Small Scale LNG Are We There Yet?

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Small Scale LNG Are We There Yet? Platts Caribbean Energy Conference, Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic January 2017 Chris Whitney Manager, Sales Support Wärtsilä North America 1 Wärtsilä

Have we reached a tipping point? Stating the obvious.. Gas fuels are cleaner and generally well perceived by the public Delivered cost of gas fuels should be reasonable Small scale gas fuel receiving facilities must be competitive Must be able to build new or convert existing power plants at a reasonable cost Price Stability or Price Volatility? 2 Wärtsilä

LET S MAKE SOME OVERALL ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE SAKE OF DISCUSSION No. 1 Nobody can predict the price of fuel No. 2 Nobody can predict the stability of the fuel price Wait change that to: Anyone can make a prediction, but nobody can SUCCESSFULLY predict either of these things So let s just assume that we are all interested in gas fuels as a possible alternate to the LFO and HFO fuels we all know, and let s also assume I m not going to talk about hard costs! We believe fuel flexibility is, as it has always been, a big advantage in the energy business. 3 Wärtsilä

Let s review: Pros and Cons of different gas fuels LNG excellent engine performance, complex transport, complex infrastructure LPG good engine performance, relatively easy transport and relatively easy infrastructure LEG close to LNG. Due to current surplus in the US, LEG is actually available in the Caribbean and Central America (is anyone using it?). And we have one other possibility methanol, but I will not be talking about it today. 4 Wärtsilä

LNG CONSUMPTION IN A POWER PLANT m 3 LNG 60000 Typical refilling interval 50000 200 MW plant (baseload 8000 h/year) 620,000 m 3 /year (=280,000 tonnes/year) 40000 30000 20000 100 MW plant (baseload 8000 h/year) 310,000 m 3 /year (=140,000 tonnes/year) 10000 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Days of storage 50 MW plant (baseload 8000 h/year); OR 100 MW (flexible baseload = 4000 h/year); OR 200 MW (peak load = 2000 h/year) 155,000 m 3 /year (=70,000 tonnes/year) Note: The volume of LPG or LEG would be about 13% lower than LNG (for the same energy content) 5 Wärtsilä

So. Can we get gas fuels to this region? Sure seems like it! How about LNG from AES Andres, right down the road? How about LNG from New Fortress in Jamaica?? How about from Eagle LNG in Florida??? How about AES Panama???? EcoElectrica Puerto Rico????? Let s not forget Crowley with containers 6 Wärtsilä

So. Can we get gas fuels to this region? Sure seems like it! How about Ethane (LEG)? (Powered by Wartsila engines) 7 Wärtsilä

So. Can we get gas fuels to this region? Sure seems like it! Many possible suppliers today for LPG! 8 Wärtsilä

What else do we need a receiving terminal? Jetty or dock (or truck terminal) Storage Flat bottom or Bullet Tanks? Regas Land to put it all 9 Wärtsilä

HERE IS ONE TERMINAL STYLE USING BULLET TANKS 10 Wärtsilä

LET S TALK BRIEFLY ABOUT GAS FUEL STORAGE TANKS Tank type Bullet tank (Double shell steel tanks) Flat bottom tank (Single, double or full containment) Capacity Single tank 100 1200 m 3 Multiple tanks 10,000 20,000 m 3 15,000 160,000 m 3 Boil-off gas (holding mode) 0.05-0.15 % per day, but the tank is capable of handling the increased pressure for up to 1 month From 0.05 % per day Operating pressure 0.5 8 barg Atmospheric Rollover monitoring needed No Yes Manufacturing method Pre-fabricated in factory On site Installation time on site Days to weeks 24 36 months We feel that bullets can be used up to about 20,000 m3. Above that go with flat bottom. 11 Wärtsilä

FLAT BOTTOM TANK RECEIVING TERMINAL 12 Wärtsilä

AND A THIRD POSSIBILITY FOR TANKS.. BARGE MOUNTED 13 Wärtsilä

HOW MUCH FUEL STORAGE DO YOU NEED? Good question. No easy answer. Depends on the power plant size, the delivery method, the round trip time to deliver, whether you have backup fuel, etc. Let s just say ~15 days, in round numbers but it could be less! 14 Wärtsilä

SMALL SCALE LNG IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC IS BEING DONE TODAY TRUCK DELIVERY Los Origenes, 25 MW, 3 x Wartsila 20V34DF, installed 2011, expanded by 2 x 18V50DF (34 MW) in 2013 15 Wärtsilä

ADDITIONAL SMALL SCALE LNG CAPABLE PLANTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC Laesa Cerveceria Nacional Quisqueya Punta Cana Seaboard 16 Wärtsilä

RECENT LPG EXPERIENCE Industrial Customer in Central America (Wartsila s First LPG project) 2 x 20V34SG GasCube with CHP Commercial operation for approximately 1 year Operating on 100% LPG since startup Truck delivery, existing site fuel storage was enlarged 17 Wärtsilä

INDUSTRIAL CUSTOMER CENTRAL AMERICA WITH GASCUBES 18 Wärtsilä

EXISTING STORAGE CAPACITY WAS INCREASED 19 Wärtsilä

RECENT LPG EXPERIENCE RECO, Roatan, Honduras 4 x 20V34SG units, EPC by Wartsila Due to begin commercial operation shortly Fuel delivered to plant site by Energy Transfer via barge or small gas carrier ship 12 x 340 m 3 bullet tanks = 4080 m 3, 2-3 weeks use Future LNG Capable 20 Wärtsilä

RECO HONDURAS 21 Wärtsilä

OFFLOADING AND MOVING BULLET TANKS AT RECO 22 Wärtsilä

OFFLOADING AND MOVING BULLET TANKS AT RECO 23 Wärtsilä

A GENERIC 50 MW POWER PLANT Let s benchmark a receiving terminal for a 50 MW plant with recips using LNG Daily fuel use ~430 m 3 How much fuel to store? Depends on logistics maybe 6500 m 3 How much land is needed for fuel receiving terminal maybe 4-5 hectares depending on storage on site How long to build fuel receiving terminal? With bullet tanks, 6-8 months The big questions do you need a jetty and a long pipeline? $$$ 24 Wärtsilä

AND LET S NOT FORGET ABOUT POSSIBLE CONVERSION OF YOUR EXISTING PLANT Different types of conversions available Pure gas fired plant? Or dual fuel plant (LFO as backup)? Many factors to look at! You may have seen previous Wartsila presentations on this. Clearly there are many things to consider. But you wouldn t be watching this unless you are looking at all of these options. Trying not to sound too much like a Wartsila advertisement, I will say that we can assist with pricing and constructing all aspects of small scale gas infrastructure! 25 Wärtsilä

So.In summary I think we have finally passed the tipping point. Our friends at AES can load a small LNG carrier just down the road from here, and other suppliers are coming. LNG trucking is actively going on to supply small power projects in the Dominican Republic. More small LNG carrier ships are being built. Plenty of LPG carriers available. Multigas carriers are starting service, carrying LEG and LPG. 26 Wärtsilä

So.In summary Small scale gas receiving and storage terminals can be built, and power plants can be built or converted with fuel flexibility. The pieces are falling in to place as we speak. 27 Wärtsilä

So.In summary, it boils down to this: Finally we are in the position that if the economics of a particular fuel supply are attractive, then there is nothing standing in your way to do small scale gas fuels! 28 Wärtsilä

THANKS chris.whitney@wartsila.com 29 Wärtsilä