IDMP - GWP project in CEE

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1 IDMP - GWP project in CEE Andreja Sušnik, ARSO DMCSEE Sabina Bokal, GWP Tetiana Adamenko, Ukraine Training course on the use of satellite products for drought monitoring and agro-meteorological applications, May, 2016

2 The Global Water Partnership's vision is for a water secure world Our mission is to support the sustainable development and management of water resources at all levels 13 Regional Water Partnerships 85 Country Water Partnerships Partners in 178 countries 2 May 2016

3 GWP Thematic Approach Ecosystems Food Transboundary Energy Climate Change Urbanisation 3 May 2016

4 Facts and figures Population of 152 million people, a quarter of all Europeans Total area of over 2.03 million km 2 12 countries in Baltic and Danube regions, 160 Partner organizations Founded in 1998 Baltic region: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Poland Danube region: Bulgaria, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Moldova, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia and Ukraine 4 May 2016

Integrated Drought Management Programme Increase the capacity of the CEE region to

variability and change in precipitation increased frequency of extreme weather

not as a support for decision makers limited sharing of information among

5 Integrated Drought Management Programme Increase the capacity of the CEE region to adapt to climatic variability by enhancing resilience to drought. variability and change in precipitation increased frequency of extreme weather events in the future well developed meteorological and hydrological monitoring but not as a support for decision makers limited sharing of information among countries lack of political will to solve the problem drought was not considered a relevant issue 5 May 2016

6 6 May 2016

Cooperation with national governments Main challenges: Lack of

Solutions: cooperation with national governments to help them to

policies and plans Preparation of the guidance document National

7 Cooperation with national governments Main challenges: Lack of political will to solve the problem drought was not considered as a relevant issue. Gaps in the implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD). Solutions: cooperation with national governments to help them to incorporate drought management issues into their national programs, policies and plans Preparation of the guidance document National Consultation Dialogues acceptance at the policy level Guidelines for preparation of the Drought Management Plans within RBMP 7 May 2016

Process of preparation of the Guidelines Parts of the Drought Management Plan National Consultation Dialogues 1st round setting the stage review of the current status 2nd round how to

8 Process of preparation of the Guidelines Parts of the Drought Management Plan National Consultation Dialogues 1st round setting the stage review of the current status 2nd round how to overcome gaps in the current drought management; developing Guidelines; national experiences and examples 3rd round action plan/update for preparation of the Drought Management Plan 8 May 2016

9 Step-by-step guidance towards Drought Management Plan From crisis management to drought risk reduction 9 May 2016

10 Translation of the Guidelines into 7 national languages Hungarian, Lithuanian, Romania, Ukrainian Slovakian, Slovenian and Poland version in progress 10 May 2016

11 Testing and describing new approaches towards proactive drought management focusing on agricultural sector as one of the most vulnerable ones in the region Natural Small Water Retention Measures Increasing soil water holding capacity Drought impact on forest ecosystems Remote sensing agricultural drought monitoring methods Updating agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine & Moldova 11 May 2016

flood waves during flood periods improve the water conditions in the river basin increase landscape resilience against the effects of

12 Natural Small Water Retention Measures adaptive measure which serves to adjust to extreme climate variability it helps retain water in the land during wet periods and make this water more available for ecosystems, agriculture and forestry during drought periods & slows down flood waves during flood periods improve the water conditions in the river basin increase landscape resilience against the effects of climate preserve biodiversity of habitats that are strongly related to water resources, including habitats and species of a great natural value 12 May 2016

How can we evaluate the results of NSWRM in terms of flood protection, drought mitigation, and biodiversity increase?

13 Guidelines on Natural Small Water Retention Measures What are technical and non-technical measures to increase water retention? How to choose the catchment for the retention measures? How can we evaluate the results of NSWRM in terms of flood protection, drought mitigation, and biodiversity increase? How can we incorporate the natural water retention measures in the RBMP, FPMP and DMP? GIS based tool for identifying the areas which are most suitable for the NSWRMs 13 May 2016

Slovakia, Hungary, and Slovenia including best examples of

14 Guidelines on Natural Small Water Retention Measures CASE STUDIES Lessons learnt from implemented projects in Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, and Slovenia including best examples of combined effects and involvement of stakeholders 14 May 2016

15 Agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine and Moldova Working with rural authorities, farmers, local stakeholders Upgrading of forecasting models for identification of crop yield losses caused by droughts Guide on best practices on soil conservation 15 May 2016

Regional cooperation continuation of the

16 Regional cooperation continuation of the IDMP CEE DRiDanube Drought Risk in the Danube Region 3 November 2015 Submitted Expression of Interest 547 EoI submitted & assessed March 2016 accepted for 2nd step (80 projects) Waiting for results 16 May 2016

