Reliability of Power Rating and Labeling

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Reliability of Power Rating and Labeling Christos Monokroussos, Kengo Morita, Werner Herrmann TÜV Rheinland Group Email: Christos.Monokroussos@tuv.com www.tuv.com 1

Introduction to TÜV Rheinland TÜV RHEINLAND worldwide operates 6 accredited PV laboratories Testing and certification of PV modules and PV components: - IEC 61215 (crystalline PV) - IEC 61646 (thin-film PV) - IEC 62108 (concentrating PV) - IEC 61730 (safety) - ANSI / UL 1703 (safety US) > 30 years experience and research in PV Active in national and international standardization committees (IEC, CENELEC, IECEE, DKE) 2

Content Introduction to Production Tolerance Tolerance seen in the Market Laboratory Experience Review of relevant Standards Measurement Uncertainty Manufacturing Sorting 3

Content Introduction to Production Tolerance Tolerance seen in the Market Laboratory Experience Review of relevant Standards Measurement Uncertainty Manufacturing Sorting 4

Uncertainty Factors of Inline PV Module Power Rating Calibration accuracy of the reference device Traceability of calibration to World PV Scale (WPVS) Module sorting into power classes Light-Induced Degradation (LID) External Factors Internal Factor: Production Internal Factor: Measurement Accuracy of measuring equipment: Data acquisition, sensors Solar simulator performance Measuring technique: Design and use of reference device Equipment connectors Module temperature Capacitive effects of modules I-V correction 5

Loss in bn $ Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Loss of Money due to Measurement Uncertainty 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 Global PV Production Capacity in 2014: 46.7 GW 1 Module Price: 0.38-0.76 $/W p 2 PT = ±2% PT = ±3% PT = ±4% PT = ±5% Approx. 265 Mio $ lost per 1% of uncertainty per year High uncertainty leads to money loss 1 Trends 2015 in Photovoltaic Applications, IEA International Energy Agency (2015) 2 PVXchange Module Price Index, PV Magazine (Jul. 2016) 6

Content Introduction to Production Tolerance Tolerance seen in the Market Laboratory Experience Review of relevant Standards Measurement Uncertainty Manufacturing Sorting 7

Example Datasheets and Labels 8

No. of PV Manufacturers Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Label Tolerance seen in the Market 25 20 Sample size: 87 c-si PV module manufacturers Origin of data 15 10 5 0 Claimed Tolerance in PV Module Labels [%] 9

Content Introduction to Production Tolerance Tolerance seen in the Market Laboratory Experience Review of relevant Standards Measurement Uncertainty Manufacturing Sorting 10

Rel. Frequency Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Laboratory Experience from Measurements at STC 14% 12% 10% Unique SNs: 7179 Unique Module Classes: 935 Unique Manufacturers: 190 Test Period: 2015-2016 Test Lab: TR-SHG 28.3% 71.7% Measurement Uncertainty: ±2.50%, k=2 Mean Deviation to Label: 0.74%±4.10%, k=2 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% P MAX Deviation to Low Tolerance Limit [%] Significant number of modules underperforms at STC tests. Modules are typically not solarized (LID not included). 11

Rel. Frequency Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Experience from Pre-shipment Counter-Flash Measurements 30% 25% 20% Test Period: 2015-2016 Test Lab: TR-SHG Measurement Uncertainty: ±2.50%, k=2 Modules: 2295; Batches: 30; Manufacturers: 9 2.50%±1.99%, k=2 15% 10% 1.1% 98.9% 5% 0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% P MAX Deviation to Low Tolerance Limit [%] The majority of PV-modules for buyer s projects are within tolerance. Modules are typically not solarized (LID not included). 12

Rel. Frequency Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Experience from Pre-shipment Counter-Flash Measurements 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% LID determined in project LID not determined in project Test Period: 2015-2016 Test Lab: TR-SHG Measurement Uncertainty: ±2.50%, k=2 No. of Batches: 30 No. of Manufacturers: 9 No. of Modules: 2295 5% 0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% P MAX Deviation to Low Tolerance Limit [%] When LID is determined in the project phase the rating is often higher (approx. 1.5%) comparing to projects that LID is undermined. 13

Coef. of Variation per Batch [%], k=2 Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Laboratory Experience from Buyer s Projects 3.5% 3.0% Deviation to label tolerance for different batches sampled in pre-shipment stage LID determined in project LID not determined in project 10 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 50 100 Sample size 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% Coef. of Variation per Batch [%], k=2 0.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% Mean P MAX Deviation to Low Tolerance Limit [%] 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% Mean P MAX Deviation to Low Tolerance Limit [%] 0.0% Test Period: 2015-2016 Test Lab: TR-SHG Meas. Unc.: ±2.50%, k=2 No. of Batches: 30 Manufacturers: 9 Sample: 2295 Dev.: 2.50%±1.99%, k=2 14

