TMC Innovations Group

Transcription

1 Modeling, simulation and management technologies at the service of your capital investment TMC Innovations Group NW, 21 St No. 190, Miami FL PO BOX 62441, Caracas 1060

2 WHO WE ARE A consulting group that provides systemic management services throughout the business cycle of capital investments Systemic: Our vision of the business as a system of decisions with life cycle cause-effect relationships Capital investment: Because it supports the value management process of the associated capital investment throughout its business cycle That offers support to its clients in: The process of evaluation, ranking and selection of the projects to be included in the Corporate Capital Budget The enhancement and assurance of the capital project s value objectives during its execution phase The negotiation of optimum project finance conditions The monetization of the expected project s return on investment during the commercial operation phase of the production assets Using in-house system modeling and Monte Carlo simulation technology WHAT WE DO Project / Asset Auditing Identification of project / asset value risks and opportunities Consulting Provide solutions to mitigate risks and take advantage of opportunities Training Train client personnel in the best interpretation and application of our auditing and consulting services

3 WHEN DO WE DO IT Throughout the process of authorization of capital expenditures and management of the engineering, procurement and construction phases of the project During the commercial, optimization, and expansion phases of the fixed production assets Until the end of commercial operations and dismantling and disposition of the facility THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS Capital Project Operational feedback Closure, dismantling & disposition of production assets Asset Commercial Operation Operational Optimization Expansion Capacity increase Mergers & Acquisitions GOAL MARKETS Extraction industry Process industry Power industry Manufacturing industry Oil, gas, mining Refining, gas processing, chemicals, petrochemicals, industrial (steel, cement) Generation, transmission, transformation, distribution Metallurgy, assembly, mass consumption, processed foods

4 WHEN DO WE DO IT MANAGEMENT PROCESS OF CAPITAL PROJECTS Resource Validation of the business idea Project development concept Capital Project FEED & early procurement EPC & startup Operation, evaluation & close out Demand

5 Virtual Plant Model TMC Innovations Group OUR MONTE CARLO SIMULATION MODEL Capital project documents Material and energy balances Process flow diagrams Piping & instrumentation diagrams Equipment data sheets Environmental and socio-cultural studies Project execution schedules System production capacities by state Risk analyses (Hazop, QRA, SIL-SIS) Analysis of loss of containment Capital cash flows O&M cost estimates Cost of feedstock Price of products Discount rate of the project K1 P1 P3 K2 K3 P2 T1 P4 Monte Carlo Simulator Equipment RAM data Scheduled shutdowns Tank operational rules Key performance indicators Production effectiveness Service quality (RAM) Unit production costs Financial results Corporate sustainability Client s own KPI s Deliverables Project/Asset Report indicating areas of risk and opportunity A stand alone system model of the plant analyzed, with built in capacity to be updated by the Client with equipment simulation parameters based on actual operational failure and repair data. Modifications of the model itself can be performed by Client request as a consulting service

6 OUR MONTE CARLO SIMULATION MODEL

7 SOURCES OF INFORMATION FIELD DATA OTHER SOURCES Offshore Reliability Database (OREDA) Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers 14224:1999(E) Petroleum and natural gas industries - Collection and exchange of reliability and maintenance data for equipment Process Equipment Reliability Database (PERD) Guideliness for Improving Plant Reliability through Data Collection and Analysis Guidelines for Process Equipment Reliability Data

8 OPTIMIZATION TOOLS SCOPEQ is a tool developed by TMC designed to model component and equipment failure and repair behavior based on actual maintenance field data. Equipment shutdown and downtime field data is processed with this tool in order to generate the corresponding reliability and maintainability functions. This is essential information in the modeling and simulation process associated with overall capital project value assurance and enhancement. RAMSIM Configurations is a simulation tool developed by TMC designed for technical - economical analyses of equipment configuration options. Using equipment reliability and maintainability distributions, scheduled maintenance policies, CAPEX and O&M cost profiles, this tool allows you to make technical - economical analyses of different equipment configuration, O&M and vendor options, through the generation of plant performance, service quality and cost indicators. RAMSIM Components is a tool developed by TMC designed to model and simulate equipment failure and repair behavior based on the reliability and maintainability functions of its components. One of the most outstanding applications of this tool is the ability to support the evaluation and selection of equipment configuration schemes (main equipment + driver).

