POWER-TO-GAS ROADMAP FOR FLANDERS Selection of results of a 15 presentation Denis THOMAS, EU Regulatory Affairs and Business Development Manager for Renewable Hydrogen, Hydrogenics 06.04.2016, Hydrogen Days, Prague, Czech Republic
DISCLAIMER This presentation is intended to give an idea of the analytical work that has been performed in the Power-to-Gas Roadmap project for Flanders. It contains only a selection of results for a 15 presentation The results presented here strongly depend on underlying assumptions which could not be detailed in this presentation. Please refer to the final report for all detailed assumptions and for a complete overview of the project results that will be published in June 2016 on www.power-to-gas.be. 2
POWER-TO-GAS ROADMAP FOR FLANDERS IN A NUTSHELL Duration: 14 months (01/10/2014-31/01/2016) Funding : Flemish Region, Belgium Project partners: Coordinator: Hydrogenics 3
POWER-TO-GAS ROADMAP FOR FLANDERS OBJECTIVES Analyze the actual and future status of Power-to-Gas (PtG) in Flanders (technology, economics, legal framework, market opportunities) Study various PtG business cases and identify early markets Elaborate a roadmap which will serve as the backbone for the actions of a Power-to-Gas Cluster in Flanders Prioritize the actions in order to create a PtG framework for the development of projects in Flanders and abroad Indentify potential demonstration projects in Flanders 4
GREEN HYDROGEN IN POWER, GAS, TRANSPORTATION AND INDUSTRY SECTORS POWER GRID Wind turbine Solar PV Power-to-Power SURPLUS OR LOW-COST ELECTRICITY Power-to-Hydrogen Electrolysis H 2 O O 2 H 2 H 2 storage (optional) Chemical plants Power-to-Industry Industry Ammonia Speciality chemicals Gas turbines Refineries Power-to-Fuels Fuel cells Low C02 fuels CHP Refuelling stations Methanol Heat Power-to-Gas CNG CO 2 Methanation Blending Power-to-Mobility Hydrogen Vehicles (FCEV) GAS GRID Hydrogen network Power network Gas network Liquid fuels network 06.04.2016 5
PtG BUSINESS CASES SUMMARY N id Route Pathways POWER-TO-INDUSTRY PtH2industry Commodity Power --> Hydrogen PtMethanolchem Methanol Power --> Hydrogen --> Methanol POWER-TO-POWER PtFC Fuel cell Power --> Hydrogen --> Power POWER-TO-GAS PtH2blend Direct injection in gas grid (blending) Power --> Hydrogen PtCH4chem Chemical methanation and injection in gas grid Power --> Hydrogen --> Methane PtCH4bio Biological methanation and injection in gas grid Power --> Hydrogen --> Methane POWER-TO-MOBILITY PtFCEV FCEV Power --> Hydrogen --> Hydrogen Refueling Station --> Fuel Cell Electrical Vehicle POWER-TO-FUELS PtCNG CNG FQD & RED Power --> Hydrogen --> Methane --> injection in gas grid --> Compressed Natural Gas vehicle PtICE ICE (refinery) FQD & RED Power --> Hydrogen --> Cracking and desulfurisation of fuels PtMethanolfuel Methanol (as a fuel) FQD & RED Power --> Hydrogen --> Methanol --> Blending with other fuels 06.04.2016 6
MODEL BUILDING BLOCKS RES development in Belgium towards 2050 Price duration curve for Belgium Grid fees Electrolyser + cell stack replacement model Methanation Hydrogen storage and compression Hydrogen refueling Station + Mobility (buses and cars) Methanolisation Fuels cells CO 2 prices Ancillary services Prosumer model (self-consumption) Societal benefits Physical and Property data 06.04.2016 7
ELECTRICITY PRICE 2015-2030-2050 ASSUMPTION Based on a German model Use the correlation between power price, RES production (wind + solar) and power demand Back-up power assumed with gas fired power-plants BELGIUM Use of historical data 2014 for Belgium: BELPEX prices + wind + solar End 2014 1246 712 3105 150 Price duration curve for Belgium /MWh 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0-10 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 8.000 9.000-20 -30-40 2015 2030 mid 2050 mid -50 Hours 06.04.2016 8
#1 - LARGE SCALE INDUSTRY BRIEF DESCRIPTION Power-to-Industry Large scale electrolyser providing a part of the need for hydrogen : 100 MW 20.000 Nm³/h, ~1.8 t H 2 /h Connection to ELIA HV grid Industrial activity is already consuming hydrogen in large quantities (refinery, amonia production) Existing onsite SMR unit or hydrogen pipeline connection (= back-up) Type of ancillary services: R2 (secondary reserve) 06.04.2016 9
