Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series: An Overview

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Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series: An Overview MARCH 2017 This report is made possible by the generous support of the American people through the United States Agency for International Development (USAID). The contents are the responsibility of The TOPS Program and do not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the United States Government. Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 1

This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development, Center for Resilience. It was prepared by Sarah Henly-Shepard (Mercy Corps) and Bradley Sagara (Mercy Corps) with contributions from Jon Kurtz (Mercy Corps), Kristin Lambert (Mercy Corps), David Nicholson (Mercy Corps), Tiffany Griffin (USAID Center for Resilience) and Justin Prud homme (USAID Center for Resilience) for the Resilience Evaluation, Analysis and Learning (REAL) Project. REAL is a consortium-led effort to synthesize evidence on the impact of USAID-funded resilience programming, strengthen the capacity of Monitoring and Evaluation practitioners to engage in context-specific resilience analysis, and share relevant learning with USAID Missions, host governments, implementing partners and other key stakeholders. The authors' views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views of the United States Agency for International Development or of the United States Government. Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 2

Background and Rationale for Guidance Series Resilience is a compelling concept for development assistance and humanitarian actors because it highlights the positive capacity to anticipate, prepare for, and recover from shocks and stressors to prevent households and communities from suffering long-term adverse consequences. Moreover, applying a resilience lens to program strategy and design has the potential to reduce humanitarian need and protect development gains for populations experiencing recurrent crises, as well as foster sustainable escapes from poverty. The increased investment in resilience as a programming approach has sparked a great need for resilience measurement approaches that present rigorous, yet practical, methods for assessments, monitoring and evaluation. Resilience measurement efforts are essential to generate the knowledge necessary to foster learning, and ultimately, to improve development and humanitarian assistance outcomes. Specifically, there are two main knowledge needs: 1) To better assess and understand what contributes to resilience i.e. why some households, communities, and systems fare better than others in the face of shocks and stresses 2) To evaluate the impacts of interventions focused on resilience to understand what works, for whom, and under what conditions USAID s Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance series will synthesize existing technical documents into pragmatic how to guidance needed by practitioners to integrate core aspects of resilience measurement into their program assessments, design, monitoring, evaluation, and learning. This overview document lays out the background and purpose of the Guidance Note (GN) series, introduces core concepts, and previews the content of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance series. The series is an important component of a larger suite of efforts focused on building capacity for resilience measurement, including existing USAID resilience training courses, such as the Introduction to Resilience at USAID and Beyond 1, training events, field support, webinars, and a forthcoming e-learning series from USAID s Center for Resilience. The GN series builds on the strong foundations of the rapid and still growing knowledge base on resilience measurement done to date. As this body of knowledge evolves, this guidance series will be regularly updated as living documents. Box 1 below provides a sample of frequently cited resources that provide some context for this Guidance Note series. These resources illustrate the diversity of thought leadership in this field, including academics, research institutes, donors, implementing agencies, and consortia of all of the above. These resources also provide some indication of how the field has evolved over time, from largely independent primary research to concept notes and technical guidance. This Guidance Note series goes one step further by drawing on this body of literature to put technical guidance into practice. Box 1: Select Resilience Measurement Approaches and Applications Technical Notes and Working Papers: Béné s Towards a quantifiable measure of resilience (IDS) Constas and Barrett s Principles of Resilience Measurement for Food Insecurity: Metrics, Mechanisms, and Implementation Issues (Cornell) The Resilience Measurement Technical Working Group s Technical Notes Series 1-7 (FSIN) Béné, Frankenberger and Nelson s Design, Monitoring and Evaluation of Resilience Interventions: Conceptual and Empirical Considerations (IDS) FAO s Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis Approach Mercy Corps Urban Resilience Measurement: An Approach Guide and Training Curriculum, prepared for USAID 1 https://agrilinks.org/training/introduction-resilience-usaid-and-beyond Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 3

