Industrial Commission Update. Justin J Kringstad Geological Engineer Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority
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1 Industrial Commission Update Justin J Kringstad Geological Engineer Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority April 17, 2018
2 Natural Gas Capture Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Markets Capacity Connections Capacity Location Dry Gas Natural Gas Liquids 2
3 Natural Gas Capture Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Markets Capacity Connections Capacity Location Dry Gas Natural Gas Liquids 3
4 Bakken/Three Forks Well Performance 4
5 Historic Bakken/Three Forks GOR 5
6 Statewide Bakken/Three Forks GOR 6
7 DOE-EIA Forecasted Oil Price 7
8 Forecasting Activity vs. Price 8
9 North Dakota Forecast Activity Assumptions 9 9
10 NDPA ND Gas Production Forecast 10
11 Natural Gas Capture Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Markets Capacity Connections Capacity Location Dry Gas Natural Gas Liquids 11
12 Solving the Flaring Challenge February 2018 (Wells Flaring 10+mcfd) Non-Confidential Bakken/Three Forks/Sanish Only OpenStreetMap contributors 12
13 Solving the Flaring Challenge February 2018* *Non-Confidential Bakken/Three Forks/Sanish Only 13
14 Solving the Flaring Challenge February 2018* *Non-Confidential Bakken/Three Forks/Sanish Only 14
15 Solving the Flaring Challenge GREEN % of gas captured and sold Blue % flared from zero sales wells Orange % flared from wells with at least one mcf sold. Simple Terms Blue Lack of pipelines Orange Challenges on existing infrastructure Statewide Feb 2018 Data Non-Confidential Wells 15
16 Solving the Flaring Challenge 16
17 Days to Connect to Gas Gathering 17
18 Solving the Flaring Challenge 18
19 Natural Gas Capture Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Markets Capacity Connections Capacity Location Dry Gas Natural Gas Liquids 19
20 Solving the Flaring Challenge 20
21 Solving the Flaring Challenge 21
22 Gas Plant Intake & Capacity Due to incomplete filing data, September 2017 data used in the chart 22
23 Natural Gas Capture Production Gathering Processing Transmission Technology Markets Capacity Connections Capacity Location Dry Gas Natural Gas Liquids 23
24 Natural Gas Processing Ethane Capture Consumer Quality Dry Natural Gas Residue Gas Methane 57.67% Ethane 19.94% Raw Natural Gas (1400+ BTU) Processing Plant NGL S (8-12 gallons per 1,000 cubic feet of raw gas) Y-Grade or Fractionated Propane 11.33% Y-Grade if NGL S are left together in one mix for separation later Butane 3.80% Natural Gasoline 1.29% 24
25 Natural Gas Processing Ethane Rejection Methane Consumer Quality Dry Natural Gas 57.67% Residue Gas Ethane 19.94% Raw Natural Gas (1400+ BTU) Processing Plant NGL S (8-12 gallons per 1,000 cubic feet of raw gas) Propane 11.33% Y-Grade or Fractionated Y-Grade if NGL S are left together in one mix for separation later Butane 3.80% Natural Gasoline 1.29% 25
26 Major Gas Pipeline and Processing Infrastructure Whiting WBI Transmission 26
27 Northern Border Pipeline 42 Pipeline Carries Canadian (Port of Morgan) and Domestic Gas Receives Gas From ND Plants, WBI Transmission Interconnections, and WY Pipelines (Bison & Grasslands) Midcontinent Deliveries 27
28 Northern Border Pipeline *Data Source: Northern Border IPS 28
29 Foothills Pipeline Map & Raw Data Source: TransCanada 29
30 Simplified Example NB Calculations Conclusion: IF no other gas export options open and all other deliveries on other pipelines stay static, ND gas production could increase BCFD (from Nov-17) before Northern Border is 100% Bakken production. BTU management becomes increasingly important for Bakken residue gas. 30
31 Alliance Pipeline Open Season Project Highlights Existing 36 Pipeline Existing ~1,600 MMCFD Capacity Proposing ~400 MMCFD of Additional Capacity to Canadian and US Shippers 2021 Proposed In-Service Dense Phase Gas Transportation to Chicago 31
32 Major NGL Pipeline and Processing Infrastructure Kinder 32
33 North Dakota Captured* NGL s *Non-flared NGL s & Assumes 10 GPM 33 33
34 NGL Pipeline Takeaway Options 34 34
35 ONEOK Elk Creek NGL Pipeline Project Highlights 900 Miles - 20 Pipeline $1.4 Billion 240,000 BPD Capacity Expandable to 400,000 BPD End of 2019 Proposed Completion Y-Grade Transportation 35
36 Contact Information Justin J. Kringstad, Director North Dakota Pipeline Authority 600 E. Boulevard Ave. Dept. 405 Bismarck, ND Phone: (701) Fax: (701) Websites:
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