AN ANALYSIS OF KNOWLEDGE BASED OCCUPATIONAL CLUSTERS IN THE NORTH SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY. Final Draft_

Transcription

1 AN ANALYSIS OF KNOWLEDGE BASED OCCUPATIONAL CLUSTERS IN THE NORTH SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY Final Draft_

2 An Analysis of Knowledge Based Occupational s in the North San Joaquin Valley Prepared by: Thomas E. Pogue, Jeffrey A. Michael, and Gilbert Perez with the assistance of Jacob Baumbach, Jennifer Li, Alfonso Rodriguez, Andie Smith, and Sydney Stanfill. Business Forecasting Center Eberhardt School of Business University of the Pacific 3601 Pacific Avenue Stockton, CA This report has been prepared by the Business Forecasting Center in the Eberhardt School of Business at the University of the Pacific. The report forms part of the North San Joaquin Valley regional economic assessment. This project is supported through the Department of Commerce s Economic Development Administration (EDA) s Local Technical Assistance Project No The statements, findings, conclusions, recommendations, and other data in this report are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the U.S. Economic Development Administration (EDA). University of the Pacific, Licensed under the Creative Commons Deed Attribution- 4.0

3 CONTENTS Introduction... 5 The North San Joaquin Valley... 7 Merced County Stanislaus County San Joaquin County Health Care KBOC Appendix Knowledge Based Occupational Definitions California s Occupational s Page 3 of 39

4 Figures Figure 1 NSJV Occupational Location Quotients of Employment 2001 &... 7 Figure 2 Merced County Occupational Location Quotients of Employment 2001 & Figure 3 Stanislaus County Occupational Location Quotients of Employment 2001 & Figure 4 San Joaquin County Occupational Location Quotients of Employment 2001 & Figure 5 Health Care Occupational s Location Quotients of Employment 2001 & Figure 6 Comparison of Health Care Occupational s Across the NSJV Figure 7 NSJV and State-wide Health Care Occupational Location Quotients Tables Table 1 NSJV Employment Cahnge 2001 &... 8 Table 2 NSJV Occupational Shares of Total Employment 2001 &... 9 Table 3 NSJV Location Quotients 2001 & Table 4 Merced County Employment Cahnge 2001 & Table 5 Merced County Occupational Shares of Total Employment 2001 & Table 6 Merced County Location Quotients 2001 & Table 7 Stanislaus County Employment Cahnge 2001 & Table 8 Stanislaus County Occupational Shares of Total Employment 2001 & Table 9 Stanislaus County Location Quotients 2001 & Table 10 San Joaquin County Employment Cahnge 2001 & Table 11 San Joaquin County Occupational Shares of Total Employment 2001 & Table 12 San Joaquin County Location Quotients 2001 & Table 13 Health Care Occupational Indicators Table A.14 Manegerial, Sales, marketing, and Human Resources Occupations Table A.15 Skilled Production Workers Occupations Table A.16 Health Care and Medical Science (aggregate) Table A.17 Health Care and Medical Science (MEDICAL PRACTITIONERS AND SCIENTISTS) Table A.18 Health Care and Medical Science (MEDICAL TECHNICIANS) Table A.19 Health Care and Medical Science Table A.20 MATHEMATICS, STATISITICS, DATA AND ACCOUNTING Occupations Table A.21 LEGAL AND FINANCIAL SERIVEIS AND REAL ESTATE Occupations Table A.22 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Occupations Table A.23 NATURAL SCIENCES AND ENVIROMENTAL MANAGEMENT OCCUPATIONs Table A.24 AGRIBUSINESS AND FOOD TECHNOLOGY OCCUPATIONs Table A.25 VOCATIOANAL EDUCATION, REMEDIATION AND SOCIAL SERVICES Table A.26 BUILDING, LANDSCAPE AND CONSTRUCTION DESIGN OCCUPATIONs Table A.27 ENGINEERING AND RELATED SCIENCES Occupations Table A.28 PERSONAL CARE OCCUPATIONS Table A.29 ARTS, ENTERTAINMENT PUBLISHING AND BROADCASTING Occupations Table A.30 PUBLIC SAFETY AND DOMESTIC SECURITY Occupations Table A.31 POSTSECONDARY EDICATION AND KNOWLEDGE CREATION OCCUPATONs Table A.32 California s Employment Changes Table A.33 California s Occupational s Shares of Total Employment Table A.34 California s s Location Quotients Page 4 of 39

