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Country Partnership Strategy: IND, 2013 2017 SECTOR ASSESSMENT (SUMMARY): TRANSPORT AND INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY Sector Road Map 1. Sector Performance, Problems, and Opportunities 1. Significant improvements to India's transport infrastructure are necessary to ensure that the country achieves its goals of rapid, more inclusive, and sustainable growth. Various modes of transport need to be developed in an integrated and sustainable manner to realize an efficient, safe and regionally balanced transportation system that limits energy use and carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. To this end, the following key challenges facing the transport sector need to be addressed. 2. Limited network and operational capacity in transport subsectors. 1 Despite rapid expansion since the early 2000s, the road and railway network remains insufficient to support the demand for transport services. Most roads are of poor quality for example, half are not paved and road capacity is insufficient to meet the growing demand, with road densities of 0.66 kilometer (km) of roads per square km and 2.83 km per 1,000 people. 2 Railway operations are constrained by the high-density railway routes; railway trunk routes comprise just 16% of the network but carry more than 50% of the traffic. The speed of freight trains on Indian Railways is only about 25 km per hour, and passenger services are also slow by international standards. Critical efficiency parameters have improved, but still fall short of international standards. 3. Management of road assets. The management of road assets is hampered by a lack of funding for maintenance and lack of efficient enforcement of overloading controls, and requires improvement. 4. Integrated multimodal mix and energy efficiency. Expansion of India's transportation network must optimize coordination among alternative modes of transport, so as to exploit the comparative advantages of different modes, and minimize energy use. 3 5. Urban transport. Transportation in urban centers is a major constraint. Currently, public transport accounts for less than 25% of urban transport in India. Urban mass transit including metro and rail as well as other forms of public transport needs to be strengthened, especially in underserved urban centers, and should take into account the specific mobility, accessibility, safety, frequency, timing and cost concerns of women and vulnerable groups (the elderly, people with disabilities, and children). 6. Safety. Road accidents kill over 130,000 people annually, and the number is expected to reach 150,000 by 2015. 4 The loss to the Indian economy due to fatalities and accident injuries is particularly severe, because 53.1% of road accident victims are aged 25 65 years. Accidents per million train-km have declined steadily (from 5.5/million train-km in FY1960 to 1 Government of India, Planning Commission. 2012. Report on Central Roads Subsector by Working Group for the 12th Five Year Plan. New Delhi. 2 In the past 5 years traffic has grown by 11%. 3 A preliminary Asian Development Bank assessment shows India s emission factor for passenger journeys by road is 29 grams (g) of CO 2/passenger-km, and 6 g CO 2/passenger-km for rail journeys. For transport of cargo, the emission factor is 94 g CO 2/ton-km for road trips and only 17 g CO 2/ton-km for rail trips. 4 Government of India, Planning Commission. 2012. Twelfth Five Year Plan (2012 2017): Faster, More Inclusive and Sustainable Growth. New Delhi.

2 0.2/million train-km FY2008). However, there are still many derailments, with human error being a major cause. 7. Men and women face different safety issues in the different transportation modes. In both urban and rural areas, women travel on foot more frequently than do men. 5 An estimated 35% 40% of road deaths in metropolitan cities in India involve pedestrians, and it is crucial that women have access to safe, well-lit and visible footpaths and pedestrian crossings. 6 Women also depend more heavily on public transport than do men. Overcrowding and the lack of separate areas for women in waiting areas and public transport increase the risk of physical injury and harassment. 8. Regional cooperation and integration. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has supported the development of the South Asia Association for Regional Cooperation Regional Multimodal Transport Study, while the South Asia Subregional Economic Cooperation (SASEC) forum has emerged as an effective platform, with strong leadership from India and an active SASEC Transport and Trade Facilitation Working Group. The current road connectivity in the narrow, northern portion of West Bengal connects the SASEC countries (Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal) but provides insufficient capacity to allow a smooth flow of traffic. Improvement of these routes, and other selected land ports and their connectivity, is critical to the expansion of trade within South Asia, and to exploring further opportunities for third-country trade, as these provide links between India s northeastern region and Bhutan and Nepal with the ports of Chittagong and Mongla in Bangladesh. 