Content Introduction to Production Tolerance Tolerance seen in the Market Laboratory Experience Review of relevant Standards Measurement Uncertainty Manufacturing Sorting 15

PV Module Qualification Testing and Certification Actual status Crystalline silicon PV modules IEC 61215 Ed. 2 Test Methods Test Requirements Thin-film PV modules IEC 61646 Ed. 2 Test Methods Test Requirements Combined structure under new IEC 61215 series Part 1 General Requirements Part 1-1 c-si Part 1-2 CdTe Part 2 Test Methods Part 1-3 a-si & µc-si Part 1-4 CIS & CIGS Part 1-x New technologies 16

Uncertainty of Power Rating in Production New Test Requirements of IEC 61215-1 Information on tolerances for P MAX, I SC, V OC must be stated on the type label of the PV module. Module type label information on tolerances will be confirmed within the new test sequence of IEC 61215 for product qualification testing. All test samples of a IEC 61215 certification project undergo electrical stabilization (MQT 19). Electrical performance at STC (MQT 6.1) after stabilization is referenced for confirmation of type label information. As nominal output power within a type family is typically classified in steps of 5 W P, additionally two samples of lowest, highest and middle power class of the module type family will included in the test program. PASS criterion: With consideration of the lab measurement uncertainty, stabilized STC values of P MAX, I SC, V OC of all test samples must lie within the specified tolerances. 17

New Test Requirements of IEC 61215-1 Gate #1 Requirements m X = lab measurement uncertainty t X = manufacturers tolerance stated on type label P MAX : x=1; V OC : x=2; I SC : x=3 Criterion C1: Stabilized P MAX of each sample Nominal Power (NP) with consideration of minus-tolerance Criterion C2: Average of stabilized P MAX values of all samples Nominal power Criterion C3: Stabilized V OC nominal value on type label with consideration of plus-tolerance Criterion C4: Stabilized I SC nominal value on type label with consideration of plus-tolerance 18

New Test Requirements of IEC 61215-1 Deficits of the Gate #1 practice: The standard does not define what is meant by tolerance: Is it based on manufacturers flash lists only? Is it corrected for potential LID effects (if c-si technology)? Does it include the measurement uncertainty in the production line/s? High risk for module manufacturer and buyer 2 samples per power class means a lack of statistical relevance Statistical relevance for the benefit of the manufacturer and buyer is not considered in PASS/FAIL criteria Sample picking is done by manufacturer No objective results Unclear how FAIL of a single power class shall be treated How to handle transport damage? Risk for module manufacturer 19

Probability of Acceptance Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Introduction on Acceptance Sampling Criteria 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 95% 10% 0% 0% 20% 40% RQL 60% 80% 100% AQL Proportion of Defective The Operating Characteristic (OC) curves describes how well a sampling plan discriminates between good and bad lots. ISO 2859 specifies an acceptance sampling system for inspection. It is indexed in terms of the Acceptable Quality Level (AQL). Closely related term is the Rejectable Quality Level (RQL). 20

Probability Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Statistical Significance of Pass/Fail Criteria 1 AQL 0.95 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 AQL assumes a 5% risk for the Producer that a lot with defects <AQL is rejected RQL assumes a 10% risk for the Consumer that a lot with defects >RQL is accepted 6 samples, no fail (IEC 61215-1, Gate#1): AQL=0.82%, RQL=31.9% 14 samples, 1 fail (IEC 61215-1, All Samples): AQL=2.6%, RQL=25% 32 samples, 2 fails, GIL 2; G, (ISO 2859-1): AQL=2.6%, RQL=15.8% 500 samples, 21 fails, GIL 2; N (ISO 2859-1): AQL=3.0%, RQL=5.6% 0.3 0.2 RQL 0.1 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Defective proportion of PV-Modules [%] The sampling plan of IEC 61215-1, Gate#1 implies an unrealistically high quality control for production lines (AQL approx. 0.82%) and does not provide confidence for buyers. A production line with a realistic acceptable quality level of 2.5% would have approx. 15% risk to fail gate#1 criteria. 21