5 INTRODUCTION This initial analysis of knowledge based occupational clusters (KBOC) in the North San Joaquin Valley (NSJV) uses the framework and tool developed by the Crossing the Next Regional Frontier project as a resource for enhancing regional competitiveness in support of the knowledge-based economy. There are 15 KBOC in the framework. These occupational clusters were defined through a detailed analysis of job functions and areas of knowledge utilized in the occupations. Using classifications from the Standard Occupation Classification System (SOC code) and domains defined in the Occupational Information Network (O*Net), the clusters were derived with a hierarchical clustering algorithm, which minimized variance in clusters based on the types of knowledge the occupations utilize. 1 What are Knowledge-Based Occupations? It is important to remember that KBOCs consist of a subset of occupations (about two-fifths regionally) defined by the degree of skill, knowledge, and education need to fulfill the occupational requirements. Occupations in the KBOCs are those that required more specialized training. If an occupation only required some preparation it is not considered knowledge-based and was not included in these clusters. In practice, most occupations in the KBOCs require more than a high school diploma and some on-the-job experience. KBOC, like the agribusiness and food technology KBOC, might not at first seem to be knowledge intensive, but that cluster consists of such occupations as: Food scientists Agricultural managers Biological & chemical technicians Veterinarians Water system operators It does not include occupations like: Farmworkers and laborers Tree trimmers Agricultural equipment operators Packers and packagers While an analysis of the relationship between KBOC and industrial clusters in the region is still needed to identify and communicate the talent pipeline necessary to support businesses within the region; this initial analysis is an important beginning. Using the decade of data available from the Regional Frontier project we are able to identify changes in knowledge-intensive occupational cluster across the region. The analysis thereby helps in identifying which occupations provide the best opportunities to build different types of skills. It also 1 See Table A14 to Table A31 in the Appendix for a list of occupations contained in each cluster. Page 5 of 39

6 shows the clusters competitive skills advantage through the use of location quotients (LQ) comparing local employment shares to the nation. Comparing these LQ over time, we identify how the clusters have been performing. This analysis therefore provides useful insights into the NSJV s talent base. KBOC in the NSJV as a whole are reviewed in the first section. Using a four quadrant diagram to compare the clusters LQ in 2001 and, leading and lagging clusters in the region are identified. Changes in the clusters employment are then reviewed. In order to show the relative importance of the clusters and their change, employment shares in 2001 and are also reviewed. The section then concludes with a summary and the LQ dynamics illustrated in the four quadrant diagram. After the NSJV, attention turns to Merced, Stanislaus, and San Joaquin counties in subsequent sections. Owing to the importance and diversity of the Health Care KBOC, the penultimate section reviews three health care occupational sub-clusters: 1) Medical practitioners and scientists, 2) Medical Technicians, and 3) Therapy, counselling, nursing, and rehabilitation workers. Following an overview of employment, shares, and LQs in the cluster and its sub-clusters comparative figures for the counties across the health care clusters are presented. The section then concludes with a presentation of figures comparing the sub-clusters by county and then a comparison of the region to the state. Page 6 of 39

7 THE NORTH SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY In Figure 1 we see that there are two KBOC in Quadrant I. As the quadrant is denoted by clusters with location quotients above 1.2 in both 2001 and, clusters in this quadrant have enduring regional concentration. In the quadrant, the agribusiness and food technology cluster is above the line of unity, indicating that concentration increased in this cluster between 2001 and. In, employment in the agribusiness and food technology cluster was 15,900, which represented a 5% increase on 2001 employment. The primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC by contrast was below the line of unity, which indicates a decline in its apparent competitive advantage. There were 37,601 jobs in this cluster in, which was a 1% increase in total employment from Nonetheless, the cluster s LQ declined by just over 5% from 1.33 to There was a single KBOC, personal services, in Quadrant II. This quadrant contains clusters with LQ is above 1.2 but whose 2001 LQ was below 1.2, implying that competitive advantage in the cluster is emerging. The personal services KBOC employed 17,116 in, which was an increase of nearly 5,700 jobs or 50% more than 2001 levels. As a result of this relatively high increase in employment, the cluster s LQ increased by 12% from 1.11 in 2001 to 1.24 in. FIGURE 1 NSJV OCCUPATIONAL LOCATION QUOTIENTS OF EMPLOYMENT 2001 & Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. The vast majority of NSJV KBOC were in Quadrant III. s in that quadrant had LQs below 1.2 in 2001 and, indicating that no competitive advantage was apparent during this period. s above the line of unity in this quadrant demonstrated increased concentration during the period, but regionally this only occurred in two KBOC: engineering and health care. The health cluster in aggregate employed 29,457 in, which was 4,084 or 16% more than its level in The engineering cluster increased employment by 4% from 2,117 in 2001 to 2,193 in. 2 See the section below on Health Care Occupational s for additional discussion. Page 7 of 39