Primary Research: Alinovi, D Errico, Mane, and Romano s Livelihoods strategies and household resilience to food insecurity: An empirical analysis to Kenya (FAO) Vaitla, Tesfay, Rounseville, and Maxwell s Resilience and Livelihoods Change in Tigray, Ethiopia (Feinstein International Center, Tufts) Petryniak, Kurtz, and Frischknecht s What s Next for Nepal? Evidence of what matters for building resilience after the Gorkha earthquake (Mercy Corps) Smith, Frankenberger, Langworthy, Martin, Spangler, Nelson, and Downen s Ethiopia Pastoralist Areas Resilience Improvement and Market Expansion (PRIME) Project Impact Evaluation Baseline Survey Report (TANGO International) Purpose, Users, and Learning Objectives The purpose of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series is to develop resilience measurement expertise through brief and practical guidance materials. To start, Guidance Notes will be developed around the following topics: 2 1. How to Assess Resilience 2. How to Understand & Measure Shocks & Stresses 3. How to Understand & Measure Resilience Capacities 4. How to Conduct and Interpret Resilience Analyses This guidance series will provide an introduction to, and foundational understanding of, these resilience measurement topics. The Guidance Notes will be concise, intuitive and resource-rich documents no longer than ten pages, with each GN s topics related to others across the series. As such, these guidance pieces will not be lengthy and dense technical notes; instead, they will synthesize core concepts and provide a robust list of resources for users seeking details that are more technical. The intended users of this series are staff from USAID Missions, implementing partners and other field practitioners, and host governments. The Guidance Notes will include content relevant for senior leadership, program managers, field practitioners and monitoring and evaluation specialists, among others. Additional resources will be provided for experts who are looking for more technical materials on resilience measurement. The objectives across the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series are to support relevant stakeholders to: 1. Understand and apply key principles and tools for resilience measurement, assessment and analysis across various contexts and scales; and 2. Use the data and evidence generated to inform program design (through both assessments and evaluations), and manage and adapt programs during implementation (through monitoring, evaluation, and learning). The following section provides an introduction to the resilience measurement conceptual framework, within which the core concepts and application of each of the Guidance Notes are designed. 2 Additional guidance on measuring resilience across/between scales and project monitoring and evaluation are currently under consideration for development, this overview only describes guidance notes confirmed for production in 2017. Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 4

Resilience Measurement Conceptual Framework USAID defines resilience as the ability of people, households, communities, countries and systems to mitigate, adapt to and recover from shocks and stresses in a manner that reduces chronic vulnerability and facilitates inclusive growth. 3 Fundamental to this definition is that resilience is shaped by a set of capacities than enable people to absorb and recover from shocks and stresses, while adapting and transforming their communities and livelihoods to withstand future events. Important to measuring resilience is that these capacities are used in the face of shocks and stresses, and measured against well-being and other core development outcomes of interest. Components of a resilience analysis are described below and visualized in Figure 1. 1. Capacities that people, groups, or systems draw on to manage or adapt to shocks and stressors such as livelihood opportunities, social networks, or access to and use of essential services. 2. Shocks and stresses that individuals, households, communities or systems are exposed to such as droughts, conflict, food-price spikes, or illness. 3. Development (or well-being) outcomes, such as food security, improved health or reduced poverty that people seek to maintain or quickly recover when faced with a shock or stress. Figure 1: Simplified Resilience Measurement Framework (Adapted from Mercy Corps Simplified Resilience Measurement Framework) This conceptual framework illustrates how resilience capacities, when measured in connection with a shock or stress, can help us understand programs impacts upon development and well-being outcomes. Measuring resilience is different from measurement of other program objectives or concepts in several key ways. As such, the Guidance Notes will be grounded in the following core concepts: Concept 1: Resilience Demands a Contextualized, Systems Approach Resilience measurement requires understanding the dynamic, complex and interrelated social, ecological, political, and economic systems within which communities exist. As such, practitioners will need to 3 USAID Resilience Fact Sheet. https://scms.usaid.gov/sites/default/files/documents/1867/06.30.2015%20%20resilience%20fact%20sheet.pdf Accessed Dec. 6, 2016. Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 5

