Visa Inc Investor Day. North America. Oliver Jenkyn Group Executive, North America

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Transcription:

Visa Inc. 2017 Investor Day North America Oliver Jenkyn Group Executive, North America

Key takeaways Strong, established market position Deep client relationships, based on partnering to deliver value 7 of top 10 U.S. credit issuers 9 of top 10 U.S. debit issuers 7 of top 10 U.S. co-brand programs 4 of top 5 Canada credit issuers Strong partnerships in regional/community space 100+ merchant and acquirer agreements Digital leadership is central to client partnership and realizing growth opportunity Significant growth remains to be captured $3.2T Cash/check opportunity 46% Card share of PCE New segments abound: Disbursements, P2P, Rent, Education, Vending, etc. Source: VisaNet data Calendar Year 2016; Nilson Report #1006, #1103, #1104, #1105, #1106, #1107, #1109; Euromonitor Merchant Segment Study May 2017, 11th Edition; Oxford Economics Calendar Year 2016; Visa analysis 2

North America 10,400+ Financial Institutions 9MM+ Merchant Locations $3T+ Payments Volume $3.2T+ Cash/Check Opportunity 900MM Cards Visa Payments Volume North America 45% Visa Processed Transactions North America 62% Source: Visa Operating Certificates CY2016. Merchant locations are provided by Visa s issuing and acquiring financial institutions; card counts include cards carrying the Visa, Visa Electron, V PAY and Interlink brands as well as PLUS proprietary cards. Oxford Economics Calendar Year 2016; Euromonitor Calendar Year 2016; Nilson Report #1006, #1103, #1109; Visa analysis; 3

Payments Trends Affluent vs. Core Gray is the New Black Affluent vs. Core Affluent led credit growth coming out of the recession, but core has bounced back, creating balanced growth across those segments Millennials U.S. Credit Navigating through Change U.S. credit growth by segment 13% Core Affluent 9% 10% 10% 7% 4% 4 2009-2012 2013-2015 4Q2015-4Q2016 Source: Visa Performance Solutions; VisaNet data Calendar Year 2009-2012; Visa analysis Note: Affluent defined as $100,000+ Annual Household Income; Core defined as <$100,000 Annual Household Income

Payments Trends Affluent vs. Core Gray is the New Black Gray is the New Black 50% of forecasted U.S. credit spend growth over next 5 years will come from 60+ age group Millennials U.S. credit growth by cohort U.S. Credit Navigating through Change (5yr forecast) 70+ 60-69 24% 22% 46% 50-59 13% <50 41% Source: Visa Performance Solutions Fall Market Insights 2016 5

Payments Trends Affluent vs. Core Gray is the New Black Millennials U.S. Credit More Like Their Parents Than They d Like to Admit Millennials increase their ownership of credit and debit cards as they mature % that own credit and debit cards Navigating through Change 47% 62% 61% 6 18-24 years 25-34 years Total population (18+) Source: Visa Payments Panel survey data Calendar Year 2016; U.S. respondents only

Payments Trends Affluent vs. Core Gray is the New Black Millennials U.S. Credit Navigating through Change U.S. Credit Product Trends Portfolio 2014-2016 CAGR Cashback 21% Bank-branded travel 20% Co-brand 5% Other (Generic rewards & non-rewards) 1% U.S. Credit 9% Source: VisaNet data Calendar Years 2014-2016, normalized for Visa-specific factors 7

Payments Trends Affluent vs. Core Gray is the New Black Navigating Through Change 10 years ago Today Millennials U.S. Credit Navigating through Change Did not exist Outside Top 20 Visa Merchants Top 10 by PV One of the largest Visa Merchants Visa x-9010 Source: VisaNet Data, Visa analysis 8

Executing on our Strategy in North America Deepen Partnerships Drive Digital Expand Access 9

Deep Partnerships: Visa 360 Fraud & Risk 3DS 2.0 Travel Tag NFL Tokens TIFF NHL FIFA Olympics Co-marketing Apple Pay Android Pay Visa Developer Co-creation APIs Contactless Visa Checkout Innovation Centers Visa Direct Digital & Innovation Debit Consulting Fraud Insights Visa Risk Manager Card Controls Alerts Benchmarking Macroeconomics Advisory Solutions Credit Accelerator Analytics Quick Chip Tokens Account Updater CyberSource Spend insights Analytics Cardinal Commerce Acquiring Affluent Credit Prepaid DPS Visa Commerce Network Rewards Redemption Small Business Scorecards Commercial STIP Visa Offers Platform Loyalty & Offers Core Products 10