8 Ten KBOC in Quadrant III were below the line of unity during this period, indicating a loss in competitiveness. In total, employment in these KBOC was 142,466 or 58% of all jobs in these knowledge-intensive occupations. Three of the ten occupations did in fact see their employment rise despite declining concentration. The arts, entertainment, publishing and broadcasting cluster grew its employment by 9% from 7,585 in 2001 to 8,271 in ; public safety employment by 8% from 5,603 in 2001 to 6,023 in ; and the legal and financial cluster increase employment by 2% from 37,200 to 37,770. The figure also shows that regionally there were no KBOC in Quadrant IV, which indicates clusters that had competitive advantage, but lost this during the period. TABLE 1 NSJV EMPLOYMENT CAHNGE 2001 & 2001 Jobs Jobs Change Percent Change, KBOC: Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 37,200 37, % Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 37,140 37, % - 2, % - 4, % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 38,876 36,256 Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 40,617 35,763 Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 25,373 29,457 4, % Personal Services Occupations 11,418 17,116 5, % Agribusiness and Food Technology 15,145 15, % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 7,585 8, % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 7,824 7, % Public Safety and Domestic Security 5,603 6, % Information Technology (IT) 4,608 4, % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation 4,210 3, % Engineering and Related Sciences 2,117 2, % Building, Landscape and Construction Design 2,340 1, % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management 1, % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 1 shows that NSJV employment in these KBOC increased by about 1% from 241,832 to 244,733 between 2001 and. In this period, the KBOC with the largest increase in employment were: 1) Personal services and 2) Health (aggregate). KBOC with the largest decrease in employment were: 1) Skilled Production Workers and 2) Managerial. KBOC with the largest employment growth rates included: 1) Personal services, 2) Health (aggregate), and 3) Arts and Entertainment. KBOC with the largest employment contraction rates included: 1) Natural sciences, 2) Building & construction, and 3) Skilled production workers. Page 8 of 39

9 TABLE 2 NSJV OCCUPATIONAL SHARES OF TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 2001 & KBOC: 2001 Occ. Share of Total Emp. Occ. Share of Total Emp. Change Percent Change, Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 6.70% 6.70% 0.00% 0.00% Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 6.70% 6.60% -0.10% -1.49% Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 7.00% 6.40% -0.60% -8.57% Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 7.30% 6.30% -1.00% % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 4.60% 5.20% 0.60% 13.04% Personal Services Occupations 2.10% 3.00% 0.90% 42.86% Agribusiness and Food Technology 2.70% 2.80% 0.10% 3.70% Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 1.40% 1.50% 0.10% 7.14% Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 1.40% 1.40% 0.00% 0.00% Public Safety and Domestic Security 1.00% 1.10% 0.10% 10.00% Information Technology (IT) 0.80% 0.80% 0.00% 0.00% Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation 0.80% 0.70% -0.10% % Engineering and Related Sciences 0.40% 0.40% 0.00% 0.00% Building, Landscape and Construction Design 0.40% 0.30% -0.10% % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management 0.30% 0.10% -0.20% % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 2 shows that all employment in these KBOC accounted for 43% of all NSJV employment in. The KBOC share of NSJV employment dropped marginally from 44% in 2001 to 43% in. Personal services and health care (aggregate) both had the largest increases in their share of employment, growing by 0.9% and 0.6% respectively. In terms of declines in shares of total employment, KBOC with the largest drops were: 1) skilled production workers (-1%), and 2) Managerial (-0.6%). Along with the strong growth rates of the personal services (43%) and health care (13%), the public safety KBOC (10%) and the arts & entertainment KBOC (7%) also recorded significant rates of increase in their shares of employment. KBOC with the largest rates of decline in their employment shares include: 1) Natural science (- 67%), 2) Building and construction (-25%), 3)Skilled production workers (-14%), and 4) Postsecondary education (-13%). Page 9 of 39

10 TABLE 3 NSJV LOCATION QUOTIENTS 2001 & Description 2001 Occ. Emp. LQ Occ. Emp. LQ Change Percent Change, Agribusiness and Food Technology % Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services % Personal Services Occupations % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) % Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers % Public Safety and Domestic Security % Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR % Building, Landscape and Construction Design % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting % - Natural Sciences and Environmental Management % Engineering and Related Sciences % Information Technology (IT) % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 3 summarizes the data displayed in Figure 1. In Quadrant I, the agribusiness KBOC saw its LQ increase by 10% in the period while the primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC saw its LQ decrease by 5%. In Quadrant II, the only KBOC was personal services. Its LQ increased 12% during the period. In Quadrant III that all employment in these KBOC accounted for 43% of all NSJV employment in. The vast majority of NSJV KBOC were in Quadrant III. o Among the two clusters above the line of unity in the quadrant engineering recorded a 27% increase in its LQ while health care s LQ rose by 2%. o Among the clusters in the quadrant below the line of unity, those with the largest LQ decline included: 1) Natural sciences (-28%), 2) Building & construction (-23%), and 3) arts & entertainment (-10%). There were no KBOC regionally in Quadrant IV Page 10 of 39

