I-95 Corridor Study Phase II Highway Element FAMPO Policy Committee July 16, 2018 1
I-95 Phase 2 Study Final Report A final report is being created to document the findings of the I-95 Phase 2 Study and will be used to help support Smart Scale applications in the FAMPO area. The report will include information about the assumed future no-build condition in the corridor, such as: Northbound Rappahannock River Crossing Southbound Rappahannock River Crossing FredEX Lanes extended south to Exit 133 The report will document recommendations above and beyond the nobuild condition to address future travel demand, such as: Widen I-95 to 4-lanes northbound between Exits 126 & 130 Widen I-95 to 4-lanes southbound between Exits 130 & 126 Southbound off-ramp improvements at Exit 126 Other interchange ramp improvements at Exits 126 (STARS) & 136 (SB off-ramp) The document will acknowledge that the region is considering the addition of new or modified access points along I-95 but will not take a position on which change or changes are recommended. Further study will be necessary to fully understand the consequences of access changes 2
The Study Team performed additional study into possible new interstate access in FAMPO area 1) New full access near milepost 131 (near Rest Area) 2) New full access near milepost 128 (Harrison Rd) 3) Improved access at existing Exit 126 (Route 1) Background No-Build network assumptions for comparison of new access scenarios 1) Includes I-95 Southbound River Crossing 2) Includes I-95 Northbound River Crossing 3) Includes 4 lanes southbound and northbound on I-95 between Exits 126 and 130 3
Interchange Project Readiness The proposed I-95 changes near mileposts 131 and 128 would constitute new interstate access. FHWA, working with VDOT, has jurisdiction over the interstate system and would require an Interstate Justification Report (IJR) to request permission for such an action. Modifications at Exit 126 would constitute an Interchange Modification Report (IMR) which is similar to an IJR but with a slightly lower burden of study scope. Both of these technical studies are comprehensive investigations of the transportation consequences of the proposed action. An environmental document would also be required as such a change would be considered a federal action. Documentation such as these two items would normally take a year or more to complete. Even an approved IJR / IMR has a shelf-life depending on changing conditions in the study area. 4
Interchange Concepts There can be numerous successful ways to provide new access to the interstate system, depending on factors such as terrain, available right-of-way, environmental constraints, future travel demand, available funding. The customary process (typically part of an IJR) is to test a range of conceptual alternatives to arrive at a preferred concept. One technique is to apply the VJust tool to the proposed access scenario to better understand which interchange layout may be best suited. VJust is an objective algorithm developed for FHWA and accepted by VDOT and other DOTs across the country. The following slides provide some potential concepts for consideration at these two access locations 5
2 449 1 31 2 337 3 541 Diverging Diamond Interchange (DDI) Diverging Diamond Interchange (DDI) Project Name: NS Facility: Date: I-95 Ramps July 1, 2018 DESIGN AND RESULTS FAMPO I-95 Phase 2-2045 AM Critical Lane Volume Sum EW Facility: Harrison Rd < 1200 1200-1399 1400-1599 1600 VOLUME / CAPACITY RATIO: 0.79 Enter the lane configurations in the yellow cells. DATA INPUT AND CONFIGURATION 1102 836 1540 1 3 EB Zone 3 2 959 Zone 1 North arrow directions will appear once the directional question has been answered on the Input Worksheet. Zone 3 1272 Zone 1 692 0.43 V / C Zone 2 969 1272 692 2376 3 Zone 2 969 SB 0.79 V / C 0.61 V / C Zone 5 517 Zone 5 517 2 561 0.32 V / C Zone 4 867 Zone 6 623 0.54 V / C NB Zone 6 623 1173 2 Zone 4 867 0.39 V / C Note: This diagram does not reflect the actual lane configuration of the intersection 2 1 51 510 571 WB Back to Results 6
2 449 1 31 2 337 1 541 Single Point Urban Interchange (SPUI) Single Point Urban Interchange (SPUI) DESIGN AND RESULTS DATA INPUT AND CONFIGURATION Project Name: FAMPO I-95 Phase 2-2045 AM Critical Lane Volume Sum EW Facility: Harrison Rd < 1200 1200-1399 1400-1599 1600 NS Facility: I-95 Ramps VOLUME / CAPACITY RATIO: 0.75 Date: July 1, 2018 Enter the lane configurations in the yellow cells. SB North arrow directions will appear once the directional question has been answered on the Input Worksheet. Zone 1 1116 0.70 V / C EB 1102 836 1540 1 2 3 2 959 Zone 1 1116 Zone 3 1195 Zone 3 1195 0.75 V / C 1 2 51 510 1 571 Zone 6 623 0.39 V / C NB Zone 6 623 1173 2 WB Note: This diagram does not reflect the actual lane configuration of the intersection Back to Results 7
As the Single Point Urban Interchange (SPUI) is one example of a reasonable solution at this location, the Study Team created the drawing at the left to show the physical extent which may be expected with this layout. 8
The proposed access point near milepost 131 will likely require a more custom approach and may not be a great candidate for the VJust tool. For the purpose of this preliminary investigation, the concept at the left was used. Notice addition of local roadways 9
The concept for improvements at Exit 126 has not changed since it was discussed at the May 21 Policy Committee meeting. 10
High-level Travel Impacts of New Access Points The study team was able to prepare graphical representations of how traffic demand is forecasted to change (Year 2045) for the two NEW access points (Exits 131 & 128). 11
