Extra Heavy Oil and Bitumen Impact of Technologies on the Recovery Factor «The Challenges of Enhanced Recovery»

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Extra Heavy Oil and Bitumen Impact of Technologies on the Recovery Factor «The Challenges of Enhanced Recovery» François CUPCIC Heavy Oil Research Leader

Heavy Oil : a mix of heterogeneous denominations Confusing heterogeneous denominations : Heavy Oil, Extra Heavy Oil, Oil Sands, Tar Sands, Bitumen,. need for a simple classification 4 Classes based mainly on downhole viscosity : 0A Class : Medium Heavy Oil 25 > d API > 18 100 cpo >µ > 10 cpo, mobile at reservoir conditions 0B Class : Extra Heavy Oil 20 > d API > 7 10 000 cpo >µ > 100 cpo, mobile at reservoir conditions 0C Class : Tar Sands and Bitumen 12 > d API > 7 µ > 10 000 cpo, non mobile at reservoir conditions 0D Class : Oil Shales Reservoir = Source Rock, no permeability Mining Extraction only 2

Heavy Oil (excluding Oil Shales) : 3 Main Categories Heavy Oil Classification 10 000 000 Wabasca Downhole Viscosity (Cpo) 1 000 000 100 000 10 000 1 000 C Class : Tar Sands & Bitumen 100 Mormora mare Eljobo Canada Orinoco Athabasca Peace river Cold lake Upper & Lower Ugnu Cat canyon Boscan Yorba linda Poso creek Fazenda belem Llancanelo Belridge Kern Lloyminster Alto do rodrigues 2 river Tia juana Midway Grenade Bressay Estreito Morichal Sarago Bati mare raman Mariner (H) Alto do rodrigues 1 Pilon Bechraji Mount poso Duri Rospomare Qarn alam Varadero Balol Bachaquero Captain Emeraude Mariner (M) Boca de Jaruco Shoonebeck West sak Lacq Sup. 10 Dalia 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 Tempa 20,0 Rosa 25,0 (11-23 API) API Density B Class : Extra Heavy Oil A Class : Medium Heavy Oil 3

"Heavy Oils" : Resources of 4000 to 5000 Gb (OIP) Potential Reserves depends on recovery factors Considerable Potential Reserves : # 500 to 1000 Gb equivalent to 50-100% of worldwide conventional oil reserves 5 to 10 times (?) the ultra-deep offshore potential reserves mainly (80%) in extra heavy oil, tar sands and bitumens mainly (80%) in North and South America less than 1% produced or under active development Heavy Oil Reserves Light Oil Reserves 270 310 260 Venezuela Canada Saudi Arabia 4

Huge Untapped Resources in Orinoco and Athabasca 54,000 km 2 45,000 km 2 ALBERTA Athabasca Fort Mc Murray Peace River Cold Lake Edmonton Calgary Lloydminster Cretaceous Oil Sands Cretaceous Heavy Oils SINCOR OPCO SURMONT SAGDPilot Extra Heavy Oils (µ < 10,000 cpo) Oil in place: 1,200 Gb (PDVSA estimates) Tar Sands & Bitumen (µ > 10,000 cpo) Oil in place: 1,300 Gb (EUB estimates) 5

A decisive difference: the geothermal gradient 10 000 000 cpo 1 000 000 cpo 100 000 cpo 10 000 cpo Viscosity = f(temp ure ) 1 000 cpo 100 cpo 10 cpo 1 cpo 0 C 50 C 100 C 150 C 200 C 250 C 300 C Athabasca : T res. # 11 C µ 1,000, 000 cpo Thermal Production Compulsory Orinoco : T res. # 53 C µ # 1,500 to 3,000 cpo Cold Production Possible 50 m 200m 1 40 m Downh ole pump 6

Production Technologies 1 - Proven technologies but with limited suitability or recovery efficiency Mining Extraction Cold Production Huff & Puff 7

Mining Extraction Proven technology High Recovery Factor Decreasing operating costs : 1980's : > 25 US$/bbl 2002 : 8-12 US$/bbl Limited GHG emissions ALBERTA Athabasca BUT : Overburden limited to 50-75 m suitable to less than 10% of Oil in Place in Athabasca Edmonton Calgary Fort Mc Murray Cold Lake 8