11 MERCED COUNTY In Figure 2 there are three occupational clusters in Quadrant I. As elsewhere, clusters in this quadrant have enduring regional concentration. In the quadrant, the agribusiness and food technology KBOC is above the line of unity, indicating that concentration increased in this KBOC between 2001 and. In, employment in the agribusiness and food technology KBOC was 4,230, which represented a 9% increase on 2001 employment. The two occupational KBOC below the line of unity experienced declines in their competitive advantage. The primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC was the largest, it employed 6,989 in but that was down 629 jobs or 8% from its 2001 level. The other KBOC in this portion of the quadrant, public safety, experienced 4% growth in employment, but its LQ declined nonetheless from 1.41 in 2001 to 1.28 in. There was again just one occupational KBOC in Quadrant II: personal services. Implying that competitive advantage in the KBOC is emerging, the personal services KBOC employed 3,194 in, which was an increase of 1,465 or 85% higher than 2001 levels. As a result, the KBOC s LQ increased 31% from 1.12 to FIGURE 2 MERCED COUNTY OCCUPATIONAL LOCATION QUOTIENTS OF EMPLOYMENT 2001 & Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Eleven of Merced County s fifteen occupational KBOC were in Quadrant III. KBOC in this quadrant had no apparent competitive advantage. In this quadrant only the health care KBOC was above the line of unity, indicating increasing competitiveness. In aggregate, the health KBOC employed 3,473 in, which were 874 or 34% more than its level in Ten KBOC were below the line of unity in the quadrant, indicating a loss of competitiveness. In total, employment in these occupational KBOC was 25,830 or 68% of all jobs in these knowledge-intensive occupations. Among these, only the legal and financial KBOC had employment growth. Its employment increased 9% from 4,459 to 4,845. The figure also shows that there were no KBOC in Quadrant IV in the county. Page 11 of 39

12 TABLE 4 MERCED COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CAHNGE 2001 & 2001 Jobs Jobs Change Percent Change, KBOC: Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 7,618 6, % Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 5,603 5, % Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 4,459 4, % - 1, % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 5,837 4,731 Agribusiness and Food Technology 3,870 4, % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 2,599 3, % Personal Services Occupations 1,729 3,194 1, % Public Safety and Domestic Security 1,317 1, % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 1,148 1, % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 1,146 1, % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation % Information Technology (IT) % Engineering and Related Sciences % Building, Landscape and Construction Design % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 4 shows that Merced County employment in these KBOC increased by about 1% from 37,842 to 38,095 between 2001 and. In this period, the KBOC with the largest increase in employment were: 1) Personal services (1,465) and 2) Health care (874). KBOC with the largest decrease in employment were: 1) Managerial (-1,106) and 2) Primary/secondary educators & social workers (-629). KBOC with the largest employment growth rates included: 1) Personal services (85%), and 2) Health care (34%). KBOCs with the largest rates of employment contraction included: 1) Natural sciences (-64%), 2) Building & construction (-54%), 3) Engineering (-36%) and 4) Managerial (-19%). Page 12 of 39

13 TABLE 5 MERCED COUNTY OCCUPATIONAL SHARES OF TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 2001 & 2001 Occ. Share of Total KBOC: Emp. Occ. Share of Total Emp. Change Percent Change, Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 9.1% 7.8% -1.3% -14.3% Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 7.0% 5.3% -1.7% -24.3% Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 6.7% 5.9% -0.8% -11.9% Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 5.3% 5.4% 0.1% 1.9% Agribusiness and Food Technology 4.6% 4.7% 0.1% 2.2% Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 3.1% 3.9% 0.8% 25.8% Personal Services Occupations 2.1% 3.6% 1.5% 71.4% Public Safety and Domestic Security 1.6% 1.5% -0.1% -6.3% Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 1.4% 1.3% -0.1% -7.1% Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 1.4% 1.1% -0.3% -21.4% Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation 1.0% 0.9% -0.1% -10.0% Information Technology (IT) 0.7% 0.6% -0.1% -14.3% Natural Sciences and Environmental Management 0.5% 0.2% -0.3% -60.0% Building, Landscape and Construction Design 0.5% 0.2% -0.3% -60.0% Engineering and Related Sciences 0.4% 0.2% -0.2% -50.0% Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 5 shows that all employment in these KBOC accounted for 43% of all Merced County employment in. The KBOC share of Merced s employment dropped from 45% in 2001 to 43% in. Personal services and health care both had the largest increases in their share of employment, growing by 1.5% and 0.8% respectively. In terms of declines in shares of total employment, KBOC with the largest drops were: 1) Managerial (-1.7%), and 2) Primary/secondary educators & social workers (-1.3%). Besides the strong growth rates of the personal services (71%) and health care (26%) KBOC, there were not any other KBOC with rates of increase in their shares of employment. KBOC with the largest rates of decline in their employment shares include: 1) Natural science (- 60%), 2) Building and construction (-60%), 3) Engineering (-50%) 4) Managerial (-24%), and 5) Math & accounting (-21%). Page 13 of 39

14 TABLE 6 MERCED COUNTY LOCATION QUOTIENTS 2001 & KBOC 2001 Occ. Emp. LQ Occ. Emp. LQ Change Percent Change, Agribusiness and Food Technology % Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services % Personal Services Occupations % Public Safety and Domestic Security % Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) % Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting % Building, Landscape and Construction Design % Information Technology (IT) % Engineering and Related Sciences % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 6 summarizes the data displayed in Figure 2. In Quadrant I, the agribusiness KBOC saw its LQ increase by 9% while the primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC saw its LQ decrease by 18% and the public safety KBOC s LQ decreased 9%. In Quadrant II, the only KBOC was personal services. Its LQ increased 31% during the period. Eleven of Merced County s occupational KBOCs were in Quadrant III. o In the quadrant only the health care KBOC was above the line of unity, its LQ increased 11%. o Among the KBOCs in the quadrant below the line of unity, those with the largest LQ decline included: 1) Building & construction (-50%), 2) Natural sciences (-45%), 3) Engineering (-27%), and 3) Arts & entertainment (-21%). There were no Quadrant IV KBOCs in Merced County. Page 14 of 39