9 APPLICATIONS THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS DURING THE VALUE CYCLE OF THE CAPITAL PROJECT VALIDATION OF THE BUSINESS IDEA Strategic validation of the business idea Economic formulation of the business idea Validation of resource supply availability Validation of product demand Visualization of the business idea s development options SELECTION OF THE PROJECT DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT Evaluation of alternatives and selection of the project development option Location Engineering / process technology Audit of the project s conceptual engineering options Identification of areas of risk and of potential improvement Consulting in the engineering solutions for mitigation of risk and opportunity realization Evaluation of online configurations (driver / driven) Evaluation of redundant configurations (parallel & standby) Validation of resource supply availability Validation of product demand

10 APPLICATIONS THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS DURING THE VALUE CYCLE OF THE CAPITAL PROJECT FEED & EARLY PROCUREMENT Audit of the project s basic engineering Identification of areas of risk and of potential improvement Consulting in the engineering and procurement solutions for mitigation of risk and opportunity realization Evaluation of online configurations (driver / driven) Evaluation of redundant configurations (parallel & standby) Evaluation of procurement options (purchase, lease, rent) for major and long lead equipment items Evaluation of O&M options (own or outsourced) Evaluation & selection of service & equipment vendors Risk based storage capacity calculation Spare part planning Manning studies Validation of resource supply availability Validation of product demand Simulation of energy and industrial water consumption Simulation of process losses (emissions, effluents, solid wastes) Evaluation of project finance options (PMC, early procurement, EPC) EPC & STARTUP Evaluation of the EPC/Turnkey contractor s proposals Support in the decisions of time and cost based on value Spare part planning Manning studies Maintenance strategy and organization design

11 APPLICATIONS THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS DURING ASSET COMMERCIAL OPERATION COMMERCIAL OPERATION Audit of the production asset Equipment data collection and analyses RAM simulations Identification and mitigation of areas of risk and of potential improvement OPERATIONAL OPTIMIZATION Operational optimization (OPGRADE program) Analyses of Operational What If s MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS Operational Due Diligence of the existing facilities to be acquired Definition of Merger/Acquisition strategies CLOSURE OF PRODUCTION ASSETS Determination of the optimum permanent plant shutdown opportunity, based on maximum salvage value

12 APPLICATIONS THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS OTHER VALUE ENHANCEMENT PRACTICES Value engineering studies Constructability analyses Failure Mode and Effect Analyses (FMEA) Reliability Centered Maintenance Preliminary Hazard Analyses (PrHA's) HAZOP s Quantitative Risk Analyses (QRA s) SIL/SIS analyses

13 CLIENT TRAINING SERVICES TRAINING PROGRAM IN APPLICATIONS OF MONTE CARLO SIMULATION THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL PROJECTS Strategic Formulation and Socioeconomic Evaluation of Capital Projects How to assure that the best business ideas enter your capital budget Economic Design, Engineering and Procurement of Process Facilities The Fourth Dimension of Project Engineering Time, Cost and Value (TCV) Management of EPC Projects How to assure the sustainable value of your capital investments Effective Production Asset Management How to effectively monetize the value of your capital investments

14 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CAPITAL PROJECT VALIDATION OF THE BUSINESS IDEA Comparative evaluation of the options of combined cycle with coal gasification and steam generation with coal fed boilers for PDVSA's new 500 MW power plant in Western PDVSA Power Year 2004 PDVSA Comparative evaluation of PDVSA's Western Transmission System based on the different generation options for a new 500 MW power plant Power Year 2004