7 9. India is also central in connecting SASEC countries to Southeast and East Asia through the Bay of Bengal Initiative for Multi-Sectoral Technical and Economic Cooperation; ADB has supported the preparation of a Transport Infrastructure and Logistics Study for the initiative. Cross-regional connectivity also brings growth opportunities for India s northeastern region. Railways and alternative modes of transport (e.g., inland waterways) may also increase regional connectivity. Road and rail connectivity investments in West Bengal and in northeast India, along with support for the reduction of non-tariff regional barriers, will also foster South Asia s links to Southeast Asia. 2. Government s Sector Strategy 10. Transport is a priority sector that needs to be strengthened to achieve the ambitious development targets in India s Twelfth Five Year Plan. The government has recognized that the public sector is expected to continue to play an important role in building transport infrastructure. However, because of resource constraints, public investment will have to be supplemented by greater private sector participation and public private partnerships (PPPs). 11. The working group for the Twelfth Five Year Plan (footnote 1) has estimated investment needs of Rs12 trillion in the road subsector. A significant part (20,000 km) of the existing national highway network consists of single-lane highways, which need to be upgraded to the standards of two-lane highways. Most of these roads have low traffic densities, and may not be viable on a PPP basis. The government is, therefore, adopting an engineering, procurement, and construction (turnkey) mode of construction in the plan, which would be financed through 5 A. Anand and G. Tiwari. 2006. A Gendered Perspective of the Shelter-Transport-Livelihood Link: The Case of Poor Women in Delhi. Transport Review. 16(1). pp. 63 80. 6 ADB. 2003. Vulnerable Road Users in the Asian and Pacific Region. Manila. 7 Although South Asia has been one of the fastest-growing economic regions in the world, intraregional trade accounts for only about 5% of total trade in the region.

3 toll revenues, market borrowing and budgetary support. The investment requirement for railways is around Rs14 trillion through 2020, more than half of which needs to be financed out of Indian Railways own revenues, making it imperative for Indian Railways to generate more funds through its operations. 8 12. The government also highlights transport cooperation in South Asia. The Look East Policy should lead logically to special efforts to develop road connectivity linking India, and especially its landlocked northeastern states. The need to develop policies that strengthen mutual dependence with the neighboring economies, particularly that of Bangladesh, has also been stressed. 13. Integrated multimodal mix and energy efficiency. A high-level National Transport Development Policy Committee is developing a transport policy to 2030, which will facilitate the expansion of the transport network while minimizing energy use. It will also address competitive pricing and coordination among alternative modes of transport. 3. ADB Sector Experience and Assistance Program 14. The goal of ADB transport sector support under the country partnership strategy 2013 2017 is to increase the movement of people and goods in a more efficient, safe, sustainable and manner. To achieve this, ADB will support: (i) a multimodal mix of transport network development, including a focus on modes with low-carbon emissions; (ii) institutional and organizational changes to road sector institutions; (iii) connectivity both subregionally for regional cooperation and integration as well as along economic corridors that link major domestic centers of economic activity with emerging centers of production and employment; (iv) an innovative financing mechanism in transport infrastructure development and maintenance; and (v) social inclusiveness, including safety improvement and gender inclusiveness. 15. Energy efficiency and multimodal mix. ADB will continue support to railways, which are much more energy efficient than road transport. This will help pursue an optimal modal mix for India s overall transport systems. ADB will also support efficient intermodal connectivity through the development of rail and road networks and port development, including port connectivity. To increase the environmental sustainability of cities, ADB will support the development of urban mass transit systems, including metro and rail. 16. Institutional changes. ADB will continue to support government initiatives to bring about institutional and organizational changes in transport sector institutions. Institutional strengthening will be pursued in state public works departments to improve the efficiency of road development and management. The asset management of agencies involved in rural roads will be strengthened, and ADB will continue to support railway sector reform, focusing on accounting reform. 17. Connectivity. ADB will support regional connectivity initiatives, especially transport identified by SASEC Transport Working Group meetings, including roads connecting Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Myanmar, and Nepal. The network expansion especially in the northeastern region linking India, Bhutan, Bangladesh, and Nepal to Myanmar will help expand the South Asia region to mutually beneficial economic cooperation with Southeast Asia and beyond. ADB will also support measures to ensure the legal and safe cross-border movement of people for labor purposes and mitigate the health and other potential negative 8 Government of India, Ministry of Railways. 2009. Vision 2020. New Delhi.

