 Portfolio Goals 9

10 Budget 10

11 Achieving Rate Case Goals Energy Efficiency Savings EE savings will double over the next 3 years with savings coming from many new channels 11 11

12 Energy Efficiency Savings (MWh) History of EE Savings and the Path Forward 600, , ,000 Energy Efficiency Savings Over Time Programs entirely funded through customer bill surcharge [pass-through] Funding increasingly rate based with additional performance incentives Rate Case 300, ,000 EEPS 2 ETIP 100,000 EEPS

13 Energy Efficiency Customer Segments Residential Multifamily Large Commercial Small Commercial 13

14 Near-Term New Initiatives to Meet Growth Mid and Upstream Lighting and Appliances Smart Kids school program New Homeowners pilot Market Solicitation Competitive solicitations Auctions, sealed bids Advanced technologies as well as reliable resources Transparency and standardization 14 14

15 Achieving Rate Case Goals Peak Reduction We have significant MW peak reduction goals and new programs to meet them 15 15

16 The Design Challenge Grid is design to handle peak load Under-utilized grid capacity 16

17 The Design Challenge Demand Reduction seeks to reduce the peak 17

18 Demand Management Program 18 18

19 2017 Demand Management Program 3 year program proposed as part of the current rate case Benefits Include Reduced wholesale capacity obligations Reduced reliance on infrastructure during peak hours Spur market development of DERs Proposed Targets & Budget : 49 MW 22 GWh $72 Million Goal to incorporate more advanced technologies in 2018 and 2019 localized battery storage packaged systems thermal storage advanced BMS/controls 19

20 Targeted Demand Management (TDM) Founded Targeted Demand Side Management Program in 2003 Operated from 2004 to 2012 with implementation contractors Reduced 108 MW via projects in 33 (of 83) networks/load areas Net benefits of over $300M (avoided energy, capacity, T&D) 20

21 Incorporating DERs into Planning Electric Vehicles Area Substation Planning EE + DR Peak Load Forecast Peak Load Forecast with DERs Regional Distribution Planning Potential DSM Projects Central Engineering Solar + other DG Other Load Modifiers Transmission Planning 21

22 MW System Wide and Targeted DSM are used to defer infrastructure builds System Wide DSM Proactive Targeted DSM Build needed 2016 Build deferred to 2018 Build deferred to Capacity Load no DSM Load with DSM Load with DSM+ In this illustrative example, accounting for DSM in the forecast defers build two years. Targeted DSM pushes build two more years. 22

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24 Drivers of BQ Load Relief Needs Significant load growth in areas of Brooklyn and Queens Unexpected load growth reveals 40 MW deficiency Traditional load relief could be built to address deficiency Deficiency grows up to >100 MW based on forecasts Additional deferral with additional load relief 24

25 BQDM Program BQDM Order issued on December 12, 2014 NYS Public Service Commission approved $200m Customer Sided 41 MW (~$150m) and Utility Sided 11 MW (~$50m) Potential BQDM Extension Petition filed in January for extending timeline beyond 2018 If approved potentially more opportunities for new resources 25

26 BQDM and Non-wire Alternatives Portfolio Approach Innovative Approaches 41 MW Customer Sided (Demand-side Portfolio) BQDM: Substation Deferred to 2026 or later 11 MW Alternate Utility Sided (Storage and others) Demand-side Resources Portfolio of solutions High-confidence, low-cost & innovative Addressing the reliability gap Learning along the way Traditional Utility Sided (Load Transfers, Transformers, Capacitor Banks) 26

27 MEGAWATTS Illustration of Portfolio Approach Based on Forecast Spare Capacity Operational Measures Customer Sited Solutions 60 MW Transfer* Utility Sited Solutions MW Transfer Sub transmission Feeder Capability 763 MWs Cap Banks Spare Capacity MW Load Transfer to Glendale Customer Sited Solutions (CSS) Operational Measures Utility Sited Solutions MW Load Transfer (w/ MTA) Cap Banks at 4kV Brownsville - 138kV Limit Net 2016 Forecasted Load

28 System Planning and Distributed Resources Traditional Approach Non-Wires Alternative kw Forecasted Demand Network Expansion Current Network Capacity Thousands of customer-sited solutions 1 Current Demand Hours 28

29 Demand-side Resource Portfolio MW Effective MW of resources calculated based on Technology, customer, and load curve characteristics Demand reduction duration Sample network 2016 peak day load curve Hour 1 Hour 8 Hour 2 Hour 4 Hour 2 Hour 1 Hour Hour 6 Hour Hour 1 Hour Hour Hour 29

30 Portfolio Development Market Based Other Energy Efficiency Volt-Var Optimization Demand Response Microgrid Fuel Cells/CHP/DG Management / Audit Software / DER Controls Solar Customer Engagement Energy Storage 30

31 BQDM PROGRAM STATUS (FOR SUMMER 2016) Portfolio of Solutions for 2016 Energy efficiency drives load relief for 2016 with direct benefits to the community 31