#1 - LARGE SCALE INDUSTRY LCOH+ VS OPERATING HOURS Power-to-Industry 06.04.2016 10
#1 - LARGE SCALE INDUSTRY WATERFALL GRAPH: LCOH+, LCOH-, LCOH SOC Power-to-Industry LCOH+ 2015 - Large scale industry 5 4,5 4 3,5 0,40 0,03 0,20-0,59 3 0,50 /kg H2 2,5 2,38 2 1,5 1 0,5 0 0,55 0,25 0,43 0,03 4,05 3,23 2,72 06.04.2016 11
#4 POWER-TO-POWER CONCLUSION: HYDROGEN = ENERGY CONVERSION Power-to-Power Source: SBC Energy Institute Analysis based on IRES Proceedings 2012 Electrolysers with highly dynamic operation capabilities can offer services to the ancillary market Hydrogen offers large storage capabilities for the power sector, however re-electrification is not seen as the most interesting option in the short term (high capex, low round-trip efficiency) 12
POWER-TO-GAS: COMPARISON 2015 DIRECT INJECTION vs METHANATION Power-to-Gas Levelized cost of injection: H2, SNG (sabatier) and SNG (biological) in 2015 - (direct injection gas grid ) 440 420 400 380 360 340 320 300 280 260 240 /MWh 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 8.000 9.000 Operating hours biomethane gas price 2050 gas price 2030 gas price 2015 LCO SNG+ bio 2015 LCO SNG+ 2015 LCOH+ H2blend 2015 06.04.2016 13
POWER-TO-GAS: COMPARISON 2030 DIRECT INJECTION vs METHANATION Power-to-Gas Levelized cost of injection: H2, SNG (sabatier) and SNG (biological) in 2030 - (direct injection gas grid ) 440 420 400 380 360 340 320 300 280 260 240 /MWh 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 8.000 9.000 Operating hours biomethane gas price 2050 gas price 2030 gas price 2015 LCO SNG+ bio 2030 LCO SNG+ 2030 LCOH+ H2blend 2030 06.04.2016 14
POWER-TO-GAS: COMPARISON 2050 DIRECT INJECTION vs METHANATION Power-to-Gas Levelized cost of injection: H2, SNG (sabatier) and SNG (biological) in 2050 - (direct injection gas grid ) 440 420 400 380 360 340 320 300 280 260 240 /MWh 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 0 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 8.000 9.000 Operating hours biomethane gas price 2050 gas price 2030 gas price 2015 LCO SNG+ bio 2050 LCO SNG+ 2050 LCOH+ H2blend 2050 06.04.2016 15
#7 HYDROGEN REFUELING STATION 50 CARS/DAY : BRIEF DESCRIPTION Power-to-Mobility Small scale electrolyser: 0.5 MW, 200 kg/day Compression up to 900 bar 12 hours storage in pressure tanks Dispensing included Connection to transfo LV grid Type of ancillary services: R3DP (tertiary reserve) Implementation in an existing refueling station Not constraint as been assumed on fueling planning (back-toback ) 06.04.2016 16
#7 HYDROGEN REFUELING STATION 50 CARS/DAY : LCOH+ vs OPERATING HOURS Power-to-Mobility 06.04.2016 17
#7 HYDROGEN REFUELING STATION 50 CARS/DAY : WATERFALL GRAPHS Power-to-Mobility LCOH+ 2015 - Hydrogen Refueling Station (50 cars/day) 14 12 /kg H2 10 8 6 3,03 - - - 0,18 0,63 0,06 0,05 4 3,21 9,06 8,89 8,15 2 0 1,58 0,75 0,45 0,04 06.04.2016 18
#7 HYDROGEN REFUELING STATION 50 CARS/DAY : WHAT IF CONNECTION AT LOW VOLTAGE? Power-to-Mobility LCOH+ 2015 - Hydrogen Refueling Station (50 cars/day) 14 12 10 - - - 0,18 0,63 0,06 0,05 /kg H2 8 6 4 2 0 1,58 0,75 0,45 0,04 3,21 5,37 11,41 11,23 46 /MWh (medium voltage) 82 /MWh (low voltage) Grid fees increase the LCOH+ by +2.30 /kg of hydrogen! 10,49 06.04.2016 19
#7 HYDROGEN REFUELING STATION 50 CARS/DAY : WHAT IF ONLY 500 OPERATING HOURS? Power-to-Mobility LCOH+ 2015 - Hydrogen Refueling Station (50 cars/day) 40 - - - 0,18 3,03 0,63 35 0,06 0,05 1,19 0,04 1,26 30 3,66 25 /kg H2 20 15 27,76 36,95 36,77 36,03 10 5 Impact on LCOH- is +28 /kg of hydrogen!!! 0 06.04.2016 20
FINAL REPORT EXPECTED TO BE PUBLISHED IN JUNE 2016 21
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION! More info: www.power-to-gas.be Denis THOMAS Renewable Hydrogen - EU Regulatory Affairs and Business Development Manager Hydrogenics Europe NV Mobile: +32 479 909 129 Email: dthomas@hydrogenics.com 22