Kathmandu, Nepal 9-10 May BY Engr. Munawar Iqbal Director (Hydropower) PPIB, Ministry of Water and Power, Government of Pakistan

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1 Kathmandu, Nepal 9-10 May 2016 BY Engr. Munawar Iqbal Director (Hydropower) PPIB, Ministry of Water and Power, Government of Pakistan

2 C O N T E N T S Overview of Power Mix Hydropower Potential of Pakistan Evolution of hydro model in Pakistan Salient futures of Power Policy 2002 & 2015 Success Stories in Private Sector Concluding Remarks

3 PAKISTAN POWER SECTOR - POWER MIX Power Mix is a blend of: Hydel Wind (50 MW) Oil Gas Nuclear Coal (150 MW)

4 PAKISTAN POWER SECTOR - TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY MW % Public Sector Hydel 7, Thermal 5, Nuclear Total 13, Private Sector IPPs 9, K-E 2, Total 11, Private Sector, 11950, 47.4% Nuclear, 787, 3.1% Total Installed Capacity 4 Wind 50 MW Public Sector Hydel, 7013, 27.8% Public Sector Thermal, 5458, 21.6% 25,208 MW

5 HYDROPOWER

6 RESPONSIBILITY PUBLIC SECTOR WAPDA Provinces PRIVATE SECTOR Private Power & Infrastructure Board (PPIB) Alternate Energy Development Board (AEDB) Provinces

7 Tarbela Dam Capacity 3,478 MW Enhanced 4,888 MW Opening date 1976 Impounds Height 9.7 MAF m Construction

8 Mangla Dam Coordinates N E Construction Type of dam Impounds Height Embankment dam Jhelum River 147 m (482 ft) Total capacity MAF Turbines Capacity 10 x 100 MW 1,000 MW

9 Warsak Dam Capacity Impounds Height Commission MW 25,300 acre ft 76.2 m

10 Ghazi Barotha Dam Capacity 1,450 MW Impounds 20,700 AF head 69 m Construction

Garhi KPK 4 6 Mangla AJK 1000 7 Ghazi Barotha Punjab 1450 8 Chashma Punjab 184 9 Rasul Punjab

11 HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION By WAPDA S# Name of Project Province Installed Capacity (MW) 1 Tarbela KPK Warsak KPK Jaban (Malakand-I) KPK 20 4 Dargai (Malakand-II) KPK 20 5 Kurram Garhi KPK 4 6 Mangla AJK Ghazi Barotha Punjab Chashma Punjab Rasul Punjab Shadiwal Punjab Nandipur Punjab MW Chichoki Punjab Satpara Gilgit-Baltistan 16

12 HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION S# Name of Project Province Installed Capacity (MW) 87 MW 38.7 MW KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA 1 Malakand-III KPK Small HPP KPK Reshun KPK 2.8 GoAJ&K 1 Jagran AJ&K Kathai AJ&K Small HPPs AJ&K Kundal Shahi AJ&K 2

13 HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION S# Name of Project Province Installed Capacity (MW) GoGILGIL-BALTISTAN 1 Naltar Gilgit Baltistan 18 2 Gilgit Gilgit Baltistan Skardu-I Gilgit Baltistan Chilas-I Gilgit Baltistan Hunza Gilgit Baltistan Shyok Gilgit Baltistan Astore Gilgit Baltistan Kachura Phase II Gilgit Baltistan 3 9 Ghizar, Thak, Phander Gilgit Baltistan 6 10 Bordas Gilgit Baltistan 2 Gilgit Baltistan 1 84 Small HPPs 47.7

14 HYDROPOWER IN OPERATION S# Name of Project Province Installed Capacity (MW) GoGILGIL-BALTISTAN 1 Naltar Gilgit Baltistan 18 2 Gilgit Gilgit Baltistan Skardu-I Gilgit Baltistan Chilas-I Gilgit Baltistan Hunza Gilgit Baltistan Shyok Gilgit Baltistan Astore Gilgit Baltistan Kachura Phase II Gilgit Baltistan 3 9 Ghizar Gilgit Baltistan 2 10 Thak Gilgit Baltistan 2