32 Load Relief (MW) BQDM 2017 CSS AND USS SOLUTIONS PORTFOLIO Summer 2017 Outlook ACRONYMS DR Demand Response CHP Combined Heat and Power DMP Demand Management Program CVO Conservation Voltage Optimization C&I Commercial and Industrial BQDM 2017 Portfolio Thermostat Anticipated Thermal Storage Anticipated Battery Storage Anticipated CHP Anticipated Utility Solar Anticipated Solar Anticipated Utility Fuel Cell Anticipated Fuel Cell Anticipated Energy Efficiency Anticipated DMP Committed CVO Committed Utility Storage Committed Battery Storage Committed DR Committed CHP Committed Solar Committed Fuel Cell Committed Energy Efficiency Committed Target (High Case) Committed (Low Case) TOTAL 2017 NEED Hour Ending (Design Peak Day) 32

33 Load Relief (MW) BQDM 2018 CSS AND USS SOLUTIONS PORTFOLIO Summer 2018 Outlook ACRONYMS DR Demand Response CHP Combined Heat and Power DMP Demand Management Program CVO Conservation Voltage Optimization C&I Commercial and Industrial Thermostat Anticipated Thermal Storage Anticipated Battery Storage Anticipated CHP Anticipated Utility Solar Anticipated Solar Anticipated Utility Fuel Cell Anticipated Fuel Cell Anticipated Energy Efficiency Anticipated DMP Committed CVO Committed Utility Storage Committed Battery Storage Committed DR Committed CHP Committed Solar Committed Fuel Cell Committed Energy Efficiency Committed Target (High Case) Committed (Low Case) Hour Ending (Design Peak Day) TOTAL 2018 NEED 33

34 RISKS TO EXECUTION Non-Financial Risks Risks Resources Customer Acquisition Electric Interconnection Gas Interconnection City Planning or Buildings Department Fire Department New York Budgetary Cycle and/or Lead Time CHP Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium High Fuel Cells High Medium Medium High Medium Medium Demand Response High Medium Medium Medium High* Medium Battery High Medium N/A High High High Ice Storage High Medium N/A Medium Low High Solar High Medium N/A Low Low Medium Energy Efficiency Medium N/A N/A Low N/A Medium Residential EE High N/A N/A Low N/A High Public Entity EE Low N/A N/A Low N/A High C&I EE Medium N/A N/A Low N/A Medium CVO N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Low * - Demand Response FDNY Risk is High for batteries 34

35 Transmission Infrastructure Post BQDM: Non-Wires Alternatives ( NWA ) Traditional Build A Time (Year) Load (MW) Infrastructure Capability (MW) Utility Expenditures ($) Customers Perspective Non-Wires Alternative Load (MW) Infrastructure Capability (MW) Load with DER (MW) C Time (Year) Investors Perspective B A B C Traditional Asset Traditional Asset Deferred DER NWA 70% share of savings to customer Delivers energy, environmental savings benefits Customer choices to manage energy use Typically mitigates bill increases Opportunity to develop new markets 30% share of net benefits to utility No budget limit if NWA cost effective Earn return on program spend 35 35

36 Commercial Demand Response Programs Distribution Load Relief Program 2 Hr Notification Program Called on a network basis for contingencies Commercial System Relief Program 21 Hr Notification Program Called for network peak shaving Premium paid for 10 networks with higher need for demand response ( Tier 2 networks) 4 call windows to coincide with network peaks 3 events per year expected on average 36 36

37 Annual DR Revenue Incentive Rates Reservation Rates ($/kw-month) CSRP CSRP in Westchester/ Staten Island DLRP Tier 1 DLRP Tier 2 $18 $6 $18 $23 Performance Rates ($/kwh) All Reservation Voluntary $1 $3 $25,000 Example: 100 kw Enrolled $20,000 $15,000 $21,500 $18,000 $10,000 $12,000 $12,000 $5,000 $- CSRP and DLRP Tier 2 CSRP and DLRP Tier 1 Staten Island (CSRP and DLRP) Westchester (CSRP and DLRP) Incentives are based on current tariff rules, 100% performance in events, and enrolling directly with Con Edison. Consult the program tariff (Rider T) for more information. 37

38 Number of Customers How much load do customers enroll? Majority of customers enroll less than 20% of their highest summertime kw demand Some customers enroll over 65% of their highest kw demand. These customers are often industrial facilities that temporarily shut down operations 2015 Customer DR Enrollment as a Percentage of Customer s Peak Demand DLRP CSRP kw Enrollment as Percentage of Peak Demand 38 38

39 Who is enrolling in Demand Response? Currently over 800 customers take advantage of DR incentives 39 39

40 Procurements and Market Solicitation Company is seeking to develop new markets Competitive solicitations Auctions, Sealed bids Advanced technologies as well as reliable resources Transparency and standardization Example: BQDM DR Auction 40

41 Auction Mechanics: BQDM Example 41

42 Auction Products 4 Auction Products: Year Call Window Ceiling Price ($ / kw / Year) pm 8 pm pm 12 am 1, pm 8 pm pm 12 am 1,000 Technology and customer type agnostic 42

43 BQDM DR Auction Results Year Call Window Ceiling Price ($ / kw / Year) Clearing Price ($ / kw / Year) pm 8 pm pm 12 am 1, pm 8 pm pm 12 am 1, DR Providers received awards through the auction 6 new entrants to Con Edison DR Program Mix of Curtailment, Battery Providers and DG 43