Deep Partnerships: FIs Fraud & Risk Digital & Innovation 3DS 2.0 Travel Tag NFL Tokens Core TIFF Products Olympics Debit FIFA NHL Co-marketing Apple Pay Android Pay Visa Developer Co-creation APIs Contactless Visa Checkout Innovation Centers Visa Direct Digital & Innovation Debit Consumer debit scorecard Fraud & Risk Consulting Acquiring Consulting Fraud Insights Affluent Credit Solutions Card Controls Visa Risk Alerts ManagerCore Prepaid Products Scorecards Benchmarking DPS Macroeconomics Commercial Advisory STIP Loyalty & Offers Credit Accelerator Small Business Analytics Quick Chip Tokens Account Updater CyberSource Spend insights Analytics Cardinal Commerce Affluent Credit Prepaid DPS Visa Commerce Network Rewards Redemption Small Business Scorecards Commercial STIP Visa Offers Platform Loyalty & Offers Core Products Premium travel and protection benefits Spend insights Compared to consumers, businesses spend much more in ecommerce channels +25% Physical ecom Visa SavingsEdge Source: Visa Product Acquiring Consumer Small business 11

Deep Partnerships: FIs Apple Pay Android Pay Visa Contactless Checkout Innovation Digital & Visa Centers Innovation Developer Co-creation APIs Visa Direct Digital & Innovation Fraud & Risk Core Products Consulting Acquiring Loyalty & Offers Source: Visa Digital Product, Visa 12

Deep Partnerships: FIs NFL TIFF FIFA NHL Olympics Co-marketing Digital & Innovation Fraud & Risk Core Products Consulting Acquiring Loyalty & Offers Source: Visa 13

Deep Partnerships: FIs Fraud & Risk Tokenization Fraud monitoring Travel Tag Digital & Innovation 3DS 2.0 Fraud Tokens Fraud & Risk Alerts Insights Card Controls Visa Risk Manager Core Products Alerts Mobile Location Travel Tag Consulting Acquiring Loyalty & Offers Source: Visa Digital Product; product designs are illustrative 14

Deep Partnerships: FIs Macroeconomics Opportunity sizing Baby Boomer Digital & Innovation Estimated Total Boomer PV $800B Capturable Market for Issuer A $5.0B Fraud & Risk Benchmarking Macroeconomics Consulting Advisory Solutions Credit Accelerator Analytics Acquiring Loyalty & Offers Core Products Benchmarking Advisory 16% 12% 8% Issuer A Est. PV Growth $0.5B For full yr. Spend insights Consumer credit* spending (YoY growth, by annual US$ HH income) Total Last actual: Q4 2016 <$50k $50 100k Consulting 4% $100 150k $150k+ 0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Source: Visa Performance Solutions; examples shown are illustrative 15

Monthly spend Deep Partnerships: FIs Quick Chip Account Updater Digital & Innovation Fraud & Risk Core Products How much lift are we getting from marketing campaign? Analytics Acquiring Consulting Analytics Quick Chip Acquiring Tokens Account Updater CyberSource Spend insights Cardinal Commerce Loyalty & Offers -3 Months -2 Months -1 Month Campaign +1 Month Targeted customers Control +2 Months +3 Months Source: Visa Merchant Product; examples shown are illustrative 16

Deep Partnerships: FIs Digital & Innovation Fraud & Risk Core Products Consulting Acquiring Visa Commerce Loyalty Network & Offers Visa Offers Platform Rewards Redemption Loyalty & Offers Source: Visa Loyalty & Offers, product designs shown are illustrative 17

Deep Partnerships: FIs Fraud & Risk 3DS 2.0 Travel Tag NFL Tokens TIFF NHL FIFA Olympics Co-marketing Apple Pay Android Pay Visa Developer Co-creation APIs Contactless Visa Checkout Innovation Centers Visa Direct Digital & Innovation Debit Consulting Fraud Insights Visa Risk Manager Card Controls Alerts Benchmarking Macroeconomics Advisory Solutions Credit Accelerator Analytics Quick Chip Tokens Account Updater CyberSource Spend insights Analytics Cardinal Commerce Acquiring Affluent Credit Prepaid DPS Visa Commerce Network Rewards Redemption Small Business Scorecards Commercial STIP Visa Offers Platform Loyalty & Offers Core Products 18

Deep Partnerships: Merchants Fraud & Risk Consulting Transaction Advisor 3DS 2.0 Tokens Fraud Insights CyberSource Decision Manager Benchmarking Macroeconomics Advisory Future of Point-of-Sale Analytics Omnichannel FIFA NFL NHL TIFF Olympics Co-marketing Visa Advertising Solutions Unique Assets Product Design Apple Pay Android Pay Spend Insights New Customer Acquisition APIs Contactless Visa Checkout Innovation Visa Centers Developer Visa Direct Co-creation Auth Rate Improvement Support Co-Brand Visa Account Merchant Updater scorecards EMV Quick Chip Visa Commerce Network Visa Offers Platform Rewards Redemption Digital & Innovation STIP Loyalty & Offers Acceptance & Operations 19

