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1 supplied ahead of demand Align investments with freight type Improve operational characteristics Separate from commuter services and freight network where appropriate 2 Reconfigure the network to optimize flows 3 Provide strategic and connectivity links Support connectivity to SADC / Regional railways Support flexibility for market shifts and port terminal locations 4 Standardisation Where possible, the network should be standardized in design to simplify operations, flexibility and maintenance Slide 97

2 Operational = Passing Distance Operating Speed Gradients / Curvature Train Control Systems Double / Single line Service Type Light Traffic <60%. No Action Required Moderate Traffic 60-80%. Consider Operational Re-engineering i Heavy Traffic 80-95%. Operational redesign essential. Limited infrastructure upgrades. Traffic Limit 95-05%. Operational redesign limit. Infrastructure upgrades essential. Exceed Traffic Limit 05-30%. New Infrastructure needed. New operational plan. System Failure Significant infrastructure Transp portation Mod deling Convert Rail per commodity to equivalent trains per day Assume efficiency improvement improvements. Doubling or new lines. Slide 98

3 Operational = 35% = maintenance, Freight Supply peaks, Density (Production Areas) Freight Density (Consumption Areas) Slide 99

4 Operational = 300 Short Haul Rail Addressable Market Freight (Mtpa) freight volumes >50% of total f Total Freight on Surface Total Freight on Rail Straight-line distance between MD's (km) Slide 00

5 ,000 Operational Container/Tons = % of theoretical Break Bulk slots 800 F reight Tonnes (Mill ions) 700 operational failures, Perishables etc Automotive Dry Bulk Liquid Bulk Total 2008 Forecast Slide 0

6 Operational = All Surface (Base) Commodity Surface > 50 Km l (Base) Rail Actual Rail Marke et Share (All) Rail Marke et Share (>50k km) Market Share Ambitio on % MOTOR VEHICLES,899,067,48, ,579.3% 6.0% 75% 3% BARLEY 558,8 49, , % 70.0% 60% % BEVERAGES 2,62, ,903,707 55,78 4.0% 5.8% 20% % BRICKS 8,37,725 6,57,968 CEMENT 4,976,859 9,057,874 3,056, % 33.7% 30% 0% CHROME 7,899,490 2,603,64 2,3, % 8.9% 00% 0% CITRUS 987, ,980 79,66 7.6% 9.3% 0% % COAL MINING EXPORT 63,448,022 63,448,022 63,448, % 00.0% 00% 0% CONTAINER TRAFFIC 39,363,980 25,090,479 5,323, % 2.2% 75% 3% COPPER 05,960 8, , % 0% 00.0% 0% 00% 0% FERTILIZERS AND PESTICIDES 3,039,575,20,967 60, % 50.0% 50% 0% FOOD AND FOOD PROCESSING 35,932,585 28,8,75 843, % 3.0% 5% % FERROCHROME 2,847,579 2,803,235 2,70, % 77.4% 00% 0% FERROMANGANESE 642, ,09 588, % 99.5% 00% 0% PETROLEUM REFINERIES AND PRODUCTS OF PETROLEUM/COAL 28,437,259 6,825,673 3,040,743 0.% 8.% 25% 2% Catch-U Up % For all 65 commodities Addressable Market Current Market Share Slide 02

7 General Freight Train Configurations GF - Consolidated Operational = GF - Current Train Length (Wagons) 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 5% 0% 5% 0% % Coal (South of Ermelo) Consolidated Current 0-8 Train Length % 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 0% 0% % Assume efficiency improvement Slide 03

8 To determine the number of trains required to Operational = move a predetermined amount of freight a train service design is assumed This service design depends on the route as well as the type of commodity moved Train service design factors: Wagon type Load/wagon (route specific) Load utilisation Train length (design) Train length distribution Convert Rail per commodity to equivalent trains per day Assume efficiency improvement Slide 04

9 Operational = Passing Distance Op ps Slots Operating Speed Segment Gradients / Curvature Train Control Systems Double / Single line Service Type Light Traffic <60%. No Action Required Moderate Traffic 60-80% Consider Operational Re-engineering i 20 7 Heavy Traffic 80-95%. Operational redesign essential. Limited infrastructure upgrades. Traffic Limit 95-05%. Operational redesign limit. Infrastructure upgrades essential. Exceed Traffic Limit 05-30%. New Infrastructure needed. New operational plan. System Failure Significant infrastructure 20 8 Transp portation Mod deling 20 9 Convert Rail per commodity to equivalent trains per day Assume efficiency improvement improvements. Doubling or new lines. This determines where new capacity needs to be built, how much and the timing Slide 05

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