15 STANISLAUS COUNTY In Figure 3 the agribusiness and food technology KBOC is the only occupational KBOC in Quadrant I. As it is above the line of unity, this KBOC increased its competitive advantage during the period. In, employment in the agribusiness and food technology KBOC was 6,117, which represented a 7% increase over The two occupational KBOC below the line of unity experienced declines in their competitive advantage. The primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC was the largest, it employed 6,989 in but that was down 629 jobs or 8% from its 2001 level. The other KBOC in this portion of the quadrant, public safety, experienced 4% growth in employment, but its LQ declined nonetheless from 1.41 in 2001 to 1.28 in. The primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC was the single occupational KBOC in Quadrant II. A KBOC with newly emergent competitive advantage, the primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC employed 13,626 in, which was an increase of 1,273 or 10% higher than 2001 levels. As a result, the cluster s LQ increased 5% from 1.17 to FIGURE 3 STANISLAUS COUNTY OCCUPATIONAL LOCATION QUOTIENTS OF EMPLOYMENT 2001 & Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Thirteen of Stanislaus County s occupational KBOCs are in Quadrant III. KBOCs in this quadrant have no apparent competitive advantage because there LQs have been less than 1.2 at the beginning and end of the reviewed period. However, seven of these clusters in Stanislaus County are above the line of unity, indicating increasing competitiveness. Both the health KBOC and the personal services KBOC had LQs greater than one and more than 86% of the quadrant s employment was in one of the clusters above the line of unity. In total, employment in this quadrant s clusters was 71,417 or 78% of all the knowledge-intensive occupations. The figure also shows that there were no clusters in Quadrant IV in the county. Page 15 of 39

16 TABLE 7 STANISLAUS COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CAHNGE 2001 & 2001 Jobs Jobs Change Percent Change, KBOC: Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 13,975 14, % Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 12,353 13,626 1, % Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 14,391 13, % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 14,375 13, % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 10,125 11,955 1, % Agribusiness and Food Technology 5,697 6, % Personal Services Occupations 4,177 5,928 1, % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 2,923 3, % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 2,989 3, % Public Safety and Domestic Security 1,164 1, % Information Technology (IT) 1,866 1, % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation 1,663 1, % Engineering and Related Sciences % Building, Landscape and Construction Design 1, % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 7 shows that Stanislaus County employment in these KBOC increased nearly 4% from 88,097 to 91,160 between 2001 and. In this period, the KBOCs with the largest increase in employment were: 1) Health care (1,830), 2) Personal services (1,751) and 3) Primary/secondary educators & social workers (1,273). KBOCs with the largest decrease in employment were: 1) Managerial (-938) and 2) Skilled production workers (-814). KBOCs with the largest employment growth rates included: 1) Personal services (42%), and 2) Public safety (38%). KBOCs with the largest rates of employment contraction included: 1) Natural sciences (-58%), 2) Building & construction (-41%), 3) Postsecondary education (-27%) and 4) Information technology (-19%). Page 16 of 39

17 TABLE 8 STANISLAUS COUNTY OCCUPATIONAL SHARES OF TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 2001 & KBOC: 2001 Occ. Share of Total Emp. Occ. Share of Total Emp. Change Percent Change, Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 6.7% 6.9% 0.2% 3.0% Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 6.9% 6.5% -0.4% -5.8% Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 5.9% 6.5% 0.6% 10.2% Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 6.9% 6.4% -0.5% -7.2% Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 4.8% 5.7% 0.9% 18.8% Agribusiness and Food Technology 2.7% 2.9% 0.2% 7.4% Personal Services Occupations 2.0% 2.8% 0.8% 40.0% Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 1.4% 1.5% 0.1% 7.1% Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% Public Safety and Domestic Security 0.6% 0.8% 0.2% 33.3% Information Technology (IT) 0.9% 0.7% -0.2% -22.2% Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation 0.8% 0.6% -0.2% -25.0% Engineering and Related Sciences 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% Building, Landscape and Construction Design 0.5% 0.3% -0.2% -40.0% Natural Sciences and Environmental Management 0.3% 0.1% -0.2% -66.7% Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 8 shows that total employment in these KBOCs accounted for 44% of all Stanislaus County employment in. The KBOCs share of Stanislaus employment increased from 42% in 2001 to 44% in. Health care and personal services had the largest increases in their share of employment, growing by 0.9% and 0.8% respectively. In terms of declines in shares of total employment, KBOCs with the largest drops were: 1) Managerial (-0.5%), and 2) Skilled production workers (-0.4%). Seven of the KBOCs recorded positive growth rates in their shares of employment. The largest included: 1) Personal services (40%), 2) Public safety (33%), and 3) Health care (19%). KBOCs with the largest rates of decline in their employment shares include: 1) Natural science (- 67%), 2) Building and construction (-40%), 3) Postsecondary education (-25%) and 4) Information technology (-22%). Page 17 of 39