Probability Probability Probability Probability Probability AQL 0.95 0.9 Reliability 0.8 of Power Rating and Labelling 1 AQL 0.95 Statistical 0.7 Significance of Pass/Fail Criteria 0.9 0.8 0.6 1 AQL 0.95 0.9 0.7 0.5 1 AQL assumes a 5% risk for the Producer that a lot with defects <AQL is rejected 0.8 0.6 0.4 1 AQL 0.95 RQL assumes a 10% risk for the Consumer that a lot with defects >RQL is accepted 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.3 1 AQL 0.95 6 samples, no fail (IEC AQL 61215-1, 0.95 Gate#1): AQL=0.82%, RQL=31.9% 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 14 samples, 1 fail (IEC 61215-1, All Samples): AQL=2.6%, RQL=25% RQL 0.7 0.3 0.1 AQL assumes 0.5 32 samples, a 5% risk 2 for fails, the GIL Producer 2; G, (ISO that a 0.8 2859-1): Decreasing lot with AQL=2.6%, defects producers <AQL RQL=15.8% risks rejected RQL assumes 500 a samples, 10% risk 21 for fails, the Consumer GIL 2; N (ISO that 2859-1): a lot with AQL=3.0%, defects >RQL RQL=5.6% is accepted 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.20 0.9 0 10 20 30 40 500 601 702 80 3 90 4 100 6 samples, RQL 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 Defective no fail proportion (IEC 61215-1, of PV-Modules Gate#1): AQL=0.82%, [%] RQL=31.9% 14 samples, 1 fail (IEC 61215-1, All Samples): AQL=2.6%, RQL=25% 0.2 0.5 0.4 0 Increasing buyers 32 comfort samples, 2 fails, GIL 2; G, (ISO 2859-1): AQL=2.6%, RQL=15.8% 0 10 20 500 samples, 30 2140 fails, GIL 50 2; N (ISO 60 2859-1): AQL=3.0%, 70 80RQL=5.6% 90 100 RQL 0.1 0.4 0.3 Defective proportion of PV-Modules [%] 0.3 0.2 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 RQL 0.2 0.1 Defective proportion of PV-Modules [%] RQL The sampling 0.10 plan of IEC 61215-1, Gate#1 implies an unrealistically high quality control 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 for production lines (AQL approx. 0.82%) and does not provide confidence for buyers. 0 Defective proportion of PV-Modules [%] A production 0 line 10 with 20 a realistic 30 acceptable 40 quality 50 level 60 of 2.5% 70 would 80 have 90 approx. 100 Defective proportion of PV-Modules [%] 15% risk to fail gate#1 criteria. Increasing the sampling size would reduce risks for both producers and consumers. 22

Content Introduction to Production Tolerance Tolerance seen in the Market Laboratory Experience Review of relevant Standards Measurement Uncertainty Manufacturing Sorting 23

Solar Simulator Performance Component IEC 60904-9 Classification Example Spectral Irradiance Non-uniformity of Irradiance Short and Long Temporal Instability (LTI and STI) 24

Factors affecting the Uncertainty of Power Measurement Reference Solar Device Calibration uncertainty of reference device Implementation of reference device Accuracy and calibration of temperature sensor Long-term drift and stability of reference device Repeatability of reference irradiance acquisition Reproducibility of reference irradiance acquisition Solar Simulator Performance Non-Uniformity of Irradiance: Non-uniformity Measurement accuracy Temporal instability of irradiance (LTI & STI) Electronic accuracy of I-V measurement channels Accuracy and calibration of temperature sensors Repeatability of solar simulator Reproducibility of solar simulator Operator Technique / Measurement Procedure Calibration and measurement procedure I-V corrections Spectral mismatch Optical mismatch between reference module and test module Temperature: Control Temperature non-uniformity Connection technique Operation: System maintenance Human error 25

Spectral mismatch/ Calibration accuracy of reference Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Uncertainty impacts on I-V curve Non-uniformity of irradiance/ cell cracks, Isc variation of cells Overall impact: Temperature, irradiance correction, I-V data acquisition accuracy Temperature measurement 26

End user SI units Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Traceability practice Metrology authority Test Laboratory Primary calibration WPVS cell Solar simulator 1: Reference module Calibration (GOLDEN MODULE) PV module manufacturer Production line/s Test laboratory Solar simulator 3: Production line power measurement, power classification Solar simulator 2: Working standards for daily use (SILVER MODULES) 27

UAS Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Uncertainty Assessment Service (UAS) Objective UAS shall give confidence in stated manufacturer s tolerances for P MAX, V OC and I SC, which are subject to IEC 61215 certification. AIST, NREL, PTB Primary calibration Reference cell (WPVS Design) ± 0.6% to 1% PV Test Institute Secondary calibration of reference module (GOLDEN MODULE) ± 1.6% to 3.0% PV module manufacturer Working reference (SILVER MODULE)??? Production line output power measurement??? 28

Solar simulator performance Variation in solar simulator performance: Spatial non-uniformity and temporal instability of irradiance, AM1.5 match of spectral irradiance) Measurement uncertainty 29