appropriately identify, understand, measure and address the specific shocks, stresses and resilience capacities across and within systems. Concept 2: Resilience is Not an End Typically, when evaluating impact changes in well-being and development outcomes (such as poverty, nutritional status, educational attainment, or health) are tracked over time. Resilience, in contrast, is not a well-being outcome in and of itself. Rather, resilience is an ability, driven by certain capacities, that shapes how and why outcomes change over time, specifically in the face of shocks and stresses. Concept 3: Resilience as a Set of Capacities and Responses Operationally, sources of resilience are captured by the context-specific capacities and responses that individuals, households, and communities use in the face of shocks and stresses. Resilience capacities are resources, strategies, and behaviors that include: proactive actions taken in advance of a crisis to help mitigate its effect (adaptive capacities), strategies taken in the midst of a crisis to manage it when it occurs (absorptive capacities), and fundamental shifts to the enabling environments for individuals, households and communities to strengthen social, environmental and economic systems in the face of shocks and stresses (transformative capacities). Concept 4: Measuring Resilience is a Long-term Commitment Programmatically, strengthening resilience is a long-term commitment that cannot be achieved within a single project cycle; it must be a coordinated effort across a portfolio of activities spanning multiple project cycles. Resilience measurement efforts must therefore respond to this programmatic demand by making analyses both holistic and context-specific within and beyond project timelines. To this end, resilience measurement captures dynamics between shocks, responses, and effects over time, ideally across multiple scales of analysis (individual, household, community, etc.). Guiding Questions for a Resilience Measurement Process Resilience measurement should aim to develop in-depth understanding of the complex risk environments in which we operate, as well as the factors that help individuals, households and communities manage and adapt to risk. To that end, there are five critical guiding questions that facilitate resilience measurement across assessment, monitoring and evaluation: 4 1. Resilience for Whom?: The target populations and their attributes that include location (urban, periurban, rural), demographic factors (sex, age, ethnicity) and livelihood (agriculture, trade, unskilled labor). 2. Resilience of What?: The enabling environment, including formal and informal institutions, infrastructure, social, ecological and economic factors that impact the target population s ability to anticipate, absorb and adapt to risks. 3. Resilience to What?: The complex and compounding shocks and stresses that impact people s capacities to achieve development outcomes. 4. Resilience Through What? The absorptive, adaptive and transformative capacities that strengthen the ability of target populations to mitigate risk. 4 Mercy Corps (n.d.) The STRESS Process at Mercy Corps. Retrieved from: https://d2zyf8ayvg1369.cloudfront.net/sites/default/files/stress_doc_r7%20%281%29.pdf Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 6

5. Resilience to What End?: The primary wellbeing or development outcomes for which we want to build resilience. Each of these questions will frame the content for the series of Guidance Notes. Guidance Note Series Preview All of the Guidance Notes will be structured similarly, and are designed to be concise and user-friendly resources. This structure includes: 1) an overview and introduction; 2) guidance on specific measurement and analysis issues; 3) case study application of the material presented; and, 4) supplemental resources organized thematically. The anticipated release date and content of each of the currently planned Guidance Notes is summarized briefly below. Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 7

Guidance Note 1: Resilience Assessment Learning Objectives: 1)Understand the purpose and process of a comprehensive resilience assessment; 2)Design a resilience assessment process that informs and guides strategy development; 3)Operationalize the resilience assessment process, (utilizing related resilience measurement methods highlighted in other guidance notes as appropriate); and 4)Understand how to apply the outputs: i.e. how an assessment leads to doing different work. Core Concepts: Systems mapping Resilience assessment process and components Using resilience assessment to develop a theory of change, establish indicators and articulate appropriate resilience-building strategies Guidance Note 2: Shocks & Stresses Measurement Learning Objectives: 1)Define and describe the major shocks and stresses in a program context (understand scale, frequency, etc.); 2)Identify data sources/indicators to measure these shocks and stresses and describe how this data will be analyzed; 3)Understand how to incorporate such data into program design and adaptive project management. Core concepts: Different categories of shocks/stresses (idiosyncratic/ covariate, acute/chronic, upstream/downstream) Levels of shock measurement (macro/meso/micro) Subjective & objective measures Timing and frequency of data collection Analysis of shock and stress data Guidance Note 3: Resilience Capacities Measurement Learning Objectives: 1)Define and describe various adaptive, absorptive and transformative capacities relevant to a context; 2)Understand how to measure the major sets of resilience capacities. Core Concepts: Definition of resilience capacities Categories/types of resilience capacities Interrelationships between resilience capacities Importance of context-specific resilience capacities and emerging research on capacities that appear relevant across contexts Guidance Note 4: Resilience Analysis Learning Objectives: 1)Define and prioritize analysis objectives (e.g. hypotheses or questions) that are testable/answerable through resilience analysis; 2)Understand the main analytical approaches used in resilience analysis including when/why to use them (e.g. what type of questions they can answer, what users can infer); and 3)Understand how to interpret and synthesize data in a way that informs and guides program design and adaptation. Core Concepts: Elements of good research questions Measuring what matters for resilience (assessment/exploratory research) versus what works to build resilience (evaluative studies) Quantitative and qualitative techniques Data synthesis Overview of the Resilience Measurement Practical Guidance Series 8