Solar Industrial Process Heat Workshop ISE, Freiburg, 3-4 February 2003 Market for Solar Industrial Process Application (Example Egypt) Georg Brakmann Fichtner Solar GmbH D-70191 Stuttgart, Sarweystr. 3 Tel +49 711 8995-535, email brakmanng@fichtnersolar.com Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 1
The Economy of Egypt GDP of Egypt Average growth rates 1983-1995 ( %/a ) Relative Share 1983 ( % ) Relative Share 1996 ( % ) Total Economy 4.9 100 100 thereof: Agriculture 3.0 18.6 16.0 Industry 6.8 13.4 17.6 Petroleum 4.0 13.8 9.4 Electricity 8.9 0.6 1.7 Housing 4.4 5.4 5.1 Productive services 6.4 26.3 33.0 Social Services 6.4 21.9 17.2 thereof: private 6.5 58.1 63.3 public 2.2 41.9 36.3 The Gross Domestic Product of Egypt was 153 Billion LE in 1996 (price basis 1992) The total Egyptian economy is expanding at 4.9 %. Industry is expanding at 6.8%, its share of the total economy has increased to 17.6%. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 2
Final Energy Consumption Final Energy Consumption in 1983 in 1995 average increase MTOE/a share (%) MTOE/a share (%) (%/a) Total 15 100 24.8 100 of Total Industry 7.6 50.7 12.3 49.6 4.1 Transport 4.2 28.0 7.2 28.6 4.6 Household & Commerce 2.9 19.3 4.5 18.3 3.7 Agriculture 0.3 2.0 0.3 1.3 0.0 Other - - 0.5 2.2 of Total Natural Gas 1.3 8.7 1.7 7.0 2.3 Petroleum Products 12.2 81.3 16.1 66.3 2.3 Electricity 1.5 10.0 6.5 26.7 13.0 of Industry Natural Gas 1.3 17 3.7 30 9.1 Petroleum Products 5.4 71 7.0 57 2.2 Electricity 0.9 12 1.6 13 4.9 Industry consumes about 50 % of the final energy. The fuel consumption increases at some 4.3 % annually. There is a shift from petroleum products towards natural gas. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 3
IPH Demand by Temperature Range and Industry ktoe 4.000 3.500 3.000 2.500 2.000 1.500 1.000 Refractory Food Chemical Metal 500 0 80 80-150 150-300 > 300 Temperature ran ges [ C] Textile About 50 % of the IPH demand is at temperatures between 80-150 C. There is very little demand in the 150-300 C range. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 4
Fuel Consumption for IPH Fuel Consumption for Industrial Process Heat segregated by temperature and user Su Unit Temperature ranges ( C) 80 80-150 150-300 > 300 Total % Te ktoe 108 1241 128 73 1550 22.6% Me Ktoe 16 75 0 2171 2262 33.0% Ch Ktoe 130 1690 12 439 2271 33.2% Fo Ktoe 117 317 82 0 516 7.5% Re Ktoe 108 107 5 29 249 3.6% To ktoe 479 3430 227 2712 6848 100.0% % 7% 50% 3% 40% 100% Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 5
IPH Demand Forecast 14.000 12.000 10.000 >300 C ktoe 8.000 6.000 4.000 2.000 150-300 C 80-150 C <80 C 0 1994/95 2001/02 2011/12 Year Depending on the different scenarios the IPH demand is estimated to increase between 2.2% and 3.8% p.a. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 6
Solar Radiation in Egypt Egypt has excellent Normal Direct Insolation. There is a very distinct increase from some 2000 kwh/m 2 /a at the Mediterranean coast up to some 3000 kwh/m 2 /a in upper Egypt. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 7
Solar Technologies Flat Plate Collector Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 8
Solar Technologies Evacuated Tube Collector, non-tracking Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 9
Solar Technologies (Tracking Parabolic Trough Collector) Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 10
Performance of Various Solar Technologies 1800 1600 Flatplate 30 inclined Annual Thermal Output [kwht/m²a] 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 Flatplate Collector 30 inclined w ith C=1.5 side reflector concentration Evacuated Tube Collector 30 inclined Evacuated Tube Collector 30 inclined with 1.5 CPC concentration Parabolic Trough North- South 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 Operating Temperature [ C] Concentration is required for operation at higher temperatures. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 11
Cost of Solar Thermal Energy 0,5 0,45 0,4 Flatplate 30 inclined; USD 200/m² [USD/kwht] 0,35 0,3 0,25 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 Flatplate Collector 30 inclined with C=1.5 side reflector concentration; USD 250/m² Evacuated Tube Collector 30 inclined; USD 1000/m² Evacuated Tube Collector 30 inclined with 1.5 CPC concentration; USD 750/m² Parabolic Trough North-South; USD 300/m² 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 Operating Temperature [ C] Parabolic trough collectors have lowest generation cost. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 12
Technical Concept of Solar Pilot Plant (Flow Diagram) 1 loop, 7 collectors Hot oil from collector field (260 C) 8 bar saturated steam Solar field Thermal storage tank Solar steam generator Condensate Cold oil to collector field (190 C) Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 13
Typical T-Q Diagram Temperature [ C] 300 250 200 150 100 50. T-Q diagram for the solar steam generator dt at Pinch point = 23 C Steam HTF 0 0 80 160 240 320 400 480 560 640 720 800 880. Q [kw] The solar collector must operate at higher temperatures than what is required by the final process. Eurotrough Fisol Report.ppt, 27.06.2003 14:26, Nr. 14