4 risks associated with transport-related. 9 ADB will also support the government s efforts to develop economic corridors along India s east coast by strengthening transportation connectivity along and within the corridors. 18. Pursue innovative financing. ADB will support innovative approaches to leveraging additional financing, such as a modified annuity model to increase private financing for roads with lower traffic. Low-carbon emission modes of transport, such as railways, provide opportunities for alternative funding sources (e.g., Clean Development Mechanism and cofinancing with a focus on low carbon emissions). ADB will also support innovative financing structures, which use loans and/or financial support from the central and/or state governments to leverage commercial lending and catalyze private sector participation to create a selfsustaining model for financing the urban transport sector. 19. An innovative PPP-based network approach will be explored whereby ADB financing is used to leverage greater private sector financing and simultaneously reduce the government s total financial commitments. Working with road development corporations in selected states, ADB will help establish financing structures that go beyond the construction of individual roads and sustainably operate and maintain an identified road network. Given the advanced framework for and experience in developing PPPs for toll roads, technical assistance for transport PPPs will focus on more challenging areas such as urban transport, ports, strengthening the sector regulatory framework, and promoting the awarding of pilot. 20. Focus on inclusiveness and gender equality. ADB will emphasize inclusiveness in transport development. Support to rural road development through Pradhan Mantri Gram Sadak Yojana will continue. Support to state road development will also be expanded to new states, and in terms of the networks to be covered (from state highways to major district roads to fill the gap between rural roads and state highways). Support to railway development will help provide access to less-developed regions. ADB support will address safety, accessibility, and social sustainability of all transport modes, including pedestrian-related infrastructure. Increased attention will be paid to urban women s transport concerns, particularly safety while waiting for and using public transport services. 21. Knowledge products. ADB is currently providing technical assistance to Indian Railways to develop a methodology to allow railway infrastructure to claim carbon credits from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change process, in what is a global first for rail. ADB will produce a knowledge product on the accepted methodology to enable Indian Railways to claim carbon credits for government-financed infrastructure as well. ADB will also partner with other agencies in the development of knowledge products, including a study analyzing gender implications of cross-border trade and transportrelated. 9 ADB, in partnership with the Australian Agency for International Development, will conduct a study on gender and safe labor migration that will identify areas where ADB can address issues of safe labor migration within the context of infrastructure and macroeconomic in the region.

5 PROBLEM TREE FOR TRANSPORT AND INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS TECHNOLOGY EFFECTS Environmental degradation Limited trade subregional Constrained economic growth and inclusiveness Physical and nonphysical barriers to transport flow Increased costs operations CORE PROBLEM Inefficient transport systems with low service level CAUSES Insufficient infrastructure Inefficient operations and management Policy and institutional framework Limited funding - Public funds limited for massive requirements for future development - Private sector exposure limit to the infrastructure sector - Limited maintenance financing Slow project implementation - Limited capacity of public agencies developing the physical infrastructure - Limited capacity of local engineering industry - Inefficient business processes for project implementation Roads - Weak asset management systems - Low level of traffic rules enforcement, e.g., safety and overloading control Railways - Irrational tariff structure - Fragmented accounting systems - Limited private sector participation - Limited exploitation of energy efficiency - Weak service reliability and asset management systems - Low level of services and customer satisfaction Urban, intermodal, and others - Low administrative capability - Old management systems and practices - Weak intermodal connectivity of ports with roads and railways Multimodal integration - Limited integration of multimodal opportunities - Limited coordination and competition among transport modes - No policy incentives Energy efficient and inclusive transport - No policy incentives - Limited development of public transport systems Private sector participation - Limited incentives for further participation - Limited opportunities in railways Regional cooperation and integration (RCI) - Limited arrangement for international transit - Limited focus on with RCI impacts - Weak coordination of multiple agencies and multiple countries Source: Asian Development Bank