17 May 2016

18 Agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine and Moldova IDMP CEE Experience from demo projects Tetiana Ademenko Chief of agrometeorological dept. UHMC 18 May 2016

19 Yields of main agricultural crops in Ukraine during the severe droughts of the 21st century (2003, 2007) and in the wet years (2008, 2013, 2014). The heaviest losses from droughts are from 30% up to total loss of the crop. In 2003 and 2007 (spring drought)s losses in grain production in Ukraine amounted to more than 3 bln. Euro. 19 May 2016

20 Monitoring of droughts in Ukraine is carried out by hydrometeorological stations Collection and automated processing of information Generalization, systematization, analysis, use in drought models Preparing expert opinions and recommendations Informing consumers of different levels 20 May 2016

21 Collection and processing of agrometeorological information in Ukraine Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center Control synthesis, the use of service Regional Hydrometeorological Centre (25) Control, synthesis, transfer to Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center, the use of service Meteorological station area (188/135) Meteorological, phenological observations, identification of stocks of productive moisture in the soil, the transfer to a Regional Hydrometeorological Centre 21 May 2016

22 Calculation on the model of a possible reduction in yield,% May-June 2012 Wheat Barley 22 May 2016

Agroclimatic zones From the total number of 189 weather stations 135 stations provide the constant monitoring of the main agricultural crops Marshy-over norm moisture

23 Agroclimatic zones From the total number of 189 weather stations 135 stations provide the constant monitoring of the main agricultural crops Marshy-over norm moisture zone Forest-steppe-normal moiture zone Marshy-over norm moisture zone Forest-steppe-normal moiture zone; Steppe- lower moisture zone Steppe- lower moisture zone 23 May 2016

24 Intensification of aridity Exceeding of the absolute maximums of air temperatures (42) 24 May 2016

25 Increasing the number of days since a very high temperature (above 30 C) during the period May 2016

26 The annual rainfall in Ukraine, mm Оptimum 700 мм Norm мм мм 26 May 2016

27 Drought May-June Drought July-August 27 May 2016

28 Drought June-August 28 May 2016

29 Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове As part of the pilot project of the Integrated Drought Management Programme in Central and Eastern Europe: The agroclimatic zoning of the territory of Ukraine and the Dniester Basin was updated, drought increasing risk maps were made. The guidelines for drought management plans was adapted and published in the Ukrainian language. The drought indices were reviewed. The calculation of the SPI was introduced in operational practice. The "automated assessment of drought in Ukraine" model was upgraded, which increased the accuracy of the estimates of losses of winter wheat and spring barley. 29 May 2016

New agroclimatic zoning HTCs (ГТК) Aridity <0.7 very arid 0.

30 New agroclimatic zoning HTCs (ГТК) Aridity <0.7 very arid moderately arid slightly humid sufficiently humid > 1.81 humid 30 May 2016

31 SPI June-August May 2016

32 SPI November April May 2016

33 The main elements of the Drought Management Plan - indicators and thresholds of droughts; early warning system; measures to mitigate climate change; organisational arrangements 33 May 2016

maps for the agro-sector of Ukraine and the Dniester River basin Agroclimatic zoning

34 Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове Updating data estimates and forecasting tools to support the management and monitoring of droughts Drought risk maps for the agro-sector of Ukraine and the Dniester River basin Agroclimatic zoning for May- September ( ) according to Selyaninov's hydrothermal coefficients 34 May 2016

35 The problem guiding approach to drought management Reactive, crisis management based - events and actions after oncoming of drought our task at the present stage is to go to Proactive, based on the drought risk reduction management - Measures to prevent and reduce the impact of drought developed in advance in the Plan of drought management (PDM) 35 May 2016

. Decisions:: Cooperation with Governments in the implementation of drought management plans in a national planning Подготовка

36 Cooperation with national governments Сотрудничество с национальными правительствами Main challenges:: Lack of political will - the drought is not considered as a problem.. Decisions:: Cooperation with Governments in the implementation of drought management plans in a national planning Подготовка Руководств по Планам управления засухами Problems with implementation of the Framework Water Directive. National Dialogues - acceptability on the level of politicians Drought management plans as part of the river basin management plan 36 May 2016

37 37 May 2016

38 Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове Мonitoring and forecast droughts in agriculture Work with rural athorities, farmers, local stakeholders Updating predictive models for the identification of crop losses caused by drought Guidance on best practice of soil conservation 38 May 2016

39 Дякую за увагу! СПАСИБО! Thank you 39 May 2016

Global Water Partnership Central and Eastern Europe

Global Water Partnership Central and Eastern Europe Fourth meeting of the Carpathian Convention Work Group on Adaptation to Climate Change Szolnok, 1 Towards a water secure world Sabina Bokal, GWP CEE