15 C G I LG I T git Rive r R. Kandhia R. Riv er or a I nd A Sawat R. Naran KaghanRiver e Ne T la m Wolar Lake J ehlu S MUZAFFARABAD Mardan I Landi Kotal A s du In h nc Pu ISLAMABAD Rawalpindi er Riv J A M er Riv M U & K H A M S H I R Mangla F G H K H W A er m Riv Sirinagar Punch Peshawar K abul R. B E R P A K H T U N Khaplu Sakardu Madian Malakand Y us R iver Chilas Dir N Pa njk r al Kalam Chakwal Bannu A Miramshah Mianwali J eh lum er Riv in Ch ab er Riv Sargodha B Dera Ismail Khan A J Sheikhupura N Lahore U Faisalabad P Jhang Zhob vi Ra er Riv Okara Sahiwal Khaniwal Quetta t le Su Vehari Dera Ghazi Khan Multan r ive jr Bahawalnagar Kohlo Bahawalpur Dadhar A Chagi B A L U H I A N D T Rahimyar Khan Jacobabad N C S Shikarpur I Kharan I Kalat Khuzdar Larkana Khairpur Dadu I nd us Riv er R A N S I N D H Nawabshah Sanghar Turbat Uthal Mirpur Khas Hyderabad Gawadar Karachi ARABIAN SEA Thatha THAR PARKAR Coal Reserved ed in ef nd ru Ch it Gilgit Mangora K H Loralai A B A L T I S TA N M as t uj G il Chitral Parachinar N N tie on Fr Area of Focus I Gilgit-Baltistan R ive r HYDROPOWER H

16 HYDROPOWER POTENTIAL NEXT BACK

17 Hydropower Potential River Wise Indus MW Jhelum 5624 MW Kandiah 1006 MW others 9704 MW Swat 1803 MW Kunhar 1480 MW Punch 462 MW

720 MW Karot HPP 147 MW Patrind HPP PH 590 MW Mahl

18 LOCATION OF HPPs ON JEHLUM RIVER N 500 MW Chakothi Hattian HPP AJ&K Mahl River 640 MW Azad Pattan HPP 720 MW Karot HPP 147 MW Patrind HPP PH 590 MW Mahl HPP Mangla Garhi Habibullah Khyber Pakhtunkhwa PUNJAB 18 BACK

19 NEELUM VALLEY- MAJOR HYDEL SCHEMES Nara Dudhnial 800 MW Athmuqam 350 MW Ashkot 300 MW N-J 969 MW Total= 2419 MW ATHMUQAM Jagran Kagha n Sharda Dudhnial Janawai Halmat Toabat Legend NEELUM RIVER Kundal Shahi Panjgran TITHWAL BACK

20 PROJECTS ON POONCH RIVER IN AJK Sehra HPP SEHRA KOTLI GLPUR RAJDHANI 130 MW 100 MW 100 MW 132 MW Total= 462 MW KOTLI Gulpur HPP Gulpur BACK

21 PROJECTS ON KUNHAR RIVER IN KP 102 MW Batta Kundi HPP 188 MW Naran HPP Naran Balk ot 870 MW Suki Kinari HPP Paras 300 MW Balakot HPP Kaghan Bata Kundi 102 MW Naran 188 MW Suki Kinari 870 MW Balakot 300 MW Patrind 150 MW Total= 1610 MW 147 MW Patrind HPP BACK

22 LOCATION MAP RIVER INDUS TRIBUTARIES KAIGAH 548 MW Diamer Basha 4500 MW Bunji 7100 MW Yulbo 3000 MW TANGUS 2100 MW Dasu 4000 MW Duber Khwar 130 MW SPATGAH 496 MW Khan Khwar 72 MW Allai Khwar 121 MW PALAS VALLEY 665MW Warsak 243 MW Tarbela 3478 MW BACK

23 PROJECTS ON SWAT RIVER IN KPK Kalam Asrit HPP P=197 MW H=210 m Asrit Kedam HPP P=215 MW H=214 m PH PH PH Gabral Kalam HPP P=137 MW H=205 m SWAT VALLEY HPPs Madain HPP P=157 MW H=150 m PH BACK

24 Shydo Shydo 79 MW Shydo Shydo Shydo CHITRAL Shydo 58MW Shydo Shydo BACK

25 21125 MW HYDROPOWER POTENTIAL MW 6450 MW 7291 MW 1 MW 193 MW Total =59796 MW

26 STATUS OF HYDROPOWER DEVELOPMENT IN PAKISTAN TOTAL =60000 MW Under Process (PPP) Un-Tapped

27 PAKISTAN POWER SECTOR CURRENT SCENARIO Demand-supply gap up to 6000 MW resulting in load-shedding of up to 8-16 hours per day Power Planners have projected a demand of MW by the year 2020 If MW is assumed as de-rated capacity, country would need additional 13,300 MW (net) by the year 2020, requiring an investment of $15 billion Scarcity of funds in government sector so private sector is the next option For private sector, govt. have issued policies both federal and provincial levels

