Blue Growth in the Mediterranean: A challenge for the MPA network

Blue Growth in the Mediterranean: A challenge for the MPA network Catherine Piante, Denis Ody, Mauro Randone WWF Mediterranean Initiative

Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. Maps and trends 3. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 4. ICZM & MSP 5. Discussion

Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Aquaculture Offshore mining Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations)

Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Tourism Aquaculture Offshore mining Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations)

Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Tourism Shipping Aquaculture Offshore mining Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations)

Relative sizes of sectors and their expected growth to 2030 Professional fisheries Tourism Shipping Aquaculture Offshore mining Offshore O&G Taille relative actuelle (PIB) Taille attendue en 2030 (estimations) Offshore windfarms

Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. Maps and trends 3. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 4. ICZM & MSP 5. Discussion

ECONOMIC SECTORS 9

Maritime traffic > 4% year Global trade

Rush for offshore oil & gas x 5 by 2030 Offshore gaz production +60% by 2020 Offshore oil production

Offshore oil & gas: exploration contracts (April 2015) Pas besoin de titre sur des photos larges qui permettent une respiration

> 4% Mediterranean: 1st year tourism destination Global in the trade world

Professional Fisheries A downward trend is expected at an uncertain rate at the Mediterranean regional level. > 4% year Global trade

Professional fisheries A sector potentially strongly impacted by Blue Growth Topic can go here Presentation title can go here Diminution of captures, loss of fishing grounds Secondary information XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary

Recreational fisheries Recreational fishing in the Mediterranean Sea follows an upward trend. Fishing effort is likely to increase in correlation with the expected coastal population increase and the development of the coastal tourism sector. > 4% year Global trade

Marine aquaculture > 4% year Global trade

Aquaculture Topic can go here Presentation title can go here EU Med fish aquaculture +112% by 2030 Secondary information XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary Giorgos Paximadis, WWF-Greece

Renewable energy > 4% year Global trade

Offshore windfarms Emerging industry Topic can go here Presentation title can go here 12 gigawatts (GW) in 2030 (EU countries) Secondary information XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary Nenuphar

Marine mining EU released its Blue Growth strategy, which identified seabed mining as one of the five priority areas > 4% year Global trade

Marine Mining Topic can go here By 2020, 5% of the world s minerals, including cobalt, copper and zinc, could come from the ocean floors. This could rise to 10% by 2030. Presentation title can go here Secondary information Mediterranean? XX-XX Month, Year Additional information can run Underneath if neccessary Seafloor sulfide chimneys on the Eastern Lau Spreading Center, Kingdom of Tonga Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and Charles Fisher, Pennsylvania State Universi

Coastal development At the Mediterranean basin level, Blue Plan estimates that 5,000 km of additional coastline will be artificialised by 2025 as compared > 4% to the 2005 situation. year Global trade

Land based pollution Wastewater: is expected to keep decreasing over the next 15 years. Heavy metals : an upward trend for mercury and lead. > POPs: 4% slowly decline. Nutrient discharges year : slight increase. Global trade

Summary of the trends Sector Trend Sector Trend Oil and gas Tourism Maritime transport Renewable energy Professional Fisheries Recreational fisheries Marine Acquaculture Marine mining Coastal development Land based pollution > 4% year Global trade

Climate change and acidification > 4% year Global trade

AREAS OF CONSERVATION INTEREST 28

Areas of conservation interest > 4% year Global trade

Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. Maps and trends 3. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 4. ICZM & MSP 5. Discussion

Interactions between sectors > 4% year Global trade

Interactions between sectors and areas of conservation interest > 4% year Global trade

Will the 2020 target of 10% MPA coverage be achieved? MPAs in the Mediterranean Sea region accounted for 1.08% of its area in 2010 (Pelagos Sanctuary excluded), and grew up to 3.21% in 2015, most of the new designated MPAs being located in EU waters. The area to reach 10% is equal to marine Natura 2000 network designated over the last 20 years. > 4% It is thus unlikely that the 10% target will be achieved year in 2020 at the Mediterranean regional scale. Global It is highly possible that the growth in maritime trade sector activities and the increasing competition over space may slow down or even hinder the designation process of new MPAs.

Risks of not achieving GES in 2020 > 4% year Global trade

MedTrends reports

Download at www.medtrends.org

Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. The MedTrends Project 3. Maps and trends 4. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 5. ICZM & MSP 6. Discussion

Transposed by Member Global States in Sept 2016 trade All States have to finalize their MSP by 2021

Take-away conclusions from the MedTrends project (1) > 4% year Global trade

> 4% year Transposed by Member Global States in Sept 2016 trade All States have to finalize their MSP by 2021

Recommendations Need for a prospective approach Need for a cross-cutting approach to sectors and maritime policies Anticipate the increase of environmental impacts Take in account ecosystem services and cumulative impacts Protect sensitive or highly impacted ecosystems, focusing on EBSAs

Recommendations

Agenda 1. About Blue Growth 2. The MedTrends Project 3. Maps and trends 4. Can the Mediterranean reach Good Ecological Status? 5. ICZM & MSP 6. Discussion

Key questions Which are the key recommendations from the different sectors of the MPA community (MPAs managers, national authorities and regional organizations) to implement a sustainable Maritime Spatial Planning and Integrated Coastal Zone Management in the Mediterranean? What are the economic sectors for which high environmental standards are required? What are the recommendations that marine conservation community needs to produce on this topic? How to guarantee a successful implementation of the ecosystem approach from the MPA perspective in GIZC and MSP processes?

Contact: cpiante@wwf.fr