Work Programme Documentation of measurement equipment Performance check of all solar simulators in manufacturers test lab and production lines Evaluation of PV module designs: Reference modules (REF) vs. production line modules (DUT) Review of calibration protocols for reference modules and measurement equipment (I-V load, temperature sensors, etc.) Evaluation of specific effects: I-V hysteresis, LID Random sample picking from production and comparison of manufacturer rating with TÜV Rheinland measurements 30

Calculation Method ISO/IEC Guide to the Uncertainty of Measurement (GUM) Definition of general principles for Uncertainty of Measurement u PMAX k 2 u1... un 2 u PMAX u i k = Expanded overall measurement uncertainty = Standard uncertainty for uncertainty source = Coverage factor (k=2 for 95% confidence interval) P MAX uncertainty sources u i Calibration uncertainty of REF Measurement equipment: Current, voltage, temperature measurement Repeatability of measurement, drift of irradiance sensor Spatial non-uniformity of irradiance I-V curve temperature and irradiance correction Electrical mismatch between REF and DUT (variation in spectral response) Optical mismatch between REF and DUT (variation in angular response) Measurement technique: Misalignment between REF and DUT, transient effects, temperature measurement, contacting technique, traceability practice 31

Example of Uncertainty in Silver Module Calibration I MPP =2. 64%, k=2 0.12% 0.24% 0.80% 0.23% 0.35% 0.37% 0.64% 0.78% 2.00% Reference Calib. Reference Integration Non-Uniformity of Irradiance Spectral Mismatch Other Optical Repeat. Reproducibility Electronic Related Factor Case of Study: Class AAA system P MAX =2.8%, k=2 Uncertainty Source Reference Calib. P MAX ±2.00%, k=2 Non-uniformity of irradiance ±1.1% (Rectangular) V MPP =1.09%, k=2 0.03% Temp. Related Electronic Related Temp. Accuracy Temp. non-uniformity ±1.0ºC (Rectangular) ±1.0ºC (Rectangular) 0.40% 0.23% Temp. Related Reproducibility ±0.8%, k=2 Electronic Accuracy ±0.2% (Rectangular) Elect. Connection Spectral mismatch ±0.35%, k=2 0.27% 0.95% Repeatability Non-uniformity of irradiance unc. ±0.25%, k=2 Other Contact resistance ±10mΩ (Rectangular) 32

Content Introduction to Production Tolerance Tolerance seen in the Market Laboratory Experience Review of relevant Standards Measurement Uncertainty Manufacturing Sorting 33

Frequency Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Module Sorting into Power Classes 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 160W 165W 170W 158 159 160 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 Power [W] Sorting tolerance into power classes contributes to the production tolerance Sorting tolerance of 95% confidence level can be achieved 95% of measurements lie within P AVG ± 2. 34

Number of PV-Modules Probability Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Factors affecting Sorting Tolerance 150 100 50 0 230 235 240 245 250 Rated Power The sorting tolerance of a power class is influenced by both sorting bins size and production frequency Each power measurement has a degree of uncertainty, which will also affect the label tolerance 0.04 0.03 0.02 0.01 165W Power Class 0 155 160 165 170 175 Power [W] 163W 164W 165W 166W 167W 35

Probability Reliability of Power Rating and Labelling Production Tolerance: Combining Sorting and Measurement 0.3 0.2 0.1 Limiting Factor Sorting Tolerance: ST95 =1.74% Measurement Tolerance: MT95 =3% Total Tolerance: TT95 =3.46% -2 +2 0 150 155 160 165 170 175 180 Power [W] Total tolerance is mainly limited by measurement uncertainty when module sorting is done per 5 Watt classes. 36

Conclusions The declared production tolerance of PV-modules in the market is sometimes unclear and can be inaccurate. The gate #1 requirements of IEC 61215-1 aim to provide confidence in PVmodule labeling. However, the sampling size is currently low and does not provide statistical significance in the evaluation. To reach maturity PV community needs a common language, which is clear, transparent, and if possible consistent, on how production tolerances are declared on PV-module nameplates and what they cover. Measurement uncertainty analysis is complex and requires assumptions and experience for accurate estimates. Sorting tolerance and LID must be considered. Production tolerance in PV industry lies in the range 3% to 5% for c-si modules, if appropriate quality assurance is in place. UAS aims in increasing confidence for consumers and reducing risks for producers. To reduce risks it is recommended to perform counter-flash measurements at accredited, laboratories for a small but representative PV-module sample. 37

Acknowledgements Mr. Joerg Althaus from TÜV Rheinland Energie und Umwelt GmbH Dr. Sherry Zhang, Mr. Sebastian Petretschek, Mr. Damien Etienne and Mr. Victor Feng from TÜV Rheinland (Shanghai), Co. Ltd for helpful discussions and data contribution 38

39 Thank you for your attention