Cattle on Feed ISSN: 948- Released October,, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United s Department of Agriculture (USDA). U.S. Cattle on Feed Up 3 Percent Cattle and calves on feed for slaughter market in the United s for feedlots with capacity of, or more head totaled.8 million head on October,. The inventory was 3 percent above October, 9. The inventory included 6.6 million steers and steer calves, up 3 percent from the. This group accounted for 6 percent of the total inventory. Heifers and heifer calves accounted for 4. million head, also up 3 percent from 9. Placements in feedlots during September totaled.46 million, 3 percent above 9. Net placements were.4 million head. September, placements of cattle and calves weighing less than 6 pounds were,, 6-699 pounds were 4,, 7-799 pounds were 6,, and 8 pounds and greater were 89,. Marketings of fed cattle during September totaled.8 million, percent above 9. Other disappearance totaled 4, during September, percent above 9.
of Cattle on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: October, 9 and Item On feed September... Placed on feed during September... Fed cattle marketed during September... Other disappearance during September... On feed October... 9 (, (, (percent) 9,9,388,767 47,474,73,46,8 4,779 3 3 3 of Cattle on Feed, Placements, Marketings, and Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: September, 9 and Item On feed August... Placed on feed during August... Fed cattle marketed during August... Other disappearance during August... On feed September... 9 (, (, (percent) 9,637,9,8 6 9,9 9,873,7,93 47,73 7 7 84 3 on Feed by Class on,+ Capacity Feedlots United s: October, 9 and Item Class on Feed October Steers and Steer Calves... Heifers and Heifer Calves... Cows and Bulls... 9 (, Head) (, Head) (percent) 6,46 4, 46 6,6 4,3 3 3 Cattle on Feed (October )
of Cattle on Feed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and October, 9 September, Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... October, previous month (, (, (, (percent) (percent) 7 46 96,,7 3 9,6 47 4 43 89 8 6,, 3 9, 67 4 44, 7,33, 37,64 77 87 96 4 4 8 6 8 4 4 6 Other s... 36 346 38 6 United s...,474,73,779 3 6 United s Cattle on Feed,+ Capacity Feedlots Million Head... 9. 9 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Cattle on Feed (October ) 3
of Cattle Placed on Feed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... September 9 August September previous month (, (, (, (percent) (percent) 7 6 6 3 8 7 3 9 46 93 6 48 8 4 4 4 9 7 4 87 7 8 44 8 3 8 6 9 6 4 3 84 3 7 7 7 7 Other s... 9 69 93 3 3 United s...,388,7,46 3 8 United s Cattle on Feed,+ Capacity Feedlots Placed Million Head 3..... 9 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 4 Cattle on Feed (October )
of Cattle Placed on Feed by Weight Group on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas... September Under 6 lbs 6-699 lbs 7-799 lbs 8+ lbs Total 9 9 9 9 9 (, 8 6 7 (, 3 7 7 9 (, 9 6 (, 3 8 6 (, 6 6 (, 6 6 3 4 (, 7 7 (, 6 6 8 (, 6 7 (, 9 4 8 Other s... 4 3 6 6 93 3 4 37 United s... Colorado... Kansas... Nebraska... Texas... 49 4 4 93 August 6 8 89,388 Under 6 lbs 6-699 lbs 7-799 lbs 8+ lbs Total 9 9 9 9 9 (, 6 6 (, 9 (, 8 4 (, 8 (, 7 (, (, 6 (, 9 4 8 (, 46,46 (, 9 6 48 4 Other s... 6 79 9 6 9 394 4 United s... 43 49 39 39 4 6 77 8,9,7 of Cattle Marketed on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... September 9 August September previous month (, (, (, (percent) (percent) 6 44 4 94 33 39 48 4 48 7 7 8 4 9 44 38 6 49 34 43 8 4 8 37 36 7 4 47 33 8 6 9 48 78 83 97 9 9 84 9 8 9 9 97 Other s... 8 6 69 9 United s...,767,93,8 94 Cattle on Feed (October )
United s Cattle on Feed,+ Capacity Feedlots Marketed Million Head...8.6.4 9 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Other Disappearance on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Month s and United s: 9 and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... September 9 August September previous month (, (, (, (percent) (percent) 3 4 4 67 Other s... 3 67 United s... 47 47 4 6 Cattle on Feed (October )
on Feed by Class on,+ Capacity Feedlots by Quarter s and United s: 9 and Arizona... California... Colorado... Idaho... Iowa... Kansas... Nebraska... Oklahoma... South Dakota... Texas... Washington... Oct, 9 Steers and Steer Calves Heifers and Heifer Calves Cows and Bulls Jul, Oct, Oct, 9 Jul, Oct, (, Head) (, Head) (, Head) (, Head) (, Head) (, Head) 7 4 6 3 36,,4, 87 4 4 63 4,3, 8 6, 97 39 3 7 6 39,3,34 97,6 3 9, 9 4 8,79 9 8 77 7 97 78 6 9,39 69 9 9 78 7,9 86 6 9,79 7 Oct, 9 (, Head) 4 Jul, (, Head) 8 8 Oct, (, Head) 6 6 Other s... 34 47 4 6 4 7 United s... 6,46 6,4 6,6 4, 3,766 4,3 46 Cattle on Feed (October ) 7