15 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CAPITAL PROJECT VALIDATION OF RESOURCE SUPPLY AVAILABILITY & PRODUCT DEMAND Assessment of the ethane supply reliability of the 1,200 MMSCFD system integrated by Santa Barbara and San Joaquin liquid extraction plants and the future ethane separation facilities to Exxon Mobil's future ethylene plant in Jose Assessment of the ethane rich gas supply reliability of the 60 MMSCFD gas supply system integrated by the Tía Juana 2 and Tía Juana 3 plants and the future compression and transmission facilities to PEQUIVEN'S ethane recovery plant (PPE) in El Tablazo Assessment of the associated gas supply reliability of an existing gas compression and transmission system of 7 plants, 52 compressor units and 11 transmission lines with an installed capacity of 2,140 MMSCFD to PDVSA's Western Cryogenic Complex (CCO) Petroquímica de Petrochemicals Year 1996 Petroquímica de Petrochemicals Year 1994 PDVSA Gas - upstream Year 2002 Petroquímica de Production capacity certification of 13 plants in the petrochemical complexes of Morón and Zulia Year 2000 Petrochemicals Assessment of the supply reliability and life cycle cost analysis of a power system integrated by the AGLA 115/34.5 kv electrical substation and the associated 115 kv transmission lines and 34,5 kv distribution lines, as part of the Gas Anaco project PDVSA Power Year 2007 Petroquímica de Statistical analysis of the gaseous ethylene consumption for the estimation of additional liquefaction capacity of the olefins plants in El Tablazo Year 1997 Petrochemicals

16 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CAPITAL PROJECT SELECTION OF THE PROJECT DEVELOPMENT CONCEPT Assessment at conceptual engineering level of the ethane and NGL supply reliability of PDVSA's Western Cryogenic Complex (CCO) to the ethylene plant in El Tablazo and to a new fractioning plant Assessment at conceptual engineering level of the production capacities of propane, isobutene, n-butane, pentanes and stabilized natural gasoline of the new fractioning plant of PDVSA's Western Cryogenic Complex (CCO) PDVSA Gas processing Year 2001 PDVSA Gas processing Year 2001

17 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CAPITAL PROJECT FEED & EARLY PROCUREMENT Consulting support in the development of the RAM study for the offshore natural gas production, compression and transmission facilities associated to the Loran Manatee Project, Block 2, Plataforma Deltana Assessment of the supply reliability of the new gas and water handling facilities of the PLD-3 dehydration plant in Boscán field Chevron Corporation Gas - upstream Year Year 2008 Petroboscán Chevron PDVSA Heavy oil - upstream Assessment at basic engineering level of the ethane supply reliability of the system integrated by PDVSA's Western Cryogenic Complex (CCO) and the associated ethane and NGL pipelines to the ethylene plant in El Tablazo and to a new fractioning plant Assessment at basic engineering level of the propane supply reliability of the new fractioning plant of PDVSA's Western Cryogenic Complex (CCO) Assessment of the supply reliability and life cycle cost analysis of a power system integrated by the AGLA 115/34.5 kv electrical substation and the associated 115 kv transmission lines and 34,5 kv distribution lines, as part of the Gas Anaco project Design, implementation and updating of an integrated effectiveness and supply reliability simulation model of the upstream facilities for diluent, production, processing and transfer of 250,000 BPCD of diluted crude oil from the Hamaca field to the crude upgrader in Jose PDVSA Year 2002 Gas transmission PDVSA Year 2002 Gas processing PDVSA Power Year 2007 Year 2003 Petrolera Ameriven PDVSA-Chevron-Conoco Heavy oil upstream