EVOLUTION OF POWER MODELS IN PAKISTAN 1958 1994 1995 1998

28 EVOLUTION OF POWER MODELS IN PAKISTAN PUBLIC SECTOR (WAPDA) Power Policy 1994 Hydel Policy 1995 Power Policy 1998 Power Policy 2002 Renewable Policy 2006 KPK 2006, Punjab 2006 Power Policy 2015 Private Sector PPP

29 POLICY - Features GENERAL FEATURES HPPs to be developed on BOOT Basis Concession Period allowed upto 30 years Tariff to be calculated on COST PLUS basis 100% foreign ownership allowed with minimum 20% equity contribution requirements Sponsors can divest equity after six (6) years of project commissioning Performance obligations of Power Purchaser and Provinces guaranteed by GOP Responsibility of power transmission facilities rests with the Power Purchaser

POLICY - Features FISCAL & FINANCIAL INCENTIVES Tax Holiday 5% concessionary Customs Duty Tariff adjustable for changes in Benchmark Interest Rates (LIBOR/KIBOR) Multi-Year, Long-term Tariff

30 POLICY - Features FISCAL & FINANCIAL INCENTIVES Tax Holiday 5% concessionary Customs Duty Tariff adjustable for changes in Benchmark Interest Rates (LIBOR/KIBOR) Multi-Year, Long-term Tariff Attractive Return on Equity (ROE 17%) Two-part tariff structure of fixed 'Capacity' and variable 'Energy' components Conversion of Pak Rupee and remittance of Foreign Exchange ensured by GOP Exchange rate variation for COD up to

31 POLICY - Features RISK PROTECTING FEATURES Continuity of payments in case of Political Force Majeure Protection against Change in Law Risk Compensation Payment in case of project termination due to GOP default Foreign component of fixed and variable O&M Cost to be indexed with US CPI At COD, Capital Cost to be fixed in US dollars base Periodic adjustments in the Debt Service Component to cover exchange rate variation Hydrological Risk covered by assuring Capacity Payment upto 90%-95% of the Tariff

32 PROJECT AGREEMENTS

33 TARIFF DETERMINATION

34 PROCESSING OF UNSOLICITED PROJECTS ON RAW SITES Expression of Interest Reg. of Investors Feasibility Study Feasibility Completed Monitoring by POE not completed LOI Cancelled Proposal submission Evaluation Registration Cancelled Disapproved Tariff Petition before NEPRA Successfully Completed Project Readvertised Ranking approved NEPRA Approval of Tariff Issuance of LOI Issuance of LOS

35 CONTINUED.. Major Activities under LOS EPC Contractor through ICB Project Agreements WUA, PPA, IA(s) Land Acquisition Arrange Financing Environmental Approval EPC Tariff Approval Direct Agreements Fin. Close Construction COD

IPP MODEL BEING EXECUTED BY PPIB CSA: Coal Supply Agreement GSA: Gas Supply Agreement PPA: Power Purchase Agreement IA: Implementation Agreement DIA: Direct Implementation Agreement GoP

36 IPP MODEL BEING EXECUTED BY PPIB CSA: Coal Supply Agreement GSA: Gas Supply Agreement PPA: Power Purchase Agreement IA: Implementation Agreement DIA: Direct Implementation Agreement GoP Provinces Tripartite LOS DIA Lenders LOI/ LOS/ IA Financing CPPAG Gas/ Fuel Supplier OGRA Fuel Price GSA/ FSA IPPs EPC /O&M Contracts EPC/ O&M Contractors NTDC Transmission Licence NEPRA Purchase Licence

37 SUCCESS STORIES

SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector 84 MW New Bong Escape HPP Project Company : Laraib Energy Limited Main Sponsor : HUBCO, Pakistan Lenders : ADB, IFC, IsDB, Proparco,

38 SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector 84 MW New Bong Escape HPP Project Company : Laraib Energy Limited Main Sponsor : HUBCO, Pakistan Lenders : ADB, IFC, IsDB, Proparco, HBL, NBP Project Cost : 215 Million US$ Capacity : 84 MW Energy : 471 GWh/a Firm Tariff (levelized) : USc/kWh Financial Closing : December 2009 Commissioning : March 2013

39 SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector 150 MW Patrind HPP Project Company : Star Hydropower Limited Main Sponsor : K-Water, Korea Lenders : ADB, IFC, IsDB, KEXIM Project Cost : Million US$ Capacity : 150 MW Energy : GWh/a Firm Tariff (levelized) : USc/kWh Financial Closing : December 2012 Commissioning : March 2017