6 Outcomes with ADB Contribution Sector Results Framework (Transport and Information and Communication Technology, 2013 2017) Country Sector Outcomes Country Sector Outputs ADB Sector Operations Indicators with Targets Indicators with Incremental Targets Main Outputs Expected from ADB Interventions and Baselines Increased movement of people and goods in a more efficient and sustainable manner (i) 100% of villages (population >1000) have access to all-weather roads by 2017 (2000 baseline: 90%) (ii) Road freight traffic equals 1.8 trillion ton-km in 2016 (2011 baseline: 1.2 trillion) (iii) Road pass-km equals 11.4 trillion in 2016 (2011 baseline: 7.4 trillion) (iv) Railway freight traffic equals 927 billion ton-km in 2016 (2011 baseline: 640 billion) (v) Railway pass-km equals 1,760 billion in 2016 (2011 baseline: 1,062 billion) (vi) Public transport has 50% modal share in 2017 (2008 baseline: 27%) (vii) Border crossing time at targeted integrated check posts/ land custom stations in SASEC region reduced by 20% by 2017 (2012 baseline: 3-4 days) Outputs with ADB Contribution Transport systems with safety and accessibility features for women, the elderly, disabled and children expanded, improved and maintained (i) Additional 126,500 km of state roads built or upgraded by 2017 compared with 2012 (ii) Additional 167,500 km of major district roads built or upgraded by 2017 compared with 2012 (iii) Additional 242,181 km of rural roads built or upgraded by 2017 compared with 2012 (iv) Additional 12,838 km of railways constructed and/or upgraded by 2017 compared with 2012 (v) Additional 7,653 km of doubletracked railways constructed and/or upgraded by 2017 compared with 2012 (vi) Additional 6,500 km of railways electrified by 2017 compared with 2012 (vii) Additional 5,500 km of railways constructed and/or upgraded for gauge conversion by 2017 compared with 2012 (viii) Rail-based transport systems with women-friendly safety, accessibility and affordability features in urban areas increased at 10 km per million population in cities with >3 million population, including 50 km expansion in cities with 4 million population by 2017. (2012 baseline: 0) (ix) Cross-border infrastructure facilities improved with women-friendly features at 16 locations (i.e., 13 integrated check posts and 3 land custom stations) by 2017. (2012 baseline: 0) Planned and Ongoing ADB Interventions (i) Planned key activity areas State roads (58% of funds) Rural roads (18% of funds) Railways (4% of funds) Urban transport (20% of funds) (ii) Pipeline 12 amounting to $2,275 million for 2013-2015 ((including 2 categorized as EGM) (iii) Ongoing 15 ongoing loans amounting to $3,262 million as of 31 December 2012 (including 2 categorized as EGM) (i) Planned key activity areas (a) 4,700 km of state roads improved with features, including 150 km of subregional connectivity (b) 12,300 km of rural roads improved to include features (c) 840 km of railways double-tracked; 640 km of railway track electrified (d) 3 km of metro developed; 3 land customs stations developed with women-friendly facilities; road asset management systems strengthened with gender indicators and business processes streamlined in states supported by ADB TA; accounting systems in railway modernized; trade facilitation streamlined. (ii) Pipeline (a) 3,600 km of state roads improved with features, including 600 km of subregional connectivity (b) 6,000 km of rural roads improved to include features (c) 530 km of high speed railway track constructed (d) 3 km of metro developed; 3 land customs stations developed with women-friendly facilities; (iii) Ongoing (a) 9,000 km of state roads improved (b) 30,000 km of rural roads improved (c) 1,200 km of railways double-tracked and 640 km electrified (d) Road corporations established in 3 states (e) Accounting reform in Indian Railways EGM = effective gender mainstreaming, km = kilometer, pass-km = passenger km, SASEC = South Asia Subregional Economic Cooperation, TA =, ton-km = ton kilometer Sources: Government of India, Planning Commission. 2012. Twelfth Five Year Plan. New Delhi; Government of India, Planning Commission. 2011. Faster, Sustainable and More Inclusive Growth: An Approach to the Twelfth Five Year Plan (2012-17).. New Delhi; Government of India, Planning Commission 2011. Mid Term Appraisal for Eleventh Five Year Plan 2007 2012. New Delhi; and ADB estimates.