Cold Production Proven technology Fair productivities with horizontal wells (Venezuela) or with CHOPS (Canada) Limited investments Limited operating costs (2 to 4 US$/bbl) Available artificial lift technologies: PCP, rod pumps No GHG emissions BUT : CHOPS Sand + Oil Poor recovery factors (# 5 to 10%) Unsuitable for bitumens (too viscous) Unsuitable for reservoirs with active aquifer 9

Example of Cold Production : the Sincor Project ZUATA 8.5 API 200Kbls/d JOSE 32 API 180 Kbls/d Distillation Hydrotreater 21+200 km Diluent 70 KBD 12-20 26-36 Diluted crude 270 KBD ZUATA SWEET Cold Production Coker Hydrocracker SOLIDS Coke 6000 t/d Sulfur 500 t/d Investment Plateau production Oil gravity Technical cost Contract duration : US$ 4.2 billion : 200 kbd of crude oil 180 kbd of Zuata Sweet : 8.5 32 API : < 7 US$ / b : 35 years TOTAL THE PARTNERS 47 % 38 % 15 % 10

Huff & Puff Proven technology : Canada : Cold Lake, Wolf Lake & Primrose Venezuela : Maracaïbo & Oriente Basins California : Kern River Limited operating costs : 4 to 5 US$/bbl BUT : Limited recovery factors (< 15-20%) : only stimulation around wellbore Consumption of energy and increase of GHG emissions 11

Production Technologies 2 - More efficient technologies but not yet field proven In-Situ Combustion Solvent Injection 12

In Situ Combustion Combustion front Mobile oil zone (MOZ) Cold Heavy Oil Old technology (1960's) High Recovery Factor : up to 60% Air & Water Self-generation of energy (coke consumption) In situ upgrading (thermal cracking) Producer well Field tested nearly exclusively on light oils BUT : Not so many successes (operational and safety problems) Pattern adapted to extra-heavy oil & bitumen to be found and field tested... 13

Solvent flows to interface BUT : Capillary mixing Solubilization Swelling Solvent Solvent Injection Molecular diffusion Convective dispersion Viscosity reduction Asphaltene precipitation g 14 High Recovery Factor : up to 60% Low energy consumption In situ upgrading (asphaltene precipitation) No boiler feedwater treatment Limited GHG emissions Slow process (molecular diffusivity much smaller than thermal diffusivity) Start-up not so easy : need for warming with steam? Possible "killing factor" : solvent loss in reservoir? Oil Not yet field tested : first pilots being launched in Alberta Not mature enough for industrial application until some years

Production Technologies 3 - Available efficient technology with proven results Steam Injection and SAGD 15

Steam Assisted Gravity Drainage (SAGD) BUT : High Recovery Factor : up to 60% Quick process (high thermal diffusivity) Proven technology : several pilots since 1980's in Alberta and elsewhere Mature enough for medium scale field tests Huge need of energy : 1500 MW for 100,000 bopd!! "Killing factor" : steam oil ratio (has to be < 3 vol./vol.) Large GHG emissions : up to 15,000 Tons/day of CO 2 for 100,000 bopd Requires technics adapted to high temperatures (artificial lift, metering, surface pumping, ) 16

SAGD : already a reality in Alberta Phase 1 of Foster Creek (EnCana) Construction of Christina Lake (EnCana) Construction of Mac Kay River (PetroCanada) Surmont Pilot (Conoco-Phillips / Total / Devon) 17

SAGD 1 st Challenge : To Increase Oil Value UPGRADING & VALUE OF THE PRODUCT 100% 80% 60% 40% LIGHT FRACTION 17 $/bbl Mini Upgrading Mid Upgrading Deep Upgrading 17.6 $/bbl 20% 15.6 $/bbl 0% -20% 8.5 $/bbl -40% -60% -80% -100% HEAVY FRACTION BRENT ATHABASCA ORENOQUE Diluted Bitumen 19 API Syncrude LRcoking 23 API Gasoil (145-375 C) VGO (375-540 C) Syncrude H- Syncrude OIL with VR SINCOR 23,5 API 32 API Gasoline (0-145 C) VR 540 C+ Syncrude H- OIL without VR 32,4 API Syncrude HDH + 36,3 API 1

Upgrading : a Balanced Choice Thermal Cracking Deep Hydrocracking Lower Investment Costs Lower Cost of Steam : petcoke may be used as fuel BUT Lower SCO value Higher SCO value BUT Higher Investment Costs High consumption of natural gas for H2 and steam production 19