40 Project Layout TARCHEELA VILLAGE KUNHAR RIVER 1 WEIR SANDTRAP HEADRACE TUNNEL JHELUM RIVER MUZAFFARAB AD PATRIND VILLAGE ACCESS BRIDGE POWER HOUSE 1 WEIR & SANDTRAP 2 POWERHOUSE 2 SURGE TANK

41 Current Status of Works POWERHOUSE SITE

42 Physical Progress Diversion Tunnel

43 Physical Progress Access Bridge for Powerhouse

44 Current Status of Works WEIR SITE 4 4 Weir Site Camp (In Progress) 2 DT Outlet Portal (Water Diversion, 09 Apr 2013) 1 DT Inlet Portal (Water Diversion, 09 Apr 2013) 5 5 Stock Yard (Completed) WEIR 7 Weir & Sandtrap Excavation (In Progress) SANDTRAP 6 Adit Tunnel for HRT (145m Excavated) 7 BACK

45 SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector 102 MW Gulpur HPP Project Company : Mira Power Limited Main Sponsor : KOSEP, Korea Lenders : ADB, IFC, KEXIM Project Cost : Million US$ Capacity : 102 MW Energy : 475 GWh/a Tariff (levelized) : USc/kWh Financial Closing : October 2015 Commissioning : October 2019

46 102 MW GULPUR HYDROPOWER PROJECT

47 102 MW GULPUR HYDROPOWER PROJECT BACK

48 SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs in Private Sector 870 MW Suki Kinari HPP Project Company : Suki Kinari Private Limited Main Sponsor : Al-Jumaia, Saudi Arabia Lenders : CEXIM, ICB China Project Cost : Million US$ Capacity : 870 MW Energy : 3081 GWh/a Firm Tariff (levelized) : USc/kWh Financial Closing : June 2016 Commissioning : June 2021

49 SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs -in Private Sector 1100 MW Kohala HPP Project Company : Kohala Hydro Co. Pvt. Limited Main Sponsor : CSAIL, CTGC China Lenders : CEXIM, ICBC China, IFC Project Cost : 2300 Million US$ Capacity : 1100 MW Energy : 5093 GWh/a Feasibility Tariff (levelized) : USc/kWh Financial Closing : December 2017 Commissioning : December

Ltd Main Sponsor : CSAIL, CTGC China Lenders : CEXIM, ICBC, IFC, SRF Project Cost :

50 SUCCESS STORIES OF HPPs -in Private Sector 720 MW Karot HPP Project Company : Karot Power Co. Pvt. Ltd Main Sponsor : CSAIL, CTGC China Lenders : CEXIM, ICBC, IFC, SRF Project Cost : Million US$ Capacity : 720 MW Energy : 3174 GWh/a Firm Tariff (levelized) : USc/kWh Financial Closing : August 2016 Commissioning : August 2021

51 PUBLIC SECTOR PROJECT 969 MW NEELUM JHELUM HYDROPOWER PROJECT

52 NEELUM JHELUM LAYOUT PLAN

53 BACK INTRO

54 PPIB s PORTFOLIO OF UPCOMING PRIVATE POWER PROJECTS (IPPs) Description/ Year Hydel Coal Gas MW No. MW No. MW No. Total (MW) No. of Projects , , , , , , , , , , , , , Grand Total 7, , ,

55 How Hydropower is Renewable The circulation of earth s water as it circulates from the land to the sky and back again is called the hydrological cycle or water cycle.

56 Methematical Concept Renewable P =ρ.g. η. QH NON-Renewable P = 8.5 x Q H (SI Units) Head = H, Discharge = Q

57 CASA-1000 POWER SUPPLY PROJECT TO BE INAUGURATED ON MAY 12, 2016 The project, signed between Tajikistan and Pakistan, would be completed at a cost of $1.2 billion in two years The Central Asia-South Asia (CASA) 1000 project to supply one thousand megawatts electricity from Tajikistan to Pakistan would formally be inaugurated in Dushanbe on Thursday. The project, signed between Tajikistan and Pakistan, would be completed at a cost of 1.2 billion dollars in two years. The project would help Pakistan get cheaper and clean energy to minimize its electricity shortages. Afghanistan has already given a guarantee to ensure security of 750 km long transmission line. According to Ambassador of Tajikistan to Pakistan, all arrangements including necessary financial resources have been made to undertake the project forthwith.

PAKHTUNKHWA ENERGY DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION (PEDO) KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA PAKISTAN

PAKHTUNKHWA ENERGY DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION (PEDO) KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA PAKISTAN June 2017 1 1986 - Establishment of Small Hydel Development Organization (SHYDO) To identify and develop hydel potential up