18 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CAPITAL PROJECT FEED & EARLY PROCUREMENT (CONT.) Citgo Life cycle cost analysis to evaluate equipment buy and lease options for a new 3,015 SCFM air compressor plant in the Corpus Christi Refinery Year 2001 Oil downstream USA Life cycle cost analysis to evaluate the selection of gas compressors, drivers, procurement and O&M options and equipment vendors for an additional 100 MMSCFD gas compression capacity investment in the Dación field Preliminary Hazard Analysis (PrHA) for the "Electro Resistive Heating (ERH)" project of wells MEL-50, MEL- 78 and MEL-94 of the Melones Field in the Orinoco extra heavy crude belt Value Engineering Study of the system integrated by the AGLA 115/34.5 kv electrical substation and the associated 115 kv transmission lines and 34,5 kv distribution lines, as part of the Gas Anaco Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) for the establishment of the RCM strategy of the power system integrated by the AGLA 115/34.5 kv electrical substation and the associated 115 kv transmission lines and 34,5 kv distribution lines, as part of the Gas Anaco project Eni Lasmo Gas upstream Year 2002 PDVSA Heavy oil upstream Year 2007 PDVSA Power Year 2007 PDVSA Power Year 2007

19 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CAPITAL PROJECT FEED & EARLY PROCUREMENT (CONT.) PDVSA Constructability analysis for the new hydrocarbon elimination system of the Jusepín Extraction Plant's gas dehydration system Year 2008 Gas downstream Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) for the mechanical, electrical and associated instrumentation and control systems for the Wellpad 9 of the Operational Center Petromonagas (COPEM) Year 2010 Petromonagas CVP British Petroleum Heavy oil - upstream

20 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS COMMERCIAL OPERATION, OPERATIONAL OPTIMIZATION & EXPANSION Update of the integrated effectiveness and supply reliability model of the Hamaca heavy oil field upstream facilities, with new failure events and revised equipment reliability and maintainability parameters Year 2004 Petrolera Ameriven PDVSA-Chevron-Conoco Heavy oil - upstream Evaluation of the impact of the following operational scenarios on the supply reliability of the integrated system and occurrence of total production shutdowns: 1. 10% production increase 2. Production of off-spec crude 3. Failures of operational trains during the execution of scheduled maintenance routines on the spare train 4. Modifications of the produced water treatment plant's original design 5. Application of a storage reserve policy in Jose entry tanks to prevent oil mix in the DCO joint venture pipeline during a total shutdown of the upgrader 6. Application of a storage reserve policy in COB's diluent tanks to prevent diluent mix in the joint venture pipeline during a total production shutdown Petrolera Ameriven PDVSA-Chevron-Conoco Heavy oil - upstream Year

21 OUR EXPERIENCE THROUGHOUT THE BUSINESS CYCLE OF CAPITAL INVESTMENTS CLIENT TRAINING SERVICES Comparative evaluation of the options of combined cycle with coal gasification and steam generation with coal fed boilers for PDVSA's new 500 MW power plant in Western PDVSA Power Year 2004 PDVSA Comparative evaluation of PDVSA's Western Transmission System based on the different generation options for a new 500 MW power plant Power Year 2004

22 BUSINESS CONTACTS USA - Miami TMC INNOVATIONS INC. Luis Eduardo Niño len@tmcinnovations.com Adriana Niño Rivero anino@tmcinnovations.com USA - Houston Luis Eduardo Niño José Alfredo Ajjam TMC OVERSEAS LLC len@tmcinnovations.com jaa@tmcinnovations.com VENEZUELA Luis Eduardo Niño TRANSITION MANAGEMENT CONSULTANTS VENEZUELA C.A. len@tmcinnovations.com THE NETHERLANDS Mariana Niño Rivero TMC INNOVATIONS EUROPE m.nino@tmcinnovations.nl MEXICO Marco Antonio Medrano RISK STRATEGY CONSULTANTS marmedglz@hotmail.com CANADA Jorge Luis Argenti ELECTRONIC TRADE INC. jorge@electronictradeinc.com