18 TABLE 9 STANISLAUS COUNTY LOCATION QUOTIENTS 2001 & KBOC: 2001 Occ. Emp. LQ Occ. Emp. LQ Change Percent Change, Agribusiness and Food Technology % Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services % Personal Services Occupations % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) % Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers % Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting % Building, Landscape and Construction Design % Public Safety and Domestic Security % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management % Engineering and Related Sciences % Information Technology (IT) % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 9 summarizes the data displayed in Figure 3. In Quadrant I, the agribusiness KBOC saw its LQ increase by 14. In Quadrant II, the only KBOC was the primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC. Its LQ increased 5% during the period. Thirteen of Stanislaus County s occupational KBOCs were in Quadrant III. o Among the KBOCs in the quadrant above the line of unity, those with the largest rates of LQ increase included: 1) Engineering (11%), and 2) Personal services (7%). o Among the KBOCs in the quadrant below the line of unity, those with the largest rates of LQ decline included: 1) Building & construction (-33%), 2) Natural sciences (-31%), and 3) Postsecondary education (-16%). There were no Quadrant IV KBOCs in Stanislaus County. Page 18 of 39

19 SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY In Figure 4 there are two occupational KBOCs in Quadrant I, indicating KBOCs with enduring competitive advantage. One KBOC was above the line of unity: agribusiness and food technology, indicating that its concentration increased between 2001 and. While employment in the agribusiness and food technology KBOC was static, its LQ increased 3% from 1.32 in 2001 to 1.36 in. Primary/secondary educators & social workers was the other KBOC in the quadrant, but it was below the line of unity indicating a decline in competitive advantage. While employment in the primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC fell by about 1% its LQ declined 7% from 1.29 in 2001 to 1.2 in. Personal services were the only occupational KBOC in Quadrant II. This emerging KBOC employed 7,994 in, which was an increase of 2,482 or 45% higher than 2001 levels. As a result, the cluster s LQ increased 8% from 1.13 to FIGURE 4 SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY OCCUPATIONAL LOCATION QUOTIENTS OF EMPLOYMENT 2001 & Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Twelve of San Joaquin County s occupational clusters were in Quadrant III, in these KBOCs employed nearly 85,000 or 74% of all jobs in these knowledge-intensive occupations. KBOCs in this quadrant had no apparent competitive advantage. Five clusters in this quadrant were above the line of unity, indicating increasing competitiveness. Three of the five experienced increased employment, a larger employment share, as well a growth in their LQ: 1) Postsecondary education, 2) Engineering, and 3) Information Technology. Employment in these clusters totaled 24,371 in or about 29% of employment in the quadrant. Seven KBOCs in the quadrant declined in competitiveness, i.e. were below the line of unity. Among these clusters, the largest LQ declines were in: 1) Skilled production workers, 2) Natural sciences, and 3) Public safety. Despite their declining competitiveness employment growth occurred in: 1) Health care (1,380), 2) Arts & entertainment (415), and 3) Mathematics (22). The figure also shows that there were no clusters in Quadrant IV in the county. Page 19 of 39

20 TABLE 10 SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY EMPLOYMENT CAHNGE 2001 & 2001 Jobs Jobs Change Percent Change, KBOC: Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 18,766 18, % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 18,664 18, % Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 17,169 16, % Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 20,623 16,946-3, % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 12,649 14,029 1, % Personal Services Occupations 5,512 7,994 2, % Agribusiness and Food Technology 5,578 5, % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 3,514 3, % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 3,689 3, % Public Safety and Domestic Security 3,122 3, % Information Technology (IT) 2,191 2, % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation 1,704 1, % Engineering and Related Sciences 989 1, % Building, Landscape and Construction Design % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 10 shows that San Joaquin County employment in these KBOC decreased marginally from 115,893 to 115,476 between 2001 and. In this period, the KBOCs with the largest increase in employment were: 1) Personal services (2,482) and 2) Health care (1,380). KBOCs with the largest decrease in employment were: 1) Skilled production workers (-3,677), 2) Managerial (-577), and 3) Natural sciences (-376). KBOCs with the largest employment growth rates included: 1) Personal services (45%), and 2) Engineering (27%). KBOCs with the largest rates of employment contraction included: 1) Natural sciences (-49%), and 2) Skilled production workers (-18%). Page 20 of 39

