A mechanistic model to explore potential beef production of cattle breeds in contrasting climates

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Transcription:

A mechanistic model to explore potential beef production of cattle breeds in contrasting climates EAAP annual meeting, 25 th August 2014 Aart van der Linden *, Simon Oosting, Gerrie van de Ven, Martin van Ittersum and Imke de Boer * aart.vanderlinden@wur.nl

Introduction Increased demand for livestock products Sustainable intensification Production ecology

Introduction Crops Livestock Potential Defining factors Genotype Climate Potential Defining factors Genotype Climate Production level Limited Limiting factors Water Nutrients Production level Limited Limiting factors Water Feed quantity Feed quality Actual Reducing factors Pests Diseases P Weeds Actual Reducing factors Diseases P Stress Production Production Adapted from: Van Ittersum and Rabbinge (1997) and Van de Ven et al. (2003)

Research aims Develop a method to quantify potential production feed limited production for Charolais and Boran beef cattle in the Netherlands, France, and Ethiopia Charolais Boran

Methods: livestock model Livestock growth model based on production ecology Thermoregulation Feed intake and digestion Energy partitioning

Methods: livestock model Feed Weather data Housing Breed Beef

Methods: herd dynamics Max. age: 10 years Intercalving period: 1 year Replacement calf Age specific calving probability Beef production

Model simulation: potential beef production Charolais Boran Diet: 66% barley 34% hay Free grazing Stable Free grazing Stable NLD FRA ETH NLD FRA ETH NLD FRA ETH NLD FRA ETH NLD = Netherlands; FRA = France; ETH= Ethiopia

Results: potential beef production Breed Housing Country Potential production level Feed efficiency Beef production (g beef kg 1 DM feed) (kg beef animal 1 year 1 ) Charolais Stable Netherlands 53 120 France 53 120 Ethiopia 53 120 Free grazing Netherlands 45 116 France 45 114 Ethiopia 35 82 Boran Stable Netherlands 38 46 France 39 47 Ethiopia 47 56 Free grazing Netherlands 35 48 France 36 49 Ethiopia 40 56

Results: potential beef production Breed Housing Country Potential production level Feed efficiency Beef production (g beef kg 1 DM feed) (kg beef animal 1 year 1 ) Charolais Stable Netherlands 53 120 France 53 120 Ethiopia 53 120 Free grazing Netherlands 45 116 France 45 114 Ethiopia 35 82 Boran Stable Netherlands 38 46 France 39 47 Ethiopia 47 56 Free grazing Netherlands 35 48 France 36 49 Ethiopia 40 56

Results: potential beef production Breed Housing Country Potential production level Feed efficiency Beef production (g beef kg 1 DM feed) (kg beef animal 1 year 1 ) Charolais Stable Netherlands 53 120 France 53 120 Ethiopia 53 120 Free grazing Netherlands 45 116 France 45 114 Ethiopia 35 82 Boran Stable Netherlands 38 46 France 39 47 Ethiopia 47 56 Free grazing Netherlands 35 48 France 36 49 Ethiopia 40 56

Results: potential beef production Breed Housing Country Potential production level Feed efficiency Beef production (g beef kg 1 DM feed) (kg beef animal 1 year 1 ) Charolais Stable Netherlands 53 120 France 53 120 Ethiopia 53 120 Free grazing Netherlands 45 116 France 45 114 Ethiopia 35 82 Boran Stable Netherlands 38 46 France 39 47 Ethiopia 47 56 Free grazing Netherlands 35 48 France 36 49 Ethiopia 40 56

Model simulation: feed limited production Charolais Boran Diet: 66% grass (summer) 34% hay Free grazing Stable Free grazing Stable NLD FRA ETH NLD FRA ETH NLD FRA ETH NLD FRA ETH NLD = Netherlands; FRA = France; ETH= Ethiopia

Results: Feed limited production Breed Housing Country Feed efficiency Potential Feed limited (g beef kg 1 DM feed) (g beef kg 1 DM feed) Charolais Stable Netherlands 53 33 France 53 33 Ethiopia 53 33 Free grazing Netherlands 45 29 France 45 28 Ethiopia 35 18 Boran Stable Netherlands 38 23 France 39 24 Ethiopia 47 29 Free grazing Netherlands 35 22 France 36 22 Ethiopia 40 24

Results: yield gaps Potential Defining factors Genotype Climate Production level Limited Limiting factors Water Feed quantity Feed quality Actual Reducing factors Diseases P Stress Production

Results: yield gap Breed Housing Country Feed efficiency Potential Feed limited Yield gap (g beef kg 1 DM feed) (g beef kg 1 DM feed) (% potential) Charolais Stable Netherlands 53 33 37% France 53 33 37% Ethiopia 53 33 37% Free grazing Netherlands 45 29 36% France 45 28 37% Ethiopia 35 18 49% Boran Stable Netherlands 38 23 40% France 39 24 38% Ethiopia 47 29 38% Free grazing Netherlands 35 22 37% France 36 22 39% Ethiopia 40 24 39%

Discussion Application with more detailed data Model validation Extend concepts to chicken, pigs, and dairy cows Coupling crop and livestock production

Conclusions / key messages First quantitative assessment of potential and feed limited beef production Approach enables development of new, generic models for yield gap analysis in livestock Simulation of farm management options to improve livestock production

Thank you! More information: www.yieldgap.org Contact: aart.vanderlinden@wur.nl

References Van de Ven, G.W.J., de Ridder, N., van Keulen, H., van Ittersum, M.K., 2003. Concepts in production ecology for analysis and design of animal and plant-animal production systems. Agric. Syst. 76, 507-525, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0308-521x(02)00110-5. Van Ittersum, M.K., Rabbinge, R., 1997. Concepts in production ecology for analysis and quantification of agricultural input-output combinations. Field Crop. Res. 52, 197-208, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0378-4290(97)00037-3.

Photos Slide 1: http://www.fao.org/ag/agp/agpc/doc/counprof/australia/australia.htm Slide 2: http://www.core77.com/blog/case_study/case_study_ento_the_art_of_ eating_insects_21841.asp Slide 6: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/charolais_cattle http://delareyboran.co.za/boran_cow_list.asp

Internet Global Yield Gap Atlas http://www.yieldgap.org/ Mapping for Sustainable Intensification project https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nlad4f2rt9e http://www.wageningenur.nl/en/about-wageningen-ur/strategic-plan/mappingfor-sustainable-intensification.htm PhD project Aart van der Linden Benchmarking Animal Production Systems https://www.wageningenur.nl/en/show/benchmarking-animal-productionsystems.htm