Governing Regional Cooperation in Central and South East Europe
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1 Governing Regional Cooperation in Central and South East Europe Arno Behrens, Head of Energy and Research Fellow, CEPS Anna Dimitrova, Research Assistant, CEPS Sept. 30 th, 2015 Working Breakfast meeting European Parliament, Brussels Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 1
2 Regional Energy Cooperation: A Solution Regional Cooperation a stepping stone to an Internal Energy Market in CSEE Unprecedented political momentum in the region - explicit mention in the Energy Union Package and the establishment of the Central and South-Eastern European Gas Connectivity (CESEC) initiative can be used to address the issues unresolved to date Regional Cooperation has already been operationalized as an approach through CESEC Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 2
3 Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 3
4 Existing CSEE Regional Initiatives South East Europe Cooperation Process (SEECP), 1996 parliamentary and executive powers cooperation through a committee dedicated to Economy, Infrastructure and Energy Energy Community (EnC), 2004 Permanent High Level Group Projects of Energy Community s Interest (PECIs) Dispute settlement mechanism European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E), 2009 Continental South East region, the 8 th region (Italy, Slovenia, Croatia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia, Montenegro, FYROM, Greece, Albania, Kosovo*, Turkey) Ten-Year Network Development Plan (TYNDP) (non-biding) Electricity Projects of Common Interest (PCIs) European Network of Transmission System Operators for Gas (ENTSO- G), 2009 Gas Regional Investment Plan (GRIP) the Central Eastern Europe and the Southern Corridor Neither of these includes the Western Balkan countries or Turkey Also TYNDP and PCIs Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 4
5 Existing CSEE Regional Initiatives Agency for the Cooperation of Energy Regulators (ACER), 2009 South South-East Regional Initiative (Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Greece, Italy, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia) Guidance. South East Europe Coordination Action Office (SEE CAO), 2012 Greece, Croatia, Montenegro, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Albania, Kosovo* and Turkey South Eastern European Power Exchange (SEEPEX), expected 2015 Serbia, Montenegro, Macedonia Central East South Gas Connectivity CESEC High Level Group, 2015 The European Commission, Austria, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, FYROM, Serbia, Moldova and Ukraine Kosovo and Montenegro were not signatories to the Memorandum of Understanding Focused on natural gas connectivity but foresees expansion of scope to electricity, heating and cooling Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 5
6 Opportunities and Risks OPPORTUNITIES SECURITY OF SUPPLY SYSTEM RESILIENCE ADDRESS REGION-SPECIFIC CHALLENGES ECONOMIES OF SCALE BALANCING RENEWABLE ENERGY INTERMITTENCY storage capacity RISKS Distinct regions cooperating cross-regionally but not sharing a common vision, EU energy and climate objectives Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 6
7 Challenge I: Geographic Definition CESEC High Level Group offers the most inclusive geographical definition Challenge: Ukraine s and Moldova s energy sectors may be in need of different solutions, not applicable to the other members of CESEC To guarantee CESEC s effectiveness, Turkey, Kosovo and Montenegro need to be integrated in the process at an early stage Proposal Voluntary Opt In: Starting with the CESEC definition, coalitions of willing may address specific Thematic Groups Thematic Groups (as identified at a regional workshop in Sofia) Electricity: regional emergency frameworks, regional market and market coupling Heating and Cooling Natural Gas: physical connectivity, security of supply, market integration and gas hubs Renewables Energy Efficiency and Energy Storage Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 7
8 An Immediate priority: develop mechanisms for co-operation with countries not belonging to the EU or the Energy Community Energy Union membership before EU membership Challenge II: External Dimension TOOLS: EU Energy Diplomacy Action Plan signed on July 20 as part of the Foreign Affairs Council Conclusions National Energy and Climate Plans, Energy Union National Plans for Competitive, Secure and Sustainable Energy, The 2030 framework Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 8
9 HARDWARE TYNDP binding or non-binding? Converging PCIs and PECIs with priority projects under CESEC s Memorandum of Understanding a long awaited example of regional infrastructure planning yet more is needed Challenge III: Connectivity SOFTWARE Carrots or Sticks to enforce market rules and coupling? - the power of infringement procedures - enhancing ACER s independence and enforcement capacity - lack of market liquidity and inadequate market price signals - market liberalisation and energy poverty - What carrots? Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 9
10 Challenge IV: Aligning Finance If true regional cooperation is to be achieved, financing instruments need to be aligned. CESEC identifies potential challenges to natural gas infrastructure financing and a similar process has to take a place for electricity infrastructure and other areas where a potential for regional cooperation is seen Existing Energy Infrastructure Financing Frameworks to name a few: Connecting Europe Facility and PCIs Western Balkans Investment Framework and PECIs Juncker Plan (EFSI) Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 10
11 Challenge V: Governance CESEC offers an effective framework for regional energy policy cooperation in CSEE Adaptation through Voluntary Opt-In to involve all interested parties (including those external to the EU) Extending beyond natural gas issues through establishing thematic groups Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 11
12 Five Key Issues Geographic definition and address the need for an external dimension Ensure connectivity: fix hardware and software Align finance Governance: CESEC + Opt In + Thematic groups The role of the EP Next steps Governing Regional Energy Policy Cooperation in CSEE, Behrens & Dimitrova CEPS 12
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