21 TABLE 11 SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY OCCUPATIONAL SHARES OF TOTAL EMPLOYMENT 2001 & KBOC: 2001 Occ. Share of Total Emp. Occ. Share of Total Emp. Change Percent Change, Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) 7.1% 6.9% -0.2% -2.8% Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR 7.1% 6.7% -0.4% -5.6% Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers 7.8% 6.3% -1.5% -19.2% Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services 6.5% 6.3% -0.2% -3.1% Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) 4.8% 5.2% 0.4% 8.3% Personal Services Occupations 2.1% 3.0% 0.9% 42.9% Agribusiness and Food Technology 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0% Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting 1.3% 1.5% 0.2% 15.4% Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% Public Safety and Domestic Security 1.2% 1.1% -0.1% -8.3% Information Technology (IT) 0.8% 0.9% 0.1% 12.5% Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% 16.7% Engineering and Related Sciences 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 25.0% Building, Landscape and Construction Design 0.4% 0.3% -0.1% -25.0% Natural Sciences and Environmental Management 0.3% 0.1% -0.2% -66.7% Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 11 shows that all employment in these KBOCs accounted for 43% of all San Joaquin County employment in. The KBOCs share of San Joaquin s employment dropped from 44% in 2001 to 43% in. Personal services and health care both had the largest increases in their share of employment, growing by 0.9% and 0.4% respectively. In terms of declines in shares of total employment, KBOCs with the largest drops were: 1) Skilled production workers (-1.5%), and 2) Managerial workers (-0.4%). Six of the KBOCs recorded positive growth rates in their shares of employment. The largest included: 1) Personal services (43%), 2) Engineering (25%), and 3) Postsecondary education (17%). KBOCs with large rates of decline in their employment shares include: 1) Natural science (-67%), 2) Building and construction (-25%), and 3) Skilled production workers (-19%). Page 21 of 39

22 TABLE 12 SAN JOAQUIN COUNTY LOCATION QUOTIENTS 2001 & Description 2001 Occ. Emp. LQ Occ. Emp. LQ Change Percent Change, Agribusiness and Food Technology % Personal Services Occupations % Primary/Secondary/Vocational Education, Remediation & Social Services % Public Safety and Domestic Security % Health Care and Medical Science (Aggregate) % Skilled Prod. Workers: Techs, Operators, Trades, Installers & Repairers % Legal and Financial Services, and Real Estate (L & FIRE) % Managerial, Sales, Marketing and HR % Building, Landscape and Construction Design % Arts, Entertainment, Publishing and Broadcasting % Postsecondary Education and Knowledge Creation % Mathematics, Statistics, Data and Accounting % Natural Sciences and Environmental Management % Engineering and Related Sciences % Information Technology (IT) % Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Table 12 summarizes the data displayed in Figure 4. In Quadrant I, the agribusiness KBOC saw its LQ increase by 3% while the primary/secondary educators & social workers KBOC saw its LQ decrease by 7%. In Quadrant II, the only KBOC was personal services. Its LQ increased 8% during the period. Twelve of San Joaquin County s occupational KBOCs were in Quadrant III. o Among the KBOCs in the quadrant above the line of unity, those with the largest rates of LQ increase included: 1) Engineering (53%), and 2) Postsecondary education (11%). o Among the KBOCs in the quadrant below the line of unity, those with the largest rates of LQ decline included: 1) Natural sciences (-18%), 2) Skilled production workers (-13%), and 3) Public safety (-10%). There were no Quadrant IV KBOCs in San Joaquin County. Page 22 of 39

23 HEALTH CARE KBOC Owing to the importance of the health care KBOC, it was broken down further across three sub-clusters: 1) medical practitioners and scientist, 2) medical technicians, and 3) therapy, counseling and rehabilitation workers. Across the region, Stanislaus County exhibited the greatest level of competitiveness in the cluster and its sub-divisions. There was a decline in the competitiveness in the therapy, counseling, and rehabilitation cluster in each county. In the NSJV Medical Technicians were the strongest cluster, in Stanislaus County recorded an LQ of 1.21 for this KBOC. In comparison to the state, the region was very similar but it did have higher levels of competitiveness than the state for the cluster as a whole and for each sub-cluster. TABLE 13 HEALTH CARE OCCUPATIONAL CLUSTER INDICATORS Jobs % of Total Emp. Emp. LQ Merced County Health Care and Medical Science 2,599 3, % 3.9% Medical Practitioners and Scientists % 0.8% Medical Technicians 699 1, % 1.1% Therapy, Counseling & Rehabilitation 1,476 1, % 2.0% Stanislaus County Health Care and Medical Science 10,125 11, % 5.7% Medical Practitioners and Scientists 1,776 2, % 1.1% Medical Technicians 2,258 3, % 1.5% Therapy, Counseling & Rehabilitation 6,090 6, % 3.1% San Joaquin County Health Care and Medical Science 12,649 14, % 5.2% Medical Practitioners and Scientists 2,503 2, % 1.0% Medical Technicians 2,855 3, % 1.2% Therapy, Counseling & Rehabilitation 7,290 8, % 3.1% NSJV Health Care and Medical Science 25,373 29, % 5.2% Medical Practitioners and Scientists 4,703 5, % 1.0% Medical Technicians 5,812 7, % 1.3% Therapy, Counseling & Rehabilitation 14,856 16, % 2.9% California Health Care and Medical Science 876, , % 5.0% Medical Practitioners and Scientists 230, , % 1.1% Medical Technicians 177, , % 1.1% Therapy, Counseling & Rehabilitation 469, , % 2.8% Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Page 23 of 39

