Reliability Assessment Subcommittee Agenda

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Reliability Assessment Subcommittee Agenda January 27, 2010 8 5 p.m. January 28, 2010 8 5 p.m. SERC Reliability Corporation 2815 Coliseum Centre Drive, Suite 500 Charlotte, NC 28217 704-357-7372 Wednesday, 27 January ~Time Item Leader Action 8:00 am 1. Administrative Matters a. Welcome and Introductions Mark Kuras Information b. Antitrust Guidelines Information c. Arrangements Herb Schrayshuen Information d. RAS Agenda Mark Kuras Approve e. RAS Chairman Remarks Mark Kuras Information 8:15 am 2. Joint G&T RPMTF and RAS meeting a. GTRMPTF overview (provide the June 9 report as background) b. GTRPMTF methodology and metrics for probabilistic indices for the LTRA c. Load modeling issues 10:30 am Break 10:45 am 3. December 2009 PC Meeting Update a. 2010 Scenario Assessments (PC Guidance) i. Rapid Demand Growth ii. Environmental Regulation Impacts b. Application of Demand Response for Assessments (RIS) Mark Kuras Paul Kure Mark Kuras 11:15 am 4. ISO/RTO breakdown for Assessments Jeff Mitchell 116-390 Village Blvd. Princeton, NJ 08540 609.452.8060 www.nerc.com

12:00 pm Lunch (60 min) 1:00 pm 5. Review of 2009 Emerging Issues and process 1:10 pm 6. Industry (Emerging) Issues Facing NERC Regions 3:00 pm Break Information a. ERCOT Dan Woodfin b. FRCC Vince Ordax c. MRO Hoa Nguyen d. NPCC Jerry Mosier e. RFC Jeff Mitchell 3:20 pm 4. Industry (Emerging) Issues Facing NERC Regions (Continued) f. SERC Herb Schrayshuen g. SPP Mak Nagle h. WECC Brad Nickell 4:30 pm 7. List & Prioritize Emerging Issues All 4:45 pm 8. Writing Assignments Mark Kuras Information 5:00 pm Adjourn for the Day Thursday, 28 January ~Time Item Leader Action 8:00 am 9. 2010 Assessments (Timelines, Workload, Planning, PC Approval Process) a. Scenarios b. Summer c. Winter Post-Seasonal d. Long-Term Reliability Assessment e. Winter f. Summer Post-Seasonal 9:00 am 10. 2010 Scenario Assessments (Detailed Review) a. Rapid Demand Growth b. Environmental Regulation Impacts 9:45 am 11. Increasing Granularity of Weather Forecasts in Seasonal Assessments a. Current practice review Rita Beale (EVA) Gregg Suhler 2

10:30 am Break b. Dynamic Predictables presentation 10:40 am 12. RAGTF Next Steps Jeff Mitchell 11:00 am 13. Proposed Special Reports a. Deliverability b. Industrial Chemicals c. Other 11:30 am 14. Identification of Critical Reliability Elements 11:45 am 15. RAS 3-Year Work Plan and Charter Review 12:00 pm Lunch (60 min) 1:00 pm 16. DCS / DCWG Update Mark Kuras Information 1:20 pm 17. DOE / FERC MOU on transmission planning Sedina Eric Information 1:40 pm 18. LFWG Update Bob Mariotti Information 2:00 pm 19. RMWG Update Herb Schrayshuen Information 2:20 pm 20. Probabilistic Planning Techniques 2:40 pm 21. RICCITF Update Information 3:00 pm Break 3:10 pm 22. System Risk Index concept proposal Information 3:30 pm 23. Smart Grid Task Force Update Information 3:45 pm 24. 2010 NERC Communications Objectives TBD 4:00 pm 25. 2010 RAS Meeting Schedule Review Mark Kuras 4:40 pm 26. Other Issues / Review of Action Items Information 5:00 pm Adjourn Audio Conference Call Information: Dial-in Number(s) for U.S. & Canada: 866-740-1260 Access Code: 5247003 3

Antitrust Compliance Guidelines I. General It is NERC s policy and practice to obey the antitrust laws and to avoid all conduct that unreasonably restrains competition. This policy requires the avoidance of any conduct that violates, or that might appear to violate, the antitrust laws. Among other things, the antitrust laws forbid any agreement between or among competitors regarding prices, availability of service, product design, terms of sale, division of markets, allocation of customers or any other activity that unreasonably restrains competition. It is the responsibility of every NERC participant and employee who may in any way affect NERC s compliance with the antitrust laws to carry out this commitment. Antitrust laws are complex and subject to court interpretation that can vary over time and from one court to another. The purpose of these guidelines is to alert NERC participants and employees to potential antitrust problems and to set forth policies to be followed with respect to activities that may involve antitrust considerations. In some instances, the NERC policy contained in these guidelines is stricter than the applicable antitrust laws. Any NERC participant or employee who is uncertain about the legal ramifications of a particular course of conduct or who has doubts or concerns about whether NERC s antitrust compliance policy is implicated in any situation should consult NERC s General Counsel immediately. II. Prohibited Activities Participants in NERC activities (including those of its committees and subgroups) should refrain from the following when acting in their capacity as participants in NERC activities (e.g., at NERC meetings, conference calls and in informal discussions): s involving pricing information, especially margin (profit) and internal cost information and participants expectations as to their future prices or internal costs. s of a participant s marketing strategies. s regarding how customers and geographical areas are to be divided among competitors. s concerning the exclusion of competitors from markets. s concerning boycotting or group refusals to deal with competitors, vendors or suppliers. Any other matters that do not clearly fall within these guidelines should be reviewed with NERC s General Counsel before being discussed. III. Activities That Are Permitted From time to time decisions or actions of NERC (including those of its committees and subgroups) may have a negative impact on particular entities and thus in that sense adversely 4

impact competition. Decisions and actions by NERC (including its committees and subgroups) should only be undertaken for the purpose of promoting and maintaining the reliability and adequacy of the bulk power system. If you do not have a legitimate purpose consistent with this objective for discussing a matter, please refrain from discussing the matter during NERC meetings and in other NERC-related communications. You should also ensure that NERC procedures, including those set forth in NERC s Certificate of Incorporation, Bylaws, and Rules of Procedure are followed in conducting NERC business. In addition, all discussions in NERC meetings and other NERC-related communications should be within the scope of the mandate for or assignment to the particular NERC committee or subgroup, as well as within the scope of the published agenda for the meeting. No decisions should be made nor any actions taken in NERC activities for the purpose of giving an industry participant or group of participants a competitive advantage over other participants. In particular, decisions with respect to setting, revising, or assessing compliance with NERC reliability standards should not be influenced by anti-competitive motivations. Subject to the foregoing restrictions, participants in NERC activities may discuss: Reliability matters relating to the bulk power system, including operation and planning matters such as establishing or revising reliability standards, special operating procedures, operating transfer capabilities, and plans for new facilities. Matters relating to the impact of reliability standards for the bulk power system on electricity markets, and the impact of electricity market operations on the reliability of the bulk power system. Proposed filings or other communications with state or federal regulatory authorities or other governmental entities. Matters relating to the internal governance, management and operation of NERC, such as nominations for vacant committee positions, budgeting and assessments, and employment matters; and procedural matters such as planning and scheduling meeting. 5