MALAYSIA. Dr. Abdul Rahman Kassim

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Transcription:

MALAYSIA Dr. Abdul Rahman Kassim Juhaimi Jusoh Nor Adawiah Abdullah FRIM DID Malaysia MetMalaysia

MALAYSIA Introduction Climate : Equatorial with uniform temperature, high humidity & abundant rainfall Spatial variability : Pen. Malaysia :2,400 mm, Sarawak: 3,600 mm & Sabah: 2,500mm Temporal Variability : 60% falls during the northeast monsoon (Nov Feb) especially east coast of Pen. Malaysia Water Resource Management Federal Constitution : Article 74 provide for separation of jurisdiction and responsibility between federal, state and concurrent. Natural resources management including water is under the state jurisdiction Forestry and Agriculture : State responsibility Federal Govt. to provide technical advise, collect information and data, set up monitoring stations and conduct surveys Disaster Management : Public Health -> Concurrent list Water Services : Concurrent list

Drought Management - SOP Drought disaster in Malaysia is managed according to the standard operating procedure (SOP) - led by the National Security Council of the Prime Minister Ministry. Published and circulated in December 2011. Formulated following several drought events that had happened in Malaysia particularly the one in 1992 and 1998. Classification of drought Responsible agencies to monitor drought : MetMalaysia/DID Malaysia & Minerals and Geosains Department Malaysia Severity of drought Alert, Warning, Emergency and Termination Line of communication Roles and responsibility and mitigation measures The recent drought event which lasted approximately 2 months from mid- January 2014 to mid-march 2014 was the first time the SOP was put into practice.

MetMalaysia MetMalaysia responsible for issuing drought early warning if there is possibility of drought base on some criteria such as weather and climate forecasting tools including numerical modeling and related index which indicate early signs drought resulted like El-Nino phenomena. MetMalaysia used the Standard Precipitation Index and rainfall anomalies to reflect the drought severity in Malaysia

METEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT MONITORING Issuing drought early warning IF: LEVEL LEVEL 1: ALERT LEVEL 2 : WARNING LEVEL 3 : EMERGENCY LEVEL 4 : TERMINATION MONITORING STATUS Deficit for total rainfall for at least 3 consecutive months above 35% from normal and the latest SPI index is less than -1.5, OR the deficit for 6 consecutive months above 35% and latest SPI index is less than -1.5. Deficit for total rainfall for at least 3 and 6 consecutive months above 35% from normal and the latest 3 months SPI index is less than -1.5, and drought ALERT level declared before. Deficit for total rainfall for at least 3 and 6 consecutive months above 35% from normal and the latest 3 months SPI index is less than -2.5, and drought WARNING level has been declared before. SPI index become positive and/or total rainfall for the current month above normal.

Weather Malaysia Last Drought Episode Rainfall January 2014 Sebenar Anomali

Weather Malaysia Last Drought Episode Rainfall February 2014 Sebenar Anomali

Weather Malaysia Rainfall March 2014 Sebenar Anomali

Weather Malaysia Rainfall April 2014

Rainfall Anomaly (Jan Mar 2014)

Rainfall Anomaly (Feb Apr 2014)

Drought Monitoring For Malaysia (SPI Index) (APRIL 2014) Station Name 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month Langkawi -0.8-1.14-1.33-1.3-1.36-0.9 Bayan Lepas 0.18-0.45-1.01-1.08-1.21-1.01 Butterworth 0.23-0.27-0.89-0.27-0.65-0.85 Alor Setar -0.66-1.2-1.69-1.73-1.39-1.63 Chuping 0.49-0.41-0.9-0.93-1.07-1.11 Kota Bharu -2.64-1.45-1.78-1.54-1.49-1.54 K.Krai -1.1-0.37-0.8-0.19 0.06-0.36 Gong Kedak -1.37-1.32-1.64-1.34-1.49-1.68 K. Terengganu -2.9-1.61-1.92-1.69-1.2-0.64 Sitiawan -0.6-1.07-1.83-1.09-0.71-0.88 Lubok Merbau -1.97-1.55-2.15-2.28-2.34-2.31 Ipoh 0.85-0.58-1.04-0.58-1.00-1.12 Cameron 0.89 0.17-0.31-0.35-0.15-0.12 Batu Embun -0.58-0.46-0.96-0.81-0.43-0.4 Subang 0.01-0.48-1.56-1.43-0.81-0.18 Petaling Jaya 1.75 0.75-0.16-0.07 0.73 0.45 Muadzam 0.22-0.24-0.8-1.25-0.05-0.53 KLIA -0.25-0.76-1.76-1.68-1.5-1.24 Temerloh -0.33-1.35-1.63-1.95-0.78-0.83 Kuantan -0.67-1.27-1.63-1.06 0.21-0.14 Melaka -1.54-2.18-2.6-2.9-2.65-2.01 Batu Pahat 0.13 0.08-0.37-1.09-0.47-0.08 Kluang 1.3 0.85 0.23-0.46-0.09-0.15 Mersing -1.53-0.97-1.85-1.41-1.06-1.74 Senai 1.51 0.52-0.06-0.49 0.09-0.02 Kuching 1.24-0.22-1.22-1.69-0.95-1.08 Sri Aman -1.5-2.1-2.34-2.51-1.56-1.59 Sibu -1.06-2.07-2.96-1.19-0.58-0.68 Bintulu 0.51-0.78-1.13-0.21 0.66 0.52 Miri -0.74-0.81-1.34 0.04 0.84 0.68 Labuan -1.06-1.51-0.49 0.69 0.71 0.69 K.Kinabalu -0.71-0.62-0.36 0.68 1.05 0.94 Kudat -1.55-0.46 0.04-0.14-0.27-0.24 Tawau -0.21-0.21-0.36-0.36-0.44 0.15 Sandakan 0.73-0.05 0.26 0.69 0.39 0.28 How to use 2.0 and above :Extremely wet 1.5 to 1.99 : Very wet 1.0 to 1.49 : Moderately wet -0.99 to 0.99 : Normal -1.0 to -1.49 : Moderately dry -1.5 to -1.99 : Severely dry -2.0 or less : Extremely dry

FIRE DANGER RATING SYSTEM (FDRS) Fire danger rating is the evaluation of meteorological factors that influence fire danger (Fire Danger is the ability of a fire to start, spread and do damage) A system that monitors forest/vegetation fires risk and supplies information that assists in fire prevention and management To predict possible fire occurrence and behaviour A guide to policy-makers in developing mitigation actions to protect life, property and the environment

Basic Structure of FDRS System Fuel Moisture Concept Fire Behavior Concept Used as a ground indicator

FWI index Color level LOW 0-1 MODERATE 2-6 HIGH 7-13 EXTREME > 13 - Google Earth maps - Zoom in to the red area - The black shaded area is a peat land - Hot spot Information ( ) - Update color level on FWI cart at the ground, by a forest ranger

Drought Management DID Malaysia HYDROLOGICAL DROUGHT MONITORING For DID Malaysia, its drought monitoring program was initiated since 2001 Among its first initiative was to establish a website wholly focusing on drought monitoring. Its objective is to assist relevant agencies to make early preparation to face drought events. In this web site, 20 water level stations were set up to monitor reservoirs level and another 23 stations for rivers

19

20 reservoir levels are monitored daily 20

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23 River Discharge Stations 22

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The Malaysian participants wishes to thank the organizers for inviting us to participate in the workshop and to impart knowledge on drought management and Thank you for your kind attention