Monitoring droughts at the European scale: The European Drought Observatory

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1 Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Monitoring droughts at the European scale: The European Drought Observatory Simone Rossi, Stefan Niemeyer European Commission Joint Research Centre Institute for Environment and Sustainability Ispra (VA), Italy

2 A European Drought Observatory Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Platform for drought detection and monitoring, forecasting, and information exchange Commonly agreed products (e.g. drought indices) Joint comparison and analysis of information Multi-scale approach Continental level MS level Regional level Subsidiarity principle European level information (+ platform) to be developed and managed at JRC National datasets managed at MS level Regional information processed by river basin / regional environmental authorities

3 Subsidiarity principle within EDO Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April p g y p yp Joint Research Centre Drought Monitoring and Forecasting EDO drought indicators Ministerio de Medio Ambiente (MARM) Observatorio Nacional de la Sequía Sistema Integrado de Información del Agua (SIA) e.g. drought indicator, actual ET, Confederación Hidrográfica del Ebro SAIH Ebro, SITEbro Evolucción de la reserva hidraulica

4 Contributions to the European Drought Observatory Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April The EDO Portal

5 Different Definitions of Drought Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April No single operational definition of drought works in all circumstances! from the National Drought Mitigation Center

6 Different Drought indicators Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April No single operational definition of drought A multidisciplinary set of indicators to constantly monitor the various environmental components potentially affected by droughts (soil, vegetation, etc.) in order to obtain a comprehensive and updated picture of the situation. (Source : USGS)

7 The EDO Portal Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April

8 Products the EDO Map Server Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Soil Moisture Daily soil moisture Daily soil moisture anomaly Forecasted soil moisture anomaly Forecasted soil moisture trend Precipitation Monthly Standardized Precipitation Index Vegetation status NDWI 10-day daily composites fapar 10-day composites. fapar anomalies 10-day composites.

9 EDO Soil Moisture Drought Products Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Soil Moisture Information, Daily Maps very wet very dry wetter normal drier Soil Moisture Soil Moisture Anomaly

10 EDO Soil Moisture Drought Products Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April week trend of soil moisture 1-week anomaly forecast wetter normal drier

11 EDO Meteorological Drought Products Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) One of the most used drought indices Calculated for different averaging periods (1, 3, 6, 9, 12 months) very wet very dry SPI values are classified as: Very dry: less than -2 Moderate dry: between -1.5 and -2 Dry: between -1.5 and -1 Normal: between -1 and 1 Wet: between 1 and 1.5 Moderate wet: between 1.5 and 2 Very wet: more than 2

12 EDO Remote Sensing Drought Products Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) 10-day composites

13 EDO Remote Sensing Drought Products Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April The Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (fapar) Indicator of the state and productivity of vegetation. fapar is a measure of the canopy s energy absorption capacity (how large a fraction of the sunlight leaves absorb in the μm spectrum).

14 21-31 May 2009 EDO Remote Sensing Drought Products Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April MERIS fapar anomalies Negative anomaly Positive anomaly

15 EDO Remote Sensing Drought Products Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April fapar for Spain derived from ESA ENVISAT/MERIS June-August 2008 (10-day periods) fapar Anomaly compared to SPI-3 drought

16 Products the EDO Map Server Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Comparison of the performances fapar anomalies VS NDVI anomalies fapar SPI3 NDVI SPI3 Positive correlation on 95.5% of the area Positive correlation on 79.4% of the area (Rossi et al 2008)

17 Output the EDO Map Server Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Kml Google Earth file

18 Output the EDO Map Server Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Report generation (pdf)

19 Multisource Drought Monitoring: examples Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April fapar anomalies, soil moisture anomalies, and SPI3 Agricultural area in Suffolk

20 Multisource Drought Monitoring: examples Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April fapar anomalies, soil moisture anomalies, and SPI3 Soil Moisture Deficits in mm at the Oct 2002-Jan Aug-Oct regional end regional of rainfall September rainfall totals 2003 totals in mm and as a percentage in mm and as of a the percentage average of the average Maps from: Terry Marsh (CEH Wallingford), The UK drought of an overview

21 Multisource Drought Monitoring: examples Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April fapar anomalies, soil moisture anomalies, and SPI3 Drought events in 2005 and 2006.

22 Drought impacts on agricultural production Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Andalusia

23 Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Way Forward for EDO Continuous testing and improvement of the indicators already regularly produced. Implementation of additional drought information and water availability indicators (e.g. low flows, snow cover) Implementation of a composite drought indicator. Inclusion of drought information produced by national and regional authorities.

24 Stakeholder meeting on water scarcity and droughts Brussels, 27 April Thank you!

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