SAGD 2 nd Challenge : To Reduce Cost of Steam Combustion of natural gas : simple and cheap boiler technology (OTSG) reduced treatment of boiler feedwater minimized GHG emissions limited investment costs : # 160 MMUS$ (for 100,000 bopd) BUT High operating cost : 3 US$/Bbl (gas price ± 3 US$/MMbtu) 20

1 st Alternative Fuel : Combustion of Upgrading Residues Combustion of residues : cheaper fuel than natural gas : reduced operating cost : 3 1 US$/bbl avoids stockpiling of residues (petcoke, asphalts) BUT Requests specific boilers Heavier treatment of boiler feedwater High sulphur % FGD compulsory Requires regenerative FGD process to avoid stockpiling of Ca 2 SO 4 Higher CO 2 emissions Higher investment costs : 160 500 MMUS$ (100,000 bopd) 21

2 nd Alternative Fuel : Gasification of Upgrading Residues Naphta/Gasoil HDT S C O Synthetic Crude Oil 30.2 API 85 KBOPD Gasification of residues : cheaper fuel than natural gas Surmont 8 API 100 KBOPD Crude unit Vacuum distillation DAO/VGO T-Star hydrogen Gasification HP Steam reduced operating cost : 3 1,3 US$/bbl avoids stockpiling of residues (petcoke, asphalts) Deasphalting unit Asphalt syngas Gas cleanup and Sulfur recovery Clean syngas OTSG allows production of H 2 for hydrotreatment easier capture of SO 2 and CO 2 syngas can be burnt into simple OTSG boilers reduced treatment of boiler feedwater BUT Higher investments costs : 160 360 MMUS$ (100,000 bopd) 22

Bitumen SAGD 3 rd Challenge : To Reduce CO 2 Emisions Synthetic crude oil 100 000 BPOD SCO 88 050 BOPD Total CO2 : 14 300 tons / day Diluent recycle CO2 3 300 tons / day CO2 11 000 tons / day Oil Water separation Diluted Bitumen 19 API Upgrader Flexicoker case C3 SCO Pads Steam : 43 200 tons/day Steam Generation Equivalent gas 71.9 MMSCFD Sulphur 8-12 wellpairs / Pad SOR : 2.5 Vol / Vol Artificial lift : Gas lift + ESP 38.5 MMSCFD Water make up 82.8 MMSCFD Natural gas 44.3 MMSCFD Electrical power external supply Nota : CO2 for bitumen production with only Natural gas : 6 500 tons / day 23

CO 2 Emissions in SAGD kg CO 2 / barrel of bitumen 125 100 75 50 1 ton CO 2 /ton syncrude Range of possible variation Upstream Upgrader Refining 25 0 Athabasca SAGD Athabasca Mine 24 SINCOR

Cost of CO 2 Capture Today solution : MEA process technical capture cost # 25 US$/T CO 2 + 0,5 T CO 2 emission / T CO 2 captured real capture cost # 50 US$/T CO 2 + 10 US$/bbl!!? Tax? 10 US$/T CO 2? + 2 US$/bbl 20 US$/T CO 2? + 4 US$/bbl 30 US$/T CO 2? + 6 US$/bbl Possible solution : oxy-combustion (concentration of CO 2 ) STEAM / ELECTRICITY Oxygen Production BOILER Flue gas Treatment Off-gas vent CO 2 Separation/ Inerts removal HEAVY RESIDUE Steam BFW CO2 Sequestered 25

Technical cost 20 15 10 5 0 (US$/bbl) Conclusion : Impact of Recovery Efficiency ( Upstream + Downstream + 20 $/T CO 2 tax Upstream + Downstream ( 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Recovery Efficiency Upstream only (no upgrading) ( ( ( Cold ( Production ( SAGD 200 150 100 50 0 Cold (( Production CO 2 Emissions ( ( (kg/bbl) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Recovery Efficiency SAGD 26

Conclusion Difficult choice between : current proven technologies : limited costs and GHG emissions limited recovery factor (10% max?) emerging hot technologies : higher recovery factor (40%+?) but : higher cost and higher GHG emissions A temptation: Nuclear Energy to produce steam? But not without drawbacks (especially beyond technology) 27

The End Thank you for your attention. 28