CLM in China: Past, Present and Future

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CLM in China: Past, Present and Future Zong-Liang Yang ( 杨宗良 ) Acknowledgements: H.S. Chen, Y.J. Dai, J.J. Ji, M.X. Li, W.P. Li, Z.G. Ma, S. F. Sun, Z.H. Xie, A.H. Wang, and X.D. Zeng Presentation at the NCAR CESM Annual Workshop, Breckenridge, 21 June 2011 1

Milestones of Land Surface Modeling Research in China 1980s, TC Yeh: two papers in Mon. Wea. Rev. on the climatic/hydrologic impacts of snow and soil moisture anomalies 1980s, Xinanjiang rain-runoff model was developed for hydrologic modeling in humid and semi-humid regions basis of VIC 1990s, Shufen Sun: snow atmosphere-soil transfer (SAST) model 1990s, Jinjun Ji: atmosphere vegetation interaction model (AVIM) [see a Land Working Group poster by Zhang et al.] 1990s, Haishan Chen: multi-layer snowpack model 1990s, Yongjiu Dai developed IAP94; participated in PILPS 1 2; visited Univ Arizona and Georgia Tech (1997 2002); developed the Common Land Model (CoLM) basis of CLM 2000s, Zhenghui Xie developed schemes for groundwater, frozen soil, crops, studied the impacts of water use (e.g., three-gorge project), and developed a global soil moisture data assimilation system

Some Research Highlights Yongjiu Dai, Beijing Normal University Aihui Wang, Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences Mingxing Li, Key Laboratory of Regional Climate & Environment for East Asia, IAP/CAS Weiping Li, National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration Xiaodong Zeng, International Center for Climate and Environmental Sciences, IAP/CAS Xin Li, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, CAS 3

China Soil Dataset 9000 soil profiles vs 60 in FAO soil dataset Soil profiles and attributes were digitized and synthesized from county /regional soil surveys. Soil Map of China (1:1 000 000). Dai et al., 2011

1 Horizon Thickness (cm) 2 Soil Texture Dai Y, Shangguan W, Liu B, and Coauthors, 2011: A China dataset of soil properties for land surface modeling. (to be submitted to Global Biogeochemical Cycles) Dai et al., 2011 3 Bulk Density 4 Particle-Size Fraction % (0.05-2.0 mm) 5 Particle-Size Fraction % (0.002-0.05mm) 6 Particle-Size Fraction % (< 0.002 mm) 7 Organic Matter Fraction (%) 8 Total N (%) 9 Total P (%) 10 Total K (%) 11 Available P (mg/kg) 12 Available K (mg/kg) 13 ph Value (H 2 O) 14 Exchangeable H + (me/100g) 15 Exchangeable Al 3+ (me/100g) 16 Exchangeable Ca 2+ (me/100g) 17 Exchangeable Mg 2+ (me/100g) 18 Exchangeable K + (me/100g) 19 Exchangeable Na + (me/100g) 20 Cation Exchange Capacity (CEC) (me/100g) 21 Color 22 Structure 23 Consistence

sand fraction of the topsoil (0 30 cm) clay fraction of the topsoil (0 30 cm) sand fraction of the subsoil (30 100 cm). clay fraction of the subsoil (30 100 cm). Dai et al., 2011

CLM3.5 simulations versus observed soil moisture Correlation coefficient 0.56 and 0.59 Wang A. and X. Zeng, 2011: Sensitivities of terrestrial water cycle simulations to the variations, J. Geophys. Res, D116,D02107, doi:10.1029/2010jd014659

Soil Moisture Trend in China Soil moisture is decreasing in northeast China Li, Ma, and Niu, 2011

1950 2006 China Drought Reconstruction From Ensemble Soil Moisture Simulations (CLM3.5, VIC, NOAH, CLM-VIC) Annual trends in a) soil moisture percentile; b) drought severity; c) drought duration; and d) drought frequency for 1950-2006. Wang A., Dennis P. Lettenmaier, and J. Sheffield, 2011: Soil moisture drought in China, 1950-2006, J. Climate, DOI:10.1175/2011JCLI3733.1 (in press). The trends were computed using the seasonal Mann-Kendall algorithm. The different colors represent the magnitudes of the statistics.

Application and Development of Dynamic Global Vegetation Model in IAP/CAS Xiaodong Zeng, Fang Li, Dongling Zhang, Pu Shao, Xiang Song, Dongxiao Tian, Hao Chen, Jiawen Zhu International Center for Climate and Environment Sciences Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Burned Area Fraction Mod-new successfully reproduces the global spatial distribution of annual burned area fraction Mod-new is more skillful than mod-old (Levis et al. 2004) and Glob-FIRM (Thonicke et al. 2001), especially in the tropics and in the middle-high latitude F. Li, X.D. Zeng

Fire Carbon Emission (gc/m 2 /year) Mod-new successfully reproduces the global spatial distribution of annual fire carbon emissions Mod-old and Glob- FIRM overestimate fire carbon emissions F. Li, X.D. Zeng

Research Challenges (1) Rapid Transformation of Landscapes Land surface as a complex system Natural and managed components, and multi-scale interactions Deforestation, Reforestation, Urbanization, Agriculture and Irrigation Living organisms LANDUSE [Human control] LANDCOVER [Biophysically controlled] 13

Rapid Urbanization in China Ailikun (2011)

Megacities in China Ailikun (2011)

Modeling Urbanization in RESM

New Challenges (2) Increasing Frequency of Hydrologic Hazards Flood and drought Water resources Watershed coast coupling (runoff, riverine nutrient exports, coastal ecosystems) Yang (2011)

River network model: RAPID Routing Application for Parallel computation of Discharge http://www.geo.utexas.edu/scientist/david/rapid.htm 18 David et al. (2011)

RAPID River Routing Model Training Course Beijing, May 24 26, 2011 http://www.geo.utexas.edu/scientist/david/rapid.htm 19

Surface Flux Measurements in China As of October 2010, 524 sites globally. A large number of sites have merged in China.

Heihe Watershed Allied Telemetry Experimental Research (Hi-WATER) Region: Northwest China (38 43 N, 96 104 E) Key processes: semi-arid hydrometeorology, cold region hydrology, oasis Intensive Observation Period (IOP): 2012 2014 Measurements: airborne remote sensing, ecohydrological wireless sensor network, surface flux network Funding: National Natural Science Foundation of China Chief scientist: Xin Li

Summary Land surface modeling has been a key research component in China since late 1970s. Tremendous funding is available in the area of land surface modeling and observation, because of o Rapid economic growth o An increasing number of extreme climatic and hydrologic hazards in China. There are potentially a significant number of CLM developers and users. o A CLM tutorial in China could easily attract 200+ attendants. 22