Growth drivers in Uponor s businesses Heating and Cooling Georg von Graevenitz Executive Vice President, Uponor Nordic
Key applications Underfloor Heating (UFH) Complete systems for underfloor heating in residential, commercial and industrial buildings Outdoor Heating Systems for snowmelt, permafrost protection, and turf conditioning Cooling Systems for thermal activation of building structures Use the concrete mass to store heat/cool and thereby reduce the peak load and transfer some of that load to outside the period of occupancy (e.g. night time in office buildings) 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 3 Share of underfloor heating UFH accounts for less than 25% of the European heating market and less than 5% of the North American heating market Europe North America Underfloor heating Underfloor heating Other Other Other includes hydronic radiators, electric radiators, electric UFH and forced-air (USA). 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 4
Development of underfloor heating in Europe Hydronic underfloor heating is still in the growth phase of its product lifecycle in many European markets, while growth opportunities still exist in more mature markets 350 300 250 Millions of metres of UFH tubing sold in Europe Ex: The Spanish UFH heating market has experienced annual growth in the region of 15% in recent years 200 150 100 50 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: KWD 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 5 Penetration of UFH in new single-family houses in Europe By Geography Penetration rates in Northern and Central Europe are much higher than in other regions > 45 % 25-45 % < 25 % By Segment The share of UFH in the multi-family and nonresidential segments remains significantly lower than the single-family segment Source: Uponor estimates 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 6
Development of underfloor heating in North America Although the penetration of underfloor heating in North America is low, growth has averaged 19% during the past decade The high-end, single family segment represents the largest share of the market, while the share of the multi-family and mid-range, single family segments is still small Millions of feet of UFH tubing sold in North America 400 300 200 100 Frost & Sullivan predicts that the North American radiant heating market will grow from $467 million in 2004 to $1,567 million in 2011 0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Source: Radiant Panel Association manufacturer survey 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 7 Uponor s share of the UFH market Uponor is estimated to be the number 1 or number 2 provider of hydronic UFH in the Nordic, Central Europe, Europe-WES, and North America regions > 20 % < 20 % Within Europe, Uponor is strongest in the Nordics, Central Europe, and Iberia In North America, Uponor s share of the hydronic UFH market is about 50% Source: Uponor estimates 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 8
Drivers of underfloor heating Expected growth impact Increasing demands from consumers More attention is being placed on comfort and air quality at work and in the home Increasing environmental standards and awareness Ex: Energy Performance of Buildings directive A lower operating temperature presents the opportunity to employ renewable heat sources, such as solar and heat pumps, thereby reducing CO 2 emissions Increasing emphasis on aesthetics and design As an invisible heat source, UFH allows more architectural freedom and complete utilization of floor space 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 9 Competitive environment (1/2) The heating industry includes hydronic radiator, electric radiator, forced-air, hydronic UFH, and electric UFH producers Low barriers to entry have resulted in a fragmented hydronic underfloor heating market. In Germany, there are at least 20 UFH suppliers on the market Strong partnerships with installers, specifiers, and distributors are key 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 10
Competitive environment (2/2) There are only a handful of international players: Uponor (N. America and Europe) Rehau (N. America and Europe) Roth (Europe) Warmafloor Lagerstedt & Krantz Most companies concentrate their activities on a single market (see map) Acome Warmia Watts Radiant Purmo Polytherm RDZ 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 11 Plumbing Solutions Jukka Kallioinen Executive Vice President, Offering and Development
Key applications Tap Water Comprehensive range of tap water systems for domestic and commercial premises Offering includes pipes, fittings, components and tools for easy installation Radiator Connections Offering includes pipes, fittings, and tools House Connections Pre-insulated pipe systems for supplying hot and cold water to buildings 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 13 Drivers of plumbing plastics penetration in Europe The penetration of plastics continues to rise More installers are gaining experience in plastic pipe systems 80% 70% Plumbing materials in Europe Copper prices have more than doubled since January 2005 60% 50% 40% Plastics Metals 30% 20% 10% 0% 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: KWD 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 14
Drivers of plumbing plastics penetration in North America Plumbing materials used in North America, New residential construction 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Copper CPVC PEX Source: Uponor Estimates 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 15 Drivers of plumbing - growth within the plastics segment While both PEX and multilayer pipes continue to grow in popularity, multilayer pipes have grown at a faster rate Millions of metres of plumbing pipe sold in Europe 250 200 150 100 50 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: KWD 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 16 PEX Multilayer