24 FIGURE 5 HEALTH CARE OCCUPATIONAL CLUSTERS LOCATION QUOTIENTS OF EMPLOYMENT 2001 & Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Page 24 of 39

25 FIGURE 6 COMPARISON OF HEALTH CARE OCCUPATIONAL CLUSTERS ACROSS THE NSJV Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Page 25 of 39

26 FIGURE 7 NSJV AND STATE-WIDE HEALTH CARE OCCUPATIONAL LOCATION QUOTIENTS Source: Stats America, Occupational s from the Innovation in American Regions site. Page 26 of 39

27 APPENDIX KNOWLEDGE BASED OCCUPATIONAL CLUSTER DEFINITIONS TABLE A.14 MANEGERIAL, SALES, MARKETING, AND HUMAN RESOURCES OCCUPATIONS Chief executives General and operations managers Advertising and promotions managers Marketing managers Sales managers Public relations managers Administrative services managers Financial managers Compensation and benefits managers Training and development managers Human resources managers, all other Purchasing managers Transportation, storage, and distribution managers Food service managers Gaming managers Lodging managers Postmasters and mail superintendents Property, real estate, and community association managers Wholesale and retail buyers, except farm products Employment, recruitment, and placement specialists Compensation, benefits, and job analysis specialists Logisticians Management analysts Meeting and convention planners Market research analysts Survey researchers Public relations specialists Chefs and head cooks First-line supervisors/managers of non-retail sales workers Advertising sales agents Securities, commodities, and financial services sales agents Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, technical and scientific products Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products Sales engineers First-line supervisors/managers of office and administrative support workers Human resources assistants, except payroll and timekeeping Page 27 of 39

28 TABLE A.15 SKILLED PRODUCTION WORKERS OCCUPATIONS Industrial production managers Construction managers Mechanical engineers Electrical and electronics drafters Mechanical engineering technicians First-line supervisors/managers of housekeeping and janitorial workers First-line supervisors/managers of construction trades and extraction workers Stonemasons Carpenters Cement masons and concrete finishers Operating engineers and other construction equipment operators Electricians Plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters Elevator installers and repairers First-line supervisors/managers of mechanics, installers, and repairers Electric motor, power tool, and related repairers Electrical and electronics installers and repairers, transportation equipment Electrical and electronics repairers, commercial and industrial equipment Electrical and electronics repairers, powerhouse, substation, and relay Electronic equipment installers and repairers, motor vehicles Security and fire alarm systems installers Aircraft mechanics and service technicians Automotive service technicians and mechanics Bus and truck mechanics and diesel engine specialists Farm equipment mechanics Mobile heavy equipment mechanics, except engines Crossing the Next Regional Frontier Motorboat mechanics Motorcycle mechanics Control and valve installers and repairers, except mechanical door Heating, air conditioning, and refrigeration mechanics and installers Home appliance repairers Industrial machinery mechanics Maintenance and repair workers, general Millwrights Electrical power-line installers and repairers Commercial divers Signal and track switch repairers First-line supervisors/managers of production and operating workers Structural metal fabricators and fitters Numerical tool and process control programmers Drilling and boring machine tool setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic Milling and planing machine setters, operators, and tenders, metal and plastic Machinists Model makers, metal and plastic Patternmakers, metal and plastic Tool and die makers Cabinetmakers and bench carpenters Patternmakers, wood Power distributors and dispatchers Power plant operators Stationary engineers and boiler operators Gas plant operators Molders, shapers, and casters, except metal and plastic First-line supervisors/managers of helpers, laborers, and material movers, hand First-line supervisors/managers of transportation and material-moving machine and vehicle operators Ship engineers Transportation inspectors Crane and tower operators Page 28 of 39

29 TABLE A.16 HEALTH CARE AND MEDICAL SCIENCE (AGGREGATE) See Table A.17 Medical Practitioners and Scientists See Table A.18 Medical Technicians See Table A.19 Therapy, Counseling & Rehabilitation TABLE A.17 HEALTH CARE AND MEDICAL SCIENCE (MEDICAL PRACTITIONERS AND SCIENTISTS) Funeral directors Medical and health services managers Compliance officers, except agriculture, construction, health and safety, and transportation Epidemiologists Medical scientists, except epidemiologists Chiropractors Dentists, general Oral and maxillofacial surgeons Orthodontists Prosthodontists Dietitians and nutritionists Optometrists Physicians and surgeons Physician assistants Crossing the Next Regional Frontier Podiatrists Audiologists Respiratory therapists Opticians, dispensing Orthotists and prosthetists Embalmers TABLE A.18 HEALTH CARE AND MEDICAL SCIENCE (MEDICAL TECHNICIANS) Pharmacists Radiation therapists Medical and clinical laboratory technologists Dental hygienists Cardiovascular technologists and technicians Diagnostic medical sonographers Nuclear medicine technologists Radiologic technologists and technicians Dietetic technicians Respiratory therapy technicians Surgical technologists Veterinary technologists and technicians Medical records and health information technicians Medical assistants Medical transcriptionists Medical equipment repairers Medical appliance technicians Page 29 of 39