Terms and Definitions of Cattle on Feed Estimates Cattle on feed are animals being fed a ration of grain, silage, hay and/or protein supplement for slaughter market that are expected to produce a carcass that will grade select or better. It excludes cattle being "backgrounded only" for later sale as feeders or later placement in another feedlot. Placements are cattle put into a feedlot, fed a ration which will produce a carcass that will grade select or better, and are intended for the slaughter market. Marketings are cattle shipped out of feedlots to a slaughter market. Other disappearance includes death loss, movement from feedlots to pasture, and shipments to other feedlots for further feeding. Reliability of Cattle on Feed Estimates Survey Procedures: January and July all known feedlots in the United s with capacity of, or more head are surveyed to provide data for cattle on feed estimates. the other months, all known feedlots from 6 s are surveyed. The 6 s account for percent of the cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of, or more head. Individual estimates are published monthly for of the 6 s. Data collected from the remaining s are used to establish the Other s estimates. These s include IL, MN, NM, OR, and WY. The Other s category represents all cattle on feed with a capacity of, or more head for the rest of the United s. Estimating Procedures: These cattle on feed estimates were prepared by the Agricultural Statistics Board after reviewing recommendations and analysis submitted by each office. Regional and survey data were reviewed for reasonableness with each other and with estimates from the previous month when establishing the current estimates. Revision Policy: Revisions to previous estimates are made to improve month to month relationships. Estimates for the previous month are subject to revision in all s each month when current estimates are made. In February, all monthly estimates for the, and the number of feedlots and annual marketings from two years ago are reviewed and subject to revisions. The reviews are primarily based on slaughter data, state check-off or brand data, and any other data that may have been received after the original estimate was made. Estimates will also be reviewed after data from the Census of Agriculture are available. No revisions will be made after that date and estimates become final. Reliability: Since all,+ capacity cattle on feed operators in every are not included in the monthly survey, survey estimates are subject to sampling variability. Survey results are also subject to non-sampling errors such as omissions, duplications, and mistakes in reporting, recording, and processing the data. The effects of these errors cannot be measured directly. They are minimized through rigid quality controls in the data collection process and through a careful review of all reported data for consistency and reasonableness. To assist users in evaluating the reliability of estimates in this report, the "Root Mean Square Error" is shown for selected items in the table on the following page. The "Root Mean Square Error" is a statistical measure based on past performance and is computed using the differences between first and latest estimates. The "Root Mean Square Error" for cattle on feed inventory estimates over the past 4 months is. percent. This means that chances are out of 3 that the final estimate will not be above or below the current estimate of.8 million head by more than. percent. Chances are 9 out of that the difference will not exceed. percent. The table on the following page shows a 4 month record of the range of differences between first and latest estimates for selected items. Using estimates of number on feed as an example, changes between the first estimate and the latest estimate during the past 4 months have averaged 3, head, ranging from to 8, head. this period the initial estimate has been above the latest estimate 6 times and has been below the latest estimate 4 times. This does not imply that the initial estimate is likely to understate or overstate final inventory. 8 Cattle on Feed (October )
Reliability of Monthly Cattle on Feed Estimates [Based on data for the past 4 months] Item on feed... Root mean square error 9 percent confidence level Difference between first and latest estimate Average Smallest Largest Below latest Years Above latest (percent) (percent) (,) (,) (,) (number) (number).. 3 8 4 6 Placements....6.3 9 4 4 Marketings....9. 7 3 Information Contacts Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Livestock Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information. E-mail inquiries may be sent to nass@nass.usda.gov Dan Kerestes, Chief, Livestock Branch... () 7-37 Scott Hollis, Head, Livestock Section... () 69-44 Lorie Warren Dairy Products... () 69-336 Joe Gaynor Dairy Products Prices... () 69-68 Jason Hardegree Cattle, Cattle on Feed... () 7-34 Sherry Bertramsen Livestock Slaughter... () 84-434 Everett Olbert Sheep and Goats... () 7-47 Mike Miller Milk Production and Milk Cows... () 7-378 Nick Streff Hogs and Pigs... () 7-36 Cattle on Feed (October ) 9
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USDA Data Users Meeting Monday October, Crowne Plaza Chicago-Metro Chicago, Illinois 666 3-89- The USDA s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and the World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be included in the meeting. For registration details or additional information for the Data Users Meeting, see the NASS homepage at http://www.nass.usda.gov/meeting/ or contact Marie Jordan (NASS) at -69-84 or at marie_jordan@nass.usda.gov. This Data Users Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook Meeting that will be held at the same location on Tuesday October 6,. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to discuss the outlook situation. For registration details or additional information for the Industry Outlook Meeting, see the Livestock and Marketing Information Center (LMIC) homepage at http://www.lcmic.info/ or contact Erica Rosa 33-36-46 at rosa@lmic.info or Laura Lahr 33-36- 464 at lahr@lmic.info.