Deep Partnerships: U.S. Debit U.S. Debit continues to evolve; Diverse market across continuum from relatively stable to very dynamic segments Stable end of continuum: Acceptance, Capability, and Risk Advantages Acceptance: Estimate 40% of F2F merchants only connect to V/MA debit; also true for vast majority of online merchants Functionality: Visa has specific capabilities that many segments require - Hotels require different amounts at check-in (authorization) versus at check-out (billing) - Restaurants require similar capabilities for tipping Online: Online authorization message (when place order) is different from billing (when individual item shipped) Risk: Visa s scale, data and fraud tools enhance risk management Dynamic end of continuum: Partnerships with both sides of market Issuers: Structure partnerships that drive issuer value in return for card placement - 9 of top 10 debit issuers - Strong relationships across Regional, Community, Processor space Merchants: Structure arrangements that drive merchant value in return for routing transactions - 100+ merchant agreements - Partnership with most top acquirers Sources: VisaNet data; Nilson Report #1105; Visa analysis 20

Digital Leadership Opportunity Leverage Migration is Now Platform for Growth Digital Physical 47 23 Visa digital share per dollar of PCE in North America is >2x physical ~$12B shifted from physical to digital in the holiday season alone Catalyze war on cash with new technology Source: comscore data June 2017; Oxford Economics Calendar Year 2016; Euromonitor data Calendar Year 2016; VisaNet data Calendar Year 2015 and 2016; Visa analysis 21

Digital Leadership: Visa s Approach On behalf of services (OBO) Product and services that are ready to use and can be quickly deployed APIs Modular services that clients can plug into their apps or products Co-creation Immersive collaboration experience to jointly develop new products with clients 22

Digital Leadership: Visa s Approach On behalf of services (OBO) Product and services that are ready to use and can be quickly deployed EMV Visa Token Service Visa Direct APIs Modular services that clients can plug into their apps or products Co-creation Immersive collaboration experience to jointly develop new products with clients 3D Secure 2.0 Visa Transaction Advisor Visa Risk Manager DPS Rewards Redemption Visa Advanced Authorization 23

Digital Leadership: Visa s Approach On behalf of services (OBO) Product and services that are ready to use and can be quickly deployed APIs Modular services that clients can plug into their apps or products Co-creation Immersive collaboration experience to jointly develop new products with clients Would you like to temporarily deactivate this card? DEACTIVATE Preliminary design for demonstration purposes KEEP CARD ACTIVE 24

Digital Leadership: Visa s Approach On behalf of services (OBO) Product and services that are ready to use and can be quickly deployed APIs Modular services that clients can plug into their apps or products Co-creation Immersive collaboration experience to jointly develop new products with clients 25

Expand Access Cash / Check PCE Emerging Segments Traditional Acceptance Unattended Retail $100B+ $2T+ Parking $20B+ Long Term Care $200B+ Rent $300B+ Education $130B+ Charitable Giving $75B+ Person 2 Person $1T+ Debt Repayment $1T+ Funds Disbursements $9T+ Source: Aite Group, Government Accountability Office, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Morgan Stanley, emarketer, Statistica, Oxford Economics, FDIC, PYMNTS.com, Caregiver.org; Visa analysis; estimates represent total addressable opportunity 26

Expand Access Cash / Check PCE Emerging Segments Financial Institutions 27

Expand Access Funds Disbursements > > $1.3B in payouts made through Uber Instant Pay in the first year 50% of Lyft drivers now use Express Pay Source: TechCrunch; Lyft blog 28

Expand Access P2P leting the the account account Verification code code sent sent to user s to user s phone phone to verify to verify the the user s user s phone phone number number User User entering entering their their debit debit card card details details Setup Setup complete. complete. User User can can start start sending sending and and receiving receiving money money 29

Expand Access Resident Portal Rent 9010 > > More than 6X increase in card adoption over 10-month pilot with Visa 50% decrease in rent delinquencies with increased online payment adoption Source: Entrata 30

Key takeaways Strong, established market position Deep client relationships, based on partnering to deliver value 7 of top 10 U.S. credit issuers 9 of top 10 U.S. debit issuers 7 of top 10 U.S. co-brand programs 4 of top 5 Canada credit issuers Strong partnerships in regional/community space 100+ merchant and acquirer agreements Digital leadership is central to client partnership and realizing growth opportunity Significant growth remains to be captured $3.2T Cash/check opportunity 46% Card share of PCE New segments abound: Disbursements, P2P, Rent, Education, Vending, etc. Source: VisaNet data Calendar Year 2016; Nilson Report #1006, #1103, #1104, #1105, #1106, #1107, #1109; Euromonitor Merchant Segment Study May 2017, 11th Edition; Oxford Economics Calendar Year 2016; Visa analysis 31

Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that relate to, among other things, our future operations, prospects, developments, strategies, business growth and financial outlook. Forward-looking statements generally are identified by words such as "believes," "estimates," "expects," "intends," "may," "projects," could," "should," "will," "continue" and other similar expressions. All statements other than statements of historical fact could be forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date they are made, are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control and are difficult to predict. We describe risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, any of these forward-looking statements in our filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended September 30, 2016 and our subsequent reports on Forms 10-Q and 8-K. Except as required by law, we do not intend to update or revise any forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. *** Note: All brand names and logos are the property of their respective owners, are used for identification purposes only, and do not imply product endorsement or affiliation with Visa. With the exception of slide titled Acceptance Penetration Drives PCE Penetration, PCE is defined as Purchase PCE (does not include non-financial transactions). 32