Drivers of plumbing new construction Housing Starts in Europe The European residential construction market is expected to level off in the near term 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Housing Starts in the US Source: Euroconstruct 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 The North American market has already begun retreat from the high levels seen in 2004-05 Forecasts: NAHB 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 17 Drivers of plumbing renovation Renovation activity is set to accelerate High levels of construction in the 50 s and 60 s should lead to high levels of renovation in the short and medium term Spending on renovation already exceeds new construction spending in many countries Age of German Housing Stock 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% <1919 1919 1948 1949 1978 1979 1986 >1986 Source: Housing Statistics in the European Union 2004 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 18
Drivers of plumbing summary Expected growth impact Plastics penetration Migration to plastics to continue or even accelerate as a result of copper prices New residential construction Activity is expected to remain at or near current levels Renovation Activity is expected to increase? 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 19 Competitive environment The plumbing supplies industry is more consolidated than the underfloor heating industry The strongest players are present in most European markets and may offer plastics, metals, or both: Plastics Uponor Geberit Rehau Wavin Viega Metals KME Geberit Viega It is becoming more difficult to follow a strategy of differentiation based on products alone Strong partnerships with installers, specifiers, and distributors are key 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 20
Infrastructure Jyri Luomakoski CFO and Deputy CEO Key applications (1/2) House drainage and decentralised waste water treatment Soil and waste and technical drainage systems Decentralised waste water treatment systems for residential construction outside municipal sewer networks Infiltration systems Biological waste water treatment 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 22
Key applications (2/2) Sewer and storm water Pipe systems for municipal sewer and storm water networks Pressure water, sewer and gas Pipe systems for municipal pressure water, sewer and gas networks Cable and telecom Cable ducting systems for municipal electricity, telecom, and optic cables 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 23 Business drivers Increasing plastics penetration Currently at approximately 50% Expected Growth Impact Increasingly demanding environmental standards Ex: Decentralised waste water treatment systems Increasing importance of cost leadership Privatisation of water utilities and public procurement regulations have increased the importance of cost in procurement decisions Increasing age of water and gas networks Ex: Thames Water has budgeted GBP 1.1 billion for pipe replacement to reduce the 900 million litres of drinkable water lost daily in its distribution system? 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 24
Competitive environment In addition to plastics, the infrastructure industry includes concrete, cast iron, and steel producers Nordic region: Uponor, KWH, Pipelife, Wavin The industry is increasingly dominated by a small number of players UK and Ireland: Uponor, Aliaxis, Polypipe, Wavin 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 25 Supporting Material
Resin prices PE-HD Standard Euro/tonne 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Jan-04 Mar-04 May-04 Jul-04 Sep-04 Nov-04 Jan-05 Mar-05 May-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 Nov-05 Jan-06 Mar-06 May-06 Jul-06 Sep-06 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 27 Copper prices Price per tonne 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 Copper Apr-04 Jun-04 Aug-04 Oct-04 Dec-04 Feb-05 Apr-05 Jun-05 Aug-05 Oct-05 Dec-05 Feb-06 Apr-06 Jun-06 Aug-06 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 28
Cost of PEX vs copper systems The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) recently published the results of their comparison of material and labour costs involved in plumbing identical houses with PEX or copper. $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 Labour Materials These installations took place between October 2005 and February of 2006. The price per tonne for copper has increased another 50% since February 2006. The copper jobs averaged 36.1 man hours and PEX jobs averaged 19.3, a difference of 47%. $0 PEX Copper Source: NAHB Research Center, Evaluation of Residential Water Distribution Piping Installation Note that the PEX jobs were performed using a central manifold, while Uponor NA recommends the use of remote manifolds. This reduces material costs in most cases. 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 29 Cost of MLC vs copper systems 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Sample Radiator Connection Installation Sample Plumbing Installation Uponor MLC Copper The sample radiator connection installation is for a 8.5 x 6 m apartment, with radiators in three rooms. The sample plumbing installation is for a 15 sqm bathroom, with a tub, sink, and toilet. Costs are from Germany and do not include labour. The prices are list prices (Q3/2006). 9 November 2006 Capital Markets Day Uponor 2006 Page 30