2045 Daily Traffic & Operations Impact of new Exit 131 Interchange Figure 1 of 1 No-Build (left) vs Build (right) Two-Directional Daily Traffic shown in Thousands New Access Fall Hill Ave River Rd Widened I-95
2045 Daily Traffic & Operations Impact of new Harrison Rd Interchange Figure 1 of 2 No-Build (left) vs Build (right) Two-Directional Daily Traffic shown in Thousands River Rd Widened I-95 Un-widened Harrison Rd Widened Harrison Rd New Access Un-widened Harrison Rd
2045 Daily Traffic & Operations Impact of new Harrison Rd Interchange Figure 2 of 2 No-Build (left) vs Build (right) Two-Directional Daily Traffic shown in Thousands Widened Harrison Rd New Access Un-widened Harrison Rd Widened I-95 Route 1 Un-widened I-95
The Study Team performed a revised Cost / Benefit Quotient for the candidate access points at mileposts 131, 128, and 126. This included a more rigorous calculation of benefit and a more detailed estimation of cost. The decision was made to exclude the I-95 widening from any of the access cost estimates because it is a pre-requisite in the no-build condition 15
B/C Quotient Methodology Summary Delay is defined as the difference between congested travel time and free-flow travel time within the defined study area. The forecasted reduction in daily delay for each of the candidate interstate access improvements was converted to equivalent dollars considering items such as: Number of weekdays and weekend days per year Value of time for workdays and weekends Consumer Price Index 30-year lifespan for infrastructure Regular background traffic growth Opinion of cost was developed through use of VDOT Project Cost Estimating System based on conceptual designs for each interchange The resulting ratio between benefit and cost is not a comprehensive Benefit/Cost Analysis but is instead a relative quotient between the limited items identified above 16
Preliminary Cost Estimates Exit 131 Estimate Summary for Exit 131 Ramps Includes 25% for PE and Construction Contingencies Expense year: 2025 Category Description Estimate 1 Pavement $ 23,008,238.64 5 Bridges $ 10,350,000.00 3 Sound Barrier Walls $ 2,380,000.00 4 Signalized Intersections $ - 6 ROW & Utilities $ 4,645,971.02 7 Additional Items $ 4,345,000.00 8 CEI (20% of Estimate) $ 8,945,841.93 Total $ 53,675,051.59 Assumptions: Sound barrier only required on NB side Costs for long bridges over 95 were assumed to be $300/sf Includes 850 ft extension of Carl D Silver Parkway 65% = R/W utilities estimate from VDOT 2015 Planning level cost estimates for Suburban due to the nature of the interchange location, this includes unknown costs for drainage; Assumed only 20% ROW costs for Utilities as rest is to be donated. 17
Preliminary Cost Estimates Exit 128 Estimate Summary for Exit 128 SPUI Includes 25% for PE and Construction Contingencies Expense year: 2025 Category Description Estimate 1 Pavement $ 8,253,409.09 5 Bridges $ 8,852,625.00 3 Sound Barrier Walls $ 11,900,000.00 4 Signalized Intersections $ 807,000.00 6 ROW & Utilities $ 19,378,472.16 7 Additional Items $ 7,000,000.00 8 CEI (20% of Estimate) $ 11,238,301.25 Sub total $ 67,429,807.50 Assumptions: Assume increase in signal cost by 50% for SPUI 65% = R/W utilities estimate from VDOT 2015 Planning level cost estimates for Suburban due to the nature of the interchange location, this includes unknown costs for drainage Line Item Source Estimate Year Exit 128 SPUI Michael Baker Team Estimates $ 67,429,808 2025 Harrison Rd widening 2 to 4 lanes: Salem Church to Kingswood VDOT Planning Estimate for Smart Scale Rnd 3 $ 51,000,000 2025 Intersection improvement: Harrison & Salem Church VDOT Planning Estimate for Smart Scale Rnd 3 $ 7,500,000 2025 Harrison Rd Widening 2 to 4 lanes: VDOT Planning Estimate for Smart Scale Kingswood to Rte 1 Rnd 2 $ 35,000,000 2025 TOTAL $ 160,929,808 2025 18
Preliminary Cost Estimates Exit 126 Exit 126 Line Item Source Estimate Year Exit 126 STARS Improvements: Rte 1 & Ramp VDOT Planning Estimate for Smart Scale to I-95 NB Round 3 $ 25,000,000 2025 SB 5th Auxiliary Lane improvement at Exit 126 VDOT Planning Estimate for Smart Scale (Cost included in SB Superramp) Round 3 $ 10,000,000 2025 I-95 SB Superramp to Rte 17 VDOT Planning Study Cost Estimate - 2015 I-95 NB CD Superramp from Rte 17 VDOT Planning Study Cost Estimate - 2015 I-95 NB CD Superramp from Rte 17-2nd Lane FAMPO - Planning Cost Spreadsheet $ 103,331,043 2025 $ 61,821,497 2025 $ 11,554,000 2025 TOTAL Does not include Germanna Dr Extension $ 211,706,540 2025 19
B/C Quotient inputs 20
B/C Quotient Results The benefit / cost quotient above is not a comprehensive Benefit/Cost Analysis but is instead a relative quotient between a limited number of available factors 21
Next Steps Finalize I-95 Phase 2 Technical Report for inclusion in Smart Scale Applications. Follow-up with answers to any questions about high-level access analysis prepared to this point Begin more detailed technical analysis (likely in the form of an IJR) of one or more proposals for new / improved I-95 access in corridor Determine what additional improvements are needed at Exit 133 once the details of the northbound Rappahannock River Cross project are known There is sufficient time between now and the next round of Smart Scale to answer all of the questions pertaining to these regionally important decision. 22
Extra slides beyond this point 23
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Study Corridor For each proposed improvement in I-95 access, change in congestion levels and average delay was computed for roadways within the green box 26